AI assistant
FAR LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2015
Oct 18, 2015
64899_rns_2015-10-18_c369bbba-872a-4c43-a892-2ee6686ed0f5.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Investor Presentation
October 2015
==> picture [141 x 109] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
FAR snapshot
• Africa Focused: Senegal, Guinea Bissau, Kenya and Australia
• 7[th] Largest Pure E&P on ASX: FAR entered ASX 300 in March 2015
- FAN-1 and SNE-1: Major basin opening oil discoveries in Senegal
• SNE Field Largest Oil Discovery: SNE rated No. 1 in 2014 (IHS CERA)
• Attractive Economics: SNE IRR in high 20% to 30% @ US$50/bbl
• SNE Appraisal / Exploration Drilling: Strong value add from October • Quality Senegal Partners: ConocoPhillips, Cairn Energy, Petrosen
- Cash Balance: A$43.5m (30 June 2015) and no debt
• Experienced Team and Board: Reg Nelson recently joined board
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
FAR relative performance
==> picture [722 x 431] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Capital Structure
ASX Ticker FAR
7 Oct 14:
FAN-1 oil discovery; Share price (16 October 2015) A$0.09
500+m gross oil interval,
0.16 net oil pay 29m 10 Nov 14: Market cap (16 October 2015) A$287M
SNE-1 oil discovery; Cash (30 June 2015) A$43.5M
95m gross oil column,
0.14 net oil pay 36m Average broker rating / target Buy, A$0.21
0.12
FAR:
0.10 9cps +132%
27 Aug 14:
FAN-1 recovers
0.08 oil samples
0.06
0.04 ASX 200 Energy
8,846 (39%)
0.02
Brent oil:
US$50.13 (52%)
0.00
Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15
Source: Company filings, IRESS.
FAR S&P ASX 200 Energy Index (rebased) Brent Oil (US$/bbl, rebased)
Share price (A$p.s.)
----- End of picture text -----
3
FAR market summary
Growing company
FAR is now the 7[th] largest pure E&P company listed in Australia
FAR trades on the Australian stock exchange (FAR.ASX) and is included in the S&P / ASX 300 index
Shareholder base
FAR’s shareholders are predominantly located in Australia
FARJOY (family Office) is the largest single shareholder with 11%
Institutional, Family Office and Private investors make up around 27% of the top 20 shareholders
Institutional Investors
3%[2%] 17% 78% Australia United Kingdom Asia Rest of the World North America Europe (ex UK)
Top 20 Shareholders
11% 72% 8% 8% 1% Family Office Private Investors Fund Manager Investment Bank Other Investors
4
FAR register as at 15 September 2015
Senegal
-
Strong in-country relationships: FAR has been i n Senegal since 2006
-
Peaceful democracy: Senegal has been a democracy for 200 years
-
Solid growth: 4.7% GDP i n 2014
-
S&P sovereign credit rating: Senegal rates 'B+/B‘ (stable outlook)
-
FAN-1 and SNE-1 oil discoveries: First offshore exploration wells for 40 years
-
FAR farm-out in 2013: US$196M two well carry by Cairn and ConocoPhillips
-
PSC partners: FAR 15%, Cairn Energy (Operator 40%), ConocoPhillips (35%) and Petrosen (10%)
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
OFFSHORE SENEGAL PSC
16.7% paying interest, 15% beneficial interest Operator: Cairn Energy PLC
==> picture [352 x 355] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Kosmos
Tortue-1
Discovery
----- End of picture text -----
5
Senegal prospects and leads
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
PSC area 7,490 km[2]
-
3D seismic coverage ~2500km[2 ]
==> picture [320 x 301] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [367 x 377] intentionally omitted <==
6
==> picture [694 x 492] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
FAN-1 and SNE-1 seismic section/schematic
FAN-1 SNE-1
1430m WD 1150m WD
W E
Buried Hill
Shelf Edge
Fan
Source
Kitchen
Oil Migration Oil Traps
----- End of picture text -----
FAN-1 and SNE-1 seismic section/schematic
7
FAN-1 oil discovery
-
Proved prolific source: High quality light oil in a stratigraphic stacked Cretaceous sand sequence
-
Oil gravity 28-41 degrees API
-
Gross oil bearing interval >500m containing discrete oil columns with no oil-water contact (29m net)
• Operator gross oil (STOIIP) in place – P90: 250 mmbbls – P50: 950 mmbbls – P10: 2,500 mmbbls
-
Proved oil migration model up dip
-
De-risked future shelf drilling
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [387 x 304] intentionally omitted <==
8
SNE-1 oil discovery
-
Excellent reservoir average 25%
-
porosity in a well defined Cretaceous structural trap
-
Oil gravity 32 degrees API
-
Gross oil column of 96m (36m net) well defined gas-oil-water contacts with a text book pressure curve
-
Contingent recoverable resource
-
P90 (1C): 150 mmbbls
– P50 (2C): 330 mmbbls
– P10 (3C): 670 mmbbls
- Initial focus of the Phase One evaluation work program
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [389 x 318] intentionally omitted <==
-
Potential to get larger
-
Look-a-like drill ready prospects
9
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
SNE appraisal well locations
Drilling program objectives:
==> picture [382 x 384] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
BEL-1
● Bellatrix
●
●
SNE-2
●
SNE-1
●
●
SNE-3
200mmbbls 350mmbbls
400mmbbls
250mmbbls
----- End of picture text -----
-
Prove minimum economic field size (MEFS: ~200mmbbls)
-
Test upside potential in SNE (3C resource 670mmbbls*)
-
Test overlying Bellatrix exploration prospect (P50 168mmbbls*)
-
Gain confidence in the overall shape and size of the SNE field
-
Test reservoir properties from logging, coring and testing
-
Risk is in proving the upside potential
300mmbbls 600mmbbls
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 13 Apr 2015 best estimate, gross, unrisked prospective resources, 100% basis, oil only
10
SNE appraisal well locations
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [710 x 287] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
N BEL-1 SNE-2 SNE-1 SNE-3 S
Bellatrix
----- End of picture text -----
SNE-2, SNE-3 and BEL-1 to be logged, cored and flow tested
11
Bellatrix exploration prospect
- Strong amplitude response, conforms to structure
Bellatrix unrisked prospective resources*
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
- Buried Hills exploration prospect directly overlies northern extent of SNE
Low estimate 69 mmbbls Best estimate 168 mmbbls High estimate 356 mmbbls
- FAR estimated chance of discovery at 49%, Cairn 80%
==> picture [395 x 221] intentionally omitted <==
- High follow up potential from several look-a-likes
Bellatrix seismic amplitude response
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 13 Apr 2015 best estimate, gross, unrisked prospective resources, 100% basis, oil only
12
==> picture [80 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
Development and tie back concept
==> picture [270 x 204] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [389 x 388] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
77mmbbl [ ]
74mmbbl [ ]
204mmbbl [ ]
141mmbbl [ ]
168mmbbl
Tie
back
radius
101mmbbl
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [271 x 205] intentionally omitted <==
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 13 Apr 2015 best estimate, gross, unrisked prospective resources, 100% basis, oil only
13
==> picture [431 x 494] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
18
16 NPV/bbl (US$)
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
US$90/bbl @ 2014 costs US$70/bbl@ 10% cost US$50/bbl @ 20% cost
reduction reduction
Project IRR (%)
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
US$90/bbl @ 2014 costs US$70/bbl @ 10% cost US$50/bbl @ 20% cost
reduction reduction
at FID
NPV/bbl
at FID
IRR
----- End of picture text -----
Senegal economic models
-
Very good PSC terms
-
Base planning case: 2C resource 330mmbbls (~50mmbbls net to FAR)
-
CAPEX $17-26/bbl
-
OPEX $5-15/bbl
-
US$10 NPV/bbl at US$70/bbl improves to at around US$50/bbl with
-
~30% capex reduction
-
SNE likely to be standalone at >=200mmbbls
-
Brent futures: ~US$65/bbl
-
Earliest first oil 2021
14
Source: Cairn Energy estimates (refer Cairn Energy Capital Markets Day presentation 11/05/2015)
| Ac | t | ivity schedule to mid | 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| October November |
December | January | February | March | April | May | |||||||||||||||
| DRILLING | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3D SEISMIC acquisition |
