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ERG — Investor Presentation 2021
Mar 12, 2021
4235_ip_2021-03-12_d1b0dc52-99fd-4333-865b-034f5b0ff899.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Full Year 2020 Results
12 MARCH 2021 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
❑ 4Q 2020 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ 2020 Main Takeaways & Business Plan Deployment
❑ Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 2020 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- ❑ Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- ❑ 2021 Guidance and Conclusions
- ❑ Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Lower Ebitda driven by poorer Wind/Hydro production in Italy as well as tougher price scenario exacerbated by Covid-19 Bottom line up YoY thanks to lower financial charges and taxes
FY 2020 RESULTS VS GUIDANCE
Results at bottom-end of the guidance due to poorer than expected wind conditions in Q4
2020 MAIN TAKEAWAYS & BUSINESS PLAN DEPLOYMENT
EU STRONG PUSH TOWARDS RENEWABLES…
EU Green Deal: EU carbon zero by 2050 Next Generation EU for a greener, more digital and resilient EU
EU Green Deal and EU Recovery Fund to boost RES growth and Sustainability
… DIDN'T TRANSLATE INTO REALITY
- ✓ Tough and long permitting processes, exacerbated by low acceptance at local level and a high amount of litigation
- ✓ Covid-19 implications: delays in authorization and construction
- ✓ Infrastructural contraints involving the grids
- ✓ Complex permitting even for the RPW: only 345MW of 2020 capacity additions came from RPW, and 388MW were decommissioned
Bottleneck in Permitting is slowing down new capacity installations (far from PNIECs targets)
Source: WindEurope
ERG ON TRACK WITH 2022 BP TARGETS ALTHOUGH WITH SOME DELAYS
Some delays due to bottlenecks in authorization and Covid-19
PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND/OR RTB
| Evishagaran | Sandy Knowe | Craiggore | Creag Riabhach |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47MW | 86MW | 24MW | 92MW | ||||||||
| • Construction started in January 2020 |
• Construction started in 4Q 2020 |
• | Construction started in 4Q 2019 | • Construction started in 4Q 2020 |
|||||||
| COD: 4Q 2021 | COD: 1Q 2022 (50MW); 2H 2023 (36MW) | COD: 4Q 2021 | COD: 2H 2022 | ||||||||
| Producibility: 3,700 heq | Producibility: 3,100 heq | Producibility: 3,400 heq | Producibility: 2,900 heq |
| Laszki | Piotrkow | Champagne I | Vaa2 ext. | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36MW | 24.5MW | 20MW | 7MW | ||||||||
| • Construction to start in 2Q 2021 |
• Construction started in 4Q 2020 |
• Construction to start in 3Q 2021 |
• Construction to start in 3Q 2021 |
||||||||
| COD: 1H 2022 | COD: 1H 2022 | COD: 1H 2022 | COD: 4Q 2021 | ||||||||
| Producibility: 2,500 heq | Producibility: 3,100 heq | Producibility: 2,300 heq | Producibility: 2,100 heq |
Under Construction/RTB: 336MW
UPDATE ON REPOWERING
Repowering Project Portfolio in Italy (MW differentials)
- Gross RPW by 2022-23: from 410MW to 311MW
- Longer than expected complex authorisation processes, also exacerbated by Covid 19
- High degree of litigation: 205MW under recourse, with no visibility on timing
- Still working on 498MW RPW pipeline at different stages of development with COD beyond 2024
Delay in RPW but better quality of investments thanks to possibility to take part to the auctions
A SOLID PIPELINE TO BOOST FUTURE GROWTH
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
| Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Q 2019 | 4Q 2020 | Delta % | |||||
| Italian Electricity Demand | 78 | 78 | 0% | ||||
| Italian Electricity Production | 68 | 67 | -3% | ||||
| of which: | |||||||
| - Thermo | 46 | 45 | -1% | ||||
| - Hydro | 12 | 12 | -7% | ||||
| - Solar | 3 | 4 | 10% | ||||
| - Wind | 6 | 5 | -17% | ||||
| - Other Sources | 1 | 1 | 0% |
2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro lower vs historical avg Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19
WIND RESULTS
4Q penalized by a generalized worse wind availability in Italy and abroad
SOLAR RESULTS
Results better YoY thanks to greater volumes
HYDRO RESULTS
Results penalized by weaker volumes YoY due to a persistent dry season
CCGT RESULTS
Tough trading environment coupled with end of white certificates
INVESTMENTS
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition amounting to €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn,) and Barkow acquisition for €84mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481 | 504 | Adjusted EBITDA | 119 | 124 |
| (298) | (299) | Amortization and depreciation | (74) | (76) |
| 183 | 205 | Adjusted EBIT | 45 | 48 |
| (47) | (61) | Net financial income (expenses) | (9) | (13) |
| 0 | 0 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 0 | 0 |
| 136 | 144 | Adjusted Results before taxes | 36 | 34 |
| (29) | (39) | Income taxes | (9) | (6) |
| 107 | 105 | Adjusted Results for the period | 27 | 29 |
| (2) | (1) | Minority interests | 0 | 0 |
| 106 | 104 | Adjusted Net Profit | 27 | 29 |
| 21% | 27% | Tax Rate | 25% | 16% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
2021 GUIDANCE
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2021 GUIDANCE
Go back to normal after COVID-19: Profitability up, Capex on the rise, Indebtedness under control
APPENDIX
4Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
Tough price environment, better wind conditions in Italy, lower volumes in Wind abroad and Hydro
4Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
Total 2020 Production: 7.7TWh
Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 14.9TWh
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 2020 | 2019 | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,967 | 1,929 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,967 | 1,929 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,093 | 1,093 | - Italy | 1,093 | 1,093 |
| 397 | 359 | - France | 397 | 359 |
| 272 | 272 | - Germany | 272 | 272 |
| 82 | 82 | - Poland | 82 | 82 |
| 70 | 70 | - Romania | 70 | 70 |
| 54 | 54 | - Bulgaria | 54 | 54 |
| 3,911 | 4,000 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 1,028 | 1,155 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,902 | 2,161 | - Italy | 486 | 587 |
| 952 | 794 | - France | 273 | 267 |
| 470 | 465 | - Germany | 126 | 138 |
| 244 | 255 | - Poland | 64 | 76 |
| 193 | 190 | - Romania | 43 | 52 |
| 150 | 135 | - Bulgaria | 36 | 35 |
| 0 | 0 | - UK | 0 | 0 |
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unitary Revenues (€/MWh): | ||||
| 119 | 118 | - Italy | 115 | 115 |
| 89 | 89 | - France | 89 | 90 |
| 96 | 96 | - Germany | 93 | 92 |
| 78 | 73 | - Poland | 84 | 78 |
| 56 | 67 | - Romania | 65 | 63 |
| 66 | 79 | - Bulgaria | 79 | 90 |
| Adjusted EBITDA: | ||||
| 165 | 191 | - Italy | 41 | 51 |
| 58 | 47 | - France | 16 | 17 |
| 28 | 31 | - Germany | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | 15 | - Poland | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | - Romania | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | - Bulgaria | 4 | 2 |
| (1) | (1) | - UK | (0) | (0) |
| 282 | 301 | Total Adjusted EBITDA | 74 | 87 |
| (165) | (169) | Depreciation | (40) | (42) |
| 117 | 132 | Adjusted EBIT | 35 | 44 |
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 | 226 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 32 | 32 |
| 315 | 314 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 318 | 302 |
| 66 | 63 | Adjusted EBITDA | 8 | 7 |
| (42) | (41) | Depreciation | (11) | (11) |
| 24 | 22 | Adjusted EBIT | (3) | (4) |
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,097 | 1,229 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 319 | 361 |
| 109 | 102 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 103 | 94 |
| 81 | 87 | Adjusted EBITDA | 23 | 23 |
| (57) | (57) | Depreciation | (14) | (14) |
| 24 | 30 | Adjusted EBIT | 9 | 9 |
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,441 | 2,504 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 617 | 563 |
| 35 | 40 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 39 | 40 |
| 67 | 69 | Adjusted EBITDA | 16 | 11 |
| (30) | (28) | Depreciation | (8) | (7) |
| 37 | 41 | Adjusted EBIT | 9 | 3 |
INVESTMENTS
| 2020 | 2019 | Euro millions | 4Q 2020 | 4Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) 127 |
(2) 189 |
Wind | 37 | 16 |
| 2 | (3) 221 |
Solar | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hydro | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | 15 | CCGT | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | Corporate | 1 | 1 |
| 156 | 432 | Total | 46 | 31 |
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn), and Barkow acquistion for €84mn
(4) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn