AI assistant
FAR LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2017
Mar 7, 2017
64899_rns_2017-03-07_2a9fe2ad-a38e-4932-b877-6854343747ba.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
A world class oil story
Senegal project update 08 March 2017
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
*FAR ASX releases dated 23 Aug 2016, best estimate, gross resources, oil only. Market capitalisation at 3 March 2017
FAR in Senegal
-
FAR has been in Senegal since 2016
-
Senegal is a peaceful democracy with a stable outlook (S&P sovereign credit rating B+/B) and projected growth rate of 6% this year
-
Strong in country relationships
-
Farmed down to Cairn Energy and ConocoPhillips for US$196M carry + cash in 2013
-
Basin opening FAN-1 and SNE-1 oil discoveries 2014
-
SNE ranked as worlds largest oil discovery in 2014
-
7 successful wells drilled to date
-
President is a petroleum geologist!
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
OFFSHORE SENEGAL PSC
FAR 16.7% paying interest, 15% beneficial interest Operator: Cairn Energy PLC
==> picture [335 x 358] intentionally omitted <==
3
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
FAN-1 and SNE-1 opened up Senegal
==> picture [379 x 377] intentionally omitted <==
-
Basin opening FAN-1 and SNE-1 oil discoveries 2014
-
5 successful SNE appraisal wells
-
drilled to date
-
100% drilling success to date
-
Cairn Energy (operator) NPV of US$12.5/bbl at project FID (2018/19) and US$70/bbl oil price*
-
Major gas discoveries made in 2015/16 offshore Northern Senegal / Southern Mauritania
-
BP farm-in to Kosmos acreage introduces a large IOC to the basin
-
Global hot spot for exploration
*Source: Cairn Energy estimates (refer Cairn Energy Half Yearly Result 16/08/2016
4
==> picture [709 x 501] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
SNE Field geological setting and discovery well
SNE-1 oil discovery (Nov 2014)
➢ Oil gravity 32 degrees API
➢ Gross oil column 96m
•➢ FAR gross contingent resource []
Gross oil-bearing interval of > 500m
•
No water-bearing sands intersectedP90 (1C): 348 mmbbls,
P50 (2C): 641 mmbbls,
P10 (3C): 1,128 mmbbls
➢ Excellent reservoir rocks in 2 main
families: lower and upper reservoir sands
Shelf Edge play
Fan play
----- End of picture text -----*
5
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 13 Apr 2015 and 23 August 2016, best estimate, gross resources, 100% basis, oil only
SNE Field appraisal program
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
Four appraisal wells drilled in the 2015/16 campaign (SNE-2, SNE-3, BEL1, SNE-4)
-
Three wells planned for 2017 campaign (SNE-5, VR-1, SNE-6)
-
Currently mobilizing rig to VR-1 location
-
Objectives of the appraisal program:
-
Size of oil pool
-
Test reservoir properties and
deliverability
from logging, coring and testing
==> picture [301 x 238] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
BEL-1 SNE-2 SNE-1 SNE-3 SNE-5 SNE-4
GOC
OWC
5km
----- End of picture text -----
-
Measure field connectivity
-
Confirm static and dynamic geological models for field
6
Appraisal results to date
-
Drilling programs have been completed safely, efficiently and under budget
-
Summary of appraisal accomplishments:
-
~ 100m gross oil column across field
-
High quality 32⁰ API oil
-
Correlation of reservoir units
-
Static geological model confirmed
-
Minimum economic field size, MEFS established >200mmbbls
-
Footprint of SNE field > 350km[2]
-
DST’s conducted on SNE-2, SNE-3, SNE-5 prove deliverability of reservoirs
-
2017 well results expected to lead to increase in resource estimates
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [334 x 378] intentionally omitted <==
7
Size of the SNE oil pool
==> picture [148 x 257] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [159 x 257] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [185 x 257] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [189 x 257] intentionally omitted <==
Pre-Drill Post discovery RISC audited Latest RISC audited (Oct 2014) (Nov 2014) (April 2016) (August 2016) P90 : 50mmbbls 1C: 150 mmbbls 1C: 277 mmbbls 1C: 348 mmbbls P50 : 154 mmbbls 2C: 330 mmbbls 2C: 561 mmbbls 2C: 641 mmbbls P10 : 350 mmbbls 3C: 670 mmbbls 3C: 1071 mmbbls 3C: 1128 mmbbls
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 23 August 2016, 13 April 2016, 20 Nov 2014: unrisked contingent resources, 100% basis, oil only RISC is an independent technical expert that reviewed and modified a probabilistic resource evaluation carried out by FAR in accordance with industry standard SPE-PRMS definitions
8
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
Deliverability of oil from SNE
==> picture [293 x 164] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
SNE-2 flow test
----- End of picture text -----
Main reservoirs flowed at commercially viable rates
SNE-2 lower and upper reservoirs units
-
Gross 12m lower sands: 8,000 bopd through 3/4“ choke (stabilised constrained flow)
-
Gross 15m upper sands: 1,000 bopd through 3/8“ choke (unstabilised)
SNE-3 tested upper reservoir units
==> picture [292 x 236] intentionally omitted <==
-
Gross 15m: 5,400 bopd max flow / 4,000 bopd through a 7/8“ choke (stabilised)
