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ERG — Investor Presentation 2023
Nov 14, 2023
4235_ip_2023-11-14_e72000af-438b-48dc-90bd-69cc5d80e526.pdf
Investor Presentation
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3Q AND 9M 2023 RESULTS
Paolo Merli - CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
❑ 3Q 2023 Highlights
- Key Figures
- Recent Developments
❑ Results Review
- Business Environment
- 9M 2023 Production & EBITDA
- Investments
❑ Key Financials
- Profit & Loss
- Cash Flow Statement
- ❑ 2023 Guidance and Conclusions
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES(1)
(1) Adjusted Figures on continuing operations (excluding CCGT)
(2) EBITDA net of clawback measures. Please refer to page 13 for reconciliation of gross and net figures
(3) Net Profit post-Minorities, and net of clawback measures and windfall profit taxes. Please refer to page 13 for reconciliation of gross and net figures
International
Corporate
Italy
MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS IN 3Q 2023 TO DATE
ERG's NET ZERO target strengthened after the sale of the CCGT thermal plant
RESULTS REVIEW
Michele Pedemonte - CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
A SNAPSHOT OF 9M AND 3Q 2023 RESULTS: PRODUCTION
| 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | Δ | Energy Production (GWh): | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,933 | 1,745 | 188 | Italy: | 584 | 493 | 9 1 |
| 716 1 , |
533 1 , |
183 | • Wind |
492 | 404 | 88 |
| 217 | 212 | 5 | • Solar |
92 | 89 | 3 |
| 879 | 733 | 146 | France: | 229 | 187 | 4 3 |
| 797 | 650 | 147 | • Wind |
197 | 154 | 43 |
| 82 | 83 | (1) | • Solar |
32 | 32 | (0) |
| 412 | 403 | 9 | Germany - Wind: | 107 | 8 2 |
2 5 |
| 506 | 454 | 5 2 |
East Europe - Wind: | 130 | 120 | 1 0 |
| 326 | 145 | 181 | UK & Nordics - Wind: | 109 | 3 0 |
7 8 |
| 156 | 145 | 1 2 |
Spain - Solar: | 6 6 |
5 8 |
8 |
| 4,214 | 3,625 | 589 | Total Energy Production | 1,225 | 970 | 255 |
| 528 | 528 | of which, Perimeter effect: | 115 | 115 | ||
| 496 | 496 | • Wind |
105 | 105 | ||
| 32 | 32 | • Solar |
10 | 10 |
A SNAPSHOT OF 9M AND 3Q 2023 RESULTS: EBITDA
| 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | Δ | Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn): | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 | 234 | (20) | Italy: | 6 6 |
8 5 |
(19) |
| 146 | 172 | (26) | • Wind |
36 | 59 | (24) |
| 68 | 62 | 6 | • Solar |
30 | 25 | 5 |
| 4 9 |
3 7 |
1 2 |
France: | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| 43 | 32 | 11 | • Wind |
6 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | • Solar |
2 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 5 |
4 3 |
1 | Germany - Wind: | 9 | 9 | (0) |
| 3 7 |
6 0 |
(23) | East Europe - Wind: | 7 | 1 7 |
(10) |
| 2 0 |
1 7 |
3 | UK & Nordics - Wind: | 1 0 |
(0) | 1 0 |
| 1 7 |
1 6 |
1 | Spain - Solar: | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| (17) | (17) | 1 | Corporate: | (5) | (6) | 0 |
| 365 | 390 | (25) | (1) Total Adjusted EBITDA |
102 | 118 | (16) |
| 51 | 51 | of which, Perimeter effect: | 14 | 14 | ||
| 46 | 46 | Wind • |
14 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 5 | Solar • |
0 | 0 |
INVESTMENTS
(1) M&A CAPEX related to Valentia Solar acquisition in Spain (€96mn - closing on January 31, 2022), plus Siena solar acquisition (€118mn – closing on July 7, 2022) and Donatello wind acquisition (€396mn, closing on September 9, 2022), both of them in Italy
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing in Spain of two Solar acquisitions: Garnacha (on June 23, 2023, for about €152mn), and Fregenal (on June 30, 2023 for an amount of €32mn)
(3) M&A CAPEX related to Siena solar acquisition (€118mn – closing on July 7, 2022) and Donatello wind acquisition (€396mn, closing on September 9, 2022), both of them in Italy
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
| 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | Euro millions | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | 390 | (1) Adjusted EBITDA |
102 | 118 |
| (161) | (166) | Amortization and depreciation |
(52) | (59) |
| 204 | 224 | Adjusted EBIT | 50 | 60 |
| (6) | (18) | Net financial income (expenses) |
(1) | (6) |
| 0 | 0 | Net income (loss) from equity investments |
0 | 0 |
| 198 | 206 | Adjusted Results before taxes | 48 | 54 |
| (47) | (86) | Income taxes |
(13) | (16) |
| 151 | 120 | (2) Adjusted Results on continued operations |
35 | 38 |
| (2) | (4) | Minority interests |
(1) | (3) |
| 149 | 115 | Adjusted Net Profit | 35 | 35 |
| (5) | 17 | (3) Adjusted Results on discontinued operations |
2 | 16 |
| 144 | 132 | Adjusted Results for the period | 37 | 51 |
| 24% | 42% | Tax Rate | 27% | 30% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
(1) EBITDA net of clawback measures. Please refer to page 13 for reconciliation of gross and net figures
(2) Net Profit net of clawback measures. Please refer to page 13 for reconciliation of gross and net figures
(3) Figures refer to CCGT Results
EXTRAORDINARY CLAWBACK AND WINDFALL TAXES EFFECTS
| 9M 2023 9M 2022 At EBITDA level (€ mn): |
3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 | (1) 9M 2023 9M 2022 At NET PROFIT level (€ mn): |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374 | 411 | EBITDA gross of clawback measures | 133 | 156 | 169 | Net Profit gross of clawback measures / Windfall taxes | 3 6 |
4 9 |
||
| 9 | 2 1 |
(-) Clawback measures: | 2 | 1 5 |
7 | 5 4 |
(-) Clawback measures / Windfall taxes: | 1 | 1 4 |
|
| 0 | 6 | Italy | 0 | 6 | 0 | 41 | Italy | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | France | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | France | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 15 | (2) East Europe |
1 | 10 | 5 | 13 | (2) East Europe |
0 | 8 | |
| 365 | 390 | EBITDA net of clawback measures | 102 | 118 | 149 | 115 | Net Profit net of clawback measures / Windfall taxes | 3 5 |
3 5 |
(1) Net profit post-Minorities
(2) In Romania clawbacks measures internalized in price mechanisms as of 2023
9M 2023 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(1) Figures from continuing operations
(2) Out of which €3mn to Minorities
(3) Figure net of clawback measures
(4) It also includes €9mn clawback measures
(5) It includes prepayment fee for €4mn related to one-off fee related to liability management
(6) It includes mainly -€114mn fair value futures, +€4mn fair value IRS, +€14mn tax cash-out, and -€8mn others
2023 GUIDANCE
Paolo Merli - CEO
INSTALLED CAPACITY EVOLUTION TO DATE
ASSETS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
On top of assets under construction around 150MW are fully authorized and in pre-construction phase
(1) Tot MW under construction: on absolute terms = 387MW, on a differential basis = 285MW
2023 GUIDANCE
(1) Net of clawback measures in 9M 2023 for €9mn
(2) EBITDA guidance net of clawbacks. It does not include any contribution pro-tempore related to CCGT, which is consolidated on a reported basis in the discontinued operations from January 1, 2022
(3) NFP already assumes the expected proceeds from the CCGT sale