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ERG Investor Presentation 2020

Nov 11, 2020

4235_er_2020-11-11_ff27a7dc-74b7-49e5-995d-316d288a1bf5.pdf

Investor Presentation

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3Q 2020 Results

11 NOVEMBER 2020 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

❑ 3Q 2020 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • ✓ Recent Developments
  • ❑ Results Review
  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 3Q 2020 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • ❑ Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • ❑ 2020 Guidance and Conclusions
  • ❑ Appendix

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

Slightly lower Operating Results, bottom line up YoY

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

Green Financing and ESG Recognition

  • Issuance of a €500mn 7Y Fixed Green Bond with coupon at 0.5% and yield of 0.616%
  • ranked first globally by Vigeo as best firm in reporting the business impact of Climate Change

WTG Supply Agreement and Greenfield abroad advancements

  • Signed a Framework Supply agreement with Vestas for 790MW (worth €500mn) covering Repowering and Greenfield projects
  • acquired a 24.5MW RtB wind farm project in Poland: expected in operation by 1H 2022 with total CAPEX of €36.5mn
  • awarded 2 wind projects over the last Auction in France for a total capacity of 27MW
  • UK capacity under construction raised by 55MW: Sandy Knowe (48MW to 90MW) and Creag Riabhach (79MW to 92MW)
  • Reducing further the cost of Debt through green finance
  • Greenfield development abroad well on track
    • Recognition of ERG strong ESG Commitments

ERG WELL ON TRACK WITH 2022 BP TARGETS STRONG EXECUTION FROM 2018 TO DATE

Growth in installed capacity (MW)

RESULTS REVIEW

PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

Italy: Electricity
Production vs Demand (TWh)
3Q 2019 3Q 2020 Delta %
Italian Electricity Demand 84 82 -3%
Italian Electricity Production 76 75 -1%
of which:
- Thermo 50 49 -2%
- Hydro 14 13 -2%
- Solar 8 9 7%
- Wind 3 4 13%
- Other Sources 1 1 -3%

3Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Tough price environment, better wind conditions in Italy, lower volumes in Wind abroad and Hydro

WIND RESULTS

Better Wind production in Italy, offset by lower volumes and perimeter effect abroad

SOLAR RESULTS

Results better YoY thanks to greater volumes

HYDRO RESULTS

Results penalized by weaker volumes YoY due to a persistent dry season

CCGT RESULTS

Tough trading environment coupled with end of white certificates

INVESTMENTS

(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition amounting to €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn,) and Barkow acquisition for €84mn

(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn

(3) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquisition for €84mn

KEY FINANCIALS

ADJUSTED P&L

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
362 380 Adjusted EBITDA 99 107
(224) (223) Amortization and depreciation (74) (78)
139 157 Adjusted EBIT 25 29
(38) (48) Net financial income (expenses) (13) (15)
0 0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0
101 109 Adjusted Results before taxes 12 14
(20) (33) Income taxes (3) (6)
81 76 Adjusted Results for the period 10 8
(2) (1) Minority interests (1) (1)
79 75 Adjusted Net Profit 9 7
20% 30% Tax Rate 22% 43%

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

9M 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

2020 GUIDANCE

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

2020 GUIDANCE CONFIRMED

APPENDIX

9M 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION

Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro still lower vs historical avg Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19

3Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT

ENERGY PORTFOLIO

Total 9M 2020 Production: 5.7TWh

Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 11.0TWh

WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

9M 2020 9M 2019 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
1,967 1,929 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,967 1,929
of which:
1,093 1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093
397 359 - France 397 359
272 272 - Germany 272 272
82 82 - Poland 82 82
70 70 - Romania 70 70
54 54 - Bulgaria 54 54
2,883 2,846 Electricity Production (GWh) 674 692
of which:
1,416 1,575 - Italy 355 317
679 527 - France 146 142
344 327 - Germany 70 130
179 179 - Poland 37 44
149 138 - Romania 40 34
114 100 - Bulgaria 26 25
0 0 - UK 0 0

WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
Unitary Revenues (€/MWh):
120 119 - Italy 122 121
89 89 - France 88 88
97 98 - Germany 95 95
76 71 - Poland 89 73
54 69 - Romania 58 72
62 75 - Bulgaria 66 67
Adjusted EBITDA:
125 140 - Italy 28 23
41 30 - France 6 7
21 22 - Germany 3 8
11 10 - Poland 2 2
6 7 - Romania 2 2
6 6 - Bulgaria 1 1
(1) (1) - UK (0) (0)
208 214 Total Adjusted EBITDA 42 43
(125) (127) Depreciation (42) (45)
83 87 Adjusted EBIT 0 (1)

SOLAR: KEY FIGURES

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
196 194 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 76 75
315 316 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 321 319
57 56 Adjusted EBITDA 23 22
(31) (31) Depreciation (10) (11)
26 25 Adjusted EBIT 13 12

HYDRO: KEY FIGURES

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
778 867 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 225 274
111 105 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 120 106
58 64 Adjusted EBITDA 18 20
(43) (43) Depreciation (14) (14)
15 21 Adjusted EBIT 3 6

CCGT: KEY FIGURES

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
1,824 1,941 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 694 725
34 40 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 40 44
51 59 Adjusted EBITDA 21 25
(22) (21) Depreciation (7) (7)
29 38 Adjusted EBIT 13 18

INVESTMENTS

9M 2020 9M 2019 Euro millions 3Q 2020 3Q 2019
(1)
90
(2)
172
Wind 19 (3)
92
2 (4)
220
Solar 1 0
4 3 Hydro 2 1
13 5 CCGT 1 1
1 1 Corporate 0 0
110 401 Total 23 94

(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €42mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2mn

(2) M&A CAPEX related to Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions (respectively for €6mn and €2mn), and Barkow acquistion for €84mn

(3) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquistion for €84mn

(4) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn