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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2015
May 29, 2015
6242_iss_2015-05-29_fb019540-f90f-48de-81da-bc272edfd595.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2015 Results
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.
Agenda
- First Quarter 2015 Highlights and Transactions
- Financial Review
- Market Update
- Outlook
- Q & A
First Quarter 2015
Highlights and Transactions
- The Suezmax "Front Idun" was delivered in January.
- The Company issued 12.2 million new ordinary shares under its ATM program during in the first quarter
- Increased the ATM limit from \$100m to \$150m in January.
- The Company issued 12.9 million and 5.9 million new shares under the ATM program in April and May, respectively, and the existing ATM program is fully utilized
- The Company bought \$33.3 million notional principal of its convertible bond at a purchase price of 99% in February.
- The remaining outstanding balance on the convertible bond of \$93.4 million was repaid in full upon maturity in April
- Today, Frontline announced that it has entered into a heads of agreement to amend the terms of the long term charter agreements with Ship Finance International Limited for the remainder of the charter period with effect from July 1, 2015
Summary of new charter structure with Ship Finance
| Element | New structure |
|---|---|
| TC rates | Rates reduced to USD 20,000 for all VLCCs • and USD 15,000 for all Suezmaxes for the whole charter period |
| Opex element of TC rate |
• Opex compensation increased to USD 9,000/day |
| Profit split |
• SFL will receive 50% of achieved rate above new TC rate • Remaining pre-paid profit split terminated, i.e. profit split will be paid to SFL as earned from first day |
| Cash sweep | • Cash sweep terminated |
| Guarantee | Parent company guarantee removed • • Minimum cash buffer of USD 2m per vessel to be established, meaning no payment can be made to the parent unless cash balance is above USD 2m Cash buffer will be built gradually through • earnings and released to FRO at end of lease period |
Financial Highlights
Q1 - 2015 results
- Net income : \$31.1m
- Net income per share : \$0.25
Share price NYSE May 28, 2015: \$3.06
– Market cap: \$439m
6
Income Statement
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Jan-Mar | Jan-Mar | Jan-Dec |
| Total operating revenues | 144,377 | 169,998 | 559,688 |
| (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains | - | (15,727) | 24,620 |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 43,232 | 80,701 | 286,367 |
| Ship operating expenses | 18,521 | 23,052 | 89,674 |
| Contingent rental expense | 16,212 | 13,023 | 36,900 |
| Administrative expenses | 9,995 | 9,070 | 40,787 |
| Impairment loss on vessels | - | - | 97,709 |
| Depreciation | 16,933 | 22,846 | 81,471 |
| Total operating expenses | 104,893 | 148,692 | 632,908 |
| Net operating income (loss) | 39,484 | 5,579 | (48,600) |
| Interest income | 11 | 7 | 47 |
| Interest expense | (14,683) | (21,565) | (75,825) |
| Share of results from associated companies | 5,748 | 562 | 3,866 |
| Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | 65 | (31) | (179) |
| Debt conversion expense | - | - | (41,067) |
| Gain on bond buy back | 333 | - | 1,486 |
| Loss from de-consolidation of subsidiaries | - | - | (12,415) |
| Other non-operating items | 263 | 306 | 1,486 |
| Net income (loss) before tax and noncontrolling interest | 31,221 | (15,142) | (171,201) |
| Taxes | (53) | (70) | (459) |
| Net income (loss) | 31,168 | (15,212) | (171,660) |
| Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (44) | 3,127 | 8,722 |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Frontline Ltd. | 31,124 | (12,085) | (162,938) |
| Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. | \$0.25 | \$(0.13) | \$(1.63) |
Income on time charter basis
| 2015 | 2014 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$/day | Q1 | F Y |
Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 |
| VLCC Spot | 52 200 | 24 100 | 27 400 | 23 900 | 12 500 | 32 500 |
| VLCC incl. TC out | 49 400 | 24 800 | 27 900 | 24 600 | 13 900 | 32 700 |
| Suezmax Spot | 35 000 | 21 500 | 27 200 | 19 500 | 12 400 | 27 700 |
| Suezmax Incl. TC out | 33 100 | 21 100 | 26 000 | 18 600 |
Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
Number of vessels drydocked
2
1
0
3
0
Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
0
4 scheduled drydockings in Q2 2015
Balance Sheet
| Balance sheet | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Mar 31 | Mar 31 | Dec 31 | |
| Cash | 88 | 111 | 64 |
| Restricted cash | 0 | 75 | 42 |
| Other Current assets | 113 | 145 | 127 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Newbuildings | - | 30 | 15 |
| Vessels | 647 | 906 | 607 |
| Other long term assets | 108 | 107 | 106 |
| Total assets | 956 | 1 374 | 962 |
| Current liabilities | 244 | 174 | 329 |
| Long term liabilities | 712 | 1 193 | 704 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 0,4 | 6 | 0,3 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | -0,4 | 1 | -71 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 956 | 1 374 | 962 |
Cash Cost Breakeven
| Estimated cash cost breakeven rates | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2015 | 2nd H 2015 | ||
| VLCC | \$31,300 | \$24,800 | |
| Suezmax | \$23,100 | \$19,500 | |
Comments to B/E rates (\$/day):
Included in Cash B/E rates are: BB hire/installments & interest loans, opex and drydock, interest and admin expenses Q2 2015: Includes estimated cash sweep to Ship Finance of \$6,500/day
Earnings & Market Factors in Q1 Market Update
Q1 – Average Market earnings / Marex
- VLCC (TD3) : \$ 62,700/day (Q4-14: \$51,300/day)
- Suezmax (TD20) : \$ 47,600/day (Q4-14: \$43,000/day)
- Frontline TC out cover taken in Q1
- Best Q spot TCE result in Frontline since Q1 2009
The Market:
- High crude supply in the quarter
- Floating storage not to the extent we expected
- VLCC and Suezmax fleet largely unchanged for the quarter
- Five VLCC and six Suezmax newbuildings were delivered during the quarter
- Only one Suezmax and one VLCC were removed during the quarter
12
Values and Rates
NEWBUILDING
VLCC Fleet
| Current Fleet | |
|---|---|
| Orderbook | |
| Orderbook/Fleet |
| 12 | Delivered 2015 |
|---|---|
| Estimated delive | |
Current fleet & Orderbook
Fleet Delivery Schedule
14
Suezmax Fleet Market Update
Current Fleet 455 Delivered 2015 6 Orderbook 71 Estimated deliveries 2015 5 Orderbook/Fleet 16 %
| 55 | Delivered 2015 |
|---|---|
| Estimated deliv | |
Current fleet & Orderbook
Fleet Delivery Schedule
Source: Fearnleys May 2015
Frontline
- Current fleet:
- 17 Smax
- 25 VLCC
- Frontline paid off its convertible bond loan in April 2015
- New charter structure agreed with Ship Finance Limited
- Focus will now shift from restructuring to development and growth
Market Outlook
- Risk factors;
- Orderbook
- Yard capacity
- Demolition slowdown
- Bullish factors;
- World oil supply at all time high
- Fleet utilization above 85%
- Tonne/miles remains high
- Current volumes cause port/terminal congestion
It points towards a strong tanker market in 2015