processing and preliminary interpretation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| • | Ocean Rig Athena drill ship | ||||||||||||||||||||
| • Commencing drill program end October |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Activity schedule to mid 2016
-
Drilling of the SNE-2 appraisal well first, followed by the SNE-3 appraisal and Bellatrix-1 (BEL-1) exploration/appraisal
-
Drilling and evaluation program is scheduled to be completed by mid 2016
-
3D seismic acquisition survey
-
2,603km[2] over FAR’s Sangomar, Sangomar Deep and Rufisque Blocks simultaneous with
-
FAR’s 400km[2] Djiffere 3D survey
-
Seismic acquisition is expected to be completed by end 2015 with final products 2H 2016
15
==> picture [143 x 105] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
*Reference FAR ASX releases dated 13 Apr 2015 best estimate, gross, unrisked prospective resources, 100% basis, oil only
Board and management
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
Board with significant experience
==> picture [59 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 82] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 82] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
Nicholas Limb Non-Executive Chairman Appointed 2012
Geophysicist and investment banker
15 years as MD/Chairman of an ASX listed, international mining company, Australia.
10 years in Financial services with May and Mellor and HSBC. 38 years industry experience in the resources industry.
Catherine Norman Managing Director Appointed Nov 2011
Geophysicist
28 years experience in the resources industry.
6 years as MD of Flow Energy Limited. 10 years as Managing Director of international oil services company in the UK developing projects in Europe, Africa and the Middle East region.
Ben Clube Executive Director and Commercial Manager Appointed 2013
Geologist and Chartered Accountant
27 years of experience in the resource sector.
Senior Finance Executive BHP Petroleum. Finance Director and Company Secretary of Oilex Ltd prior to joining FAR.
Reg Nelson Exploration Geophysicist Non-Executive Director
38 years of experience in the petroleum and minerals industries.
13 years as Managing Director of Beach Energy Limited. Recipient of the Prime Minister's Centenary Medal for services to the Australian mining industry (awarded in 2002) and APPEA's Reg Sprigg Gold Medal (awarded in 2009) for outstanding services to the Australian oil and gas exploration and production industry.
Appointed 2015
Fellow Certified Practising Accountant
Albert Brindal Non-Executive Director Appointed 2007
Director of the Company since 2007.
Broad commercial experience and Chairman of Remuneration Committee.
18
Senior management
==> picture [59 x 72] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 71] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 72] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 71] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 71] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [59 x 71] intentionally omitted <==
Catherine Norman Managing Director
BSC (geophysics), AICD
Ben Clube
Chief Operating Officer, Executive Director
BSC (geology), AICD, AIPN
Gordon Ramsay Executive General Manager, Business Development
BSC (geophysics), MBA, AICD
Pete Thiessen Chief Financial Officer
BA (accounting), MICA
Peter Nicholls Exploration Manager BSC (geophysics)
Jon Keall Chief Geoscientist
MSC (geology)
Over 20 years experience in the mineral and oil & gas exploration industry, having held executive positions both in Australia and in the UK. Cath has carried out operating assignments in Europe, Africa, the Middle East and Australia. Cath is a geophysicist who has been Managing Director of FAR since Nov 2011 and previously served as the Managing Director of Flow Energy for 6 years.
Over 20 years experience as a finance executive in the upstream petroleum industry. He has spent the majority of his career at BHP Billiton Petroleum and held roles across the full life cycle of exploration, development and operations. Ben has extensive experience capturing and implementing international projects. Ben is an associate of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of England and Wales.
