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Frontline Plc Investor Presentation 2015

May 29, 2015

6242_iss_2015-05-29_fb019540-f90f-48de-81da-bc272edfd595.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q1 2015 Results

Forward looking statements

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.

FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.

THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.

IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.

Agenda

  • First Quarter 2015 Highlights and Transactions
  • Financial Review
  • Market Update
  • Outlook
  • Q & A

First Quarter 2015

Highlights and Transactions

  • The Suezmax "Front Idun" was delivered in January.
  • The Company issued 12.2 million new ordinary shares under its ATM program during in the first quarter
  • Increased the ATM limit from \$100m to \$150m in January.
  • The Company issued 12.9 million and 5.9 million new shares under the ATM program in April and May, respectively, and the existing ATM program is fully utilized
  • The Company bought \$33.3 million notional principal of its convertible bond at a purchase price of 99% in February.
  • The remaining outstanding balance on the convertible bond of \$93.4 million was repaid in full upon maturity in April
  • Today, Frontline announced that it has entered into a heads of agreement to amend the terms of the long term charter agreements with Ship Finance International Limited for the remainder of the charter period with effect from July 1, 2015

Summary of new charter structure with Ship Finance

Element New structure
TC rates Rates reduced to USD 20,000 for all VLCCs

and USD 15,000 for all Suezmaxes for the
whole charter period
Opex
element of
TC rate

Opex compensation increased to USD
9,000/day
Profit
split

SFL will receive 50% of achieved rate
above new TC rate

Remaining pre-paid profit split terminated,
i.e. profit split will be paid to SFL as earned
from first day
Cash sweep
Cash
sweep
terminated
Guarantee Parent company guarantee removed


Minimum cash buffer of USD 2m per vessel
to be established, meaning no payment
can be made to the parent unless cash
balance is above USD 2m
Cash buffer will be built gradually through

earnings and released to FRO at end of
lease period

Financial Highlights

Q1 - 2015 results

  • Net income : \$31.1m
  • Net income per share : \$0.25

Share price NYSE May 28, 2015: \$3.06

– Market cap: \$439m

6

Income Statement

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS 2015 2014 2014
(in thousands of \$) Jan-Mar Jan-Mar Jan-Dec
Total operating revenues 144,377 169,998 559,688
(Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains - (15,727) 24,620
Voyage expenses and commission 43,232 80,701 286,367
Ship operating expenses 18,521 23,052 89,674
Contingent rental expense 16,212 13,023 36,900
Administrative expenses 9,995 9,070 40,787
Impairment loss on vessels - - 97,709
Depreciation 16,933 22,846 81,471
Total operating expenses 104,893 148,692 632,908
Net operating income (loss) 39,484 5,579 (48,600)
Interest income 11 7 47
Interest expense (14,683) (21,565) (75,825)
Share of results from associated companies 5,748 562 3,866
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) 65 (31) (179)
Debt conversion expense - - (41,067)
Gain on bond buy back 333 - 1,486
Loss from de-consolidation of subsidiaries - - (12,415)
Other non-operating items 263 306 1,486
Net income (loss) before tax and noncontrolling interest 31,221 (15,142) (171,201)
Taxes (53) (70) (459)
Net income (loss) 31,168 (15,212) (171,660)
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest (44) 3,127 8,722
Net income (loss) attributable to Frontline Ltd. 31,124 (12,085) (162,938)
Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. \$0.25 \$(0.13) \$(1.63)

Income on time charter basis

2015 2014
\$/day Q1 F
Y
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
VLCC Spot 52 200 24 100 27 400 23 900 12 500 32 500
VLCC incl. TC out 49 400 24 800 27 900 24 600 13 900 32 700
Suezmax Spot 35 000 21 500 27 200 19 500 12 400 27 700
Suezmax Incl. TC out 33 100 21 100 26 000 18 600

Ship operating expenses/Off-hire

Number of vessels drydocked

2

1

0

3

0

Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1

0

4 scheduled drydockings in Q2 2015

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet
(in \$ million) 2015 2014 2014
Mar 31 Mar 31 Dec 31
Cash 88 111 64
Restricted cash 0 75 42
Other Current assets 113 145 127
Long term assets:
Newbuildings - 30 15
Vessels 647 906 607
Other long term assets 108 107 106
Total assets 956 1 374 962
Current liabilities 244 174 329
Long term liabilities 712 1 193 704
Noncontrolling interest 0,4 6 0,3
Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity -0,4 1 -71
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 956 1 374 962

Cash Cost Breakeven

Estimated cash cost breakeven rates
Q2 2015 2nd H 2015
VLCC \$31,300 \$24,800
Suezmax \$23,100 \$19,500

Comments to B/E rates (\$/day):

Included in Cash B/E rates are: BB hire/installments & interest loans, opex and drydock, interest and admin expenses Q2 2015: Includes estimated cash sweep to Ship Finance of \$6,500/day

Earnings & Market Factors in Q1 Market Update

Q1 – Average Market earnings / Marex

  • VLCC (TD3) : \$ 62,700/day (Q4-14: \$51,300/day)
  • Suezmax (TD20) : \$ 47,600/day (Q4-14: \$43,000/day)
  • Frontline TC out cover taken in Q1
  • Best Q spot TCE result in Frontline since Q1 2009

The Market:

  • High crude supply in the quarter
  • Floating storage not to the extent we expected
  • VLCC and Suezmax fleet largely unchanged for the quarter
  • Five VLCC and six Suezmax newbuildings were delivered during the quarter
  • Only one Suezmax and one VLCC were removed during the quarter

12

Values and Rates

NEWBUILDING

VLCC Fleet

Current Fleet
Orderbook
Orderbook/Fleet
12 Delivered 2015
Estimated delive

Current fleet & Orderbook

Fleet Delivery Schedule

14

Suezmax Fleet Market Update

Current Fleet 455 Delivered 2015 6 Orderbook 71 Estimated deliveries 2015 5 Orderbook/Fleet 16 %

55 Delivered 2015
Estimated deliv

Current fleet & Orderbook

Fleet Delivery Schedule

Source: Fearnleys May 2015

Frontline

  • Current fleet:
  • 17 Smax
  • 25 VLCC
  • Frontline paid off its convertible bond loan in April 2015
  • New charter structure agreed with Ship Finance Limited
  • Focus will now shift from restructuring to development and growth

Market Outlook

  • Risk factors;
  • Orderbook
  • Yard capacity
  • Demolition slowdown
  • Bullish factors;
  • World oil supply at all time high
  • Fleet utilization above 85%
  • Tonne/miles remains high
  • Current volumes cause port/terminal congestion

It points towards a strong tanker market in 2015