AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

International Consolidated Airlines Group. S.A.

Earnings Release Nov 8, 2024

1846_rns_2024-11-08_61ffad1c-9a8e-45d8-a695-3bab7bfdb8ce.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Connecting people, businesses and countries

1

Disclaimer

LEI: 959800TZHQRUSH1ESL13

Forward-looking statements:

Certain statements included in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are forward-looking. These statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. By their nature, they involve risk and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements often use words such as "expects", "may", "will", "could", "should", "intends", "plans", "predicts", "envisages" or "anticipates" or other words of similar meaning. They include, without limitation, any and all projections relating to the results of operations and financial conditions of International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. and its subsidiary undertakings from time to time (the 'Group'), as well as plans and objectives for future operations, expected future revenues, financing plans, expected expenditure, acquisitions and divestments relating to the Group and discussions of the Group's business plans. All forward-looking statements in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are based upon information known to the Group on that date and speak as of that date. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations, the Group does not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Actual results may differ from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements in this document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) as a result of any number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, including, but not limited to, the current economic and geopolitical environment and ongoing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and uncertainties about its future impact and duration, many of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond the control of the Group, and it is not reasonably possible to itemise each item. Accordingly, readers of this document and participants in any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) are cautioned against relying on forward-looking statements. Further information on the primary risks of the business and the Group's risk management process is set out in the Risk management and principal risk factors section in the Annual Report and Accounts 2023; this document is available on www.iairgroup.com. All forward-looking statements made on or after the date of this document and attributable to IAG are expressly qualified in their entirety by the primary risks set out in that section. Many of these risks are, and will be, exacerbated by the ongoing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and uncertainties about its future impact and duration and any further disruption to the global airline industry as well as the current economic and geopolitical environment.

Alternative Performance Measures:

This document and any related conference call or webcast (including any related Q&A session) contain, in addition to the financial information prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ('IFRS') and derived from the Group's financial statements, alternative performance measures ('APMs') as defined in the Guidelines on alternative performance measures issued by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) on October 5, 2015. The performance of the Group is assessed using a number of APMs. These measures are not defined under IFRS, should be considered in addition to IFRS measurements, may differ to definitions given by regulatory bodies relevant to the Group and may differ to similarly titled measures presented by other companies. They are used to measure the outcome of the Group's strategy based on 'Unrivalled customer proposition', 'Value accretive and sustainable growth' and 'Efficiency and innovation'.

For definitions and explanations of alternative performance measures, refer to the Alternative performance measures section in the IAG Annual report and accounts 2023 (IAG Annual Report and Accounts 2023 (iairgroup.com)) and the Interim Management Report for the nine months to 30 September 2024 (IAG Q3 2024 Results (iairgroup.com)). These documents are available on www.iairgroup.com

Highlights

Luis Gallego Chief Executive Officer

Growing revenue, profit and margins; announcing €350m buyback

  • Executing our strategy has driven very strong financial performance in the third quarter:
    • o Increase in total revenue by 7.9%
    • o Increase in operating profit by 15.4% to €2,013m
    • o Increase in operating margin by 1.4pts to 21.6%
  • Demand remains strong in all our core markets, supporting a 1.2% increase in passenger unit revenue in Q3
  • Ongoing focus on improving our customer propositions and operational resilience
  • Increased profitability supports significant free cash flow generation, investment and an increasingly strong balance sheet
  • Pleased to announce €350m share buyback
  • Expect our strong financial performance to continue for the rest of the year

Financial results

Nicholas Cadbury

Chief Financial Officer

Very strong financial performance in the third quarter

Before exceptional items "Other" includes LEVEL, IAG Cargo, IAG GBS, ICAG and Consolidation adjustments

Q3 key metrics

Activity ASKs
93,280m
+5.7% vLY
Total revenue Total pax revenue PRASK Load factor
Commercial €9,329m €8,270m €8.87c 89.9%
performance +7.9% vLY +6.9% vLY +1.2% vLY +1.0pts vLY
Total expenditure CASK Fuel CASK Non-fuel CASK
Cost €7,316m €7.84c €2.20c €5.64c
performance +6.0% vLY +0.3% vLY (4.2)% vLY +2.2% vLY
Operating profit Operating margin Net debt Net debt / EBITDA
€2,013m 21.6% €6,189m 1.0x
Financial
performance
+€268m
vLY
+1.4pts vLY €(3,056)m
vDec-23
(0.7)x
vDec-23

Strong quarter across our businesses; strike impact at Aer Lingus

Q3 2024
(€m)
vLY Q3 2024
(£m)
vLY Q3 2024
(€m)
vLY Q3 2024
(€m)
vLY Q3 2024
(£m)
vLY
Total revenue 746 (3.0)% 4,016 +5.8% 2,107 +8.5% 1,082 +0.1% 699 16.2%
Passenger revenue 726 (3.8)% 3,777 +5.2% 1,711 +9.8% 1,077 +0.1% 333 +56.1%
Operating result before exceptional items 139 (57) 830 +251 454 +5 292 +10 125 +10
Operating margin before exceptional items 18.6% (6.8)pts 20.7% +5.4pts 21.5% (1.6)pts 26.9% +0.8pts 17.9% (1.0)%
ASK (m) 9,595 +4.2% 46,373 +3.5% 22,801 12.1% 11,964 (0.2)% - -
PRASK (€c/p) 7.56 (7.7)% 8.15 +1.5% 7.51 (2.0)% 9.00 +0.3% - -
Non-fuel CASK (€c/p) 4.32 +2.4% 4.78 (3.9)% 5.42 0.0% 4.48 +0.6% - -

• Iberia figures exclude LEVEL

2023 comparators adjusted for the move of BA Holidays from British Airways to IAG Loyalty. IAG Loyalty now includes BA Holidays: Q3 2024 revenue of £278m and profit of £35m (Q3 2023: revenue of £245m and profit of £36m)

Strong performance in our core markets

Profit after tax and exceptional items of €2,340m in 9M 2024

Nine months to 30 September
€m Before
exceptional
items 2024
Exceptional
items
Statutory 2024 Before
exceptional
items 2023
Exceptional
items
Statutory 2023
Revenue 24,053 - 24,053 22,229 - 22,229
Operating costs 20,731 - 20,731 19,224 - 19,224
Operating profit 3,322 - 3,322 3,005 - 3,005
Finance costs (677) - (677) (867) - (867)
Finance income 299 - 299 285 - 285
Net change in fair value of financial instruments (63) - (63) - - -
Net financing credit relating to pensions 46 - 46 77 - 77
Net currency retranslation (charges)/credits 56 - 56 64 - 64
Other non-operating credits/(charges) 22 (50) (28) 51 - 51
Profit before tax 3,005 (50) 2,955 2,615 - 2,615
Tax (755) 140 (615) (464) - (464)
Profit after tax 2,250 90 2,340 2,151 - 2,151

Increasingly strong balance sheet

€m 30 Sep 2023 31 Dec 2023 30 Sep 2024
Gross debt 17,227 16,082 16,026
Bank and other loans 3,567 2,688 2,720
Asset financed and lease liabilities 13,660 13,394 13,306
Cash, cash equivalents and interest-bearing
deposits
9,218 6,837 9,837
Net debt 8,009 9,245 6,189
Net debt / EBITDA before exceptional items 1.4x 1.7x 1.0x
Total liquidity (cash and facilities) 13,697 11,624 13,306
  • Interim dividend payment of €147m in September 2024
  • We now expect capex for the year to be around €3.1bn due to phasing of investments
  • We still expect 20 aircraft* to be delivered in 2024, with 4 in the fourth quarter
  • Leverage to increase modestly at the year-end in line with usual seasonal booking patterns

Our capital allocation framework supports profitable growth, margins and sustainable shareholder returns

Business overview and outlook

Luis Gallego Chief Executive Officer

Focusing on our brands and our core markets


New flights to Denver, resumption of Minneapolis. A321 XLR to Nashville, Indianapolis; LHR operated with A320neo's (lower airport charges)

Faster boarding process on short-haul flights for AerClub
members; refreshed lounge at Heathrow, Disney+ content on long-haul flights;
participating in TSA Pre-Check in the US; AerClub
members can now earn Avios on American Airlines flights

Amazon Connect in call centres;
Salesforce migration, handling for IAG in Dublin, onboarding of Expedia onto NDC

Abu Dhabi resumption; continued Euroflyer
growth at Gatwick; announced additional US frequencies for 2025

Continued rollout of new economy seats on short-haul and new Club Suite product on long-haul aircraft; new food choices at BA lounges

New customer rebooking tool; new aircraft-assignment tool, introduction of turnaround information screens across BA stands at Heathrow-T5

Continued growth in core LatAm
and North Atlantic markets; as well as Spanish island destinations

