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ERG Investor Presentation 2021

Jul 30, 2021

4235_er_2021-07-30_0888dc31-83f8-4538-8b87-9c1ad0158366.pdf

Investor Presentation

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2Q AND 1H 2021 RESULTS

Paolo Merli - CEO

30 July 2021

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

2Q 2021 Highlights

- Key Figures

  • Recent Developments
  • ❑ Results Review
    • Business Environment
    • 1H 2021 Group EBITDA
    • Results by Segments

Key Financials

  • Profit & Loss
  • Investments
  • Cash Flow Statement
  • 2021 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

EBITDA (€ mn)

CAPEX (€ mn)

CCGT

Hydro

Wind

Solar

(1) Adjusted means net of special items and IFRS16/IFRS9 effects.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Advancements in M&A and Proprietary Greenfield:
    • ✓ M&A in France: +80MW Wind and Solar
    • ✓ +47MW: acceleration on organic Wind project in Italy
  • Advancements in Repowering:
    • ✓ +143MW Gross (77MW net) fully permitted attended to the GSE 6th RES auction in June
  • Construction:
    • ✓ 77MW (UK and France) expected on stream by year-end
  • Route to Market:
    • ✓ Signed first 2 PPAs in Northern Ireland for 250GWh

RESULTS REVIEW

Michele Pedemonte - CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh) Clean Spark Spread Indicator (€/MWh)
----------------------------------------------- -- --------------------------------------
2Q 2020 2Q 2021 Delta %
Italian Electricity Demand 67 76 14%
Italian Electricity Production 65 67 4%
of
which:
- Thermo 36 39 9%
- Hydro 14 13 -6%
- Solar 8 8 0%
- Wind 5 5 0%
- Other Sources 1 1 -1%

1H 2021 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Strong recovery in Hydro volumes and weaker CCGT Wind abroad down vs extraordinary 1H 2020

WIND RESULTS

In 2Q 2021 better results both in Italy and abroad thanks to a generalized better scenario

SOLAR RESULTS

Results in line YoY, in a context of lower volumes and better scenario

HYDRO RESULTS

Strong increase of Hydro volumes EBITDA doubles YoY 11

THERMO RESULTS

End of White Certificates and tough market conditions for CCGT

INVESTMENTS

Investments increase: M&A and UK constructions

  • (1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquisition (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn
  • (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of the recent Wind acquisition in Sweden (which took place on May 10, 2021 for an amount of €41mn), and of Joran Wind and Solar acquisition in France (which took place on June 24, 2021) amounting to €147mn

KEY FINANCIALS

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures 15

(135) (149)

ADJUSTED P&L

281 263 Adjusted EBITDA 121 107
(135) (149) Amortization
and
depreciation
(67) (75)
147 114 Adjusted EBIT 54 32
(16) (25) financial
Net
income
(expenses)
(8) (12)
0 0 Net
income
(loss)
from
equity
investments
0 0
131 88 Adjusted Results before taxes 46 20
(31) (17) Income
taxes
(10) (2)
100 71 Adjusted Results for the period 35 18
(1) (1) Minority
interests
(1) (1)
100 70 Adjusted Net Profit 35 16
24% 19% Tax Rate 23% 12%

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020

1H 2021 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

2021 GUIDANCE

Paolo Merli - CEO

2021 GUIDANCE

Revised upwards to reflect stronger business environment and investments

APPENDIX

2Q 2021 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Better wind in Italy, poor wind conditions abroad, strong recovery in Hydro volumes and weaker CCGT

2Q 2021 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

ENERGY PORTFOLIO

Total 1H 2021 Production: 4.2TWh Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 7.5TWh 22

WIND KEY FIGURES (1/2)

1H 2021 1H 2020 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
2,025 1,967 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 2,025 1,967
of
which:
1
093
,
1
093
,
- Italy 1
093
,
1
093
,
455 397 - France 455 397
272 272 - Germany 272 272
82 82 - Poland 82 82
70 70 - Romania 70 70
54 54 - Bulgaria 54 54
1,994 2,208 Electricity Production (GWh) 839 842
of
which:
1
070
,
1
062
,
- Italy 454 464
435 533 - France 173 162
208 274 - Germany 88 86
106 142 - Poland 49 52
98 110 - Romania 47 46
77 88 - Bulgaria 28 33

WIND KEY FIGURES (2/2)

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
Unitary Revenues (€/MWh):
123 119 - Italy 129 117
89 90 - France 88 89
97 97 - Germany 102 96
84 72 - Poland 84 72
81 52 - Romania 86 42
78 61 - Bulgaria 79 51
Adjusted EBITDA:
105 97 - Italy 44 40
24 35 - France 8 8
12 18 - Germany 5 5
6 8 - Poland 3 3
6 4 - Romania 3 1
5 4 - Bulgaria 2 1
(1) (1) - UK (1) (0)
157 166 Total Adjusted EBITDA 63 57
(76) (84) Depreciation (38) (41)
81 83 Adjusted EBIT 25 16

SOLAR KEY FIGURES

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
115 120 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 74 76
326 311 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 328 311
34 35 Adjusted EBITDA 22 22
(20) (21) Depreciation (10) (10)
13 14 Adjusted EBIT 12 12

HYDRO KEY FIGURES

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
998 553 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 331 229
104 107 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 122 115
84 40 Adjusted EBITDA 30 16
(22) (29) Depreciation (11) (14)
62 11 Adjusted EBIT 19 2

THERMO KEY FIGURES

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
1,050 1,131 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 525 504
29 30 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 33 33
15 30 Adjusted EBITDA 9 15
(15) (15) Depreciation (7) (7)
0 15 Adjusted EBIT 2 7

(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of the recent Wind acquisition in Sweden (which took place on May 10, 2021 for an amount of €41mn), and of Joran Wind acquisition in France

(3) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of the recent Joran Solar acquisition in France (which took place on June 24, 2021) amounting to €23mn

INVESTMENTS

amounting to €2mn

1H 2021 1H 2020 Euro millions 2Q 2021 2Q 2020
(1)
277
(2)
71
Wind (1)
250
17
(3)
24
1 Solar 23 0
3 2 Hydro 2 1
7 12 CCGT 2 6
1 1 Corporate 0 0
311 86 Total 278 25