AI assistant
Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2025
May 23, 2025
6242_rns_2025-05-23_5fdd035e-06b7-4578-90d6-4ec1c75c7f58.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer


First Quarter Presentation May 2025

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

Reported earnings basis load to discharge
Q1 2025

| contracted | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLCC | \$37,200 | \$56,400 | 68% | |||
| Suezmax LR2 / Aframax |
\$31,200 | \$44,900 | 69% | |||
| \$22,300 | \$36,100 | 66% |

- Profit of \$33.3 million, or \$0.15 per basic and diluted share for the first quarter of 2025
- Adjusted profit of \$40.4 million, or \$0.18 per basic and diluted share for the first quarter of 2025
Q2 2025 spot TCE currently
% done
• Reported revenues of \$427.9 million for the first quarter of 2025

• Declared a cash dividend of \$0.18 per share for the first quarter of 2025

- Entered into three senior secured credit facilities for a total amount of up to \$239.0 million to refinance outstanding debt on three VLCCs and one Suezmax tanker and, in addition, provide revolving credit capacity in a total amount of up to \$91.9 million
- Entered into one loan facility in April 2025 in an amount of up to \$1,286.5 million to refinance the outstanding debt on 24 VLCCs, approximately three and a half years prior to maturity to reduce the margin

Profit Statement – Highlights

| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| \$ (in thousands of except per share data) |
Jan - Mar |
Oct - Dec |
Jan - Dec |
| (net of expenses)* Total operating revenues voyage |
247 891 , |
252 178 , |
1 183 589 , , |
| Other income |
227 | 17 847 , |
24 080 , |
| Ship operating expenses |
(60 342) , |
(55 452) , |
(176 533) , |
| Administrative expenses |
(13 348) , |
(1 709) , |
(53 528) , |
| EBITDA | 174 864 , |
213 390 , |
1 040 832 , , |
| adj* EBITDA |
176 030 , |
187 032 , |
955 251 , |
| Interest adj* expense |
(56 273) , |
(62 172) , |
(155 585) , |
| Profit | 33 287 , |
66 733 , |
656 414 , |
| Profit adj* |
40 383 , |
45 068 , |
585 708 , |
| Basic and diluted earnings share per |
0 15 |
0 30 |
2 95 |
| Basic and diluted earnings share adjusted per |
0 18 |
0 20 |
2 63 |
| Dividend share per |
0 18 |
0 20 |
2 17 |
Notes
- The adjustments in the first quarter of 2025 consist of:
- \$5.9 million unrealized loss on derivatives
- \$1.8 million loss on marketable securities
- \$1.6 million synthetic option revaluation loss
- \$1.3 million of dividends received
- \$0.9 million share of results of associated companies
Note: Diluted earnings per share is based on 222,623 and 222,623 weighted average shares (in thousands) outstanding for Q1 2025 and Q4 2024, respectively *See Appendix 1 for reconciliation to nearest comparable GAAP figures

Balance Sheet - Highlights

| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| \$) (in millions |
Mar 31 |
Dec 31 |
| Assets | ||
|---|---|---|
| Cash | 437 | 414 |
| Other current assets |
399 | 412 |
| Non-current assets |
||
| Vessels and newbuildings |
166 5 , |
248 5 , |
| Goodwill | 112 | 112 |
| Prepaid consideration |
- | - |
| Other non-current assets |
25 | 34 |
| Total assets |
6 138 , |
6 221 , |
| Liabilities and Equity |
||
| Short debt and portion of long debt term current term |
319 | 460 |
| Obligations under leases |
- | 1 |
| Other current payables |
138 | 134 |
| Non-current liabilities |
||
| Long term debt |
3 351 , |
3 284 , |
| Obligations under leases |
- | 0 |
| Other payables non-current |
0 | 0 |
| Non-controlling interest |
(0) | (0) |
| Frontline plc stockholders' equity |
2 329 , |
2 341 , |
| Total liabilities and equity |
6 138 , |
6 221 , |
- Strong liquidity of \$805 million in cash and cash equivalents, including undrawn amounts of revolver capacity, marketable securities and minimum cash requirements bank as per 31.03.25.
- No meaningful debt maturities until 2030
- No newbuilding commitments

