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ERG — Investor Presentation 2018
Nov 14, 2018
4235_er_2018-11-14_607c474a-bbaa-4951-a3c3-f8b7d3539f2d.pdf
Investor Presentation
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THIRD QUARTER 2018 RESULTS
14 NOVEMBER 2018LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based.
There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
h l h 3 Q 2 0 1 8 i i H t g g s |
|---|
Ke F ig y ur es |
l i R R t e s u s e v e w |
Bu in En iro t s es s v nm en |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 Gr E B I T D A ou p |
l by Re Se ts ts su g m en |
l K F i i e y n a n c a s |
f & Pr i Lo t o ss |
In tm ts ve s en |
h lo Ca S F ta te t s w m en |
d d l 2 0 1 8 G i C i u a n c e a n o n c u s o n s |
Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Good results thanks to ERG generation mix
(1) It excludes TE contribution for €10.1mn in 3Q 2017 and €25mn in 9M 2017(2) It includes Vendor Loan to api for €37mn
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
| ly lec du d ( h ) I ic i io W E Pr De T ta tr ty t : o c n v s m an |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
l % De ta |
||||
| l ian lec ic i d I E De ta tr ty ma n |
8 3 |
8 4 |
% 1 |
|||
| l lec du I ian E ic i Pr ion ta tr ty t o c |
7 4 |
7 4 |
1 % |
|||
| f w hic h: o |
||||||
| he - T rm o |
49 | 49 | 1% | |||
| dro - H y |
12 | 13 | 9% | |||
| - S lar o |
8 | 8 | 2% | |||
| d - W in |
4 | 3 | -21 % |
|||
| he - O r S t ou rce s |
1 | 1 | -2% |
All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh)
3Q 2018 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
Total 9M 2018 Production: 5.7TWhTotal Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 10.2TWh
WIND RESULTS
Generalized weak wind conditions
SOLAR RESULTS1228Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 9M 2018 3Q 2018 451099M 20183Q 2018
Solar consolidated as of 01/01/2018
HYDRO RESULTS
Strong hydro results
401
CCGT RESULTS
Still solid results
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
d Re ta te s 9 2 0 1 M 7 |
l l Eu i io ro m ns |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
d Re ta te s 3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 8 1 |
3 5 6 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
1 0 5 |
9 8 |
| ( ) 2 0 3 |
( ) 1 8 8 |
iza ion d de iat ion Am t t or an p rec |
( ) 6 7 |
( ) 6 2 |
| 1 7 8 |
1 6 8 |
d d A j E B I T te us |
3 8 |
3 6 |
| ( ) 5 3 |
( ) 4 9 |
f l ( ) Ne ina ia inc t nc om e ex p en se s |
( ) 1 5 |
( ) 1 5 |
| 0 | 0 | ( los ) f Ne inc ity inv t tm ts om e s ro m eq u es en |
0 | 0 |
| 1 2 5 |
1 1 9 |
fo d j d l be A Re te ts ta us su re xe s |
2 2 |
2 1 |
| ( ) 3 3 |
( ) 3 1 |
Inc e t om ax es |
( ) 6 |
( ) 5 |
| 9 2 |
8 8 |
d d l fo he d A j io Re te ts t us su r p er |
1 7 |
1 6 |
| ( ) 0 |
0 | M ino ity int sts r ere |
( ) 0 |
0 |
| 9 2 |
8 8 |
d d f A j Ne Pr i te t t us o |
1 7 |
1 6 |
| 2 6 % |
2 6 % |
Ta Ra te x |
2 6 % |
2 4 % |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Leverage
2018 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2018 GUIDANCEAdj. EBITDA: - Guidance range confirmed at €490-500mn 381490-5009M 2018 2018 FCST 484520-540
CAPEX:
Guidance range GuidanceActual
9M 2018 2018 FCST
(1) It includes Vendor Loan to api for €37mn
NFP: -Guidance confirmed at €1.35bn
APPENDIX
9M 2018 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
9M 2018 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(1) It includes €179mn referred to TotalERG disposal (on January 10, 2018), and €106mn referred to Brockaghboy disposal (on March 8, 2018)
