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International Consolidated Airlines Group. S.A.

Earnings Release Nov 5, 2021

1846_rns_2021-11-05_c311c234-e40b-4819-b5dd-defb66899426.pdf

Earnings Release

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IAG RESULTS

I N T E R N A L U S E O N L Y

QUARTER THREE 2021

5 November 2021

LUIS GALLEGO, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER HIGHLIGHTS

3 Q 2 0 2 1 F I N A N C I A L H I G H L I G H T S A N D O U T L O O K

Significant recovery underway

3 Q 2 0 2 1 H I G H L I G H T S

Pre exceptional operating loss more than halved to €0.5bn compared to previous quarters

Positive quarterly operating cash flow for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic

Meaningful recovery in capacity in 3Q (43% of 2019 levels vs. 21% in 1H), driven by loosening of travel restrictions, especially in Spain

Liquidity higher than ever (€12.1bn pro forma* at end October 2021 compared to €10.6bn at end of September 2021)

O U T LO O K

We expect a pre exceptional operating loss for FY 2021 of approximately €3.0bn

Significant recovery in demand underway

  • Substantial recovery in bookings after UK and US announcements to loosen travel restrictions
  • Raising capacity in 4Q to c.60% of 2019 level
  • Planning on continued capacity increases during Winter 2021/22 and Summer 2022

The Group is creating opportunities and implementing initiatives to transform our business

* Pro forma includes British Airways additional £1.0bn (€1.2bn) UKEF guaranteed 5-year committed credit facility on 1 November

Operating companies making financial progress and focused on restoring networks

Lower but significant loss
due to travel restrictions
only relaxed from mid-July
Significantly reduced
operating loss in 3Q
Positive operating result in 3Q Operating break-even in 3Q Best quarter since 2019 –
continued growth in
customers, profit and cash
generation
Focused on restoring
network, launching
Manchester base and
negotiating employee
agreements
Focused on restoring the
operation to c.90% by 3Q
2022 and negotiating to
develop a competitive
platform for Gatwick
shorthaul
for the Group
Leveraging the Madrid hub
to boost connectivity
Consolidating domestic
leadership whilst exploiting
opportunities across
Europe (e.g. Paris Orly)
Helping to drive booking
momentum and cash
generation for the Group

S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y U P D AT E

IAG continues to lead global aviation towards net zero

FINANCIAL RESULTS

I N T E R N A L U S E O N L Y

STEVE GUNNING, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

3 Q 2 0 2 1 F I N A N C I A L H I G H L I G H T S

Best financial performance since COVID started

* Liquidity includes committed and undrawn general and aircraft financing facilities

** Pro forma includes British Airways additional £1.0bn (€1.2bn) UKEF guaranteed 5-year committed credit facility on 1 November

More than halved operating loss on capacity increase compared to previous quarters

ASKs 40,082 19,769 nm 92,318 -56.6%
Post exceptional operating result -452 -1,923 -76.5% 1,416 nm
Exceptional items 33 -618 nm 0 nm
Pre exceptional operating result -485 -1,305 -62.8% 1,416 nm
Total expenditure on operations 3,194 2,544 25.6% 5,850 -45.4%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment 477 505 -5.5% 519 -8.1%
Supplier costs 1,341 956 40.3% 2,468 -45.7%
Fuel, oil costs and emissions charges 565 370 52.7% 1,633 -65.4%
Employee costs 811 713 13.7% 1,230 -34.1%
Total revenue 2,709 1,239 nm 7,266 -62.7%
Other revenue 305 200 52.5% 505 -39.6%
Cargo revenue 405 302 34.1 % 269 50.6%
Passenger revenue 1,999 737 nm 6,492 -69.2%
3Q 2021 3Q 2020 vly 3Q 2019 v2y