Fleet Composition and Cash breakeven / Opex

One of the youngest and most energy-efficient fleets in the industry

Cash breakeven rates and Opex

Cash breakeven rates of \$26.800 fleet average for the next 12 months, including dry dock costs for 10 VLCCs, two Suezmax tankers and five LR2s
Q1-25 fleet average opex excl. drydock \$8.300

Cash Generation


Market narratives
- Paralyzing US policy changes, likely limited impact on the energy complex and tankers in general - but worrying for global growth prospects.
- Positive sanctions scope-widening and enforcement, in addition to behavioral changes by India and China on Russia and Iran, respectively.
- Russia / Ukraine ceasefire discussions and Iran nuclear negotiations can both yield pivotal changes in tanker market dynamics.
- OPEC+ policy changes positive for compliant tanker-utilization.
- Old school oil demand, supply and inventory movements in play
- The active trading fleet has stopped growing, and despite deliveries in 2025, look to continue reducing.

Sanctioned Not Sanctioned but lifted Iran, Russia or Venz 2024-25 Old (20+) but not Dark/Grey fleet Compliant Fleet

BDTI TD20-TCE 130,000t West Africa - Continent

BCTI TC1-TCE 75,000t Middle East Gulf to Japan



'Old School' Market Logics

Headlines affecting Tankers
• Tariffs and USTR
- 90-day delay on enforcement and Liberation Day tariffs are being eased as trade negotiations ongoing.
- Recent proposal from USTR shows a softening stand / wording with key exceptions for oil and energy. Final proposal expected by end of May.
- Maximum pressure in Iran 2.0 or nuclear deal
- Back in the headlines amidst the general trade war. Negotiations on going were lifting of sanctions is a 'red line'. Current proposal in line with the former 'JPCOA'.
- Russian Sanctions expansion
- US, EU and UK increase and widen their scope weekly. Lastly EU added 168 vessels, (after UK added 100). India continue to stay away from OFAC listed vessels.
- Venezuela exemptions removal
- US new position on Venezuela in effect (~800 kbd exports now going dark).
- Shandong Port Authority + India OFAC compliance
- China and India abide to OFAC sanctions, but new tonnage is moving in from the compliant fleet to service the oil flow, which has yet to materially reduce.
- Red Sea, Israel and Hamas
- Ceasefire between US and Houthis has not materially altered trading lanes.
- OPEC +
- OPEC reversing cuts, potentially ~2.5mbd to come by October. Effect likely coming in June as Apr and May increases only compensated for existing over-production.


Sanctions work (on tanker S/D)

Forecast
Jul-25
Apr-25
Apr-25
May-25
May-25
May-25
Oct-25
Jan-26


| May 2025 | Fleet | +15 Yrs | +20 Yrs | OFAC | Orderbook | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLCC | 883 | 354 | 40.1 % | 159 | 18.0 % | 118 | 13.4 % | 99 | 11.2 % |
| Suezmax | 620 | 272 | 43.9 % | 130 | 21.0 % | 65 | 10.5 % | 99 | 16.0 % |
| LR2 | 463 | 158 | 34.1 % | 42 | 9.1 % | 23 | 5.0 % | 176 | 38.0 % |
| Aframax | 678 | 418 | 61.7 % | 206 | 30.4 % | 139 | 20.5 % | 33 | 4.9 % |
| Total Fleet | 2 644 | 1 202 | 45.5 % | 537 | 20.3 % | 344 | 13.0 % | 407 | 15.4 % |

Delivered Sum on order Scrapped 20Y+
Delivered Sum on order Scrapped 20Y+
Vessels above 15 and 20 years as of end of 2025

Summary
Pressure building?
- Oil supply & demand suggest we approach a period with inventories building.
- Demand for compliant tonnage growing as sanctions scope and enforcement widens.
- Effective tanker fleet growth will remain muted for 2025, considering the aging fleet.
- Policy changes creates more questions than answers, but stance has softened.
- World oil trade continues to be serviced by the oldest fleet in more than two decades.
- Frontline continue to retain its material upside with our modern, spot exposed fleet.

Questions & Answers


www.frontlineplc.cy

Appendix 1
Non-GAAP measures reconciliation
| (in thousands of \$ except per share) | Q1 2025 | FY 2024 | Q4 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses and commission | |||
| Revenues | 427,866 | 2,050,385 | 425,644 |
| Voyage expenses and commission | (179,975) | (773,434) | (173,466) |
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses and commission | 247,891 | 1,276,951 | 252,178 |
| Adjusted profit | |||
| Profit | 33,287 | 495,583 | 66,733 |
| Add back: | |||
| Loss on marketable securities | 1,790 | 5,493 | 1,403 |
| Share of losses of associated companies | — | 2,134 | — |
| Unrealized loss on derivatives (1) | 5,913 | 16,191 | — |
| Debt extinguishment losses | 17 | 6,307 | 5,371 |
| Synthetic option revaluation loss (2) | 1,602 | — | — |
| Less: | |||
| Unrealized gain on derivatives (1) | — | (1,493) | (678) |
| Gain on marketable securities | — | (2,088) | — |
| Share of results of associated companies | (941) | (1,535) | (279) |
| Gain on sale of vessels | — | (112,079) | (17,850) |
| Debt extinguishment gains | — | (354) | — |
| Synthetic option revaluation gain (2) | — | (7,982) | (7,982) |
| Dividends received | (1,285) | (3,535) | (1,650) |
| Adjusted profit | 40,383 | 396,642 | 45,068 |
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares (basic and diluted) | 222,623 | 222,623 | 222,623 |
| Adjusted basic and diluted earnings per share | \$ 0.18 \$ |
1.78 \$ |
0.20 |
| EBITDA | |||
| Profit | 33,287 | 495,583 | 66,733 |
| Add back: | |||
| Finance expense | 62,799 | 295,088 | 67,893 |
| Income tax expense | 2,001 | 7,885 | — |
| Depreciation | 81,261 | 339,030 | 83,148 |
| Less: | |||
| Finance income | (4,484) | (17,098) | (4,170) |
| Income tax benefit | — | (214) | (214) |
| EBITDA | 174,864 | 1,120,274 | 213,390 |
| Adjusted EBITDA | |||
| EBITDA | 174,864 | 1,120,274 | 213,390 |
| Add back: | |||
| Loss on marketable securities | 1,790 | 5,493 | 1,403 |
| Share of losses of associated companies | — | 2,134 | — |
| Synthetic option revaluation loss (2) | 1,602 | — | — |
| Less: | |||
| Gain on marketable securities | — | (2,088) | — |
| Share of results of associated companies | (941) | (1,535) | (279) |
| Gain on sale of vessels | — | (112,079) | (17,850) |
| Synthetic option revaluation gain (2) | — | (7,982) | (7,982) |
| Dividend received | (1,285) | (3,535) | (1,650) |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 176,030 | 1,000,682 | 187,032 |
This presentation describes: Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses and commission ("Total operating revenues (net of voyage expenses)", Adjusted profit (loss) ("Profit (loss) adj") and related per share amounts, Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortisation ("Adjusted EBITDA" or "EBITDA adj") and Adjusted Interest Expense ("Interest expense adj") (3), which are not measures prepared in accordance with IFRS ("non-GAAP").
We believe the non-GAAP financial measures provide investors with a means of analyzing and understanding the Company's ongoing operating performance.
The non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, or superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this document may not add up precisely to the totals provided.
(1) Adjusted profit excludes the unrealized gain/loss on derivatives to give effect to the economic benefit/cost provided by our interest rate swap agreements. The components of the gain (loss) on derivatives are as follows:
| (in thousands \$) | Q1 2025 | FY 2024 | Q4 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives | (5,913) | (14,698) | 678 |
| Interest income on derivatives | 4,655 | 23,904 | 5,219 |
| Gain (loss) on derivatives | (1,258) | 9,206 | 5,897 |
(2) The vesting period for the synthetic options granted to employees and board members ended during the fourth quarter of 2024. As there are no ongoing service requirements, adjusted profit for the fourth quarter of 2024 and subsequent quarters excludes the gains and losses due to the revaluation of the synthetic option liability in the periods. Adjusted profit will exclude any gains/losses due to the revaluation of the liability for the remaining exercisable options until the expiration of the options in the fourth quarter of 2026.
(3) A reconciliation of finance expense to adjusted interest expense is as follows:
| (in thousands \$) | Q1 2025 | FY 2024 | Q4 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finance expense | 62,799 | 295,088 | 67,893 |
| Unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives | (5,913) | (14,698) | 678 |
| Debt extinguishment gains (losses) | (17) | (5,953) | (5,371) |
| Other financial expenses | (596) | (1,960) | (1,028) |
| Adjusted interest expense | 56,273 | 272,477 | 62,172 |