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Frontline Plc — Investor Presentation 2014
Aug 28, 2014
6242_iss_2014-08-28_60f786ab-9433-4fb0-ae97-093a2719eee3.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 2014 Results
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.
FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.
IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.
Agenda
- Second Quarter 2014 Highlights and Transactions
- Financial Review
- Newbuildings
- Market Update
- Outlook
- Q & A
Second Quarter 2014
Highlights and Transactions
- The Suezmax Front Ull built at Rongsheng was delivered on May 19, 2014.
- The second vessel has estimated delivery in Q4 2014.
- The Company issued 2,865,511 new ordinary shares in the second quarter and 1,140,226 new ordinary shares in July 2014 under the ATM program.
- Termination of long term charter parties with SFL for three VLCCs built in 1999
- The Company entered into a \$60m term loan facility to part finance the two Suezmax newbuildings.
Financial Highlights
Q2 - 2014 results
- Net loss : \$78.2m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.81
- Impairment loss of \$56.2m
- Net loss (ex impairment loss): \$22.1m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.23
1H - 2014 results
- Net loss : \$90.3m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.95
- Net loss (ex loss on sale of vessels and impairment loss): \$18.4m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.19
Share price NYSE August 27, 2014: \$2.58
– Market cap: \$256.3m
-0,81 -0,13 -2,36 -0,15 -0,46 -1,54 -0,24 -2,50 -2,00 -1,50 -1,00 -0,50 0,00 Q2 Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2014 2013
5
Financial Review
Income Statement
| 2013 | 2014 | CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS | 2014 | 2013 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr-Jun | Apr-Jun | (in thousands of \$) | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Dec |
| 121,222 | 118,972 | Total operating revenues | 288,970 | 247,125 | 517,190 |
| 521 | - | (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains | (15,727) | 9,732 | 23,558 |
| 74,236 | 72,108 | Voyage expenses and commission | 152,809 | 144,386 | 299,741 |
| 32,787 | 23,112 | Ship operating expenses | 46,164 | 59,664 | 109,872 |
| (304) | 118 | Contingent rental expense (income) | 13,141 | (606) | (7,761) |
| 203 | - | Charter hire expenses | - | 4,176 | 4,176 |
| 7,325 | 10,324 | Administrative expenses | 19,394 | 15,756 | 31,628 |
| 81,324 | 56,178 | Impairment loss on vessels | 56,178 | 81,324 | 103,724 |
| 26,227 | 22,680 | Depreciation | 45,526 | 52,339 | 99,802 |
| 221,798 | 184,520 | Total operating expenses | 333,212 | 357,039 | 641,182 |
| (100,055) | (65,548) | Net operating loss | (59,969) | (100,182) | (100,434) |
| 36 | 11 | Interest income | 18 | 69 | 83 |
| (22,908) | (21,216) | Interest expense | (42,781) | (45,526) | (90,718) |
| 2,298 | 7,405 | Share of results from associated companies | 7,967 | 6,979 | 13,539 |
| (55) | 119 | Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) | 88 | (110) | (92) |
| - | - | Mark to market loss on derivatives | - | (585) | (585) |
| - | - | Gain on redemption of debt | - | - | (12,654) |
| 324 | 381 | Other non-operating items | 687 | 606 | 1,267 |
| (120,360) | (78,848) | Net loss before tax and noncontrolling interest | (93,990) | (138,749) | (189,594) |
| (94) | (98) | Taxes | (168) | (191) | (284) |
| (120,454) | (78,946) | Net loss from continuing operations | (94,158) | (138,940) | (189,878) |
| (481) | - | Net loss from discontinued operations | - | (1,030) | (1,204) |
| (120,935) | (78,946) | Net loss | (94,158) | (139,970) | (191,082) |
| 658 | 716 | Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest | 3,843 | 938 | 2,573 |
| (120,277) | (78,230) | Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd. | (90,315) | (139,032) | (188,509) |
