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ERG — Investor Presentation 2025
Mar 14, 2025
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Investor Presentation
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FY 2024 RESULTS & STRATEGY UPDATE

12 March 2025


DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA
- ❑ FY 2024 Highlights and Delivery on our Strategy Paolo Merli, CEO
- ❑ 2024-2026 Strategy Update Paolo Merli, CEO
- ❑ Financials & Capital Structure Michele Pedemonte, CFO
- ❑ FY & 4Q 2024 Results Review Michele Pedemonte, CFO
- ❑ 2025 Guidance & Conclusions Paolo Merli, CEO
- ❑ Appendix


FY 2024 HIGHLIGHTS AND DELIVERY ON OUR STRATEGY
Paolo Merli - CEO
2024 KEY FIGURES(1)

Solid results despite the volatile environment
(1) Adjusted figures on continuing operations (excluding CCGT for FY 2023) (2) It refers to figures net of clawback measures (including IFRS 16 effect)
(3) Net Profit post-Minorities, and net of clawback measures
(4) It does not include IFRS 16 liability, respectively for €172mn as at 31.12.23, and €229mn as at 31.12.24
DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY
| Solid Execution +579MW: Repowering & Greenfield in Italy and France, M&A in France and entry in the US |
|
|---|---|
| Route-to-market 5 long-term PPAs signed with leading corporates and utilities for ca. 500GWh/year of RES energy Strategy |
|
| Sustainable Issued ERG's fourth €500mn Green Bond, EIB financing €243mn for renewable energy development Finance |
|
| ESG Consolidated Top Performance position in main ESG Ratings and included in S&P Yearbook 2025 |
|
| Shareholders Dividend + Share Buyback for a total purchase of 1.1mn own shares(1) €1/sh Remuneration |

SOLID TRACK-RECORD IN DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY

Keep delivering on our growth strategy with a mix of internal projects and M&A

PIONEER IN REPOWERING: FIRST 270MW FULLY IN OPERATION

ERG's first tranche of repowering proved strongly value accretive 8
PRO-ACTIVE ROUTE TO MARKET APPROACH

ERG well positioned to capture growing energy needs from emerging datacenters


REGULATORY FRAMEWORK EVOLUTION IN OUR CORE GEOGRAPHIES
| Country | RES Auctions: type | & duration | Storage: support mechanisms and planning |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ | FER X | 2 ways CFD | 20 years | ✓ | Capacity mkt 2026-28 MACSE exp in 2025 (delivery 2028) |
|
| ✓ | 2 ways CFD | 20 years | Capacity mkt Expected as of 2026 |
|||
| ✓ | 1 way CFD | 20 years | Capacity mkt Expected in 2028 |
|||
| ✓ | 2 ways CFD | 15 years | ✓ | Capacity mkt 2026-28 | ||
| 2 ways CFD | 12 years | Capacity mkt Expected in 2025 |
FERX first auction expected in 2025 New opportunities in BESS to be exploited
ERG AS OF TODAY: A SOLID AND INTERNATIONAL PLATFORM


2024-2026 STRATEGY UPDATE
Paolo Merli - CEO
VALUE OVER VOLUME APPROACH REINFORCED






Storage, Hybridization & Digitalization


Selective growth 4.2GW installed capacity in 2026 (vs 4.5GW); focus on repowering & organic
Investments/EBITDA CAPEX: €1.0bn 2024-2026 (-20% vs prev. €1.2bn); EBITDA >€600mn @2026
Route to market Confirmed target 85%-90% quasi-regulated on total EBITDA through CFD & PPA
Balance Sheet / Value Creation Commitment to IG rating: DCM as best option for sizable/competitive funding Value over Volume approach confirmed (IRR targeted 200bps+ over WACC)
Geographical Diversification Geographic focus on tier-1 countries: grow and consolidate Assessing asset rotation opportunities in tier-2 countries
Storage as a new stream of development Hybridization as an opportunistic technology to mainly protect our assets Digitalization to optimize the performance of assets
ESG A strategic priority: consolidating ERG's tier-1 positioning
Shareholder Remuneration 2025: €1/sh to be paid as dividend plus SBB (already done) equal to €0.15/sh 2026+: floor at €1/sh as dividend + potential upside from buybacks
CAPEX & PIPELINE UPDATED
~0.4
2024

Size of pipeline maintained, reducing solar exposure & more focus on flexibility

RELYING ON A FULLY SECURED GROWTH IN THE SHORT TERM

~130MW(1) under construction, route to MKT secured ~500MW(2) fully authorized, waiting for auctions and FERX
Adding visibility to our growth prospects in IT, FR, UK and DE. First move in Storage
(1) Tot. MW under construction: on absolute terms = 134MW, on a differential basis = 120MW (2) Tot. MW fully authorized: on absolute terms = 495MW, on a differential basis = 314MW, including also Nulvi Ploaghe
REPOWERING: ITALIAN CASE
- More than 45% of the current Italian wind fleet can be repowered: ~6GW out of 13GW
- Repowering is key to achieving the 2030 NECP target for onshore wind: 26GW
- Through repowering, potential increase of installed wind capacity by +7.5GW, i.e. ~58% of the required addition to achieve the PNIEC target


