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ERG Investor Presentation 2024

Mar 13, 2024

4235_ip_2024-03-13_944a5f31-5803-4a05-9f23-ec9d5c724cb8.pdf

Investor Presentation

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4Q AND FY 2023 RESULTS

Paolo Merli - CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

2023: Execution and Completion of Energy Transition

  • Key Figures
  • Recent Developments

Results Review

  • Business Environment
  • FY 2023 Production & EBITDA
  • Investments

Key Financials

  • Profit & Loss
  • Cash Flow Statement
  • 2024 Guidance and Conclusions

2023: EXECUTION AND COMPLETION OF ENERGY TRANSITION

Paolo Merli - CEO

A STRONG SET OF RESULTS IN 2023

5 Strong results driven by larger installed capacity coupled with an efficient financial structure

COMPLETION OF OUR ENERGY TRANSITION

(1) Figures as of today do not include CCGT, which is accounted in FY 2023 under IFRS5 amongst the assets under disposal

ACHIEVEMENTS IN 2023/EARLY 2024

ENTERING THE US WIND & SOLAR MARKET

Transaction Overview Rationale

  • Agreement with Apex Clean Energy Holdings for a strategic partnership (75% ERG's stake) to manage an operating Wind & Solar portfolio (for a total of 317MW)
  • Apex will continue the operational management of the assets
  • Cooperation agreement for additional 1GW solar and onshore wind projects under development
  • Closing expected within 1H 2024

Location (within the MISO)

  • First investment in the US renewable market boosting ERG's geographical diversification
  • US to become one of the largest ERG's market abroad
  • Plants located in highly attractive wind / solar resource zones
  • Equipment provided by best-in-class O&Ms / EPCs
  • Stable revenues ensured through long-term power purchase agreements
  • Assets benefitting from tax equity investments with marketleading counterparts
  • Stable investment return in a favorable regulatory environment
Wind & Solar Plants Overview
Total Capacity: 317 MW (224MW Wind + 92MW Solar)
Energy Production: ~1TWh (~ 35% average load factor)
Enterprise Value: \$270mn
COD/commissioning: Feb. 2023 (Wind), July 2022 (Solar)
Route to Market: 12-year Corporate PPA for each plant with
primary off-takers

SIGNIFICANT EXECUTION FROM 2020 TO FY 2023

Keep delivering on our growth strategy with a mix of internal projects and M&A

(2) Fregenal (25MW) + Garnacha (149MW)

(1) Partinico-Monreale + Camporeale: gross capacity post-repowering = 42MW + 50MW

A PLATFORM OF PPA WITH TIER 1 OFF-TAKERS TO STABILIZE REVENUES

Country &
size
Plants & Capacity Price structure Tenor/
start date
Counterparty Volume Signing
Date
Asset Based
FiP
expired
110MW equiv. +
Avigliano/Lacedonia
53MW
Collar Structure 10 years
Jan '22
~220GWh/Y Baseload
+~120GWh/Y Pay as Produced
May '21
Asset Based
FiT
expired
Bois Bigot, Bois de
l'Arche/Theta PTF 72MW
Fixed Price 5 years
Sept –
Dec '21
~150GWh/Y
Pay as Produced
Oct '21
Greenfield Evishagaran/
Craiggore
tot. 70MW
Fixed Price 5 years
Jan '22
250GWh/Y
Pay as Produced
Jul '21
Greenfield Sandy Knowe/Creag
Riabhach
tot. 179W
Fixed Price 10 years
Jan '23
400GWh/Y
Baseload
Mar '22
Greenfield Garnacha
149MW
Discount to Mkt
with Floor
12 years
From COD (exp. Apr '24)
~190GWh/Y
Pay as Produced
Aug '22
Repowering Partinico-Monreale
42MW
Fixed Price 12 years
Jan '23
~70GWh/Y
Baseload
Mar '23
Greenfield Chaume
Solar
29MW
Fixed
Price
15 years
Jan '25
~35GWh/Y
Pay as Produced
Apr '23
Asset Based
FiP
expired
Wind Portafolio
100MW equiv.
Collar Structure 10 years
Jan '23
~200GWh/Y
Baseload
May '23
Repowering Camporeale
+ Mineo-Militello
Vizzini, tot. 150MW
Fixed Price 15 years
Jan '24
~260GWh/Y
Baseload
Nov '23
Roccapalumba
Greenfield
Fixed Price
47MW
20 years
From COD (exp. Apr '24)
~100GWh/Y
Pay as Produced
Feb '24
TOT: ca. 2.0TWh/Y

A SOLID FINANCIAL STRUCTURE

Repayment Schedule based on stock as of December 2023 (€ bn)

A strong and efficient balance sheet to support growth and a sustainable dividend policy

RESULTS REVIEW

Michele Pedemonte - CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

(2) UK prices net of balancing revenues

A SNAPSHOT OF FY AND 4Q 2023 RESULTS: PRODUCTION

2023 2022 Δ Energy Production (GWh): 4Q 2023 4Q 2022 Δ 2023 2022
2,784 2,312 472 Italy: 851 567 284
2
528
,
2
062
,
466
Wind
812 529 283 55% 53%
256 250 7
Solar
39 38 1 6,139 4,956
1,315 1,076 239 France: 435 343 9
2
GWh GWh
219
1
,
982 237
Wind
422 331 90 45%
96 94 1
Solar
14 11 2
629 556 7
3
Germany - Wind: 217 153 6
4
Italy
Europe
742 615 128 East Europe - Wind: 236 160 7
5
4Q 2023 4Q 2022
455 226 229 UK & Nordics - Wind: 129 8
1
4
8
213 171 4
2
Spain - Solar: 5
7
2
6
3
1
56% 57%
6,139 4,956 1,183 Total Energy Production 1,925 1,331 594 1,925 1,331
638 638 of which, Perimeter effect: 110 110 GWh GWh
579 579
Wind
82 82 44%
59 59
Solar
27 27

A SNAPSHOT OF FY AND 4Q 2023 RESULTS: EBITDA

2023 2022 Δ Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn): 4Q 2023 4Q 2022 Δ
294 288 7 Italy: 8
1
5
4
2
7
216 218 (2)
Wind
70 46 24
79 70 9
Solar
11 8 2
7
8
5
5
2
3
France: 3
0
1
8
1
1
73 50 23
Wind
30 18 11
5 5 0
Solar
0 (0) 0
6
5
7
0
(5) Germany - Wind: 2
0
2
7
(6)
4
8
7
2
(24) East Europe - Wind: 1
1
1
2
(1)
3
7
2
4
1
3
UK & Nordics - Wind: 1
6
6 1
0
2
0
1
8
2 Spain - Solar: 3 2 1
(22) (25) 3 Corporate: (5) (8) 2
520 502 1
9
Total Adjusted EBITDA (1)
155
112 4
4
68 68 of which, Perimeter effect: 17 17
62 62 Wind
16 16
6 6 Solar
0 0

(1) M&A CAPEX related to related to Valentia Solar acquisition in Spain (€100mn), plus Siena Solar acquisition (€115mn) and Donatello Wind acquisition (€396mn), both of them in Italy, and Corlacky Wind acquisition in UK (€27mn)

(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing in Spain of two Solar acquisitions: Garnacha (on June 23, 2023, for about €152mn), and Fregenal (on June 30, 2023 for an amount of €31mn)

(3) M&A CAPEX mailny related to Corlacky Wind acquisition in UK (€27mn)

KEY FINANCIALS

ADJUSTED P&L

2023 2022 Euro millions 4Q 2023 4Q 2022
520 502 (1)
Adjusted EBITDA
155 112
(215) (229) Amortization
and
depreciation
(54) (63)
305 273 Adjusted EBIT 101 49
(6) (25) Net
financial
income
(expenses)
(0) (7)
(0) 0 Net
income
(loss)
from
equity
investments
(0) 0
299 248 Adjusted Results before taxes 101 42
(71) (115) Income
taxes
(24) (29)
228 133 (2)
Adjusted Results on continued operations
77 13
(2) (4) Minority
interests
0 0
226 129 Adjusted Net Profit 77 14
(7) 16 (3)
Adjusted
Results
on discontinued
operations
(1) (1)
219 145 Adjusted Results for the period 76 13
24% 46% Tax Rate 24% 69%

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

(1) EBITDA net of clawback measures.

(2) Net Profit net of clawback measures.

(3) Figures refer to CCGT Results

EXTRAORDINARY CLAWBACK AND WINDFALL TAXES EFFECTS

2023 2022 At EBITDA level (€ mn): 4Q 2023
4Q 2022
2023 2022 (1)
At NET PROFIT level (€ mn):
4Q 2023 4Q 2022
532 537 EBITDA gross of clawback measures 158 126 235 212 Net Profit gross of clawback measures/Windfall taxes 7
9
4
3
1
2
3
5
(-) Clawback measures: 3 1
5
9 8
3
(-) Clawback measures/Windfall taxes: 2 3
0
0 7 Italy - 2 0 61 Italy - 20
6 7 France 2 7 4 5 France 2 5
- 2 Germany - 2 - 2 Germany - 2
0 Spain 0 0 Spain 0
6 19 (2)
East
Europe
0 4 5 16 (2)
East
Europe
0 3
520 502 EBITDA net of clawback measures 155 112 226 129 Net Profit net of clawback measures/Windfall taxes 7
7
1
4

(2) In Romania clawbacks measures internalized in price mechanisms as of 2023

2023 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

(1) Figures from continuing operations

  • (2) Figure net of clawback measures for €12mn
  • (3) Out of which €5mn to Minorities
  • (4) It includes prepayment fee for €5mn related to one-off fee related to liability management
  • (5) It includes mainly +€28mn fair value IRS, and -€11mn others
  • (6) It refers to CCGT disposal whose EV was €191mn

2024 GUIDANCE

Paolo Merli - CEO

EXTREME VOLATILITY IN NATURAL GAS AND ELECTRICITY PRICES

Revenues stabilized thanks to PPA, hedging and CFDs

(1) Of which ca. 1.1TWh under GRIN scheme in Italy, with a reversal correlation with previous year power prices (2) Of which ca. 0.9TWh CFD 1 way

ASSETS UNDER CONSTRUCTION

Adding visibility to our growth prospects in IT, FR, UK and DE. First move in storage

(1) Tot MW under construction: on absolute terms = 359MW, on a differential basis = 257MW

ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT GROWTH EXPECTED IN 2024

A visible and international mix of internal projects and M&A

(1) Of which 29MW Solar in final phase of construction

(2) Wind: Mineo-Militello-Vizzini + Salemi-Castelvetrano + Reinsdorf: gross capacity post-repowering = 101MW + 76MW + 6MW. Solar: Siena gross capacity post-repowering= 29MW

(3) Bourgogne 1 (32MW) + Limousine 1 (9MW)

2024 GUIDANCE

(1) Net of clawback measures in 2023 for €12mn

(2) EBITDA guidance net of clawbacks. It includes IFRS16 for €15mn and US consolidation assumed as of 2H 2024

(3) It does not include IFRS16 liability, amounting respectively to €172mn (actual FY 2023) and €210mn (2024 guidance) 25