Iberia profitable, Vueling break-even, improved Aer Lingus and BA performance

3Q 2021 (€m) v2y 3Q 2021 (£m) v2y 3Q 2021 (€m) v2y 3Q 2021 (€m) v2y
Passenger revenue 115 -82.8% 721 -77.8% 563 -53.3% 461 -47.7%
Cargo revenue 15 25.0% 263 49.9% 100 42.9% - -
Other revenue 1 -75.0% 109 -45.9% 182 -41.8% 5 0.0%
Total revenue 131 -80.9% 1,093 -69.8% 845 -46.8% 466 -47.5%
Total expenditure on operations 211 -59.1% 1,479 -50.5% 824 -37.3% 466 -29.1%
Pre exceptional operating result -80 -249 -386 -1,020 21 -252 0 -230
Pre exceptional operating margin -61.1% -85.7pts -35.3% -52.8pts 2.5% -14.7pts 0.0% -25.9pts
ASK (m) 2,416 -72.9% 15,356 -68.3% 12,885 -37.3% 9,017 -23.4%
RPK (m) 1,354 -82.6% 9,333 -77.7% 9,486 -48.4% 7,215 -32.5%
Load factor (%) 56.0% -31.2pts 60.8% -25.5pts 73.6% -15.8pts 80.0% -10.8pts
Sector length (km) 1,653 -20.1% 2,865 -9.5% 2,575 -12.1% 977 2.3%

L I Q U I D I T Y

Liquidity even higher due to positive operating cash flow and further debt raising

*c.€0.4bn of facilities expired during 1Q, c.€0.1bn during 3Q 2021 and c.€0.1bn during October

**Pro forma includes British Airways additional £1.0bn (€1.2bn) UKEF guaranteed 5-year committed credit facility on 1 November

1Q 2021 2Q 2021 3Q 2021 • £2.0bn UKEF guaranteed 5-year loan facility drawdown by British Airways • €75m ISIF facility drawdown by Aer Lingus • £450m British Airways NAPS contribution deferral (October 2020 to September 2021) • €1.2bn IAG unsecured bonds issued • \$1.755bn IAG 3-year RCF available to Aer Lingus, British Airways and Iberia. Replacing BA USD RCF due to expire in June 2021 • £300m UK CCFF commercial paper repaid by BA in April 2021 • €825m IAG convertible bonds issued

\$785m BA sustainability-linked EETC, of which \$100m was drawn in 3Q

4Q 2021

£1.0bn UKEF guaranteed 5-year credit facility by British Airways

D E B T P O S I T I O N

Net debt broadly unchanged in 3Q excluding FX

€m 30 Sep 2021 30 Jun 2021 31 Mar 2021 31 Dec 2020 31 Dec 2019
Gross debt 19,975 19,771 19,539 15,679 14,254
Bank and other loans 7,475 7,440 6,948 3,369 1,954
Asset finance and lease liabilities 12,500 12,331 12,591 12,310 12,300
Cash, cash equivalents and interest-bearing
deposits
7,619 7,664 7,975 5,917 6,683
Net debt 12,356* 12,107* 11,564* 9,762 7,571

Note*: Net debt increase at 30 Sep compared to 30 Jun 2021 includes c.€0.4bn of non-cash movements. Net debt increase at 30 Jun compared to 31 Mar 2021 includes c.€0.1bn of non-cash movements. Net debt increase at 31 Mar 2021 compared to 31 Dec 2020 includes €0.6bn of non-cash movements (mainly exchange rate movements).

F U E L H E D G I N G

Fuel hedging - 70% in 4Q 2021 and c.40% in FY 2022

Fuel hedging
4Q 2021 1Q 2022 2Q 2022 3Q 2022 4Q 2022
Jet Fuel price scenario \$700/mt \$700/mt \$700/mt \$700/mt \$700/mt
\$/€ scenario 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17
Hedge ratio 70% 54% 38% 31% 24%
Effective blended price post fuel and FX hedging* \$615/mt \$650/mt \$665/mt \$675/mt \$680/mt

LUIS GALLEGO, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER CEO UPDATE & OUTLOOK

A E R L I N G U S U P D AT E

Aer Lingus focused on restoring network, launching Manchester base and negotiating employee agreements

  • Planning major restoration of Ireland North Atlantic network from November 2021 (90% of 2019 capacity by summer 2022)
  • Launched Manchester base 20 October 2021 (Barbados) with US flights from December (New York, Orlando)
  • Closed Shannon cabin crew base
  • Reviewing airport handling insourcing/outsourcing (Cork, Dublin, Shannon)
  • Employment Wage Subsidy Scheme (Ireland's furlough equivalent) ending in April 2022
  • Structural change agreement reached with pilots
  • Negotiating new employee agreements / implementing change in 2022

British Airways focused on restoring c.90% of operations by 3Q 2022 and negotiating to develop a competitive platform for Gatwick shorthaul for the Group

I B E R I A U P D AT E

Iberia leveraging the Madrid hub to boost connectivity and restoring the North and Latin American networks