-
Gross 20.5m (2 zones): 4,500 bopd co-mingled through a 7/8“ choke (stabilised)
SNE-5 tested upper reservoir units
-
Gross 18m (S480): Maximum rate 4,500 bopd, stabilized rate 2,500 bopd on 40/64” choke, and 3,000 bopd on 56/64” choke – 24hr each test
-
Additional 8m perforated (S460): Maximum rate 4,200 bopd, average stabilised rate 3,900 bopd on 64/64” choke
9
VR-1 well
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
Drilling to commence on completion of operations at SNE-5
-
VR-1 to be logged but no DST
-
VR-1 well has two objectives:
-
Appraise the upper and lower sands in the west of the field
-
Seismic reprocessing indicates potential for increased thickness of oil-bearing lower sandstones at this location
-
Potential to add material barrels to phase 1 development (1C estimate)
==> picture [388 x 211] intentionally omitted <==
-
Secondary objective is to deepen –
-
into the undrilled Aptian play high risk but inexpensive to deepen well and potentially large volume
10
SNE-6 well
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
Plan to drill following VR-1 well
-
SNE-6 to be flow tested and used as a pulse well for the interference test across the field (SNE-3 and SNE-5 to be used as listening wells)
-
Final location for SNE-6 to be decided after full results of SNE-5 are understood
-
Objectives of the wells:
-
Confirm connectivity of the upper reservoirs
-
Confirm deliverability of the upper reservoirs
-
Confirm dynamic geological model for the field
-
Collect data required to optimise the field development plan
==> picture [328 x 336] intentionally omitted <==
11
Efficient drilling, costs coming down
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
Currently using the Stena DrillMAX – a 6[th] generation, dual mast, dual BOP drill ship
-
SNE-5 well drilled 21 days ahead of plan
-
Expect similar performance on VR-1 and SNE-6 wells
-
Incremental cost to FAR of adding VR-1 well to the program is A$2-3M
-
Daily rig rates reduced by 70% since first drilling campaign in 2014
==> picture [363 x 247] intentionally omitted <==
12
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
Large potential upside in the RSSD acreage
==> picture [398 x 408] intentionally omitted <==
-
500m of oil intersected in the FAN-1 well – prolific, oil source rock
-
New 2015 3D seismic shot along shelf edge trend from SNE
-
Extensive portfolio of
-
exploration prospects with >1bn bbls potential* updated Feb 2017
13
*Reference FAR ASX release dated 7 February 2017,: gross, unrisked, recoverable, best estimate of prospective resources, oil only
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
Upper sands important for undrilled prospects
==> picture [278 x 411] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
SNE Field at S460
reservoir level
showing Sirius and
Spica Prospects
----- End of picture text -----
-
SNE-5 well tested 2 upper sands units (S480 and S460 reservoirs)
-
S460 was previously an untested upper sand unit and showed good reservoir properties and deliverability in SNE-5
-
Map at this level shows confidence in Sirius and Spica prospects has increased due to successful test in S460
==> picture [449 x 214] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
through SNE Field
----- End of picture text -----
14
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
SNE development and tie back concept
==> picture [334 x 323] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Image being updated
----- End of picture text -----
-
Standalone FPSO: planned expansion capability for tie-backs
-
CAPEX: US$12- US$15/bbl*
-
OPEX: < US$10/bbl*
-
Breakeven oil price: US$35/bbl*
-
NPV/bbl : US$12.50/bbl* (at FID, US$70/bbl oil price, 2C 473mmbbls)
-
FAR Plateau production: rate expected to be ~140,000 bopd
-
FAR Phase 1 development: 349 mmbbls
-
FAR phase 1 development has:
-
22 producing wells
-
18 water injection wells
FAR Phase 1 development concept
Refer to FAR ASX releases dated 24 September 2015 and 4 January 2016
-
1 gas injection well plus re-entry into SNE-2
-
Drilling cost reductions yet to reduce CAPEX estimate
Flow lines and manifolds
Oil Gas
Water
*Cairn Energy Half Yearly Result 16/08/2016
15
FAR resource value creation
Number of barrels of oil attributable to FAR per share has grown
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [12 x 119] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Thousand barrels/share
----- End of picture text -----
FAR has grown its SNE net 2C contingent resource per share by 2.5x from its pre-drill P50 prospective resource estimate adjusted for capital expansion over the period since discovery
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 23 August 2016, 13 April 2016, 20 Nov 2014: unrisked contingent resources, 100% basis, oil only RISC is an independent technical expert that reviewed and modified a probabilistic resource evaluation carried out by FAR in accordance with industry standard SPE-PRMS definitions
16
SNE story so FAR
21 months from discovery to statement of commerciality
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
| OCT 2014 | NOV 2014 | DEC 2014 | NOV 2015 | JAN 2016 | JAN 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spud SNE-1 | Discovery at SNE-1 |
