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ERG — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 11, 2020
4235_er_2020-11-11_ff27a7dc-74b7-49e5-995d-316d288a1bf5.pdf
Investor Presentation
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3Q 2020 Results
11 NOVEMBER 2020 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
❑ 3Q 2020 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ Recent Developments
- ❑ Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 3Q 2020 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- ❑ Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- ❑ 2020 Guidance and Conclusions
- ❑ Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Slightly lower Operating Results, bottom line up YoY
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Green Financing and ESG Recognition
- Issuance of a €500mn 7Y Fixed Green Bond with coupon at 0.5% and yield of 0.616%
- ranked first globally by Vigeo as best firm in reporting the business impact of Climate Change
WTG Supply Agreement and Greenfield abroad advancements
- Signed a Framework Supply agreement with Vestas for 790MW (worth €500mn) covering Repowering and Greenfield projects
- acquired a 24.5MW RtB wind farm project in Poland: expected in operation by 1H 2022 with total CAPEX of €36.5mn
- awarded 2 wind projects over the last Auction in France for a total capacity of 27MW
- UK capacity under construction raised by 55MW: Sandy Knowe (48MW to 90MW) and Creag Riabhach (79MW to 92MW)
- ✓ Reducing further the cost of Debt through green finance
- ✓ Greenfield development abroad well on track
- ✓ Recognition of ERG strong ESG Commitments
ERG WELL ON TRACK WITH 2022 BP TARGETS STRONG EXECUTION FROM 2018 TO DATE
Growth in installed capacity (MW)
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
| Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q 2019 | 3Q 2020 | Delta % | ||
| Italian Electricity Demand | 84 | 82 | -3% | |
| Italian Electricity Production | 76 | 75 | -1% | |
| of which: | ||||
| - Thermo | 50 | 49 | -2% | |
| - Hydro | 14 | 13 | -2% | |
| - Solar | 8 | 9 | 7% | |
| - Wind | 3 | 4 | 13% | |
| - Other Sources | 1 | 1 | -3% |
3Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
Tough price environment, better wind conditions in Italy, lower volumes in Wind abroad and Hydro
WIND RESULTS
Better Wind production in Italy, offset by lower volumes and perimeter effect abroad
SOLAR RESULTS
Results better YoY thanks to greater volumes
HYDRO RESULTS
Results penalized by weaker volumes YoY due to a persistent dry season
CCGT RESULTS
Tough trading environment coupled with end of white certificates
INVESTMENTS
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition amounting to €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn,) and Barkow acquisition for €84mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn
(3) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquisition for €84mn
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362 | 380 | Adjusted EBITDA | 99 | 107 |
| (224) | (223) | Amortization and depreciation | (74) | (78) |
| 139 | 157 | Adjusted EBIT | 25 | 29 |
| (38) | (48) | Net financial income (expenses) | (13) | (15) |
| 0 | 0 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 0 | 0 |
| 101 | 109 | Adjusted Results before taxes | 12 | 14 |
| (20) | (33) | Income taxes | (3) | (6) |
| 81 | 76 | Adjusted Results for the period | 10 | 8 |
| (2) | (1) | Minority interests | (1) | (1) |
| 79 | 75 | Adjusted Net Profit | 9 | 7 |
| 20% | 30% | Tax Rate | 22% | 43% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
9M 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
2020 GUIDANCE
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2020 GUIDANCE CONFIRMED
APPENDIX
9M 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro still lower vs historical avg Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19
3Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
Total 9M 2020 Production: 5.7TWh
Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 11.0TWh
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,967 | 1,929 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,967 | 1,929 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,093 | 1,093 | - Italy | 1,093 | 1,093 |
| 397 | 359 | - France | 397 | 359 |
| 272 | 272 | - Germany | 272 | 272 |
| 82 | 82 | - Poland | 82 | 82 |
| 70 | 70 | - Romania | 70 | 70 |
| 54 | 54 | - Bulgaria | 54 | 54 |
| 2,883 | 2,846 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 674 | 692 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,416 | 1,575 | - Italy | 355 | 317 |
| 679 | 527 | - France | 146 | 142 |
| 344 | 327 | - Germany | 70 | 130 |
| 179 | 179 | - Poland | 37 | 44 |
| 149 | 138 | - Romania | 40 | 34 |
| 114 | 100 | - Bulgaria | 26 | 25 |
| 0 | 0 | - UK | 0 | 0 |
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unitary Revenues (€/MWh): | ||||
| 120 | 119 | - Italy | 122 | 121 |
| 89 | 89 | - France | 88 | 88 |
| 97 | 98 | - Germany | 95 | 95 |
| 76 | 71 | - Poland | 89 | 73 |
| 54 | 69 | - Romania | 58 | 72 |
| 62 | 75 | - Bulgaria | 66 | 67 |
| Adjusted EBITDA: | ||||
| 125 | 140 | - Italy | 28 | 23 |
| 41 | 30 | - France | 6 | 7 |
| 21 | 22 | - Germany | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | - Poland | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | - Romania | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | - Bulgaria | 1 | 1 |
| (1) | (1) | - UK | (0) | (0) |
| 208 | 214 | Total Adjusted EBITDA | 42 | 43 |
| (125) | (127) | Depreciation | (42) | (45) |
| 83 | 87 | Adjusted EBIT | 0 | (1) |
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196 | 194 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 76 | 75 |
| 315 | 316 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 321 | 319 |
| 57 | 56 | Adjusted EBITDA | 23 | 22 |
| (31) | (31) | Depreciation | (10) | (11) |
| 26 | 25 | Adjusted EBIT | 13 | 12 |
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778 | 867 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 225 | 274 |
| 111 | 105 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 120 | 106 |
| 58 | 64 | Adjusted EBITDA | 18 | 20 |
| (43) | (43) | Depreciation | (14) | (14) |
| 15 | 21 | Adjusted EBIT | 3 | 6 |
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,824 | 1,941 | Electricity Prodution (GWh) | 694 | 725 |
| 34 | 40 | Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) | 40 | 44 |
| 51 | 59 | Adjusted EBITDA | 21 | 25 |
| (22) | (21) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 29 | 38 | Adjusted EBIT | 13 | 18 |
INVESTMENTS
| 9M 2020 | 9M 2019 | Euro millions | 3Q 2020 | 3Q 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) 90 |
(2) 172 |
Wind | 19 | (3) 92 |
| 2 | (4) 220 |
Solar | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | Hydro | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | 5 | CCGT | 1 | 1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate | 0 | 0 |
| 110 | 401 | Total | 23 | 94 |
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn), and Barkow acquistion for €84mn
(3) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquistion for €84mn
(4) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn