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International Consolidated Airlines Group. S.A.

Investor Presentation Jun 17, 2024

1846_rns_2024-06-17_a04cf024-94c7-41e9-9f85-1ce4b003bb4e.pdf

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IAG's approach to Free Cash Flow and ETS

17 June 2024

Disclaimer

LEI: 959800TZHQRUSH1ESL13

Forward-looking statements:

Certain statements included in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are forward-looking. These statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. By their nature, they involve risk and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements often use words such as "expects", "believes", "may", "will", "could", "should", "continues", "intends", "plans", "targets", "predicts", "estimates", "envisages" or "anticipates" or other words of similar meaning or their negatives. They include, without limitation, any and all projections relating to the results of operations and financial conditions of International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. and its subsidiary undertakings from time to time (the 'Group'), as well as plans and objectives for future operations, expected future revenues, financing plans, expected expenditure, acquisitions and divestments relating to the Group and discussions of the Group's business plans and its assumptions, expectations, objectives and resilience with respect to climate scenarios. All forward-looking statements in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are based upon information known to the Group on that date and speak as of that date. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations, the Group does not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Actual results may differ from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) as a result of any number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, including, but not limited to, economic and geo-political, market, regulatory, climate, supply chain or other significant external events, many of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond the control of the Group, and it is not reasonably possible to itemise each item. Accordingly, readers of this document and participants in any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are cautioned against relying on forward-looking statements. Further information on the primary risks of the business and the Group's risk management process is set out in the Risk management and principal risk factors section in the Annual Report and Accounts 2023; this document is available on www.iairgroup.com. All forward-looking statements made on or after the date of this document and attributable to IAG are expressly qualified in their entirety by the primary risks set out in that section.

Alternative Performance Measures:

This document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) contain, in addition to the financial information prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ('IFRS') and derived from the Group's financial statements, alternative performance measures ('APMs') as defined in the Guidelines on alternative performance measures issued by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) on 5 October 2015. The performance of the Group is assessed using a number of APMs. These measures are not defined under IFRS, should be considered in addition to IFRS measurements, may differ to definitions given by regulatory bodies relevant to the Group and may differ to similarly titled measures presented by other companies. They are used to measure the outcome of the Group's strategy based on 'Unrivalled customer proposition', 'Value accretive and sustainable growth' and 'Efficiency and innovation'.

For definitions and explanations of alternative performance measures, refer to the Alternative performance measures section in the IAG Annual Report and Accounts 2023 (iairgroup.com) and the Interim Management Report for the three months to 31 March 2024 (IAG Q1 2024 Results (iairgroup.com)). These documents are available on www.iairgroup.com

Contents

    1. Free Cash Flow definition, calculation and approach
    1. IAG's approach to IFRS 16 on adoption from 1 January 2019 and ongoing
    1. ETS in IAG's accounts

Free cash flow – IAG calculation

€ million 2023 2022
Net cash flows from operating activities 4.864 4.854
Acquisition of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets (3.544) (3,875)
Free cash flow 1.320 979

IAG 2023 Annual report and accounts Alternative performance measures, page 292

Free cash flow – IAG's principles

  • Calculate the cash that the business generates which is 'free' for uses such as:
    • shareholder returns
    • debt reduction
    • other corporate initiatives
  • Include all relevant cashflows (i.e. operating and capital expenditure)
  • Include cashflows only once
  • Be agnostic as to future financing decisions
  • Make the measure simple and transparent to calculate from IAG's public releases
  • Show the calculation of the measure as an Alternative Performance Measure (APM)

Choice of aircraft financing results in different impacts in the financial statements

Owned Finance Lease*
(inc. JOLCOs)
Operating Lease
(sale and leaseback)
Direct
Lease
Nature Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft –
pays
for cash with no
refinancing
Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft;
negotiates financing
separately and executes
after delivery
Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft;
negotiates financing
separately and executes
after delivery
Lessor purchases aircraft
from manufacturer; airline
negotiates financing with
lessor
Capex
Balance sheet asset value Cost less depreciation Cost less depreciation Right of use asset less
deprecation
Right of use asset less
deprecation
P&L charge Depreciation Depreciation and interest Depreciation and interest Depreciation and interest
Cashflow lines Depreciation
Capex
Depreciation
Interest paid
Capex
Proceeds from borrowings
Repayment of asset
financed liabilities
Depreciation
Interest paid
Capex
Sale of PPE
Repayment of lease
liabilities
Depreciation
Interest paid
Repayment of lease
liabilities

* Includes Japanese Operating Lease with Call Option (JOLCO) structures, a common form of finance lease used in the aviation sector.

