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ERG — Investor Presentation 2014
Mar 12, 2015
4235_er_2015-03-12_fc03c23d-bd59-4922-bc33-5cd10464759e.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FOURTH QUARTER 2014 RESULTS
12 MARCH 2015
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
4Q 2014 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ 2014 Main Achievements
Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 4Q 2014 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2015 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
RC Ebitda Adj (€ mn)
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Strong reduction in NFP thanks also to CIP6 early termination
POWER
Highlights
Adj NFP (€ mn)
IMPROVEMENT VS. GUIDANCE
✓Slight growth on a like-for-like basis ✓Results beat guidance, due to strong Renewables and Power, along with corporate cost reduction
Better operating performance and strong reduction in NFP
✓Lower NFP due to strong cash generation (including M&A)
(1) 2013 EBITDA re-stated to take into account ISAB Energy only for 1H and excluding Coastal Refining for the full year Highlights
2014 MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS AND RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
- Unicredit enters in ERG Renew share capital with a 7.14% stake
- Raised Project Financing for €167mn for Gebeleisis and Topolog wind farms in Romania and Palazzo San Gervasio in Italy
- 80MW in Poland under construction, expected to enter into operation by 2015
Renewables
- Agreement for disposal of ISAB Energy, and exit from CIP6:
- June 2014: acquisition of ISAB Energy minorities from GDF Suez for €153mn
- June 30, 2014: ISAB Energy disposal to LUKOIL for a cash-in of €26mn
- August 2014: exit from CIP6 convention for a cash-in of €515mn
Power
- EOS disposal as of December 29, 2014 for a cash-in of €30mn
- Exit from oil Supply & Trading activities as of January 1, 2015
Oil
CFO
PAOLO MERLI
Results Review
(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC
Improved results in Renewables Decrease in Power figures due to ISAB Energy plant disposal
(1) ISAB Energy EBITDA in FY13 was at €253.9mn, while in FY14 it is at €104.5mn due to ISAB Energy disposal as of July 1, 2014
Results Review
(1) LUKERG: ERG 's stake = 50% in Bulgaria and Romania
Higher production both in Italy and abroad
11
Volumes (GWh)
Strong ERG Power results ISAB Energy plant disposal effective as of July, 1
Results Review
4Q 2014
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM RESULTS
Improved margins at TotalERG offset by operating loss in Trading
Results Review
- (1) TOTALERG Refining EBITDA includes Logistics
- (2) Volumes relate to 100% of TOTALERG stake in Sarpom (24%)
TOTAL INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM
TOTALERG REFINING TOTALERG MARKETING EOS ERG SUPPLY & TRADING COASTAL REFINING (1)
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 491 | 569 | RC Adjusted EBITDA | 91 | 132 |
| (241) | (291) | Amortization and depreciation | (60) | (76) |
| 249 | 278 | RC Adjusted EBIT | 31 | 56 |
| (81) | (88) | Net financial income (expenses) | (22) | (23) |
| 2 | 4 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | (0) | 0 |
| 170 | 194 | RC Results before taxes | 9 | 33 |
| (70) | (100) | Income taxes | (9) | (18) |
| 101 | 94 | RC Results for the period | 0 | 15 |
| (25) | (56) | Minority interests | 0 | (13) |
| 76 | 38 | RC Net profit | 1 | 3 |
ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS
Key Financials
(€ mn)
4Q 2014
(1) Renewables adjusted for LUKERG Renew (50%)
- (2) Integrated Downstream adjusted for TOTALERG (51%)
- (3) It includes investment for the acquisition of Gebeleisis (ca. €55mn) and Hrabrovo (ca. €9mn) wind farms, plus ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)
- (4) It includes investment for the acquisition of ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)
2015 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
CEO
LUCA BETTONTE
✓EBITDA reduction mainly due to the exit from CIP6 ✓Slight growth on a like-for-like basis driven by Renewables
✓CAPEX driven by development in Wind ✓New Business Plan under definition
