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Europris — Earnings Release 2015
Feb 12, 2016
3599_rns_2016-02-12_94726d1e-f458-4208-8e62-9a1cae42fe5d.pdf
Earnings Release
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Presentation of results for the fourth quarter and full year 2015
CEO Pål Wibe CFO Espen Eldal 12 February 2016
Norway's leading discount variety retailer
The figures presented are unaudited
Highlights in the fourth quarter
- Group revenues increased 8.6% and likefor-like growth of 6.2%, outperforming market growth of 2.8%
- Strong performance during all three seasonal events
- Solid growth in Adjusted EBITDA:
- Up 9.7% to NOK 283 million
- Adjusted EBITDA margin 20.1%
- Reduced leverage due to strong cash flow
- Two new store openings during the quarter
- Bodø
- Grorud
Highlights full year 2015
Revenue
- Group revenues increased 8.7% to NOK 4 629 million for the full year
- 5.4% like-for-like growth, 2.3% for market
- Adjusted EBITDA rose 16.2% year-on-year to NOK 640 million
- Gross margin increased 1.4% points resulting from savings from sourcing initiatives and takeover of franchise stores
- Significant increase in net profit
- Reflecting reduction in interest costs following refinancing
- Nine new stores opened
- 58 store modernisations completed
Adjusted net profit
Adjusted EPS and dividend
- Adjusted earnings per share of NOK 2.04 in 2015*
- The Board of Directors proposes a dividend of NOK 1.40 per share, a total of NOK 234 million
- Dividend corresponds to 68.5% of adjusted net profit
- Dividend distribution will be carried out by way of a repayment of paid in capital
Europris continues to outperform the market
Overall growth performance
Y-o-Y LFL growth (%)
Europris growth rate in excess of market growth rate in the period % points
Modernisation almost completed
- 77% of own stores updated to latest store format at year end 2015
- Ten projects planned for Q1 of which four franchise stores (incl. one relocation)
- Strong pipeline for the full year with more than 30 projects planned of which app. 10 are relocations
- Peak of modernisation activity reached
Solid pipeline and a wide range of prospects
- Nine new stores opened during 2015, of which two during Q4 – Grorud and Bodø
- One new store planned in Q1 Ågotnes
- Solid pipeline of 19 new stores and several in negotiations:
- Ten confirmed for 2016
- Four confirmed for 2017 onwards
- Five waiting for municipal approval
- Wide range of prospects and good opportunity flow
- No closures planned for 2016
Q4 "Christmas Gift" – deep dive in like-for-like growth
The fundamentals for continued growth are sound…
Discount penetration is low Potential upside in frequency
How frequently do people shop at Europris (% of respondents) Discount retail penetration of grocery and variety retail (%)1 2
Source: Ultima database; Euromonitor; MediaCom survey
-
Includes grocery retail and variety retail; all variety retail defined as discount. Only Coop Obs of grocery retail chains is defined as "Discount" for the purpose of this analysis. Euromonitor defines Rema 1000, Kiwi, Rimi and Coop Prix as "Discounters". However, these have been excluded in this comparison to other geographical markets where the "Discount" concepts are believed to be more differentiated on e.g. price and private label penetration. Source: Ultima database & Euromonitor
-
MediaCom survey with 1,303 respondents over 15 years of age that have heard of Europris and have a store in proximity to where they live, updated autumn 2015
…and we have a clear and resilient business model…
Respondents agreeing with statement: "offers generally low prices" 2008 level indexed to 100
Strong price perception Resilient business model
LFL development in selected regions, FY 2015
Europris Market
…with a lot of "levers" to pull – store modernisations is one…
Case study: seven latest stores that were modernised in 2014
…and as other "levers" will become more important…
- We will continue to focus on seasons or events to drive sales
- Christmas
- Black Friday
- Halloween
- Summer
- Easter
- And others to come…
- There is flexibility in our wide assortment agility in the face of shifting demands
- Europris is on a "modernisation journey" of category and concept development will take time to capture full potential
- E-commerce/marketing and B2B still not fully exploited opportunities remain
…ensuring effective execution will be key – we have proven consistency across areas…
Source: Europris analysis
13 Definitions: City: Above 25.000 inhabitants in catchment area. 53 stores in 2015; Town: Between 10.000 and 25.000 inhabitants in catchment area. 108 stores in 2015; Rural: Less than 10.000 inhabitants in cathment area. 50 stores in 2015.
…which is also reflected across store sizes…
LfL growth: store size (m2
) Adj. EBITDA margin: store size (m2 )
Source: Europris analysis
14 Definitions: Under 900 sqm sales space: 42 stores in 2015; Between 900 and 1,200 sqm sales space: 108 stores in 2015; Between 1,200 and 1,500 sqm sales space: 44 stores in 2015; Above 1,500 sqm sales space: 17 stores in 2015.
…and even with nearby competition…
LfL growth: competitive intensity Adj. EBITDA margin: competitive intensity
…thus leaving a profitable store base with inherent opportunity for further upside
Adj. EBITDA in NOK per square meter sales space in 2015 for the 211 like-for-like stores in the Europris estate
Financial review
Gross margin development
- Gross margin was 45.9% in Q4 2015 vs. 47.2% in Q4 2014
- Timing difference in store stocktaking between 2014 (Q4) and 2015 (Q3) accounts for margin reduction
- Positive effect from stocktaking in 2014 was NOK 25.4 million
- Excluding effects from stocktaking, the gross margin was up by 0.2%-points
- Gross profit increased 12.3% for the full year
- Margin increase of 1.4%-points
- Significant savings from sourcing initiatives
- Positive impact from takeover of franchise stores
- Currency fluctuations handled well
Gross margin
OPEX development
- OPEX* in % of revenue was 25.7% in Q4 2015 vs. 27.3% in Q4 2014
- Positive impact from timing difference in marketing costs
- OPEX** was up by 10.5% for the full year
- Increase influenced by takeover of franchise stores
OPEX in % of revenue
Adjusted EBITDA development
- Adjusted EBITDA* margin of 20.1% in Q4 2015 vs. 19.9% in Q4 2014
- Strong revenue development and positive impact from timing differences in marketing costs
- Adjusted EBITDA** increased 16.2% from last year to NOK 640 million
- Positive impact from revenue growth
- Improved gross margin on the back of savings from sourcing initiatives and takeover of franchise stores
Adjusted EBITDA margin
* Adjusted for nonrecurring expenses of NOK 6.8 milllion in 2014
** Adjusted for nonrecurring expenses of NOK 36.7 milllion in 2015, mainly related to the IPO; adjusted for nonrecurring expenses of NOK 10.5 million in 2014
Profit and loss account
• Q4 2015
- Revenue growth of 8.6%
- Gross margin in Q4 2015 adversely impacted by timing difference in stocktaking
- Net financial expenses impacted by reduced interest costs in Q4 2015. Q4 2014 expenses influenced by positive impact from currency hedging
- Adjusted net profit up 9.7%
- FY 2015, preliminary
- Revenue grew 8.7% during 2015, driven by nine new stores and 5.4% LFL growth
- Strong growth in gross margin
- IPO related costs of NOK 30 million and refinancing costs of NOK 57 million in 2015
- Adjusted net profit up 31.2%
- Adjusted EPS of NOK 2.04
| Amounts in NOK million | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating income | 1 409 | 1 297 |
4 629 |
4 259 |
| Operating profit | 265 | 140 | 533 | 336 |
| Net financial income (exp.) |
-16 | -12 | -165 | -129 |
| Profit before tax | 250 | 129 | 368 | 206 |
| Income tax expense | 67 | 36 | 95 | 57 |
| Profit for the period | 182 | 92 | 273 | 149 |
| Nonrecurring items |
||||
| IPO cost and refinancing | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 |
| Other nonrecurring items | 0 | 101 | 7 | 152 |
| Total nonrecurring items | 0 | 101 | 94 | 152 |
| Profit before tax, adjusted | 250 | 229 | 461 | 358 |
| Tax on nonrecurring items 27% |
0 | 27 | 25 | 41 |
| Income tax expense | 67 | 36 | 95 | 57 |
| Adjusted net profit | 182 | 166 | 341 | 260 |
| Adjusted EPS (NOK) Based on 167 million shares |
1.09 | 0.99 | 2.04 | 1.56 |
Cash flow and working capital
- Strong cash flow of NOK 202 million for the year
- Stable operational cash flow for the full year
- Increase in income tax paid
- Rise in net working capital
- Working capital increase mainly inventory related
- Opening of net nine new stores and takeover of four franchise stores
- Value of goods purchased in foreign currencies increased
- Positive impact from refinancing during spring 2015
- No repayment of loans in 2015
- Reduced interest expenses
| Cash flow, NOK million |
FY 2015 | FY 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash from operating activities | 303 | 304 |
| Cash used in investing activities | -120 | -122 |
| Cash (used in)/from financing activities |
19 | -230 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents |
202 | -48 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at 1 January | 245 | 293 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 447 | 245 |
| Change in working capital, NOK million | FY 2015 | FY 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory | -108 | -105 |
| Accounts receivables and other short-term receivables |
53 | -28 |
| Accounts payable and other short-term liabilities |
14 | 74 |
| Change in working capital | -40 | -59 |
Summary and outlook
- Europris continues to outperform the market and delivered a strong end to a good year in 2015
- The group is well positioned to benefit from continued discount sector growth
- Resilient business model that shows relative strength in Rogaland and Hordaland
- Truly mixed assortment provides competitive flexibility and a large addressable market
- Nonstop growth focus
- Strong focus on concept and category development
- Healthy pipeline of new stores: expect >10 net new stores in 2016