Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Frontline Plc Investor Presentation 2014

Aug 28, 2014

6242_iss_2014-08-28_60f786ab-9433-4fb0-ae97-093a2719eee3.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

Q2 2014 Results

Forward looking statements

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.

FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "WILL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.

THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.

IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE'S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE'S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE.

Agenda

  • Second Quarter 2014 Highlights and Transactions
  • Financial Review
  • Newbuildings
  • Market Update
  • Outlook
  • Q & A

Second Quarter 2014

Highlights and Transactions

  • The Suezmax Front Ull built at Rongsheng was delivered on May 19, 2014.
  • The second vessel has estimated delivery in Q4 2014.
  • The Company issued 2,865,511 new ordinary shares in the second quarter and 1,140,226 new ordinary shares in July 2014 under the ATM program.
  • Termination of long term charter parties with SFL for three VLCCs built in 1999
  • The Company entered into a \$60m term loan facility to part finance the two Suezmax newbuildings.

Financial Highlights

Q2 - 2014 results

  • Net loss : \$78.2m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.81
  • Impairment loss of \$56.2m
  • Net loss (ex impairment loss): \$22.1m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.23

1H - 2014 results

  • Net loss : \$90.3m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.95
  • Net loss (ex loss on sale of vessels and impairment loss): \$18.4m, equivalent to loss per share of \$0.19

Share price NYSE August 27, 2014: \$2.58

– Market cap: \$256.3m

-0,81 -0,13 -2,36 -0,15 -0,46 -1,54 -0,24 -2,50 -2,00 -1,50 -1,00 -0,50 0,00 Q2 Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2014 2013

5

Financial Review

Income Statement

2013 2014 CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS 2014 2013 2013
Apr-Jun Apr-Jun (in thousands of \$) Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Dec
121,222 118,972 Total operating revenues 288,970 247,125 517,190
521 - (Loss) gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains (15,727) 9,732 23,558
74,236 72,108 Voyage expenses and commission 152,809 144,386 299,741
32,787 23,112 Ship operating expenses 46,164 59,664 109,872
(304) 118 Contingent rental expense (income) 13,141 (606) (7,761)
203 - Charter hire expenses - 4,176 4,176
7,325 10,324 Administrative expenses 19,394 15,756 31,628
81,324 56,178 Impairment loss on vessels 56,178 81,324 103,724
26,227 22,680 Depreciation 45,526 52,339 99,802
221,798 184,520 Total operating expenses 333,212 357,039 641,182
(100,055) (65,548) Net operating loss (59,969) (100,182) (100,434)
36 11 Interest income 18 69 83
(22,908) (21,216) Interest expense (42,781) (45,526) (90,718)
2,298 7,405 Share of results from associated companies 7,967 6,979 13,539
(55) 119 Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) 88 (110) (92)
- - Mark to market loss on derivatives - (585) (585)
- - Gain on redemption of debt - - (12,654)
324 381 Other non-operating items 687 606 1,267
(120,360) (78,848) Net loss before tax and noncontrolling interest (93,990) (138,749) (189,594)
(94) (98) Taxes (168) (191) (284)
(120,454) (78,946) Net loss from continuing operations (94,158) (138,940) (189,878)
(481) - Net loss from discontinued operations - (1,030) (1,204)
(120,935) (78,946) Net loss (94,158) (139,970) (191,082)
658 716 Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest 3,843 938 2,573
(120,277) (78,230) Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd. (90,315) (139,032) (188,509)
\$(1.54) \$(0.81) Basic loss per share attributable to Frontline Ltd. \$(0.95) \$(1.79) \$(2.36)

Income on time charter basis

2014 2013
\$/day YTD Q2 Q1 F
Y
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
VLCC Spot DH 22 600 12 500 32 500 15 400 21 600 13 900 11 200 14 600
VLCC whole fleet 23 400 13 900 32 700 17 400 22 400 16 100 14 100 17 000
Suezmax Spot DH 19 800 12 400 27 700 13 400 12 900 12 400 13 800 14 500

7

Financial Review

Ship operating expenses/Off-hire

Two scheduled drydockings in Q3 2014 Q2 drydock not scheduled *

Financial Review

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet
(in \$ million) 2014 2014 2013
Jun 30 Mar 31 Dec 31
Cash 62 111 54
Restricted cash 37 75 68
Other Current assets 141 145 138
Long term assets:
Vessels 884 906 970
Newbuildings 15 30 30
Other long term assets 113 107 108
Total assets 1 252 1 374 1 368
Current liabilities 323 174 131
Long term liabilities 990 1 193 1 255
Noncontrolling interest 5 6 9
Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity -67 1 -27
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 1 252 1 374 1 368

Cash Cost Breakeven

Comments to B/E rates:

  • Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest and admin. expenses
  • B/E rates exclude capex. and ITCL vessels

Newbuilding Overview Newbuilding

  • Total newbuilding program as of June 30, 2014:
  • One Suezmax tanker expected delivered Q4 2014
  • Remaining installments to be paid approx. \$41.5m

Corporate Overview

Frontline Fleet

Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings

As per 28 August 2014 DH: Double Hull

Earnings & Market Factors

Q2 – Average Market earnings / Marex

  • VLCC (TD3) : \$12,000/day (Q1-14: \$27,500/day)
  • Suezmax (TD5) : \$15,500/day (Q1-14: \$27,500/day)

The Market:

  • According to IEA global oil demand increased by 0.2 mb/d in Q2 compared to Q1.
  • Total VLCC and Suezmax fleet remained largely unchanged during the quarter
  • Five VLCC newbuilding and one Suezmax were delivered during the quarter
  • Three VLCC and two Suezmaxes were removed during the quarter
  • Low refinery utilization in Q2 led to reduced VLCC activity
  • Positive rate development in Q3

VLCC Fleet

Delivery Schedule
Current Fleet
DH Fleet
629
628
Orderbook
Delivered 2014
92
12
SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet 1 Estimated deliveries 2014 20

Current fleet & Orderbook

Suezmax Fleet

Fleet Delivery Schedule

Source: Fearnleys August 2014

Values and Rates

NEWBUILDING

TC MARKET

Outlook

General

  • Higher volatility signaling a more balanced supply/demand scenario than recent years
  • Limited crude ordering at present, but still shipyard open space for 2016
  • Newbuilding prices has flattened out since Q1 2014
  • Very fragmented ownership in the crude segment

Frontline

  • Despite the improved tanker market so far in the third quarter, the Company is in a challenging situation with \$1.031 million in debt and lease obligations as of June 30, 2014
  • Based on the current outlook for the tanker market, it is doubtful if the Company can generate sufficient cash from operations to repay the \$190 million convertible bond loan with maturity in April 2015
  • The Board is considering various financing alternatives such as raising equity or selling assets, establish new loans or refinance existing arrangements to raise sufficient cash to repay the \$190 million convertible bond loan
  • A full restructuring of the company, including lease obligations and debt agreements might be the only alternative