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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2014
May 27, 2014
6242_iss_2014-05-27_f50b7801-bf4d-4516-a6d5-44c34d9fff53.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2014 Results
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.
Agenda
- First Quarter 2014 Highlights and Transactions
- Financial Review
- Newbuildings
- Market Update
- Outlook
- Q & A
First Quarter 2014
Highlights and Transactions
- Swap of the two Suezmax newbuilding contracts at Rongsheng with similar Suezmax tankers at a lower price.
- The first vessel was delivered on May 19, 2014.
- The second vessel has estimated delivery in September 2014.
- The Company issued 8,829,063 new ordinary shares in the first quarter and 1,635,589 new ordinary shares in April 2014 under the ATM program.
Financial Highlights
Q1 - 2014 results
- Net loss : \$12.1m
- Net loss per share : \$0.13
- Loss on sale of MT "Ulysses" : \$15.7m
- Net income ex sales : \$3.6m
No dividend declared in Q1-2014
Share price NYSE May 23, 2014: \$2.86
– Market cap: \$277.4m
Income Statement
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS | 2014 | 2013 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands of \$) | Jan-Mar | Jan-Mar | Jan-Dec |
| Total operating revenues | 169,998 | 125,903 | 517,190 |
| (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains | (15,727) | 9,211 | 23,558 |
| Voyage expenses and commission | 80,701 | 70,150 | 299,741 |
| Ship operating expenses | 23,052 | 26,877 | 109,872 |
| Contingent rental expense (income) | 13,023 | (302) | (7,761) |
| Charter hire expenses | - | 3,973 | 4,176 |
| Administrative expenses | 9,070 | 8,431 | 31,628 |
| Impairment loss on vessels | - | - | 103,724 |
| Depreciation | 22,846 | 26,112 | 99,802 |
| Total operating expenses | 148,692 | 135,241 | 641,182 |
| Net operating income (loss) | 5,579 | (127) | (100,434) |
| Interest income | 7 | 33 | 83 |
| Interest expense | (21,565) | (22,618) | (90,718) |
| Share of results from associated companies | 562 | 4,681 | 13,539 |
| Foreign currency exchange (loss) gain | (31) | (55) | (92) |
| Mark to market loss on derivatives | - | (585) | (585) |
| Debt conversion expense | - | - | (12,654) |
| Other non-operating items | 306 | 282 | 1,267 |
| Net loss before tax and noncontrolling interest | (15,142) | (18,389) | (189,594) |
| Taxes | (70) | -97 | (284) |
| Net loss from continuing operations | (15,212) | (18,486) | (189,878) |
| Net loss from discontinued operations | - | (549) | (1,204) |
| Net loss | (15,212) | (19,035) | (191,082) |
| Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | 3,127 | 280 | 2,573 |
| Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd. | (12,085) | (18,755) | (188,509) |
| Basic loss per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. | \$(0.13) | \$(0.24) | \$(2.36) |
Income on time charter basis
| 2014 | 2013 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$/day | Q1 | FY | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 |
| VLCC Spot DH | 32 500 | 15 400 | 21 600 | 13 900 | 11 200 | 14 600 |
| VLCC w hole fleet |
32 700 | 17 400 | 22 400 | 16 100 | 14 100 | 17 000 |
| Suezmax Spot DH | 27 700 | 13 400 | 12 900 | 12 400 | 13 800 | 14 500 |
| OBO | - | 13 300 | - | - | - | 13 300 |
Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
Balance Sheet
| Balance sheet | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | 2014 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Mar 31 | Mar 31 | Dec 31 | |
| Cash | 111 | 109 | 54 |
| Restricted cash | 75 | 71 | 68 |
| Other Current assets | 145 | 126 | 138 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Vessels | 906 | 1 147 | 970 |
| Newbuildings | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| Other long term assets | 107 | 103 | 108 |
| Total assets | 1 374 | 1 584 | 1 368 |
| Current liabilities | 174 | 124 | 131 |
| Long term liabilities | 1 193 | 1 347 | 1 255 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | 1 | 101 | -27 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 1 374 | 1 584 | 1 368 |
Cash Cost Breakeven
Comments to B/E rates:
- Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest and admin. expenses
- B/E rates exclude capex. and ITCL vessels
Newbuilding
Newbuilding Overview
- Total newbuilding program as of March 31, 2014:
- Two Suezmax tankers
- Remaining installments to be paid approx. \$87.9m
- Revised newbuilding program agreed in April 2014:
- Agreement with Rongsheng to swap two Suezmax newbuilding contracts with two similar Suezmax tankers at a lower contract price.
- The first vessel was delivered on May 19, 2014.
- The second vessel is expected to be delivered in September 2014
- Remaining commitment under the new agreement is approximately \$41.5m
Corporate Overview
Frontline Fleet
Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings
As per 26 May 2014 DH: Double Hull
Earnings & Market Factors
Q1 – Average Market earnings / Marex
- VLCC (TD3) : \$ 27,500/day (Q4-13: \$34,000/day)
- Suezmax (TD5) : \$27,500/day (Q4-13: 24,000/day)
The Market:
- According to IEA global oil demand decreased by 1.1 mb/d in Q1 compared to Q4.
- Total VLCC and Suezmax fleet remained largely unchanged during the quarter
- Five VLCC newbuilding and Three Suezmax were delivered during the quarter
- One VLCC and no Suezmaxes were removed during the quarter
- Higher volatility and tighter supply/demand ratio giving more healthy earnings at the beginning of the year
- Both Europe, Caribbean, West Africa and Arabian gulf were active during the start of the year but has since slowed down
- NOW Suezmax and VLCC max rates at OPEX levels
VLCC Fleet
| Current Fleet | 627 |
|---|---|
| DH Fleet | 626 |
| SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet | 1 |
| Current Fleet | 627 | Orderbook | 94 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DH Fleet | 626 | Delivered 2013 | 32 |
| SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet | 1 | Estimated deliveries 2014 | 21 |
Current fleet & Orderbook
Fleet Delivery Schedule
Suezmax Fleet
Source: Fearnleys April 2014
Values and Rates
NEWBUILDING
TC MARKET
Outlook
General
- Higher volatility signaling a more balanced supply/demand scenario than recent years
- Increased VLCC Newbuiliding activity
- Limited increase in Suezmax newbuilding for now
- More shipyard-space opening up for 2016
- Newbuilding prices likely to decline
Frontline
- Fleet at core levels
- Six scheduled drydockings for remaining of 2014
- Proactively rearranging Newbuilding program
- One Suezmax Newbuilding delivered
- Looking into opportunities to restructure the balance sheet and improve the Company's financial position