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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2019
Aug 27, 2019
6242_rns_2019-08-27_3beecca9-8e2f-431a-87c7-3ec46067aa98.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Second Quarter Presentation August 2019
Forward Looking Statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the dates specified and FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

Q2 2019 Highlights and Subsequent Events
Financial highlights Adding high quality, modern tonnage at the right time
- Net income attributable to the Company was \$1.1 million, or \$0.01 per share, for the second quarter of 2019.
- Net income attributable to the Company was \$4.2 million, or \$0.02 per share adjusted for certain non-cash items for the second quarter of 2019.
- Reported an estimated spot average daily time charter equivalent ("TCE"):
| Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 est. | % done | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLCC | \$25,600 | \$28,000 | 83% | |
| Suezmax | \$16,200 | \$18,300 | 70% | |
| LR2/Aframax | \$18,100 | \$18,300 | 68% |
• In August 2019, the Company obtained a financing commitment for a senior secured term loan facility in an amount of up to \$42.9 million with Credit Suisse to partially finance the Suezmax tanker resale under construction at HSHI.
Acquisition of 10 modern Suezmax tankers
- 2019 built Korean vessels with exhaust gas cleaning systems
- Total transaction to consist of:
(i) 16,035,856 shares of Frontline common stock; and
(ii) between USD 538 and 547 million in cash, payable upon closing
Options to acquire four additional Suezmax tankers
- 2019 built Chinese vessels with exhaust gas cleaning systems
- Options for first two vessels expire on September 12, 2019
Immediate impact on earnings potential
- Until the closing, Frontline to charter-in the 10 acquired vessels at a cost of ~USD 23,000 / day
- Frontline to charter-out five of the acquired vessels to Trafigura on three-year time charters at a base rate of USD 28,400 / day with a profit split above the base rate

Q2 2019 Financial Highlights
| (Million \$ except per share) | Q2 2019 | Q1 2019 | 2019 YTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues (net of voyage expenses) (*) | 103 | 141 | 244 |
| Net Income (loss) | 1,1 | 40 | 41 |
| Net income (loss) adj (*) | 4,2 | 46 | 50 |
| EBITDA adj (*) | 56 | 96 | 152 |
| Earnings (loss) per share | 0,01 | 0,24 | 0,24 |
| Earnings (loss) per share adjusted | 0,02 | 0,27 | 0,29 |
| Cash | 92 | 97 | |
| Interest bearing debt | 1 752 | 1 721 |


(*) See Appendix 1 for reconciliation to nearest comparable GAAP figure Note: Earnings per share is based on 169,821 and 170,069 weighted average shares (in thousands) outstanding for Q1 2019 and Q2 2019, respectively
Income Statement
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Apr - Jun | Jan - Mar | Jan-Dec |
| Total operating revenues | 193 408 | 238 275 | 742 266 |
| Other operating gain (loss) | 1 711 | (742) | 10 206 |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 90 664 | 97 512 | 377 772 |
| Contingent rental (income) expense | (1 524) | (1 031) | (19 738) |
| Ship operating expenses | 37 693 | 32 732 | 130 623 |
| Charter hire expenses | 2 140 | 2 104 | 21 244 |
| Administrative expenses | 10 988 | 9 892 | 37 294 |
| Depreciation | 28 318 | 27 401 | 122 566 |
| Total operating expenses | 168 279 | 168 610 | 669 761 |
| Net operating income | 26 840 | 68 923 | 82 711 |
| Interest income | 413 | 261 | 843 |
| Interest expense | (23 244) | (23 441) | (93 275) |
| Gain on sale of shares | - | - | 1 026 |
| Unrealized gain (loss) on marketable securities | 1 683 | (1 381) | (3 526) |
| Share of result of associated company | 842 | - | 246 |
| Foreign currency exchange loss | (27) | (146) | (869) |
| Gain (loss) on derivatives | (5 582) | (4 100) | 4 256 |
| Other non-operating items | 55 | 37 | 506 |
| Net income (loss) before income taxes and non-controlling interest | 980 | 40 153 | (8 082) |
| Income tax expense | 25 | (42) | (316) |
| Net income (loss) | 1 005 | 40 111 | (8 398) |
| Net (income) loss attributable to non-controlling interest | 77 | (80) | (482) |
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | 1 082 | 40 031 | (8 880) |
| Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to the Company (\$) | 0,01 | 0,24 | (0,05) |
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares (in thousands) | 170 069 | 169 821 | 169 810 |
Non-cash items in the second quarter of 2019
- \$5.6 million loss on derivatives and
- \$1.7 million unrealized gain on marketable securities
- \$0.8 million in share of result of associated company
Balance Sheet
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in million \$) | Jun 30 | Mar 31 | Dec 31 |
| Cash | 92 | 97 | 68 |
| Marketable securites | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Other current assets | 192 | 207 | 231 |
| Non-current assets | |||
| Newbuildings | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| Vessels | 2 718 | 2 650 | 2 578 |
| Goodwill | 112 | 112 | 112 |
| Other long-term assets | 18 | 21 | 26 |
| Total assets | 3 169 | 3 122 | 3 078 |
| Liabilities and Equity | |||
| Current liabilities | |||
| Short term debt | 128 | 123 | 120 |
| Obligations under finance and operational lease | 20 | 21 | 12 |
| Other current liabilities | 90 | 83 | 82 |
| Non-current liabilities | |||
| Long term debt | 1 624 | 1 599 | 1 610 |
| Obligations under finance and operational lease | 91 | 92 | 88 |
| Other long-term liabilities | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 215 | 1 204 | 1 164 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 3 169 | 3 122 | 3 078 |
- \$257 million in cash and cash equivalents including undrawn amount of unsecured facility, marketable securities and minimum cash requirements bank
- \$225 million in remaining NB Capex and \$164 million in estimated debt capacity
- No near term debt maturities
- 2019: N/A
- Nov 2020: \$120 million
Cash Breakeven and Cash Generation Potential
Well positioned to generate significant cash flow with market rates above current breakeven rates

Cash BE estimate remainder of 2019 Opex Q2 2019

7
Key Market Developments In Play
Weekly VLCC rates (USD/day)
Freight market observations
1
2
3
• Seasonal upturn comes earlier than expected
2019 characterized by counter-seasonal moves as market begins to tighten
• Unusually heavy refinery downtime since April
Preparations for IMO 2020 are beginning to take shape
• Continued shift in trading patterns
US export growth and OPEC production declines lead to tonne-mile growth

Source: Clarksons, Bloomberg, EIA
8
2017 2018 2019 5 Year Average
Deliveries Decline After 2019; Older Vessels Facing Surveys
Orderbooks have grown modestly in 2019, showing a significant disconnect compared to market expectations for freight demand growth



Source: Fearnleys
VLCC
Suezmax

Summary
Positive market outlook Risks to market outlook / mitigating factors
Crude demand set to increase
- Refinery maintenance season comes to an end
- Demand for compliant fuels increases crude oil input requirement
Tonne-mile expansion continues
- US export growth amidst OPEC production cuts increases tonne-mile demand
- Removal of Iranian waivers alters trade flows and remove vessels from the market
Fleet supply is manageable
- Fleet growth slowing in 2H 2019
- Effective capacity impacted by dry dockings and storage of fuels
Macro risks are creating uncertainty
- □ Higher oil price could cause demand destruction
- □ Impact of trade tensions and tariffs are unknown
- □ Global GDP growth may slow demand
IMO 2020 implementation doesn't go as expected
- □ Short-term exemptions granted
- □ HSFO / LSFO spread could diminish scrubber economics
Questions & Answers

www.frontline.bm
Appendix
| Reconciliation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (Million \$ except per share) | Q2 2019 | Q1 2019 | YTD 2019 |
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | |||
| Total operating revenues | 193,4 | 238,3 | 432 |
| Voyage expenses | -90,7 | -97,5 | -188 |
| Total operating revenues net of voyage expenses | 102,7 | 140,8 | 244 |
| Net income adj. | |||
| Net income (loss) attributable to the Company | 1,1 | 40,0 | 41 |
| Add back: | |||
| Unrealized loss on marketable securities | 0,0 | 1,4 | 1 |
| Loss on derivatives | 5,6 | 4,1 | 10 |
| Less: | |||
| Share of results of associated company | -0,8 | 0,0 | - 1 |
| Unrealized gain on marketable securities | -1,7 | 0,0 | - 2 |
| Net income adj. | 4,2 | 45,5 | 50 |
| (in thousands) | |||
| Weighted average number of ordinary shares | 170,069 | 169,821 | 169 946 |
| (in \$) | |||
| Basic (loss) earnings per share adjusted for certain non-cash charges | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,29 |
| EBITDA adj. | |||
| Net income attributable to the Company | 1,1 | 40,0 | 41 |
| Add back: | |||
| Interest expense | 23,2 | 23,4 | 47 |
| Depreciation | 28,3 | 27,4 | 56 |
| Income tax expense | 0,03 | 0,04 | 0,07 |
| Net income attributable to the non-controlling interest | 0,1 | 0,1 | 0 |
| Unrealized loss on marketable securities | 0,0 | 1,4 | 1 |
| Loss on derivatives | 5,6 | 4,1 | 10 |
| Less: | |||
| Unrealized gain on marketable securities | -1,7 | 0,0 | - 2 |
| Share of results of associated company | -0,8 | 0,0 | - 1 |
| EBITDA adj. | 55,8 | 96,5 | 152 |
This presentation describes: total operating revenues net of voyage expenses, net income attributable to the Company adjusted for certain non-cash items ("Net income adj.") and related per share amounts and Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortisation adjusted for the same non-cash items ("EBITDA adj."), which are not measures prepared in accordance with US GAAP ("non-GAAP").
We believe the non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release provides investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the Company's management evaluates the Company's operating performance.
These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, nor superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
13 Second Quarter 2019| Aug 19