| \$(1.54) | \$(0.81) | Basic loss per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. | \$(0.95) | \$(1.79) | \$(2.36) |
Income on time charter basis
| 2014 | 2013 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$/day | YTD | Q2 | Q1 | F Y |
Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 |
| VLCC Spot DH | 22 600 | 12 500 | 32 500 | 15 400 | 21 600 | 13 900 | 11 200 | 14 600 |
| VLCC whole fleet | 23 400 | 13 900 | 32 700 | 17 400 | 22 400 | 16 100 | 14 100 | 17 000 |
| Suezmax Spot DH | 19 800 | 12 400 | 27 700 | 13 400 | 12 900 | 12 400 | 13 800 | 14 500 |
7
Financial Review
Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
Two scheduled drydockings in Q3 2014 Q2 drydock not scheduled *
Financial Review
Balance Sheet
| Balance sheet | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (in \$ million) | 2014 | 2014 | 2013 |
| Jun 30 | Mar 31 | Dec 31 | |
| Cash | 62 | 111 | 54 |
| Restricted cash | 37 | 75 | 68 |
| Other Current assets | 141 | 145 | 138 |
| Long term assets: | |||
| Vessels | 884 | 906 | 970 |
| Newbuildings | 15 | 30 | 30 |
| Other long term assets | 113 | 107 | 108 |
| Total assets | 1 252 | 1 374 | 1 368 |
| Current liabilities | 323 | 174 | 131 |
| Long term liabilities | 990 | 1 193 | 1 255 |
| Noncontrolling interest | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity | -67 | 1 | -27 |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 1 252 | 1 374 | 1 368 |
Cash Cost Breakeven
Comments to B/E rates:
- Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest and admin. expenses
- B/E rates exclude capex. and ITCL vessels
Newbuilding Overview Newbuilding
- Total newbuilding program as of June 30, 2014:
- One Suezmax tanker expected delivered Q4 2014
- Remaining installments to be paid approx. \$41.5m
Corporate Overview
Frontline Fleet
Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings
As per 28 August 2014 DH: Double Hull
Earnings & Market Factors
Q2 – Average Market earnings / Marex
- VLCC (TD3) : \$12,000/day (Q1-14: \$27,500/day)
- Suezmax (TD5) : \$15,500/day (Q1-14: \$27,500/day)
The Market:
- According to IEA global oil demand increased by 0.2 mb/d in Q2 compared to Q1.
- Total VLCC and Suezmax fleet remained largely unchanged during the quarter
- Five VLCC newbuilding and one Suezmax were delivered during the quarter
- Three VLCC and two Suezmaxes were removed during the quarter
- Low refinery utilization in Q2 led to reduced VLCC activity
- Positive rate development in Q3
VLCC Fleet
| Delivery Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Fleet DH Fleet |
629 628 |
Orderbook Delivered 2014 |
92 12 |
||
| SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet | 1 | Estimated deliveries 2014 | 20 |
Current fleet & Orderbook
Suezmax Fleet
Fleet Delivery Schedule
Source: Fearnleys August 2014
Values and Rates
NEWBUILDING
TC MARKET
Outlook
General
- Higher volatility signaling a more balanced supply/demand scenario than recent years
- Limited crude ordering at present, but still shipyard open space for 2016
- Newbuilding prices has flattened out since Q1 2014
- Very fragmented ownership in the crude segment
Frontline
- Despite the improved tanker market so far in the third quarter, the Company is in a challenging situation with \$1.031 million in debt and lease obligations as of June 30, 2014
- Based on the current outlook for the tanker market, it is doubtful if the Company can generate sufficient cash from operations to repay the \$190 million convertible bond loan with maturity in April 2015
- The Board is considering various financing alternatives such as raising equity or selling assets, establish new loans or refinance existing arrangements to raise sufficient cash to repay the \$190 million convertible bond loan
- A full restructuring of the company, including lease obligations and debt agreements might be the only alternative