REPOWERING AS A STRATEGIC PILLAR IN ITALY AND ABROAD

A more sizeable pipeline in Repowering to be activated opportunistically
BESS - BATTERY ENERGY STORAGE SYSTEM

BESS as a new stream of growth to add flexibility in RES portfolio
ESG: A STRATEGIC PRIORITY

Net Zero target by 2040 to continue decarbonization path Circular Economy: minimizing waste in wind repowering Natural Capital Preservation in our organic RES developments

- Sharing Value with Local Communities ERG Academy to engage next generation in energy transition
- Safety first is a priority in all our actions DEI&B(1) well defined goals to foster engagement & empowerment

Enhancing governance model by promoting ethical and responsible business conduct Engaging the supply chain in decarbonization, D&I, and protecting Human Rights


FINANCIALS & CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Michele Pedemonte - CFO
640MW OUT OF INCENTIVES IN THE BP PERIOD

PPA as route to market to stabilize revenues after the end of incentives 21
A SOLID FINANCIAL STRUCTURE

A strong and efficient balance sheet with a well-spread repayment schedule
(1) Maturities excluding Broken Cross Project Financing into Group debt since closing of the acquisition in January 2025
INVESTMENT GRADE RATING ALWAYS A PILLAR OF ERG GROWTH PLAN



Strong Commitment to IG rating
(1) Excluding IFRS 16 liability
(2) Based on ERG's estimates
COST OF ERG SUSTAINABLE DEBT REMAINS MODERATE

ERG has the lowest cost of debt and the highest dividend yield vs pure players
(1) Internal estimation based on latest publicly available data (ENEL, Orsted, A2A, Iren, Acciona Energia)
(2) Data referred to 2023-2024 (Voltalia, Neoen, Encavis, Solaria, Terna Energy, Grenergy, Boralex, Orsted, Acciona Energia, EDPR)

FY & 4Q 2024 RESULTS REVIEW
Michele Pedemonte - CFO
WIND DROUGHT SINCE OCTOBER CONTINUING IN JAN-FEB 2025

(1) Source: UL Wind Index. Wind anomalies are calculated as a percent deviation from the 1995-2019 mean wind speed at 100m above ground level
(2) Graph based on data from Terna's Monthly Reports on the Electricity System
(3) DunkelFlaute: periods with combined wind and solar PV generation very low
4Q 2024 EBITDA & PRODUCTION

Exceptional wind drought across EU only partially offset by larger installed capacity

INVESTMENTS 489 53 553 112 2023 2024 4Q 2023 4Q 2024 M&A: 319(2) M&A: 184(1) Italy France Spain UK Sweden Corporate US Germany
- (1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing in Spain of two Solar acquisitions: Garnacha (for about €152mn, closing on June 23, 2023), and Fregenal (for an amount of €32mn, closing on June 30, 2023)
- (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of two Wind & Solar acquisitions in France (for about €84mn, closing on January 29, 2024) and in US (for an amount of €235mn, closing on April 24, 2024)

ADJUSTED P&L
| 2024 | 2023 | Euro millions | 4Q 2024 | 4Q 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 | 534 | Adjusted EBITDA | 145 | 159 |
| (263) | (223) | Amortization and depreciation |
(70) | (56) |
| 271 | 312 | Adjusted EBIT | 75 | 103 |
| (27) | (14) | Net financial income (expenses) |
(9) | (2) |
| 244 | 298 | Adjusted Results before taxes | 66 | 101 |
| (66) | (71) | Income taxes |
(20) | (24) |
| 178 | 227 | Adjusted Results on continued operations | 46 | 77 |
| (3) | (2) | Minority interests |
(1) | 0 |
| 175 | 226 | Adjusted Net Profit | 45 | 77 |
| 0 | (7) | (1) Adjusted Results on discontinued operations |
0 | (1) |
| 175 | 219 | Adjusted Results for the period | 45 | 75 |
| 27% | 24% | Tax Rate | 31% | 24% |


Note: Figures include IFRS 16 effect (1) FY e 4Q 2023 figures refer to CCGT Results

2024 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

(1) They do not include IFRS 16 liability, respectively for €172mn as at 31.12.23, and €229mn as at 31.12.24
(2) EBITDA includes IFRS 16 effect for €17mn
(3) It includes, among Others, reversal of no-cash items (PTC USA)
(4) They include €5.6mn of dividends to Minorities

2025 GUIDANCE & CONCLUSIONS
Paolo Merli - CEO
2025 GUIDANCE

BECOMING MORE SELECTIVE IN A COMPLEX SCENARIO

❑ Value over Volume approach reinforced ❑ 2024–2026 CAPEX cut by 20% (-30% on 2025-26), driven by delays of FERX and a cautious stance on US
❑ EBITDA >€600mn ❑ PPA and CfD as the main tools to 85%-90% quasi-regulated >€600mn
❑ In the BP period room for re-leverage and accelerate growth ❑ Commitment to maintaining an IG rating ❑ Competitive cost of financing