Long-haul cabin refurbishment; new fast-track and lounge food offer at Madrid; inflight product upgrade (menus, premium spirits,
amenity kits)

Video analytics for engine inspections, real time weather forecast for Operations Control, and Foreign Object Debris

Increased focus on core routes from Barcelona

Partnered with '15below' to deliver an improved communications tool for schedule and disruption communications as well as flight status
notification; launched 'Levarti' to unlock self-service disruption management capabilities

Migration to new
system for advanced dynamic pricing. 'Checkbuilder' and 'Engine Optimizer' for maintenance efficiencies

Aer Lingus became the third IAG airline to offer Avios-only flights

Avios Wallet launched at IB.com & VY.com, so members can link their IB Plus/Vueling Club accounts to view/redeem Avios from a
single balance

Non-air partnership with Royal Caribbean Cruises announced allowing customers to earn Avios for holidays booked directly on their website

Outlook for 2024

  • Planned capacity growth for FY 2024 at c.+6% ASKs; Q4 2024 c.+5%
  • Non-fuel unit cost expected to be up around 2% for the year
  • Expected total fuel cost in FY 2024 of c.€7.7bn*
  • Leverage to increase modestly by year end
  • Expect our strong financial performance to continue for the rest of the year

Summary

  • We expect positive long-term, sustainable demand for travel
  • Executing our transformation programme to deliver world-class margins and returns
  • Disciplined capital allocation: continue to expect to generate significant free cash flow, maintain a strong balance sheet and invest in the business
  • Committed to sustainable shareholder value creation and cash returns
    • Interim dividend of €0.03 per share and €350m share buyback

Appendices

Fuel hedging - 76% for Q4 2024; c.61% for FY 2025

Q4 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2025 Q1 2026
Jet fuel price scenario \$690/mt \$700/mt \$700/mt \$710/mt \$710/mt \$710/mt
\$/€ scenario 1.114 1.114 1.114 1.114 1.114 1.114
Hedge ratio 76% 71% 65% 59% 48% 32%
Effective blended price post fuel and FX hedging* \$750/mt \$735/mt \$730/mt \$735/mt \$735/mt \$730/mt

* Note: Effective blended price excluding into plane cost

Full year 2024 fuel cost expected to be c.€7.7bn based on forward jet fuel prices and spot foreign exchange rates on 7 November 2024

FY 2024 capacity planned to be c.6% higher than 2023

Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) and Financial terminology definitions

Measure IFRS/APM Definition Source of calculation
Operating profit (and other Income statement
items) before exceptional items
APM See Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (alternative performance measures
section, note a: Profit after tax before exceptional items) and accounting policies
Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note a: Profit after tax before exceptional items)
EBITDA before exceptional items APM Operating result before exceptional items, interest, taxation, depreciation,
amortisation and impairment.
Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note e: Net debt to EBITDA before exceptional items)
Unit measures (PRASK, Fuel CASK, Non Fuel CASK) APM Passenger revenue, fuel costs, non-fuel costs (before exceptional items) divided by
capacity (ASKs)
Glossary in the 2023 ARA
Gross debt IFRS Total borrowings (current and non-current) Direct from Balance sheet (Current liabilities, Non-current liabilities)
Cash IFRS Cash and cash equivalents and Current interest-bearing deposits Direct from Balance sheet (Current assets)
Airline non-fuel CASK APM Total operating expenditure before exceptional items, less fuel costs and emission
charges and less non-flight specific costs divided by total ASKs, and is shown on a
constant currency basis.
Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note d: Airline non-fuel costs per ASK)
Net debt IFRS Gross debt (per above) less Cash Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note e: Net debt to EBITDA before exceptional items)
Net debt to EBITDA before exceptional items (or
Leverage)
APM Based on Net debt (per above) and the rolling 12-month EBITDA before exceptional
items
Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note f: Net debt to EBITDA before exceptional items)
Liquidity (or Total liquidity) APM Cash (per above) plus committed and undrawn general and overdraft facilities, and
aircraft-specific financing facilities
Q3 2024 Interim Management Report (Reconciliation of alternative performance measures
section, note g: Liquidity)
Movements in working capital IFRS Net movements in working capital per cash flow statement Direct from Cash flow statement (Net cash flows from operating activities)
Capex (or gross capital expenditure) IFRS Acquisition of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets per cash flow
statement
Direct from Cash flow statement (Net cash flows from investing activities)

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.