  • Leveraging the Madrid hub to boost connectivity
  • Planning full restoration on North America routes by 2Q 2022
  • Planning restoration of 85% of Latin America capacity by 3Q 2022
  • Capitalising on the strength of premium leisure
  • Use of ERTE Force Majeure until Feb 2022 while implementing further cost measures
  • Boosting the positive contributions from Handling and Maintenance businesses

V U E L I N G U P D AT E

Vueling consolidating domestic leadership whilst exploiting opportunities across Europe

  • Capitalising on the strength of the Spanish domestic market
  • Expanding Paris Orly base by 32 new destinations in addition to 22 current destinations (number 2 carrier) from November 2021 after winning Air France remedy slots (18 daily slots)
  • Launching more ancillary revenue initiatives
  • Use of ERTE Force Majeure until Feb 2022
  • Successful transition to new maintenance model
  • Skytrax Best European LCC Airline Award for 2020- 2021

I A G L O YA LT Y U P D AT E

IAG Loyalty helping to drive booking momentum and cash generation

  • IAG Loyalty continues to be profitable and cash generative, with 3Q delivering highest quarterly profit since 2019
  • September a record month for customers collecting Avios through non-airline partners
  • Significant uplift in customers booking redemption flights for travel in late 2021 and in 2022
  • Successful relaunch of American Express BA co-brand, with a customer base that is 17% larger than 3Q 2019 (pre-pandemic)
  • Positive launch of new Avios collection partner in Spain, the CaixaBank Vueling co-branded credit card
  • Successful launch of BPme partnership in the UK

Strong recovery in longhaul bookings following UK/US announcements and continued domestic strength

Note: 25 July 2021 was the date used for the 2Q 2021 results presentation on the 30 July 2021

Despite restrictions in place, longhaul continues to be a significant driver of revenue

Strong premium leisure performance and early signs of recovery in business traffic

Full restoration of North Atlantic capacity to 2019 levels by Summer 2022

Breadth
(routes*)
Depth
(ASKs as % of 2019)
Winter Summer Winter Summer
19 21 19 22 2021 2022
36 30 36 34 67% 96%
16 14 16 15 50% 104%
6 5 6 8 77% 105%
3 1 3 4 9% 312%
*North
Atlantic
includes
Bermuda,
Canada
and
USA.
Data
in
the
table
includes
British
Airways
routes
to
Calgary,
Montreal,
60 49 60 60 63% 101%

Toronto, Vancouver and Aer Lingus route to Toronto. Aer Lingus includes Manchester. LEVEL includes only LEVEL Spain.

2 0 2 1 C A PA C I T Y B Y M O N T H

4Q 2021 planned capacity of c.60% of 2019 levels

FY 2021e c.37%

O U T L O O K

Demand recovery is clearly underway

Most travel restrictions are being removed, releasing pent-up demand

  • UK traffic light simplification, elimination of 'red' countries requiring quarantine and reduction in testing requirements for fully vaccinated travellers
  • US open to EU, UK and other nationals from 8 November
  • Other important markets opening up e.g. Argentina, Brazil, India, Singapore, South Africa but most of Asia Pacific likely to be closed for the rest of 2021

Our focus is on restoring our networks to meet this pent-up demand

  • Group capacity expected to be c.60% of 2019 levels in 4Q (c.70% in December)
  • Iberia and Vueling capacity in 4Q significantly higher at c.75%
  • Planning to fly up to c.100% of 2019 capacity by Summer 2022 in the North Atlantic

We expect to further reduce pre exceptional operating losses in 4Q and return to a profit in FY 2022

  • Positive EBITDA and further narrowing of operating loss expected for 4Q compared to 3Q
  • We expect to report a pre exceptional operating loss for FY 2021 of approximately €3.0 billion
  • FY 2021 capex expected to be €1.3bn compared to previous guidance of €1.7bn due to aircraft delivery delays

C O N C L U S I O N S

Preparing to emerge stronger from COVID-19

  • We continue to lead the industry's efforts to make flying sustainable
  • Positive quarterly operating cash flow in 3Q for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic
  • Liquidity is even stronger than at end June and has continued to rise
  • Evidence of strong pent-up demand continues as UK and US travel restrictions end, especially on longhaul routes
  • IAG is planning to fly c.100% of 2019 capacity on North Atlantic routes by Summer 2022
  • We are transforming our business so that we emerge stronger and more competitive in a structurally changed industry

APPENDICES

I N T E R N A L U S E O N L Y

W E E K LY C A S H O P E R AT I N G C O S T E V O L U T I O N

Weekly cash operating cost lower than expected in 2Q

Note: excludes revenue, working capital, tax, debt amortisation and pension deficit payments; includes operating and interest cash expenses and income; includes finance lease repayments and operating lease rentals; includes fuel and FX 'over-hedge' losses.

Loss after tax of €0.6bn in 3Q

€m 3Q 2021 3Q 2020
Operating result (pre exceptional) -485 -1,305
Exceptional items 33 -618
Operating result (post exceptional) -452 -1,923
Net finance costs -244 -157
Net financing (charge)/credit relating to pensions 1 2
Net currency retranslation (charges)/credits -50 86
Other non-operating credits/ (charges) 31 -7
Result before tax (post
exceptional)
-714 -1,999
Tax 140 236
Result after tax (post
exceptional)
-574 -1,763

Following good progress on removal of restrictions a multilateral approach is required to complete return to normal

Key Principles for full recovery and future proofing

  • Move to traveller-centred risk based approach not country of origin
  • Fully vaccinated people travel without restriction
  • Agree global standards on testing and vaccine certification requirements through ICAO
  • Agree global steps to remove restrictions over time
Topic Progress made in many areas Some remaining challenges Action required
Travel
Restrictions &
Traffic Light
Systems

Vaccinated travellers increasingly exempt from
quarantine and testing

EU "white" list expanded to 20 countries

No countries remain on UK "red" list

US opening to UK/EU travellers 8 November

Individual approaches still taken even within EU's
standardised criteria

Some quarantines still in place to be replaced with
testing around the world
Multinational agreement to agree

Focus on individual traveller

No restrictions for vaccinated travel
without restriction
Testing &
Vaccination
Certification

Testing requirements dropped for vaccinated
travellers in many countries

Antigen tests increasingly standard vs. PCR

UK –
PDT requirement removed

UK –
PCR tests replaced by antigen

Good progress with recognition of vaccine
certificates

EU/UK mutual recognition of digital vaccine
certificates in place

Testing requirements vary around the world

Unnecessary, costly testing still required for
vaccinated travellers markets (including UK and
Spain)

Different definitions of "fully vaccinated" (e.g. France
vs USA)

Lack of progress on global requirements for
recognition of certificates and digital standards
Multinational agreement to agree:

Antigen as standard type of test
(where required)

Vaccines accepted and definitions

Standards for vaccine certificate
recognition

Standard architecture for digital
certificates

Testing to replace quarantine for
unvaccinated travellers
Quarter
Group performance 3Q 2021 3Q 2020 vLY 3Q 2019 v19
Passengers carried ('000s) 15,475 6,592 +134.8% 34,562 -55.2%
Domestic (UK & Spain) 6,524 3,344 +95.1% 8,067 -19.1%
Europe 7,053 2,810 +151.0% 18,997 -62.9%
North America 644 159 +305.0% 3,567 -81.9%
Latin America & Caribbean 749 154 +386.4% 1,690 -55.7%
Africa & Middle East 445 90 +394.4% 1,585 -71.9%
Asia & Pacific 60 35 +71.4% 656 -90.9%
Revenue passenger km (m) 27,716 9,673 +186.5% 80,923 -65.8%
Domestic (UK & Spain) 5,344 2,808 +90.3% 5,989 -10.8%
Europe 9,528 3,789 +151.5% 23,067 -58.7%
North America 4,172 981 +325.3% 23,447 -82.2%
Latin America & Caribbean 6,100 1,271 +379.9% 14,120 -56.8%
Africa & Middle East 1,977 483 +309.3% 8,026 -75.4%
Asia & Pacific 595 341 +74.5% 6,274 -90.5%
Available seat km (m) 40,082 19,769 +102.8% 92,318 -56.6%
Domestic (UK & Spain) 6,620 4,113 +61.0% 6,611 +0.1%
Europe 13,227 6,863 +92.7% 26,320 -49.7%
North America 7,678 4,356 +76.3% 26,896 -71.5%
Latin America & Caribbean 8,069 2,276 +254.5% 15,960 -49.4%
Africa & Middle East 3,024 1,234 +145.1% 9,439 -68.0%
Asia & Pacific 1,464 927 +57.9% 7,092 -79.4%
Passenger load factor (%) 69.1 48.9 +20.2 pts 87.7 -18.6 pts
Domestic (UK & Spain) 80.7 68.3 +12.4 pts 90.6 -9.9 pts
Europe 72.0 55.2 +16.8 pts 87.6 -15.6 pts
North America 54.3 22.5 +31.8 pts 87.2 -32.9 pts
Latin America & Caribbean 75.6 55.8 +19.8 pts 88.5 -12.9 pts
Africa & Middle East 65.4 39.1 +26.3 pts 85.0 -19.6 pts
Asia & Pacific 40.6 36.8 +3.8 pts 88.5 -47.9 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) 988 720 +37.2% 1,346 -26.6%

GROUP PERFORMANCE

3Q 2021 traffic and capacity statistics

Quarter
Performance by airline 3Q 2021 3Q 2020 vLY 3Q 2019 v19
Passengers carried ('000s) 786 238 +230.3% 3,590 -78.1%
Revenue passenger km (m) 1,354 412 +228.6% 7,782 -82.6%
Available seat km (m) 2,416 1,531 +57.8% 8,925 -72.9%
Passenger load factor (%) 56.0 26.9 +29.1 pts 87.2 -31.2 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) 19 13 +46.2% 42 -54.8%
Passengers carried ('000s) 3,627 1,927 +88.2% 13,042 -72.2%
Revenue passenger km (m) 9,333 4,029 +131.6% 41,791 -77.7%
Available seat km (m) 15,356 9,390 +63.5% 48,444 -68.3%
Passenger load factor (%) 60.8 42.9 +17.9 pts 86.3 -25.5 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) 736 630 +16.8% 1,010 -27.1%
Passengers carried ('000s) 3,624 1,412 +156.7% 6,259 -42.1%
Revenue passenger km (m) 9,486 2,532 +274.6% 18,377 -48.4%
Available seat km (m) 12,885 4,308 +199.1% 20,553 -37.3%
Passenger load factor (%) 73.6 58.8 +14.8 pts 89.4 -15.8 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) 229 77 +197.4% 294 -22.1%
Passengers carried ('000s) 38 1 +3700.0% 574 -93.4%
Revenue passenger km (m) 328 13 +2423.1% 2,286 -85.7%
Available seat km (m) 408 30 +1260.0% 2,631 -84.5%
Passenger load factor (%) 80.4 43.3 +37.1 pts 86.9 -6.5 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) 4 0 nm 0 nm
Passengers carried ('000s) 7,400 3,014 +145.5% 11,097 -33.3%
Revenue passenger km (m) 7,215 2,687 +168.5% 10,687 -32.5%
Available seat km (m) 9,017 4,510 +99.9% 11,765 -23.4%
Passenger load factor (%) 80.0 59.6 +20.4 pts 90.8 -10.8 pts
Cargo tonne km (m) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

AIRLINE PERFORMANCE

3Q 2021 traffic and capacity statistics

DISCLAIMER

Forward-looking statements:

Certain statements included in this announcement are forward-looking. These statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. By their nature, they involve risk and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

I N T E R N A L U S E O N L Y

Forward-looking statements often use words such as "expects", "may", "will", "could", "should", "intends", "plans", "predicts", "envisages" or "anticipates" or other words of similar meaning. They include, without limitation, any and all projections relating to the results of operations and financial conditions of International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. and its subsidiary undertakings from time to time (the 'Group'), as well as plans and objectives for future operations, expected future revenues, financing plans, expected expenditure and divestments relating to the Group and discussions of the Group's business plan. All forward-looking statements in this announcement are based upon information known to the Group on the date of this announcement and speak as of the date of this announcement. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations, the Group does not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Actual results may differ from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements in this announcement as a result of any number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, including, but not limited to, the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and uncertainties about its impact and duration, many of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond the control of the Group, and it is not reasonably possible to itemise each item. Accordingly, readers of this announcement are cautioned against relying on forward-looking statements. Further information on the primary risks of the business and the Group's risk management process is set out in the Risk management and principal risk factors section in the Annual Report and Accounts 2020; these documents are available on www.iairgroup.com. All forward-looking statements made on or after the date of this announcement and attributable to IAG are expressly qualified in their entirety by the primary risks set out in that section. Many of these risks are, and will be, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and any further disruption to the global airline industry and economic environment as a result. Forward-looking statements:

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