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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2019
May 16, 2019
6242_rns_2019-05-16_205b78da-6d35-49b8-9283-f0b4c4cc46eb.pdf
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Quarterly Presentation May 2019
Forward Looking Statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the dates specified and FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

Company Highlights in Q1 2019
- Net income of \$40.0 million, or \$0.24 per share.
- Net income of \$45.5 million, or \$0.27 per share adjusted for certain non-cash items.
- Spot TCE for VLCCs, Suezmax tankers and LR2/Aframax tankers in the first quarter were \$35,700, \$28,200 and \$24,000, respectively.
- Spot TCE guidance for the second quarter
- \$34,800 contracted for 63% of vessel days for VLCCs
- \$19,000 contracted for 63% of vessel days for Suezmaxes
- \$19,500 contracted for 55% of vessel days for LR2/Aframax tankers
- FRO increased its ownership interest to 28.9% in Feen Marine Scrubbers Inc. ("FMSI").
- The VLCC newbuildings Front Defender and Front Discovery have delivered.


Q1 2019 Financial Highlights
| (Million \$ except per share) | Q1 2019 | Q4 2018 | 2018 FY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues (net of voyage expenses) (*) | 141 | 122 | 365 |
| Net Income (loss) | 40 | 25 | -9 |
| Net income (loss) adj (*) | 46 | 26 | -23 |
| EBITDA adj (*) | 96 | 78 | 193 |
| Earnings (loss) per share | 0,24 | 0,15 | -0,05 |
| Earnings (loss) per share adjusted | 0,27 | 0,15 | -0,14 |
| Cash | 97 | 68 | |
| Interest bearing debt | 1 721 | 1 731 |


(*) See Appendix 1 for reconciliation to nearest comparable GAAP figure Note: Earnings per share is based on 169,813 and 169,821 weighted average shares (in thousands) outstanding for Q4 2018 and Q1 2019, respectively
Income Statement
| 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Jan - Mar | Oct - Dec | Jan-Dec |
| Total operating revenues | 238 275 | 217 050 | 742 266 |
| Other operating gain | (742) | 8 967 | 10 206 |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 97 512 | 94 709 | 377 772 |
| Contingent rental income | (1 031) | (1 712) | (19 738) |
| Ship operating expenses | 32 732 | 32 463 | 130 623 |
| Charter hire expenses | 2 104 | 5 109 | 21 244 |
| Administrative expenses | 9 892 | 9 305 | 37 294 |
| Depreciation | 27 401 | 28 296 | 122 566 |
| Total operating expenses | 168 610 | 168 170 | 669 761 |
| Net operating income | 68 923 | 57 847 | 82 711 |
| Interest income | 261 | 287 | 843 |
| Interest expense | (23 441) | (22 961) | (93 275) |
| Share of result of associated company | - | - | 246 |
| Gain on sale of shares | - | - | 1 026 |
| Unrealized loss on marketable securities | (1 381) | (5 437) | (3 526) |
| Foreign currency exchange loss | (146) | (16) | (869) |
| Gain (loss) on derivatives | (4 100) | (4 669) | 4 256 |
| Other non-operating items | 37 | - | 506 |
| Net income (loss) before income taxes and non-controlling interest | 40 153 | 25 709 | (8 082) |
| Income tax expense | (42) | (219) | (316) |
| Net income (loss) | 40 111 | 25 490 | (8 398) |
| Net (income) loss attributable to non-controlling interest | (80) | (110) | (482) |
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | 40 031 | 25 380 | (8 880) |
| Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to the Company (\$) | 0,24 | 0,15 | (0,05) |
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares (in thousands) | 169 821 | 169 813 | 169 810 |
Non-cash items in the first quarter of 2019
- \$4.1 million loss on derivatives and
- \$1.4 million unrealized loss on marketable securities
Balance Sheet
| 2019 | 2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| (in million \$) | Mar 31 | Dec 31 |
| Cash | 97 | 68 |
| Marketable securites | 8 | 9 |
| Other current assets | 207 | 231 |
| Non-current assets | ||
| Newbuildings | 26 | 52 |
| Vessels | 2 650 | 2 578 |
| Goodwill | 112 | 112 |
| Other long-term assets | 21 | 26 |
| Total assets | 3 122 | 3 078 |
| Liabilities and Equity | ||
| Current liabilities | ||
| Short term debt | 123 | 120 |
| Obligations under finance and operational lease | 21 | 12 |
| Other current liabilities | 83 | 82 |
| Non-current liabilities | ||
| Long term debt | 1 599 | 1 610 |
| Obligations under finance and operational lease | 92 | 88 |
| Other long-term liabilities | 1 | 1 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 204 | 1 164 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 3 122 | 3 078 |
- \$223 million in cash and cash equivalents including undrawn amount of unsecured facility, marketable securities and minimum cash requirements bank
- \$55.9 million in remaining Capex and \$59.4 million in estimated debt capacity
- No near term debt maturities
- 2019: N/A
- Nov 2020: \$150 million
Cash Breakeven and Cash Generation Potential
Well positioned to generate significant cash flow with market rates above current break even rates

Q1 Performance and Q2 Guidance
Spot estimates are provided using the load-to-discharge method of accounting, actual depending on additional contracted laden days.

Key Market Developments In Play
Freight market currently affected by three major developments
• High refinery maintenance activity in Asia
1
2
3
Asian refiners preparing for higher runs to meet IMO 2020 demand
• OPEC cuts + Venezuela + Libya situation affecting volumes
inventories are at 5 year lows

33 OPEC production (million bbl/day)



• US Crude oil export growth taking a breather
Crude volume drop may trigger OPEC policy,
Brent/Wti spread widening may stimulate further growth
Source: Bloomberg, EIA, OPEC
First Quarter 2019| May 19
9
Deliveries Decline After 2019; Older Vessels Facing Surveys
Vessel demolitions offset fleet growth in 2018 and is expected to partly offset fleet growth in 2019

Existing Orderbook Deliveries


Summary
Positive market outlook Risks to market outlook / mitigating factors
Crude demand set to increase
- Refinery maintenance season comes to an end
- OPEC volumes return to the market
Tonne-mile expansion continues
- US export growth increases tonne-mile demand
- Removal of Iranian waivers alters trade flows
Fleet supply is manageable
- Fleet growth slowing in 2H 2019
- Effective capacity impacted by dry dockings
Macro risks are creating uncertainty
- □ Higher oil price could cause demand destruction
- □ Impact of trade tensions and tariffs are unknown
- □ Global GDP growth may slow demand
IMO 2020 implementation doesn't go as expected
- □ Short-term exemptions granted
- □ HSFO / LSFO spread could diminish scrubber economics
Questions & Answers

www.frontline.bm
Appendix
| Reconciliation | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Million \$ except per share) | Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 | FULL YEAR 2018 |
||||
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | ||||||
| Total operating revenues | 238 | 217 | 189 | 167 | 170 | 742 |
| Voyage expenses | -98 | -95 | -100 | -94 | -89 | -377 |
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | 141 | 122 | 89 | 73 | 81 | 365 |
| Net income adj. | ||||||
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | 40,0 | 25,4 | 2 | -23 | -14 | -9 |
| Add back: | ||||||
| Loss on termination of vessel lease, net of cash paid | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0 | 0 6 |
6 | |
| Vessel impairment loss | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0 | 0 0 |
0 | |
| Unrealized loss on marketable securities | 1,4 | 5,4 | 0 | 0 0 |
6 | |
| Loss on derivatives | 4,1 | 4,7 | 0 | 0 0 |
5 | |
| Less: | ||||||
| Gain on sale of shares | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0 | 0 -1 |
-1 | |
| Gain on termination of lease | 0,0 | -8,9 | -7 | 0 0 |
-16 | |
| Share of results of associated company | 0,0 | -0,2 | 0 | 0 0 |
0 | |
| Unrealized gain on marketable securities | 0,0 | 0,0 | -1 | -1 | 0 | -2 |
| Release of accrued dry docking expense | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | -2 |
| Gain on derivatives | 0,0 | 0,0 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -9 |
| Net income adj. | 46 | 26 | -8 | -28 | -14 | -23 |
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares | 169 821 169 813 169 809 169 809 169 809 169 810 | |||||
| (in \$) | ||||||
| Basic (loss) earnings per share adjusted for certain non-cash charges0,27 | 0,15 | -0,05 | -0,16 | -0,08 | -0,14 | |
| EBITDA adj. | ||||||
| Net income attributable to the Company | 40 | 25 | 2 | -23 | -14 | -9 |
| Add back: | ||||||
| Interest expense | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 93 |
| Depreciation | 27 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 123 |
| Income tax expense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 0 |
0 | |
| Net income attributable to the non-controlling interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 0 |
0 | |
| Loss on termination of vessel lease, net of cash paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 6 |
6 | |
| Unrealized loss on marketable securities | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 0 |
6 | |
| Loss on derivatives | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 0 |
5 | |
| Less: | ||||||
| Gain on termination of lease | 0 | -9 | -7 | 0 0 |
-16 | |
| Unrealized gain on marketable securities | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 0 | -2 |
| Release of accrued dry docking expense | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | -2 |
| Gain on sale of shares | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 -1 |
-1 | |
| Gain on derivatives | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -9 |
| EBITDA adj. | 96 | 78 | 47 | 28 | 40 | 193 |
This presentation describes: total operating revenues net of voyage expenses, net income attributable to the Company adjusted for certain non-cash items ("Net income adj.") and related per share amounts and Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortisation adjusted for the same non-cash items ("EBITDA adj."), which are not measures prepared in accordance with US GAAP ("non-GAAP").
We believe the non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release provides investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the Company's management evaluates the Company's operating performance.
These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, nor superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
First Quarter 2019| May 19