IAG uses Gross Capex; we do not double-count leased aircraft

Free Cash
Flow (FCF)

We include all aircraft capital expenditure, irrespective of how aircraft are subsequently financed, i.e.:

  • 1) Owned outright
  • 2) Finance leases

3) Operating leases

We use GROSS capex and so do not need to deduct the principal element of operating lease payments – if we did, we would be double-counting the aircraft cost.

This works for IAG, as we have very few aircraft that are leased directly from lessors – the substantial majority of operating leased aircraft are ordered by IAG from manufacturers under IAG deals, paid for from IAG's cash and are then subsequently subject to sale and leaseback transactions as part of our financing strategy.

Other cashflow items: Lease liabilities include more than just operating leases

Substantially all new aircraft
debt (finance leases)
FX hedging related to debt repayments and operating leases

Proceeds from sale and leaseback transactions and other minor disposals

Movement between cash invested <3 months and >3 months (up to 12 months)

Payment of bank debt, including COVID-19 related UKEF, ICO and ISIF backed, as well as principal element of finance leases from 1 January 2019 onwards

Payment of principal element of both finance leases in place before 1 January 2019 (due to IFRS 16 adoption method)

Typically only management incentive related (2023: 15m shares); also includes in 2023 27m shares as 50% of Air Europa acquisition requirement

* Includes Japanese Operating Lease with Call Option (JOLCO) structures, a common form of finance lease used in the aviation sector.

Sale and lease-back criteria for accounting

Sale and leaseback transactions

Accounting for aircraft financing – with pre/post 1 Jan 2019 split of finance leases

Owned Finance Lease*
(inc. JOLCOs)
Post
1 Jan 2019
Finance Lease*
(inc. JOLCOs)
Pre
1 Jan 2019
Operating Lease
(sale and leaseback)
Direct
Lease
Nature Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft –
pays for cash with no
refinancing
Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft;
negotiates financing
separately and
executes after delivery
Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft;
negotiates financing
separately and
executes after delivery
Airline specifies and
purchases aircraft;
negotiates financing
separately and
executes after delivery
Lessor purchases
aircraft from
manufacturer; airline
negotiates financing
with lessor
Capex
Balance sheet
asset value
Cost less depreciation Cost less depreciation Right of use asset less
deprecation
Right of use asset less
deprecation
Right of use asset less
deprecation
P&L charge Depreciation Depreciation and
interest
Depreciation and
interest
Depreciation and
interest
Depreciation and
interest
Cashflow lines Depreciation
Capex
* Includes Japanese Operating Lease with Call Option (JOLCO) structures, a common form of finance lease used in the aviation sector.
Depreciation
Interest paid
Capex
Proceeds from
borrowings
Repayment of asset
financed liabilities
Depreciation
Interest paid
Capex
Sale of PPE
Repayment of lease
liabilities
Depreciation
Interest paid
Capex
Sale of PPE
Repayment of lease
liabilities
Depreciation
Interest paid
Repayment of lease
liabilities

Differences between Asset financed liabilities and lease liabilities

Leases in the Income/Cash flow statements

Year to 31 December
€ million Note 2023 2022
Passenger revenue 25,810 19,458
Cargo revenue 1,156 1,615
Other revenue 5 2,487 1993
Total revenue 5 29,453 23,066
Employee costs 8 5,423 4,647
Fuel, oil costs and emissions charges 7,557 6,120
Handling, catering and other operating costs 3,849 2,971
Landing fees and en-route charges 2,308 1890
Engineering and other aircraft costs 2,509 2,101
Property, IT and other costs 6 1,058 ರಿಕೆಯ
Selling costs 1,155 920
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment S 2,063 2,070
Net gain on sale of property, plant and equipment! (2) (22)
Currency differences 26 141
Total expenditure on operations 25,946 21,788
Operating profit 3,507 1,278
Finance costs ਰੇ (1,113) (1,017)
Finance income ਰੇ 386 52
Net change in fair value of financial instruments ਰੇ (11) 81
Net financing credit relating to pensions ਰੇ 103 26
Net currency retranslation credits/(charges) 176 (115)
Other non-operating credits1 ਰੇ 0 110
Total net non-operating costs (451) (863)
Profit before tax 3,056 415
ax 10 (401) 16
Profit after tax for the year 2,655 431

All leases, either operating or finance, are reflected in the Income statement through Depreciation and Finance costs. Differs to US GAAP for operating leases.