Over 30 years commercial and technical experience including corporate finance, advisory and research roles in investment banking, as well as being responsible for the discovery of several oil and gas fields in the oil & gas industry. Rated Australia's No. 1 energy equity research analyst at UBS and Salomon Smith Barney (CitiGroup). Gordon was a senior exploration geophysicist at Gulf Canada Resources (Gulf Oil) prior to being recruited to Australia by BHP Billiton Petroleum.
Over 15 years experience as a Chartered Accountant. Pete has previously contracted independently to the mining and exploration industry and more recently was the CFO and Company Secretary of Flow Energy Limited. Prior to that he was a Client Director with Deloitte global accounting and professional service firm. Pete is a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Over 30 years experience in oil and gas exploration and development projects with BHP Billiton Petroleum, Nexus Energy, Antares, Oil Search and BP Australia. A professional geophysicist with experience in managing exploration teams operating offshore permits and wells. Proven track record of identifying prospective areas, working up prospects, and finding commercial fields.
Over 20 years experience in oil and gas exploration internationally and within Australia. A professional geologist that has worked for BHP Petroleum on many of the petroliferous basins of Australia-Asia and involved in several significant oil and gas discoveries. Experience over the full exploration cycle from identification and capture of new acreage, prospect generation, drilling and discovery of hydrocarbons.
19
Contact us
Level 17, 530 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000 Australia T: +61 3 9618 2550
www.far.com.au
==> picture [148 x 64] intentionally omitted <==
Disclaimer
-
This presentation has been prepared by FAR Limited (‘FAR’). It should not be considered as an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any shares in FAR or as an inducement to make an offer or invitation with respect to those securities. No agreement to subscribe for shares in FAR will be entered into on the basis of this presentation.
-
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are not based on historical fact, including those identified by the use of forward-looking terminology containing such words as ‘believes’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘estimates’, ‘continue’, ‘anticipates’, ‘intends’, ‘expects’, ‘should’, ‘schedule’, ‘program’, ‘potential’ or the negatives thereof and words of similar import.
-
FAR cautions that these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements. The forward looking statements are expressly subject to this caution. FAR makes no representation, warranty (express or implied), or assurance as to the completeness or accuracy of these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, expresses no opinion or any other form of assurance regarding them. FAR will not necessarily publish updates or revisions of these forwardlooking statements to reflect FAR’s circumstances after the date hereof.
-
By its very nature exploration and development of oil and gas is high risk and is not suitable for certain investors. FAR shares are a speculative investment. There are a number of risks, both specific to FAR and of a general nature which may affect the future operating and financial performance of FAR and the value of an investment in FAR including and not limited to economic conditions, stock market fluctuations, oil and gas demand and price movements, regional infrastructure constraints, securing drilling rigs, timing of approvals from relevant authorities, regulatory risks, operational risks, reliance on key personnel, foreign currency fluctuations, and regional geopolitical risks.
-
This presentation does not purport to be all inclusive or to contain all information which you may require in order to make an informed assessment of the Company’s prospects. You should conduct your own investigation, perform your own analysis, and seek your own advice from your professional adviser before making any investment decision.
-
Cautionary Statement for Prospective Resource Estimates – With respect to the Prospective Resource estimates contained within this report, it should be noted that the estimated quantities of Petroleum that may potentially be recovered by the future application of a development project may relate to undiscovered accumulations. These estimates have an associated risk of discovery and risk of development. Further exploration and appraisal is required to determine the existence of a significant quantity of potentially moveable hydrocarbons.
-
Information in this report relating to hydrocarbon resource estimates has been compiled by Peter Nicholls, the FAR exploration manager. Mr Nicholls has over 30 years of experience in petroleum geophysics and geology and is a member of the American Association of Petroleum Geology, the Society of Exploration Geophysicists and the Petroleum Exploration Society of Australia. Mr Nicholls consents to the inclusion of the information in this report relating to hydrocarbon Prospective Resources in the form and context in which it appears. The Prospective Resource estimates contained in this report are in accordance with the standard definitions set out by the Society of Petroleum Engineers, Petroleum Resource Management System.
21