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Hexagon Composites — Investor Presentation 2019
Aug 14, 2019
3619_rns_2019-08-14_b67071bd-b268-4ffa-9af5-e397ff1aaa8c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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This company presentation (the "Presentation") has been prepared by Hexagon Composites ASA ("Hexagon" or the "Company").
The Presentation has not been reviewed or registered with, or approved by, any public authority, stock exchange or regulated market place. The Company makes no representation or warranty (whether express or implied) as to the correctness or completeness of the information contained herein, and neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries, directors, employees or advisors assume any liability connected to the Presentation and/or the statements set out herein. This presentation is not and does not purport to be complete in any way. The information included in this Presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or its advisors or any of their parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person's affiliates, officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company and its advisors assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to the Company's actual results. Investors are advised, however, to inform themselves about any further public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange or press releases. This Presentation has been prepared for information purposes only. This Presentation does not constitute any solicitation for any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities and is not an offer or invitation to sell or issue securities for sale in any jurisdiction, including the United States. Distribution of the Presentation in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution may be unlawful, is prohibited. This Presentation speaks as of 14 August 2019, and there may have been changes in matters which affect the Company subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the Company have not since changed, and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation. This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court as exclusive venue. By receiving this Presentation, you accept to be bound by the terms above.
Agenda
- Strategy update
- Summary Group highlights and financials
- Outlook
- Q & A
- Appendix: Segment financials & other material
Strategic context
The shift to clean energy alternatives past the point of no return Financiers prefer ESG papers 1 2
Governments, companies and the public at large are seeing global warming and local pollution as main threats to civilization
Financial investors are generally looking favorably at ESG investment opportunities – and capital is available at attractive terms
Strategic context
Significant push for greener transportation
- Short to medium term (5-10 years), natural gas represents the energy carrier with the largest potential for a positive environmental impact
- Further improved by blending with Biogas (RNG), with its carbon negative characteristics
- The automotive industry is shifting towards electric drive trains. E-drives are more energy efficient than mechanical drive trains
- The jury is still out on Battery Electric vs Fuel Cell (Hydrogen) Electric vs Hybrids
- Infrastructure is a huge challenge, less so for hybrids
- Centre of gravity of Hydrogen development shifting towards East Asia and towards heavier applications – LDV projects in Europe and North America delayed
We expect significant growth
Mobility shifting to cleaner solutions
In 2018 Hexagon's addressable g-mobility and e-mobility market was estimated to 0.04% of all vehicles sold, corresponding to ~NOK 4 billion
If 10% by 2030 → more than NOK 600 billion addressable market
Strategy recap – from shale gas play to world leader in clean fuel systems
World leading engineering capabilities
Hexagon has solutions across the clean fuels spectrum
Hydrogen momentum building up strongly
- Hydrogen core topic at G20 summit in Japan
- The US, EU and Japan formed a new hydrogen and fuel cells partnership
- German government targeting leadership position
- Desire to break out of coal dependency
- Cummins acquiring Hydrogenics
Source: IEA report "The Future of Hydrogen", June 2019
"Hydrogen is one of the hottest topics in the energy transition in the country (Germany) at the moment. The interest from the private sector is really huge." Inga Posch, Managing Director at FNB Gas e.V., the federation of Germany's gas network operators
China's "father of electric cars" says hydrogen is the future
- Government targets 1 million hydrogen fuel cell vehicles by 2030
- Home to half of the global EV fleet
- Delivery vans, buses and trucks prioritized segments
- Energy independence and local pollution main drivers
- Significant hydrogen capacities available
"We will sort out the factors that have been hindering the development of fuel-cell vehicles." Wang Gang, Vice Chairman of China's national advisory body for policy making
Renewable natural gas (RNG)
– the fast track to emission reductions
- UPS targets 40% alternative fuels by 2025
- Makes record RNG deal of 170 million diesel gallon equivalents
- RNG gives 45% 382% CO2 reductions compared with diesel*
By switching from diesel to RNG UPS vehicles will realize a significant CO2 reduction
"It's (RNG) a winning solution that will help UPS to reach our ambitious sustainability goals. At the same time, we hope our unprecedented seven-year commitment serves as a catalyst for wider adoption of RNG by other companies." -Mike Casteel, UPS director of fleet procurement
* Source: NGV America. Dependent upon RNG source: Reductions of 45% up to 382% compared to diesel; values based on CARB LCFS program data under CA-GREET 3.0.
