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ERG Investor Presentation 2014

Mar 12, 2015

4235_er_2015-03-12_fc03c23d-bd59-4922-bc33-5cd10464759e.pdf

Investor Presentation

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FOURTH QUARTER 2014 RESULTS

12 MARCH 2015

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

4Q 2014 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • ✓ 2014 Main Achievements

Results Review

  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 4Q 2014 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

Strong reduction in NFP thanks also to CIP6 early termination

POWER

Highlights

Adj NFP (€ mn)

IMPROVEMENT VS. GUIDANCE

✓Slight growth on a like-for-like basis ✓Results beat guidance, due to strong Renewables and Power, along with corporate cost reduction

Better operating performance and strong reduction in NFP

✓Lower NFP due to strong cash generation (including M&A)

(1) 2013 EBITDA re-stated to take into account ISAB Energy only for 1H and excluding Coastal Refining for the full year Highlights

2014 MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS AND RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Unicredit enters in ERG Renew share capital with a 7.14% stake
  • Raised Project Financing for €167mn for Gebeleisis and Topolog wind farms in Romania and Palazzo San Gervasio in Italy
  • 80MW in Poland under construction, expected to enter into operation by 2015

Renewables

  • Agreement for disposal of ISAB Energy, and exit from CIP6:
  • June 2014: acquisition of ISAB Energy minorities from GDF Suez for €153mn
  • June 30, 2014: ISAB Energy disposal to LUKOIL for a cash-in of €26mn
  • August 2014: exit from CIP6 convention for a cash-in of €515mn

Power

  • EOS disposal as of December 29, 2014 for a cash-in of €30mn
  • Exit from oil Supply & Trading activities as of January 1, 2015

Oil

CFO

PAOLO MERLI

Results Review

(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC

Improved results in Renewables Decrease in Power figures due to ISAB Energy plant disposal

(1) ISAB Energy EBITDA in FY13 was at €253.9mn, while in FY14 it is at €104.5mn due to ISAB Energy disposal as of July 1, 2014

Results Review

(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania

Higher production both in Italy and abroad

11

Volumes (GWh)

Strong ERG Power results ISAB Energy plant disposal effective as of July, 1

Results Review

4Q 2014

RC Ebitda (€ mn)

INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM RESULTS

Improved margins at TotalERG offset by operating loss in Trading

Results Review

  • (1) TOTALERG Refining EBITDA includes Logistics
  • (2) Volumes relate to 100% of TOTALERG stake in Sarpom (24%)

TOTAL INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM

TOTALERG REFINING TOTALERG MARKETING EOS ERG SUPPLY & TRADING COASTAL REFINING (1)

KEY FINANCIALS

PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

Key Financials

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
491 569 RC Adjusted EBITDA 91 132
(241) (291) Amortization and depreciation (60) (76)
249 278 RC Adjusted EBIT 31 56
(81) (88) Net financial income (expenses) (22) (23)
2 4 Net income (loss) from equity investments (0) 0
170 194 RC Results before taxes 9 33
(70) (100) Income taxes (9) (18)
101 94 RC Results for the period 0 15
(25) (56) Minority interests 0 (13)
76 38 RC Net profit 1 3

ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS

Key Financials

(€ mn)

4Q 2014

(1) Renewables adjusted for LUKERG Renew (50%)

  • (2) Integrated Downstream adjusted for TOTALERG (51%)
  • (3) It includes investment for the acquisition of Gebeleisis (ca. €55mn) and Hrabrovo (ca. €9mn) wind farms, plus ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)
  • (4) It includes investment for the acquisition of ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)

2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS

CEO

LUCA BETTONTE

✓EBITDA reduction mainly due to the exit from CIP6 ✓Slight growth on a like-for-like basis driven by Renewables

✓CAPEX driven by development in Wind ✓New Business Plan under definition

Group's transformation still ongoing

✓Tax settlement on ISAB Energy transaction

(1) 2014 Pro-forma EBITDA excluding ISAB Energy, ERG Supply & Trading and EOS

APPENDIX

4Q 2014 GROUP EBITDA

Improved results in Renewables Decrease in Power figures due to ISAB Energy plant disposal

(1) ISAB Energy EBITDA in 4Q13 was at €59mn, while in 4Q14 it is at €2mn

Appendix

Adj. Net Debt 30/09/2014

Cash Flow from operation Working Capital CAPEX Financial

Charges

Leverage

ISAB Energy Price Adjustment

Appendix

FY AND 4Q 2014 RESULTS

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
4,350 10,368 Adjusted Revenues 1,081 2,843
491 569 RC EBITDA Adjusted 91 132
267 245 - Renewables 66 59
204 358 - Power 22 83
44 (5) - Integrated Downstream 9 (2)
(24) (30) - Corporate (6) (7)
2014 2013 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
1,341 1,340 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,341 1,340
of which:
1,087 1,087 - Italy 1,087 1,087
86 86 - Germany 86 86
64 64 - France 64 64
27 27 - Bulgaria (1) 27 27
77 76 - Romania (1) 77 76
2,580 2,403 Electricity Production (GWh) 632 594
of which:
2,051 2,010 - Italy 481 449
144 155 - Germany 41 51
122 127 - France 32 43
67 57 - Bulgaria (1) 22 17
196 54 - Romania (1) 55 34

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

Appendix

(1) ERG 's stake = 50%

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
RC EBITDA:
233 219 Italy 56 49
12 11 Germany 4 4
8 8 France 2 3
14 6 LUKERG (1) 4 3
of which:
4 4 - Bulgaria (1) 2 1
10 2 - Romania (1) 3 2
267 245 Total RC EBITDA 66 59
(137) (126) Depreciation (39) (32)
130 119 RC EBIT 27 27
4Q 2014 4Q 2013
--------- ---------

RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

ISAB ENERGY: KEY FIGURES

2014 2013 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
2,042 4,142 Sales (GWh) 0 923
251 653 Sales (€ mn) 2 171
104 254 RC EBITDA (€ mn) 2 59
78 202 RC EBIT (€ mn) 1 44
100 119 CIP6 tariffs (€/MWh) 100 119
61 173 EBITDA IT GAAP (€ mn) 1 45

ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
2,623 2,663 Electricity Production (GWh) 707 669
100 104 RC EBITDA 19 24
(27) (28) Depreciation (6) (7)
73 76 RC EBIT 14 17

INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM: KEY FIGURES

(1) Estimated market share referring to 100% of TOTALERG

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
44 (5) Adjusted RC EBITDA 9 (2)
47 39 - TOTALERG (51%) 18 10
5 6 - ERG Oil Sicilia 0 1
(8) 1 - ERG Supply & Trading (9) (0)
n.a. (51) - Coastal Refining n.a. (13)
(48) (83) Adjusted Depreciation (13) (22)
(5) (87) Adjusted RC EBIT (4) (24)
34 41 Investments 12 14
10.7% 11.3% TOTALERG retail market share(1) 10.6% 11.5%

INVESTMENTS

2014 2013 Euro millions 4Q 2014 4Q 2013
38 (1)
170
(2)
Renewables
9 (4)
51
14 26 Power 4 11
34 41 Integrated Downstream(3) 12 14
3 2 Corporate 1 1
89 238 Adjusted Total 25 77
  • (1) It includes investment for the acquisition of Gebeleisis (ca. €55mn) and Hrabrovo (ca. €9mn) wind farms, plus ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)
  • (2) It includes ERG quota of investments made by LUKERG Renew
  • (3) It includes ERG quota of investments made by TOTALERG
  • (4) It includes investment for the acquisition of ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)