All leases, either operating or finance, are reflected in the Cash flow statement through Interest paid and either Repayment of borrowings (general debt and finance leases from 1 Jan 2019 onwards) or Lease liabilities (operating leases and finance leases in place before 1 Jan 2019)

(extract)

Year to 31 December
€ million Note 2023 2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Operating profit 3,507 1,278
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment 6 2,063 2,070
Net gain on disposal of property, plant and equipment (2) (22)
Employer contributions to pension schemes (48) (22)
Pension scheme service costs 34 18 17
Increase in provisions 35 237 463
Unrealised currency differences 51 19
Other movements 35 117 76
Interest paid (1,005) (817)
Interest received 365 42
Tax paid (291) (134)
Net cash flows from operating activities before movements
in working capital
5,006 2,970
Increase in trade receivables (272) (660)
Increase in inventories (140) (21)
Increase in other receivables and current assets (388) (233)
Increase in trade payables 258 886
Increase in deferred revenue 212 1,236
Increase in other payables and current liabilities 188 676
Net movement in working capital (142) 1,884
Net cash flows from operating activities 4,864 4.854
Cash flows from financing activities
Proceeds from borrowings 35 1,001 1,436
Repayment of borrowings 35 (4,268) (1,050)
Repayment of lease liabilities 35 (1,731) (1,455)
Settlement of derivative financial instruments 35 (119) 1,0336
Acquisition of treasury shares (77) (23)
Net cash flows from financing activities (5,194) (56)

IAG 2023 Annual report and accounts Consolidated income statement, page 210 Consolidated cash flow statement, page 213

IAG analyst briefing 17 June 2024: Free Cash Flow and ETS

In 2023 'Repayment of lease liabilities' was c50% finance leases dating from pre 1 January 2019

Note 2023 2022
Cash flows from financing activities
Proceeds from borrowings 35 1,001 1.436
Repayment of borrowings 35 (4,268) (1,050)
Repayment of lease liabilities 35 (1,731) (1,455)
Settlement of derivative financial instruments 35 (119) 1.036
Acquisition of treasury shares (77) (23)
Net cash flows from financing activities (5,194) (56)

The breakdown of this item was split in 2023 approximately 50:50 between operating leases and finance leases dating from before 1 January 2019

  • The item 'Repayment of lease liabilities' in 2023 included those finance leases still in place that were entered into before 1 January 2019. These payments will reduce over time as leases mature, with approximately 7 years still to run, and the reduction related to the profile of maturity payments on leases, rather than linear.
  • We plan and measure internally without making assumptions on specific proportions of sale and leaseback transactions, as we prefer to separate financing decisions from investment decisions and make financing decisions nearer to the point of delivery of the aircraft.
  • However, we are aware some people use Net capex less operating lease debt principal repayments. The Gross capex and sale of PPE/intangibles is given on the face of the Cash flow statement (i.e. to calculate Net capex). The information above would facilitate an estimate of the operating lease principal repayments (i.e. c50% of €1,731m in 2023).
  • We are intending to include further disclosure in the 2024 Annual report and accounts to facilitate splitting the item Repayment of lease liabilities between: (i) operating leases and (ii) finance leases dating from before 1 January 2019.

Accounting for ETS allowances

P&L and Cash Flow Statement amounts will not match

(P&L is on a provisions basis – what was incurred in the year; Cash Flow is based on the ETS allowances the Group purchased in the year)

IAG analyst briefing 17 June 2024: Free Cash Flow and ETS

ETS cash flows in 2023

Year to 31 December
€ million Note 2023 2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Operating profit 3,507 1,278
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment ട് 2,063 2,070
Net gain on disposal of property, plant and equipment (2) (22)
Employer contributions to pension schemes (48) (22)
Pension scheme service costs 34 18 17
Increase in provisions 35 237 463
Unrealised currency differences 51 19
Other movements 35 111 76
Interest paid (1,005) (817)
Interest received 365 42
Tax paid (291) (134)
Net cash flows from operating activities before movements in working capital 5,006 2,970
Increase in trade receivables (272) (660)
Increase in inventories (140) (21)
Increase in other receivables and current assets (388) (233)
Increase in trade payables 258 886
Increase in deferred revenue 212 1,236
Increase in other payables and current liabilities 188 676
Net movement in working capital (142) 1,884
Net cash flows from operating activities 4,864 4,854
Cash flows from investing activities
Acquisition of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets 35 (3,544) (3,875)

Operating expenditures include a provision for ETS costs incurred in the year, within 'Fuel, oil costs and emissions charges'

In the Cash Flow Statement, this provision is reversed out through the provisions movement line (as noncash).

The actual cash spend on ETS in a given is included within capex. This represents all the ETS allowances the Group chooses to purchase in that year, which will typically be for the following years' ETS requirements.

IAG analyst briefing 17 June 2024: Free Cash Flow and ETS IAG 2023 Annual report and accounts

ETS accounting in 2023

€ million Restoration
and handback
provisions
Restructuring
provisions
Employee
leaving
indemnities
and other
employee
related
provisions
Legal claims
and
contractual
disputes
provisions
ETS
provisions
Other
provisions
Total
Net book value 1 January 2023 2,400 ਰਿੱ 6/3 ਉਰੇ 132 60 3,548
Provisions recorded during the year 520 53 15 238 32 859
Reclassifications A (1) (6) (3)
Utilised during the year (338) (82) (35) (a) (32) (496)
Extinguished during the year (a8) (98)
Release of unused amounts (68) (21) (2) (15) (26) (1) (133)
Unwinding of discount 78 2 23 - 103
Remeasurements 24 28
Exchange differences (71) (1) 3 - (୧୫)
Net book value 31 December 2023 2,529 94 755 82 247 ટેડે 3,740
€ million Goodwill Brand Customer
loyalty
programmes
Landing
rights
Software ETS assets Other lotal
Cost
Balance at 1 January 2022 596 451 253 1605 1,674 62 87 4,728
Additions 14 218 360 ਦਰਤੋ
Disposals (6) (52) (a) (67)
Exchange movements (1) (25) (34) (6) (66)
Balance at 31 December 2022 ਦੇਰੇ ਦੇ 451 253 1588 1,806 407 88 5,188
Additions 365 264 630
Disposals (6) (49) (96) (151)
Reclassifications 23 (15) 8
Exchange movements 11 18 2 32
31 December 2023 596 451 253 1,593 2,163 577 74 5,707

Provision recognised of €238 million with charge to the Income statement within Fuel, oil costs and emission charges

All Investing cash flows
of €264 million reflected
as Intangible assets

Note 17, page 250; Note 27 page 260; Note 35 page 284

IAG analyst briefing 17 June 2024: Free Cash Flow and ETS IAG 2023 Annual report and accounts

Strong free cash flow of €1.3bn and positive drivers for 2024

Free cash flow 1,320
Gross capex (3,544) Slightly lower than planned €3.7bn in 2024 and average of €4.5bn over 3
years (2024 –
2026)
Net cash from Op activities 4,864
Other 160 FX and other items
Tax paid (291) Cash tax rate of c.10% of profits before tax Expected cash tax rate continues to benefit from
available losses
Interest received 365 Average interest rate of 3.7% Average rate expected to stay broadly the same
Interest paid (1,005) Repayment of expensive debt with average
cost of borrowing of c.9%
Lower, to reflect debt repayments in 2023
(c.€200m in Q4 2023)
Provisions 237 ETS, net of restructuring and maintenance ETS increases as credits are phased out
Pension (30) No contributions made to NAPS and APS No additional contributions anticipated
Working capital (142) Impacted by €0.2bn delayed receivables
payments
Unwind of 2023 collections timing; increase in
revenue
Depreciation 2,063 Increases as investment increases
Operating profit 3,507 ASK grew 22.6% vly ASK growth around 7% in 2024 and 4-5% over
three years 2024-2026
€m 2023 2024

Appendix

Accounting for leases

End slide: intentionally blank

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