❑ Superior annual shareholder remuneration with a floor at €1/sh as cash dividend and flexibility to allocate extra-cash Peers' avg. on buyback, based on yearly performance and perspectives

APPENDIX
PRO-ACTIVE ROUTE TO MARKET APPROACH THROUGH VOLATILE YEARS

| Country & Asset Type | Plants & Capacity | Price Structure | Tenor / Start Date | Counterparty | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfield | Evishagaran / Craiggore tot. 70MW |
Fixed Price | 6 years Jan '22 |
~240GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Asset Based FiP expired |
Bois Bigot, Bois de l'Arche/Theta PTF 72MW |
Fixed Price | 5 years Sept – Dec '21 |
~150GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Greenfield | Mulligan 70MW |
Fixed Price | 12 years Jan '23 |
~Avg. 133GWh/Y Fixed Shape |
||
| Greenfield | Great Pathfinder 224MW |
Fixed Price | 12 years Apr '23 |
~831GWh/Y Pay as produced |
||
| Greenfield | Sandy Knowe / Creag Riabhach tot. 179MW |
Fixed Price | 10 years Jan '23 |
~400GWh/Y Baseload |
||
| Greenfield | Garnacha 149MW |
Discount to Mkt with Floor |
12 years from COD (Apr '24) |
~190GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Repowering | Partinico-Monreale 42MW |
Fixed Price | 12 years Jan '23 |
~70GWh/Y Baseload |
||
| Greenfield | Chaume Solar 29MW |
Fixed Price | 15 years Jan '25 |
~35GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Asset Based FiP expired |
Wind Portafolio 48MW equiv. + 53MW |
Collar Structure | 9 years Jan '23 |
~420GWh/Y Baseload + ~120GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Repowering | Camporeale + Mineo-Militello- Vizzini tot. 150MW |
Fixed Price | 15 years Jan '24 |
~250GWh/Y Baseload |
||
| Greenfield | Roccapalumba 47MW |
Fixed Price | 20 years from COD (Jun '24) |
~100GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Asset Based | Rotello 42MW |
Fixed Price | 5 years Jan '25 |
~100GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Asset Based | Wind Portfolio 5MW equiv. |
Fixed Price | 5 years Jan '25 |
~44GWh/Y Baseload |
||
| Asset Based | San Cireo 30MW |
Fixed Price | 5 years Jan '25 |
~64GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
||
| Greenfield | Corlacky 47MW |
Fixed Price | 15 years from COD (exp. 4Q '25) |
~180GWh/Y Pay as Produced |
TOT: ~3.3TWh/Y(1) 35
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

(2) UK prices net of balancing revenues

A SNAPSHOT OF FY AND 4Q 2024 RESULTS: PRODUCTION
| 2024 | 2023 | Δ | Energy Production (GWh): | 4Q 2024 | 4Q 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,720 | 2,784 | (64) | Italy | 708 | 851 | (143) |
| 1,210 | 1,315 | (104) | France | 322 | 435 | (113) |
| 568 | 629 | (62) | Germany | 153 | 217 | (64) |
| 710 | 742 | (32) | East Europe | 194 | 236 | (41) |
| 588 | 455 | 133 | UK & Nordics | 168 | 129 | 3 8 |
| 479 | 213 | 266 | Spain | 6 3 |
5 7 |
6 |
| 684 | 0 | 684 | U S |
240 | 0 | 240 |
| 6,959 1,357 932 |
6,139 | 820 1,357 932 |
Total Energy Production of which, Contribution of new assets: • Wind |
1,848 403 361 |
1,925 | (77) 403 361 |
| 425 | 425 | • Solar |
42 | 42 |

A SNAPSHOT FY AND 4Q 2024 RESULTS: EBITDA
| 2024 | 2023 | Δ | Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn): | 4Q 2024 | 4Q 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 339 | 299 | 4 0 |
Italy | 8 7 |
8 2 |
5 |
| 5 1 |
8 1 |
(30) | France | 1 6 |
3 0 |
(14) |
| 3 4 |
6 8 |
(34) | Germany | 1 0 |
2 1 |
(11) |
| 5 4 |
4 9 |
5 | East Europe | 1 6 |
1 2 |
4 |
| 3 0 |
3 8 |
(8) | UK & Nordics | 8 | 1 7 |
(9) |
| 1 5 |
2 0 |
(6) | Spain | 2 | 3 | (0) |
| 3 2 |
0 | 3 2 |
U S |
1 2 |
0 | 1 2 |
| (21) | (21) | (0) | Corporate | (6) | (5) | (1) |
| 535 | 534 | 1 | (1) Total Adjusted EBITDA |
145 | 159 | (14) |
| 73 | 73 | of which, Perimeter effect: | 26 | 26 | ||
| 60 | 60 | Wind • |
24 | 24 | ||
| 13 | 13 | Solar • |
2 | 2 |
