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Frontline Plc Investor Presentation 2015

Aug 26, 2015

6242_iss_2015-08-26_444d96c2-b02c-45de-b672-438ce3874c30.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q2 2015 Results

' "World leader in the international seaborne transportation of crude oil"

August 26, 2015 1

Forward looking statements

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.

FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.

' THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.

MPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCINGAND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.

Agenda

  • Second Quarter 2015 Highlights and Transactions
  • Financial Review
  • Market Update
  • Outlook
  • Q & A

Second Quarter 2015

Highlights and Transactions

  • The Company issued 18.8 million new shares in the second quarter under its ATM program and this program is fully utilized.
  • In April 2015, the remaining outstanding balance on the convertible bond of \$93.4 million was repaid in full upon maturity.
  • ' In June 2015, the Company agreed with Ship Finance to amend the long term charter parties relating to 17 vessels such that the fixed charter payments to Ship Finance are expected to decrease by approximately \$283 million.
  • In July 2015, the Company and Frontline 2012 entered into an agreement and plan of merger.

Financial Highlights

  • Q2 2015 results
  • Net income : \$17.4m
  • Net income per share : \$0.11

Share price NYSE August 25, 2015: \$2.32

Market cap: \$460m

Income Statement

2014 2015 CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS 2015 2014 2014
Apr-Jun Apr-Jun (in thousands of \$) Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Dec
118,972 134,777 Total operating revenues 279,154 288,970 559,688
- - (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains - (15,727) 24,620
72,108 32,487 Voyage expenses and commission 75,719 152,809 286,367
23,112 23,526 Ship operating expenses 42,047 46,164 89,674
118 18,258 Contingent rental expense 34,470 13,141 36,900
10,324 10,368 Administrative expenses 20,363 19,394 40,787
56,178 - Impairment loss on vessels - 56,178 97,709
22,680 17,131 Depreciation 34,064 45,526 81,471
184,520 101,770 Total operating expenses 206,663 333,212 632,908
(65,548) 33,007 Net operating income (loss) 72,491 (59,969) (48,600)
11 14 Interest income 25 18 47
(21,216) (12,199) '
Interest expense
(26,882) (42,781) (75,825)
7,405 (3,477) Share of results from associated companies 2,271 7,967 3,866
119 (8) Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) 57 88 (179)
- - Debt conversion expense - - (41,067)
- - Gain on bond buy back 333 - 1,486
- - Loss from de-consolidation of subsidiaries - - (12,415)
381 159 Other non-operating items 422 687 1,486
(78,848) 17,496 Net income (loss) before tax and noncontrolling interest 48,717 (93,990) (171,201)
(98) 51 Taxes (2) (168) (459)
(78,946) 17,547 Net income (loss) 48,715 (94,158) (171,660)
716 (177) Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest (221) 3,843 8,722
(78,230) 17,370 Net income (loss) attributable to Frontline Ltd. 48,494 (90,315) (162,938)
\$(0.81) \$0.11 Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. \$0.35 \$(0.95) \$(1.63)

Ship operating expenses/Off-hire

2 Scheduled drydockings in Q3 2015

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet
(in \$ million) 2015 2015 2014
Jun 30 Mar 31 Dec 31
Cash 78 88 64
Restricted cash 0 0 42
Other Current assets 146 113 127
Long term assets:
Newbuildings
'
- - 15
Vessels 562 647 607
Other long term assets 86 108 106
Total assets 873 956 962
Current liabilities 172 244 329
Long term liabilities 485 712 704
Noncontrolling interest 0,4 0,4 0,3
Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity 215 -0,4 -71
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 873 956 962

Cash Cost Breakeven

Comments to B/E rates (\$/day):

Included in Cash B/E rates are: BB hire/installments & interest loans, opex, drydock and admin expenses

Earnings & Market Factors

The Market

  • Oil supply remained high during the quarter
  • Oil demand increased from Q1
  • 'Forced' storage of oil
  • Vessel speed up absorbed
  • High fleet utilization
2015 2014
\$/day YTD Q
2
Q
1
FY Q
4
Q
3
Q
2
Q
1
VLCC Spot 52 800 53 600 52 200 24 100 27 400 23 900 12 500 32 500
VLCC incl. TC out 50 000 50 600 49 400 24 800 27 900 24 600 13 900 32 700
Suezmax Spot 36 400 38 000 35 000 21 500 27 200 19 500 12 400 27 700
Suezmax Incl. TC out 33 400 33 800 33 100 21 100 26 000 18 600

VLCC Fleet

Fleet

Current Fleet 639 Delivered 2015 9
Orderbook 107 Estimated deliveries 2015 17
Orderbook/Fleet 17%

Current Fleet & Orderbook

Delivery Schedule

Source: Fearnleys

Suezmax Fleet

Values & TC Rates

Source: Clarkson

The Present Market

Current earnings at the lowest point seen in 2015 Reasons

  • Saudi exports down
  • Iraqi (Basra) exports fell 20% in July
  • Chinese imports down in Aug/Sep (record high, up 28% YoY in Jun/Jul '15)
  • Refinery maintenance

Market Outlook

Risk factors

  • Rally in the oil price
  • Yard capacity / tanker orderbook
  • Demolition slowdown
  • Opec (Saudi) strategy change
  • A fall in fleet utilization (currently at about 88%)

Bullish factors

  • Oil supply looks to remain high
  • Atlantic supply moves east
  • Majority of refinery expansion East of Suez
  • High crude volumes causes congestion and 'forced' storage
  • Demand is supported by the low oil price