CNG and RNG core to VW's decarbonization strategy
19 gas-powered passenger car models
"Volkswagen is committed to the Paris Climate Agreement. CNG has an important role to play in the alternative drive systems strategy that runs alongside the Group's electrification offensive. It is sufficiently proven, immediately available, efficient and cost-effective."
Stephen Neumann, Volkswagen Group Representative for CNG Mobility
Leverage established leadership position to pursue even stronger growth
% of sales
2nd QUARTER 2019 FINANCIALS
Highlights from Q2 2019
- Strong Agility Fuel Solutions growth
- ‒ 44% increase in overall revenue versus Q2 2018
- ‒ Driven primarily by Refuse Truck volumes
- Strong CNG Light-Duty Vehicle volumes
- ‒ Volkswagen pushing CNG in Europe;
- Tripling of annual production volume from 2018 to 2019
- Relatively soft Mobile Pipeline volumes
- ‒ Pick-up outside North America
- Solid LPG sales volumes
- ‒ Profitability impacted adversely by mix factors
- Dynamic Hydrogen market
- ‒ Delay in a hydrogen light-duty project
- ‒ Joined H2Bus Consortium focused on heavy-duty
Financial highlights Q2 2019 | Agility consolidated from 2019 Hexagon Composites Group
Other Hexagon businesses vs Hydrogen results | Q2 2019
11% EBITDA margin from normalized non-Hydrogen business
Revenue by segment Q2 2019 | Before Group eliminations*
- Agility Fuel Solutions (Heavy and Medium-Duty)
- Hexagon Purus (Hydrogen & CNG Light-Duty Vehicles)
- Hexagon Mobile Pipeline & Other
- Hexagon Ragasco LPG
Revenue Q2'19
NOKm, before group eliminations
- Agility Fuel Solutions (Heavy and Medium-Duty)
- Hexagon Purus (Hydrogen & CNG Light-Duty Vehicles)
- Hexagon Mobile Pipeline & Other
- Hexagon Ragasco LPG
Agility Fuel Solutions: Q2 2019
- Strong revenue trend maintained
- ‒ Refuse Truck volumes skewed to first half of 2019
- ‒ Accelerating European Transit Bus market
- ‒ Heavy-Duty Truck volumes expected to be skewed to second half of 2019
- Temporary margin reduction is a consequence of
- ‒ PPA and other transaction adjustments of NOK 7m
- ‒ Adverse mix and ramp-up of EV program
- Self-funded and strongly cash generating
Revenues and EBITDA*
NOKm, *2018 = Pro-forma on reported basis. 2019 = Segment reported
Balance sheet | Q2 2019 vs Q1 2019
NOK 1,169m Net Interest Bearing Debt & 45% Equity Ratio
Stable and strong Balance Sheet
OUTLOOK
Agility Fuel Solutions Medium and Heavy-Duty Vehicles
Positive development across all segments
- Accelerated growth in European Transit Bus
- ‒ Backed by more stringent regulations
- Lower 2H 2019 Refuse Truck volumes following a skewed 1H 2019
- ‒ Full year volumes in 2019 remain at high levels
- Growing momentum for low and zero-emission heavy-duty trucks
- ‒ RNG & CNG initiatives help stakeholders achieve sustainability commitments
- ‒ Battery Electric Vehicle pilot programs are on track
Agility is the exclusive supplier of fuel systems to MAN Lion's City bus Photo: MAN
Hexagon Purus Hydrogen
High activity levels especially within Heavy-Duty applications
- H2Bus partnership to drive zero-emission public transportation in Europe
- Deploying 600 buses by 2023 at competitive price
- Hexagon to provide hydrogen fuel solutions and distribution trailers
- Strong interest in Asia for hydrogen bus and truck – Chinese and Korean markets expanding
- Requiring continued organization ramp-up
Hexagon Purus CNG Light-Duty Vehicles
Very strong CNG demand in Europe
- Strong order backlog for CNG Light-Duty Vehicles – Order intake at all-time high