Contingent resource |
Spud SNE-2 | SNE-2 DST World class |
Spud SNE-3 |
| announced | upgrade | flow rates | |||
| 2C 330 mmbbls | |||||
| FEB 2016 | MAR 2016 | APR 2016 | JUN 2016 | AUG 2016 | JAN 2017 |
| SNE-3 DST | Spud BEL-1 to | Contingent | Demob Ocean | Contingent | Spud of SNE-5 |
| Greater than | target exploration | resource | Rig Athena | resource | to test upper |
| expected flow | prospect & | upgrade2C 561 | Drillship | upgrade 2C 641 | reservoirs & |
| rates | flanks of SNE field | mmbbls | mmbbls | optimise | |
| Contingent resource |
Spud SNE-4 as step out well |
Statement on commercial |
development plan |
||
| upgrade | viability & | ||||
| 2C 468 mmbbls | entering | ||||
| pre-FEED |
17
Next 12 months in Senegal
-
Finalise results from SNE-5
-
Drilling VR-1 appraisal and exploration well
-
Conduct interference test by pulsing from SNE-6
-
Drilling VR-1 followed by SNE-6 expected to be completed by mid year
-
JV to agree possible exploration well to drill in current campaign
-
Upgrade in contingent resource estimate for SNE
-
Finalise Phase 1 development concept
-
Certification of reserves for SNE
-
Submission of development plan for approval
-
Active new ventures program – focus on the NW African margin
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
Contact us
Level 17, 530 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000 Australia T: +61 3 9618 2550 [email protected] far.com.au
Connect with FAR Limited:
==> picture [171 x 36] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
Disclaimer
-
This presentation has been prepared by FAR Limited (‘FAR’). It should not be considered as an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any shares in FAR or as an inducement to make an offer or invitation with respect to those securities. No agreement to subscribe for shares in FAR will be entered into on the basis of this presentation.
-
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are not based on historical fact, including those identified by the use of forward-looking terminology containing such words as ‘believes’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘estimates’, ‘continue’, ‘anticipates’, ‘intends’, ‘expects’, ‘should’, ‘schedule’, ‘program’, ‘potential’ or the negatives thereof and words of similar import.
-
FAR cautions that these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements. The forward looking statements are expressly subject to this caution. FAR makes no representation, warranty (express or implied), or assurance as to the completeness or accuracy of these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, expresses no opinion or any other form of assurance regarding them. FAR will not necessarily publish updates or revisions of these forwardlooking statements to reflect FAR’s circumstances after the date hereof.
-
By its very nature exploration and development of oil and gas is high risk and is not suitable for certain investors. FAR shares are a speculative investment. There are a number of risks, both specific to FAR and of a general nature which may affect the future operating and financial performance of FAR and the value of an investment in FAR including and not limited to economic conditions, stock market fluctuations, oil and gas demand and price movements, regional infrastructure constraints, securing drilling rigs, timing of approvals from relevant authorities, regulatory risks, operational risks, reliance on key personnel, foreign currency fluctuations, and regional geopolitical risks.
-
This presentation does not purport to be all inclusive or to contain all information which you may require in order to make an informed assessment of the Company’s prospects. You should conduct your own investigation, perform your own analysis, and seek your own advice from your professional adviser before making any investment decision.
-
Cautionary Statement for Prospective Resource Estimates – With respect to the Prospective Resource estimates contained within this report, it should be noted that the estimated quantities of Petroleum that may potentially be recovered by the future application of a development project may relate to undiscovered accumulations. These estimates have an associated risk of discovery and risk of development. Further exploration and appraisal is required to determine the existence of a significant quantity of potentially moveable hydrocarbons.
-
Information in this report relating to hydrocarbon resource estimates has been compiled by Peter Nicholls, the FAR exploration manager. Mr Nicholls has over 30 years of experience in petroleum geophysics and geology and is a member of the American Association of Petroleum Geology, the Society of Exploration Geophysicists and the Petroleum Exploration Society of Australia. Mr Nicholls consents to the inclusion of the information in this report relating to hydrocarbon Prospective Resources in the form and context in which it appears. The Prospective Resource estimates contained in this report are in accordance with the standard definitions set out by the Society of Petroleum Engineers, Petroleum Resource Management System.
20