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 7 9 1 |
1, 7 6 8 |
( ) l le d c ity d- io d, Ins M W ta ap ac en p er |
1, 7 9 1 |
1, 7 6 8 |
| f w hic h: o |
||||
| 1, 09 3 |
1, 09 4 |
aly - It |
1, 09 3 |
1, 09 4 |
| 27 6 |
25 2 |
- F ran ce |
27 6 |
25 2 |
| 21 6 |
21 6 |
- G erm an y |
21 6 |
21 6 |
| 82 | 82 | ola nd - P |
82 | 82 |
| 70 | 70 | - R ia om an |
70 | 70 |
| 54 | 54 | ulg - B ari a |
54 | 54 |
| 0 | 0 | - U K |
0 | 0 |
| 2, 5 0 9 |
2, 5 3 2 |
( ) lec ic ity du ion h E Pro G W tr ct |
5 7 8 |
7 2 3 |
| f w hic h: o |
||||
| 1, 49 0 |
1, 52 3 |
aly - It |
33 8 |
44 4 |
| 37 5 |
33 7 |
- F ran ce |
79 | 93 |
| 23 4 |
23 7 |
- G erm an y |
56 | 61 |
| 15 1 |
16 6 |
ola nd - P |
39 | 45 |
| 13 0 |
15 3 |
- R ia om an |
39 | 42 |
| 10 1 |
11 6 |
ulg - B ari a |
26 | 38 |
| 29 | 0 | - U K |
0 | 0 |
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
i l l ion Eu ro m s |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ( / h ): Un ita Re € M W ry ve nu es |
||||
| 12 5 |
14 7 |
- It aly |
13 1 |
14 0 |
| 87 | 89 | - Fr an ce |
87 | 90 |
| 94 | 95 | - G erm an y |
95 | 94 |
| 58 | 44 | ola nd - P |
58 | 49 |
| 53 | 58 | - R ia om an |
60 | 42 |
| 72 | 63 | - B ulg ari a |
73 | 62 |
| 10 0 |
n.a | - U K |
n.a | n.a |
| d j d A E B I T D A: ust e |
||||
| 14 6 |
17 8 |
aly - It |
30 | 46 |
| 20 | 20 | - Fr an ce |
2 | 5 |
| 14 | 15 | - G erm an y |
3 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | ola nd - P |
2 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ia - R om an |
2 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | ulg - B ari a |
1 | 1 |
| 3 | ( 0) |
- U K |
0 | ( 0) |
| 1 9 9 |
2 2 7 |
l d d To A j E B I T D A ta ust e |
4 0 |
5 7 |
| ( ) 1 2 0 |
( ) 1 1 9 |
De iat ion p rec |
( ) 3 9 |
( ) 4 0 |
| 9 7 |
1 0 8 |
A d j d I ust E B T e |
1 | 1 7 |
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i ion ro m s |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 0 9 |
n.a | lec du ( h ) E ic ity Pro ion G W tr t |
4 5 |
n.a |
| 2 9 5 |
n.a | ( / h ) Un ita Re € M W ry ve nu es |
3 0 2 |
n.a |
| 2 8 |
n.a | d j d A E B I T D A te us |
2 1 |
n.a |
| ( ) 1 5 |
n.a | iat ion De p rec |
( ) 5 |
n.a |
| 1 3 |
n.a | d j d A E B I T te us |
7 | n.a |
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
i l l ion Eu ro m s |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 4 0 2 |
8 8 4 |
( ) lec ic ity du ion h E Pro G W tr t |
4 0 1 |
2 3 2 |
| 1 0 5 |
1 0 7 |
( / ) ita h Un Re € M W ry ve nu es |
1 1 9 |
1 2 2 |
| 1 1 8 |
7 3 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
3 8 |
1 9 |
| ( ) 4 3 |
( ) 4 4 |
De iat ion p rec |
( ) 1 4 |
( ) 1 5 |
| 7 4 |
2 9 |
d d A j E B I T te us |
2 3 |
4 |
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i ion ro m s |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 6 4 5 |
1, 8 1 2 |
lec du ( h ) E ic ity Pro ion G W tr t |
5 9 1 |
6 3 8 |
| 3 9 |
4 6 |
/ ( h ) Un ita Re € M W ry ve nu es |
4 3 |
4 4 |
| 4 8 |
6 3 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
1 8 |
2 3 |
| ( ) 2 3 |
( ) 2 3 |
De iat ion p rec |
( ) 8 |
( ) 7 |
| 2 5 |
3 9 |
d d A j E B I T te us |
1 1 |
1 6 |
INVESTMENTS
| 9 M 2 0 1 8 |
9 M 2 0 1 7 |
i l l ion Eu ro m s |
3 Q 2 0 1 8 |
3 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 3 0 |
6 6 |
d W in |
3 2 |
7 |
| 3 4 5 |
n.a | lar So |
0 | n.a |
| 3 | 4 | dr Hy o |
2 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | C C G T |
2 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | Co ate rp or |
1 | 0 |
| 8 4 4 |
7 7 |
l To ta |
3 7 |
1 1 |