- Capacity investment running according to plan
- Commissioning expected end of Q3
- Growing demand for VW's models in key countries
- Italy, Germany, Spain, Belgium, Sweden and Czech Republic
- Target of 1 million vehicles on the road by 2025 in Germany alone
The new VW Golf Variant TGI enabling range up to 440 km (based on WLTP) with CNG alone Photo: Volkswagen
Hexagon Mobile Pipeline
Strong underlying growth drivers, but challenging near term
- Lumpy demand, with low order visibility for rest of 2019
- ‒ North American oil & gas and industrial users are still main driver of sales
- ‒ Increase in Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) projects provide more diversification
- New order from Certarus of USD 7 million
- ‒ Supporting expansion in eastern Canada e.g. mining sector
- Awarded USD 4 million RNG transportation contract with leading gas utility
- ‒ Enabling reduction of agricultural carbon emissions
Stable "step by step" development
- Seasonally softer second half of year
- Strategically well positioned in Bangladesh to capture growth opportunities
- Gaining some traction in USA with 7 ongoing pilot programs
- First entry into Bulgaria
Toplivo Gas, Bulgaria
APPENDIX
Q2 2019 Group income statement
| NOK MILLION | QUARTER | HALF YEAR | 1 FULL YEAR |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | Variance | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | Variance | FY 2018 | |
| Revenue | 882.1 | 366.8 | 515.4 | 1,703.9 | 783.0 | 920.9 | 1,486.5 |
| Operating expenses | (820.2) | (333.1) | (487.1) | (1,561.0) | (682.8) | (878.2) | (1,360.5) |
| Earn-out obligation reversal / gain on transaction | 0.0 | 40.0 | (40.0) | 69.4 | 40.0 | 29.4 | 108.5 |
| EBITDA | 62.0 | 73.6 | (11.7) | 212.3 | 140.1 | 72.1 | 234.5 |
| Depreciation on tangibles | (44.8) | (13.4) | (31.4) | (87.6) | (26.6) | (61.0) | (52.4) |
| Amortisation and impairment | (14.3) | (5.9) | (8.3) | (29.5) | (12.0) | (17.6) | (41.9) |
| EBIT | 2.9 | 54.3 | (51.4) | 95.2 | 101.6 | (6.5) | 140.2 |
| Share of profit/(loss) from associates | (0.3) | 1.8 | (2.1) | (0.7) | 0.9 | (1.6) | 31.4 |
| Amortisation of associates intangibles | 0.0 | (3.3) | 3.3 | 0.0 | (6.5) | 6.5 | (13.4) |
| Other financial items (net) | (34.0) | 16.2 | (50.2) | (59.7) | 4.3 | (64.0) | 10.6 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | (31.3) | 69.0 | (100.3) | 34.8 | 100.3 | (65.5) | 168.7 |
| Tax expense | 4.0 | (6.4) | 10.4 | 6.3 | (14.6) | 21.0 | (27.3) |
| Profit/(loss) after tax | (27.3) | 62.6 | (89.9) | 41.1 | 85.7 | (44.5) | 141.5 |
| EBITDA % | 7.0 % | 20.1 % | 12.5 % | 17.9 % | 15.8 % | ||
| EBIT % | 0.3 % | 14.8 % | 5.6 % | 13.0 % | 9.4 % | ||
| Profit/(loss) after tax % | -3.1 % | 17.1 % | 2.4 % | 10.9 % | 9.5 % |
Segment financial highlights Q2 2019
Hexagon Purus (Hydrogen & CNG LDV) NOKm 67 150 Q2'18 Q2'19 +83 (+125%) -21.4 (-32%) Q2'18 Q2'19 -3.4 (-2%) +18.0
- Continue strong topline growth with +44% vs. last year, coupled with margin expansion
-
Growth primarily from Refuse truck
-
Very strong year-over-year revenue increase driven by CNG LDV
- Investing in future H2 growth dilutes EBITDA by NOK -29.6m
Segment financial highlights Q2 2019
• Flattish development versus last year with adverse product/market mix
- Revenues primarily from Asian and core European markets
- Product mix effects drive lower year-over-year EBITDA
Group cash movements Q2 2019
Cash generation from operations offset by working capital draw