AI assistant
Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2015
Aug 26, 2015
6242_iss_2015-08-26_444d96c2-b02c-45de-b672-438ce3874c30.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Q2 2015 Results
' "World leader in the international seaborne transportation of crude oil"
August 26, 2015 1
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
' THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.
MPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCINGAND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.
Agenda
- Second Quarter 2015 Highlights and Transactions
- Financial Review
- Market Update
- Outlook
- Q & A
Second Quarter 2015
Highlights and Transactions
- The Company issued 18.8 million new shares in the second quarter under its ATM program and this program is fully utilized.
- In April 2015, the remaining outstanding balance on the convertible bond of \$93.4 million was repaid in full upon maturity.
- ' In June 2015, the Company agreed with Ship Finance to amend the long term charter parties relating to 17 vessels such that the fixed charter payments to Ship Finance are expected to decrease by approximately \$283 million.
- In July 2015, the Company and Frontline 2012 entered into an agreement and plan of merger.
Financial Highlights
- Q2 2015 results
- Net income : \$17.4m
- Net income per share : \$0.11
Share price NYSE August 25, 2015: \$2.32
Market cap: \$460m
Income Statement
| 2014 | 2015 | CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS | 2015 | 2014 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr-Jun | Apr-Jun | (in thousands of \$) | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Dec |
| 118,972 | 134,777 | Total operating revenues | 279,154 | 288,970 | 559,688 |
| - | - | (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains | - | (15,727) | 24,620 |
| 72,108 | 32,487 | Voyage expenses and commission | 75,719 | 152,809 | 286,367 |
| 23,112 | 23,526 | Ship operating expenses | 42,047 | 46,164 | 89,674 |
| 118 | 18,258 | Contingent rental expense | 34,470 | 13,141 | 36,900 |
| 10,324 | 10,368 | Administrative expenses | 20,363 | 19,394 | 40,787 |
| 56,178 | - | Impairment loss on vessels | - | 56,178 | 97,709 |
| 22,680 | 17,131 | Depreciation | 34,064 | 45,526 | 81,471 |
| 184,520 | 101,770 | Total operating expenses | 206,663 | 333,212 | 632,908 |
| (65,548) | 33,007 | Net operating income (loss) | 72,491 | (59,969) | (48,600) |
| 11 | 14 | Interest income | 25 | 18 | 47 |
| (21,216) | (12,199) | ' Interest expense |
(26,882) | (42,781) | (75,825) |
| 7,405 | (3,477) | Share of results from associated companies | 2,271 | 7,967 | 3,866 |
| 119 | (8) | Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | 57 | 88 | (179) |
| - | - | Debt conversion expense | - | - | (41,067) |
| - | - | Gain on bond buy back | 333 | - | 1,486 |
| - | - | Loss from de-consolidation of subsidiaries | - | - | (12,415) |
| 381 | 159 | Other non-operating items | 422 | 687 | 1,486 |
| (78,848) | 17,496 | Net income (loss) before tax and noncontrolling interest | 48,717 | (93,990) | (171,201) |
| (98) | 51 | Taxes | (2) | (168) | (459) |
| (78,946) | 17,547 | Net income (loss) | 48,715 | (94,158) | (171,660) |
| 716 | (177) | Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | (221) | 3,843 | 8,722 |
| (78,230) | 17,370 | Net income (loss) attributable to Frontline Ltd. | 48,494 | (90,315) | (162,938) |
| \$(0.81) | \$0.11 | Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. | \$0.35 | \$(0.95) | \$(1.63) |
Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
2 Scheduled drydockings in Q3 2015
Balance Sheet
| Balance sheet | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | 2015 | 2015 | 2014 |
| Jun 30 | Mar 31 | Dec 31 | |
| Cash | 78 | 88 | 64 |
| Restricted cash | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Other Current assets | 146 | 113 | 127 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Newbuildings ' |
- | - | 15 |
| Vessels | 562 | 647 | 607 |
| Other long term assets | 86 | 108 | 106 |
| Total assets | 873 | 956 | 962 |
| Current liabilities | 172 | 244 | 329 |
| Long term liabilities | 485 | 712 | 704 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 0,4 | 0,4 | 0,3 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 215 | -0,4 | -71 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 873 | 956 | 962 |
Cash Cost Breakeven
Comments to B/E rates (\$/day):
Included in Cash B/E rates are: BB hire/installments & interest loans, opex, drydock and admin expenses
Earnings & Market Factors
The Market
- Oil supply remained high during the quarter
- Oil demand increased from Q1
- 'Forced' storage of oil
- Vessel speed up absorbed
- High fleet utilization
| 2015 | 2014 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$/day | YTD | Q 2 |
Q 1 |
FY | Q 4 |
Q 3 |
Q 2 |
Q 1 |
| VLCC Spot | 52 800 | 53 600 | 52 200 | 24 100 | 27 400 | 23 900 | 12 500 | 32 500 |
| VLCC incl. TC out | 50 000 | 50 600 | 49 400 | 24 800 | 27 900 | 24 600 | 13 900 | 32 700 |
| Suezmax Spot | 36 400 | 38 000 | 35 000 | 21 500 | 27 200 | 19 500 | 12 400 | 27 700 |
| Suezmax Incl. TC out | 33 400 | 33 800 | 33 100 | 21 100 | 26 000 | 18 600 |
VLCC Fleet
Fleet
| Current Fleet | 639 | Delivered 2015 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orderbook | 107 | Estimated deliveries 2015 | 17 |
| Orderbook/Fleet | 17% |
Current Fleet & Orderbook
Delivery Schedule
Source: Fearnleys
Suezmax Fleet
Values & TC Rates
Source: Clarkson
The Present Market
Current earnings at the lowest point seen in 2015 Reasons
- Saudi exports down
- Iraqi (Basra) exports fell 20% in July
- Chinese imports down in Aug/Sep (record high, up 28% YoY in Jun/Jul '15)
- Refinery maintenance
Market Outlook
Risk factors
- Rally in the oil price
- Yard capacity / tanker orderbook
- Demolition slowdown
- Opec (Saudi) strategy change
- A fall in fleet utilization (currently at about 88%)
Bullish factors
- Oil supply looks to remain high
- Atlantic supply moves east
- Majority of refinery expansion East of Suez
- High crude volumes causes congestion and 'forced' storage
- Demand is supported by the low oil price