Group's transformation still ongoing
✓Tax settlement on ISAB Energy transaction
(1) 2014 Pro-forma EBITDA excluding ISAB Energy, ERG Supply & Trading and EOS
APPENDIX
4Q 2014 GROUP EBITDA
Improved results in Renewables Decrease in Power figures due to ISAB Energy plant disposal
(1) ISAB Energy EBITDA in 4Q13 was at €59mn, while in 4Q14 it is at €2mn
Appendix
Adj. Net Debt 30/09/2014
Cash Flow from operation Working Capital CAPEX Financial
Charges
Leverage
ISAB Energy Price Adjustment
Appendix
FY AND 4Q 2014 RESULTS
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,350 | 10,368 | Adjusted Revenues | 1,081 | 2,843 | |
| 491 | 569 | RC EBITDA Adjusted | 91 | 132 | |
| 267 | 245 | - Renewables | 66 | 59 | |
| 204 | 358 | - Power | 22 | 83 | |
| 44 | (5) | - Integrated Downstream | 9 | (2) | |
| (24) | (30) | - Corporate | (6) | (7) |
| 2014 | 2013 | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,341 | 1,340 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,341 | 1,340 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,087 | 1,087 | - Italy | 1,087 | 1,087 |
| 86 | 86 | - Germany | 86 | 86 |
| 64 | 64 | - France | 64 | 64 |
| 27 | 27 | - Bulgaria (1) | 27 | 27 |
| 77 | 76 | - Romania (1) | 77 | 76 |
| 2,580 | 2,403 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 632 | 594 |
| of which: | ||||
| 2,051 | 2,010 | - Italy | 481 | 449 |
| 144 | 155 | - Germany | 41 | 51 |
| 122 | 127 | - France | 32 | 43 |
| 67 | 57 | - Bulgaria (1) | 22 | 17 |
| 196 | 54 | - Romania (1) | 55 | 34 |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
Appendix
(1) ERG 's stake = 50%
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC EBITDA: | ||||
| 233 | 219 | Italy | 56 | 49 |
| 12 | 11 | Germany | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | France | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | 6 | LUKERG (1) | 4 | 3 |
| of which: | ||||
| 4 | 4 | - Bulgaria (1) | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | - Romania (1) | 3 | 2 |
| 267 | 245 | Total RC EBITDA | 66 | 59 |
| (137) | (126) | Depreciation | (39) | (32) |
| 130 | 119 | RC EBIT | 27 | 27 |
| 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|
| --------- | --------- |
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
ISAB ENERGY: KEY FIGURES
| 2014 | 2013 | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,042 | 4,142 | Sales (GWh) | 0 | 923 |
| 251 | 653 | Sales (€ mn) | 2 | 171 |
| 104 | 254 | RC EBITDA (€ mn) | 2 | 59 |
| 78 | 202 | RC EBIT (€ mn) | 1 | 44 |
| 100 | 119 | CIP6 tariffs (€/MWh) | 100 | 119 |
| 61 | 173 | EBITDA IT GAAP (€ mn) | 1 | 45 |
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,623 | 2,663 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 707 | 669 |
| 100 | 104 | RC EBITDA | 19 | 24 |
| (27) | (28) | Depreciation | (6) | (7) |
| 73 | 76 | RC EBIT | 14 | 17 |
INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM: KEY FIGURES
(1) Estimated market share referring to 100% of TOTALERG
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | (5) | Adjusted RC EBITDA | 9 | (2) |
| 47 | 39 | - TOTALERG (51%) | 18 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | - ERG Oil Sicilia | 0 | 1 |
| (8) | 1 | - ERG Supply & Trading | (9) | (0) |
| n.a. | (51) | - Coastal Refining | n.a. | (13) |
| (48) | (83) | Adjusted Depreciation | (13) | (22) |
| (5) | (87) | Adjusted RC EBIT | (4) | (24) |
| 34 | 41 | Investments | 12 | 14 |
| 10.7% | 11.3% | TOTALERG retail market share(1) | 10.6% | 11.5% |
INVESTMENTS
| 2014 | 2013 | Euro millions | 4Q 2014 | 4Q 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | (1) 170 |
(2) Renewables |
9 | (4) 51 |
| 14 | 26 | Power | 4 | 11 |
| 34 | 41 | Integrated Downstream(3) | 12 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | Corporate | 1 | 1 |
| 89 | 238 | Adjusted Total | 25 | 77 |
- (1) It includes investment for the acquisition of Gebeleisis (ca. €55mn) and Hrabrovo (ca. €9mn) wind farms, plus ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)
- (2) It includes ERG quota of investments made by LUKERG Renew
- (3) It includes ERG quota of investments made by TOTALERG
- (4) It includes investment for the acquisition of ERG Renew O&M (ca. €10mn)