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ERG Investor Presentation 2021

Mar 12, 2021

4235_ip_2021-03-12_d1b0dc52-99fd-4333-865b-034f5b0ff899.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Full Year 2020 Results

12 MARCH 2021 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

❑ 4Q 2020 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • ✓ 2020 Main Takeaways & Business Plan Deployment

❑ Results Review

  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 2020 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • ❑ Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • ❑ 2021 Guidance and Conclusions
  • ❑ Appendix

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

Lower Ebitda driven by poorer Wind/Hydro production in Italy as well as tougher price scenario exacerbated by Covid-19 Bottom line up YoY thanks to lower financial charges and taxes

FY 2020 RESULTS VS GUIDANCE

Results at bottom-end of the guidance due to poorer than expected wind conditions in Q4

2020 MAIN TAKEAWAYS & BUSINESS PLAN DEPLOYMENT

EU STRONG PUSH TOWARDS RENEWABLES…

EU Green Deal: EU carbon zero by 2050 Next Generation EU for a greener, more digital and resilient EU

EU Green Deal and EU Recovery Fund to boost RES growth and Sustainability

… DIDN'T TRANSLATE INTO REALITY

  • ✓ Tough and long permitting processes, exacerbated by low acceptance at local level and a high amount of litigation
  • ✓ Covid-19 implications: delays in authorization and construction
  • ✓ Infrastructural contraints involving the grids
  • ✓ Complex permitting even for the RPW: only 345MW of 2020 capacity additions came from RPW, and 388MW were decommissioned

Bottleneck in Permitting is slowing down new capacity installations (far from PNIECs targets)

Source: WindEurope

ERG ON TRACK WITH 2022 BP TARGETS ALTHOUGH WITH SOME DELAYS

Some delays due to bottlenecks in authorization and Covid-19

PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION AND/OR RTB

Evishagaran Sandy Knowe Craiggore Creag
Riabhach
47MW 86MW 24MW 92MW

Construction started in January 2020

Construction started in 4Q 2020
Construction started in 4Q 2019
Construction started in 4Q 2020
COD: 4Q 2021 COD: 1Q 2022 (50MW); 2H 2023 (36MW) COD: 4Q 2021 COD: 2H 2022
Producibility: 3,700 heq Producibility: 3,100 heq Producibility: 3,400 heq Producibility: 2,900 heq
Laszki Piotrkow Champagne I Vaa2 ext.
36MW 24.5MW 20MW 7MW

Construction to start in 2Q 2021

Construction started in 4Q 2020

Construction to start in 3Q 2021

Construction to start in 3Q 2021
COD: 1H 2022 COD: 1H 2022 COD: 1H 2022 COD: 4Q 2021
Producibility: 2,500 heq Producibility: 3,100 heq Producibility: 2,300 heq Producibility: 2,100 heq

Under Construction/RTB: 336MW

UPDATE ON REPOWERING

Repowering Project Portfolio in Italy (MW differentials)

  • Gross RPW by 2022-23: from 410MW to 311MW
  • Longer than expected complex authorisation processes, also exacerbated by Covid 19
  • High degree of litigation: 205MW under recourse, with no visibility on timing
  • Still working on 498MW RPW pipeline at different stages of development with COD beyond 2024

Delay in RPW but better quality of investments thanks to possibility to take part to the auctions

A SOLID PIPELINE TO BOOST FUTURE GROWTH

RESULTS REVIEW

PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

Italy: Electricity
Production vs Demand (TWh)
4Q 2019 4Q 2020 Delta %
Italian Electricity Demand 78 78 0%
Italian Electricity Production 68 67 -3%
of which:
- Thermo 46 45 -1%
- Hydro 12 12 -7%
- Solar 3 4 10%
- Wind 6 5 -17%
- Other Sources 1 1 0%

2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro lower vs historical avg Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19

WIND RESULTS

4Q penalized by a generalized worse wind availability in Italy and abroad

SOLAR RESULTS

Results better YoY thanks to greater volumes

HYDRO RESULTS

Results penalized by weaker volumes YoY due to a persistent dry season

CCGT RESULTS

Tough trading environment coupled with end of white certificates

INVESTMENTS

(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition amounting to €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn,) and Barkow acquisition for €84mn

(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn

KEY FINANCIALS

ADJUSTED P&L

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
481 504 Adjusted EBITDA 119 124
(298) (299) Amortization and depreciation (74) (76)
183 205 Adjusted EBIT 45 48
(47) (61) Net financial income (expenses) (9) (13)
0 0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0
136 144 Adjusted Results before taxes 36 34
(29) (39) Income taxes (9) (6)
107 105 Adjusted Results for the period 27 29
(2) (1) Minority interests 0 0
106 104 Adjusted Net Profit 27 29
21% 27% Tax Rate 25% 16%

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

2021 GUIDANCE

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

2021 GUIDANCE

Go back to normal after COVID-19: Profitability up, Capex on the rise, Indebtedness under control

APPENDIX

4Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Tough price environment, better wind conditions in Italy, lower volumes in Wind abroad and Hydro

4Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

ENERGY PORTFOLIO

Total 2020 Production: 7.7TWh

Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 14.9TWh

WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

2020 2019 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
1,967 1,929 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,967 1,929
of which:
1,093 1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093
397 359 - France 397 359
272 272 - Germany 272 272
82 82 - Poland 82 82
70 70 - Romania 70 70
54 54 - Bulgaria 54 54
3,911 4,000 Electricity Production (GWh) 1,028 1,155
of which:
1,902 2,161 - Italy 486 587
952 794 - France 273 267
470 465 - Germany 126 138
244 255 - Poland 64 76
193 190 - Romania 43 52
150 135 - Bulgaria 36 35
0 0 - UK 0 0

WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
Unitary Revenues (€/MWh):
119 118 - Italy 115 115
89 89 - France 89 90
96 96 - Germany 93 92
78 73 - Poland 84 78
56 67 - Romania 65 63
66 79 - Bulgaria 79 90
Adjusted EBITDA:
165 191 - Italy 41 51
58 47 - France 16 17
28 31 - Germany 8 9
15 15 - Poland 4 5
8 10 - Romania 2 2
9 8 - Bulgaria 4 2
(1) (1) - UK (0) (0)
282 301 Total Adjusted EBITDA 74 87
(165) (169) Depreciation (40) (42)
117 132 Adjusted EBIT 35 44

SOLAR: KEY FIGURES

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
228 226 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 32 32
315 314 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 318 302
66 63 Adjusted EBITDA 8 7
(42) (41) Depreciation (11) (11)
24 22 Adjusted EBIT (3) (4)

HYDRO: KEY FIGURES

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
1,097 1,229 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 319 361
109 102 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 103 94
81 87 Adjusted EBITDA 23 23
(57) (57) Depreciation (14) (14)
24 30 Adjusted EBIT 9 9

CCGT: KEY FIGURES

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
2,441 2,504 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 617 563
35 40 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 39 40
67 69 Adjusted EBITDA 16 11
(30) (28) Depreciation (8) (7)
37 41 Adjusted EBIT 9 3

INVESTMENTS

2020 2019 Euro millions 4Q 2020 4Q 2019
(1)
127
(2)
189
Wind 37 16
2 (3)
221
Solar 1 1
6 6 Hydro 2 3
18 15 CCGT 6 10
2 2 Corporate 1 1
156 432 Total 46 31

(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn

(2) M&A CAPEX related to Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn), and Barkow acquistion for €84mn

(4) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn