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ENVIRONMENTAL CLEAN TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED. Capital/Financing Update 2012

Jun 14, 2012

64819_rns_2012-06-14_0f2b99b9-61da-4b8d-bbfe-eead12b8bdf2.pdf

Capital/Financing Update

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Shareholder Update June 2012
Capital
Raising
DFT
Phase
1
complete
EL
5119
The
‘Monash’
transaction
is
Arup
have
completed
phase
1
ECT
enters
the
resource
expected
to
conclude
in
coming
of
the
DFT,
delivering
development
sphere
with
its
weeks,
paving
the
way
for
outcomes
in
line
with
acquisition
of
an
interest
in
completion
of
the
DFT,
and
expectations
and
paving
the
exploration
licence
EL5119
future
project
funding
way
for
phases
2
&
3
Page 2 Page 4 Page 5
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Welcome

Dear

Shareholders,

This
is
an
important
period
for
your
company
as
we implement
strategies
to
commercialise
our
valuable
Coldry and Matmor technologies while evaluating other commercial
opportunities.

We
have
recently
achieved
several
important
milestones that
we
believe
will
be
critical
to
the
future
of
your company:

  • Confirmation
    of
    Monash
    Capital
    joint
    venture
    company ‘IMFAMA’s’
    investments
    in
    ECT
    shares
    and
    projects

  • Completion
    of
    Phase
    1
    of
    the
    Design
    For
    Tender
    (DFT) Program

  • Sealing
    of
    the
    Australian
    Coldry
    Patent

  • Acquisition
    of
    Coal
    Exploration
    Arrangements
    in Victoria
    via
    EL
    5119

The
ECT
board
has
a
policy
of
communicating
with
and informing
shareholders
of
significant
developments
and has
developed
this
Shareholder
Update
as
one
means
of updating
you.
It
is
envisaged
these
will
be
provided quarterly.

We
welcome
your
feedback
on
this
communication
and
we look
forward
to
providing
a
further
update
in
coming months.

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In this issue…

Page
Topic

  • 2 Cornerstone
    investor progress
    update

  • 3 Capital
    management

  • 4 DFT

  • 5 EL5119

  • 5 Coldry
    commercial
    demo

  • 6 Vic
    Gov
    Coal
    Tender

  • 6 IP
    Update

  • 7 Asian
    opportunity

  • 7 Energy
    forums

  • 9 Market
    perspectives

Michael Davies Executive
Chairman
and
Managing
Director

1. IMFAMA set to become cornerstone investor

I
wish
to
report
to
shareholders
that
documents received
yesterday
from
Monash
Capital
Group (Monash)
confirm
the
imminent
completion
of
their financing
commitment
to
ECT.

Monash
has
advised
ECT,
and
ECT
has
sighted documentary
evidence
to
confirm,
that
a
formal banking
process
is
in
place,
which
will
provide
for
the share
placement
monies,
the
provision
of
funding
for the
construction
and
operation
of
the
Coldry Demonstration
Facility
and
funding
for
the
Matmor Pilot
Plant
development.

It
is
expected
that
the
funds
will
be
made
available
to ECT
within
the
next
two
weeks.

Shares
from
the
placement
approved
by
shareholders at
the
recent
Extraordinary
Meeting
(EGM)
will
be issued
to
IMFAMA
Pty
Ltd,
which
is
a
company
jointly owned
by
Monash
and
Indigenous
Monetary
Fund Australia
(IMFA).
On
completion
of
the
transaction, IMFAMA
will
become
the
largest
holder
of
the Company’s
issued
capital
and
a
major
strategic investor.

As
described
in
the
Notice
of
Meeting
for
the
EGM, funds
received
from
the
placement
will
enable completion
of
Phases
two
and
three
of
the
Design
For Tender
(DFT)
program
as
well
as
providing
working capital.

Shareholders
will
appreciate
the
necessity
to
complete the
DFT
in
order
to
have
the
engineering
detail required
to
cost
the
construction
of
a
2
million
tonne per
annum
(mtpa)
Coldry
production
facility.

It
has
been
agreed
in-­‐principle
with
Monash
that following
IMFAMA
becoming
a
substantial shareholder,
that
ECT
will
offer
participation
in
joint ventures
to
globally
commercialise
the
Coldry
and Matmor
technologies,
and
other
appropriate commercial
opportunities
as
they
emerge.

The
information
received
by
Monash
further reinforces
ECT’s
financial
future
through
the
funding of
the
Coldry
Demonstration
Plant
and
the
funding
of the
Matmor
commercialisation
program.

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2

2. Capital Management

The
Capital
Management
Committee
has
supported the
Board’s
strategic
capital
efforts
over
the
past
nine months
to
achieve
the
following:

  1. Non-­‐Renounceable
    Rights
    Issue
    announced
    in August
    2011
    and
    closed
    on
    23
    December
    2011 delivered
    $2.2m
    of
    the
    anticipated
    $3.8m. Though
    this
    was
    $1.6m
    short
    of
    target,
    it
    was considered
    to
    be
    a
    reasonable
    outcome
    given
    the volatility
    of
    both
    the
    markets
    and
    the
    company’s performance
    in
    the
    preceding
    six
    months.

  2. As
    announced
    on
    10
    January
    2012,
    the
    company secured
    commitments
    for
    an
    additional
    $1.1m comprising
    two
    separate
    share
    placements
    of $695,000
    and
    $405,000.
    The
    initial
    placement was
    made
    pursuant
    to
    the
    15%
    “head
    room”, with
    the
    second
    placement
    subject
    to shareholder
    approval
    at
    the
    Extraordinary General
    Meeting.
    As
    advised,
    the
    $405,000 placement
    was
    subsequently
    withdrawn
    as Director’s
    considered
    the
    terms
    and
    conditions
    to be
    mismatched
    to
    market.

  3. Consistent
    with
    a
    November
    2011
    Board resolution
    to
    meet
    the
    balance
    of
    the
    La
    Jolla Cove
    Converting
    Loan
    facility
    with
    cash,
    a
    facility was
    negotiated
    with
    Menzies
    Security
    on
    terms and
    conditions
    as
    announced
    to
    the
    market
    on
    28 February

  4. These
    funds
    were
    used
    to
    pre-­‐pay the
    balance
    of
    the
    La
    Jolla
    facility.
    In
    total, $743,000
    of
    cash
    was
    used
    to
    satisfy
    the
    La
    Jolla Cove
    convertible
    note.

  5. On
    15
    March
    ECT
    advised
    that
    a
    placement
    with Monash
    Capital
    Group
    for
    300
    million
    shares
    and 300
    million
    ESIO
    options
    for
    $4.0m
    had
    been finalised.
    This
    placement
    was
    approved
    by shareholders
    at
    the
    recent
    General
    Meeting
    and provided
    Monash
    Capital
    nominee
    IMFAMA
    with approximately
    16%
    of
    the
    company’s
    issued capital.

ECT’s
Board
has
approved
a
capital
program
for
the balance
of
2012
that
includes:

  1. Responsible
    budgeting
    and
    conservation
    of
    cash-­‐ on-­‐hand

  2. Delivery
    of
    Phases
    2
    &
    3
    of
    the
    Design
    for
    Tender Program

  3. Advancing
    Matmor
    technology
    and commercialisation

  4. Plans
    to
    acquire
    further
    interests
    in
    coal resources
    and
    the
    development
    of
    Exploration Licence
    EL5119

  5. A
    series
    of
    shareholder
    briefings
    in
    Q3

There
has
been
considerable
discussion
about
the use
of
equity
and
the
subsequent
effects
of
dilution. As
investors
recognise,
in
the
absence
of
income, Boards
have
a
choice
of
debt
or
equity
to
fund
the activities
of
the
business.
In
choosing
the
issuance
of equity,
the
“degree
of
dilution”
is
an
issue
all
Boards grapple
with.
We
are
committed
to
achieving
an appropriate
balance
and
have
delivered
a
capital management
program
that
has
exceeded
its
capital target
by
40%,
with
a
corresponding
2.6%
increase
in equity
against
plan.
In
addition,
the
Board
has ensured
that
the
program
has
been
delivered
at
a cost
of
less
than
5%
of
total
funds
raised.

The
company
wishes
to
acknowledge
the
efforts
of its
advisory
team
from
Greenard
Willing,
led
by Glenn
Fozard.
As
shareholders
will
appreciate,
capital markets
have
been
extremely
volatile,
with
investor confidence
battered
by
global
events,
including
the turmoil
in
Europe.
Accordingly,
the
successful completion
of
the
capital
management
program
over the
past
nine
months
is
the
result
of
a
good
plan, well
executed
and
solidly
backed
by
you,
our committed
shareholders.
For
that,
we
thank
you!

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3

3. Status of the Design for Tender Package

Arup
has
completed
Phase
1
of
the
Design
For
Tender Program
and
has
finalised
all
detail
in
a
series
of
reports documenting
works
completed,
analyses
made,
designs developed,
and
the
expected
operational
outcomes. Furthermore,
Arup
has
also
begun
Phases
2
and
3
of
the DFT
and
will
run
these
stages
in
tandem
where
possible.

Works
undertaken
during
Phase
1
included
the
process engineering
components,
as
well
as
preliminary
structural designs.
At
the
core
of
this
work
was
“options” development.
This
involves
taking
those
process components,
as
executed
in
ECT’s
Coldry
Pilot
Plant,
and developing
a
series
of
options
where
they
can
be completed
at
large
scale.

Key
features
of
the
process
design
developed
were:

  • A
    back-­‐to-­‐back
    module
    design,
    dramatically
    reducing
    structural
    steel
    requirements

  • An
    integrated
    air
    plenum
    &
    packed
    bed
    dryer
    design
    to
    reduce
    separate
    support
    structure
    needs

  • Lowest
    possible
    energy
    consumption
    through
    optimising
    water
    recovery,
    while
    retaining
    the
    power station
    evaporative
    loss
    mitigation

ECT
is
extremely
pleased
with
the
work
done
to
date.
The
outcomes
continue
to
support
Coldry’s
commerciality and
instill
confidence
in
the
timeframes
set
to
deploy
the
first
Commercial
Demonstration
plant
at
Loy
Yang.

4

4. Acquisition of interest in coal exploration licence EL 5119

On
23
May
we
advised
we
had
entered
into
an
agreement
to
secure
an
interest
in
a
coal
exploration
licence
in Victoria
known
as
EL5119.

The
agreement
essentially
provides
access
to
an
area
of
approximately
33
sq.
kms
adjacent
to
the
existing
Exempt Zone
and
south
east
of
the
Hazelwood
power
station
and
mine.

Under
the
agreement
with
Mecrus,
ECT
will
meet
the
costs
of
all
exploration
work
required
to
prove
up
the reserves
of
lignite
located
within
EL
5119
up
to
“measured
reserve”
status
as
defined
in
The
Australasian
Code
for Reporting
of
Exploration
Results,
Mineral
Resources
and
Ore
Reserves
(the
“JORC
Code”).

It
is
estimated
the
expenditure
will
to
be
up
to
$1.0
million
over
a
two
to
three
year
period.
In
return,
ECT
will acquire
from
Mecrus
all
rights
in relation
to
the
in-­‐ground
coal
that may
be
delineated
within
EL5119.

ECT
has
secured
these
rights
over EL5119
to
potentially
provide
an additional
lignite
resource
in
the Latrobe
Valley.
Such
a
resource would
complement commercialisation
of
the
Coldry technology
in
this
region
and
assist
in securing
partners
and
finance
for future
projects.

5. Coldry: Development of a commercial demonstration plant

As
a
lead-­‐in
to
the
deployment
of
the
2
million
tonne
per
year
Coldry
plant
at
Loy
Yang,
ECT
has developed
a
proposal
seeking
investment
in
the
first
module

a
Commercial
Demonstration
plant.

of around
170,000
tonnes
per
annum
capacity.

ECT
intends
to
establish
a
Joint
Venture
(JV)
company
for
the
purposes
of
constructing
and
operating
this Commercial
Demonstration
facility.
After
proving
the
economics
of
Coldry
production
at
this
scale,
ECT will
expand
the
facility
progressively
to
increase
production
capacity
to
the
2
million
tonne
target.

The
final
production
capacity
of
the
expanded
production
facility
could
feasibly
extend
beyond
the
initial 2
million
tonnes
to
be
over
20
mtpa
as
the
various
sources
of
waste
energy
are
progressively
tapped. It
is
expected
that
the
cost
to
establish
the
initial
Commercial
Demonstration
facility
at
Loy
Yang,
together with
the
operating
expenses
over
the
first
12
months
of
operation,
will
be
around
$70m.

ECT
and
its
shareholders
want
to
attract
globally
recognised
resource
companies
and
globally
significant thermal
coal
consumers
as
investors
in
this
project.

Equity
investors
in
the
JV
will
be
entitled
to
a
share
of
production
from
the
facility
equal
to
the percentage
of
equity
held
by
the
investor.

ECT
will
offer
the
shareholders
in
the
JV
the
right
to
maintain
their
percentage
equity
share
in
an expanded
production
facility
(first
expansion
to
2
mtpa)
for
appropriate
financial
consideration.

The
capital
costs
to
construct
the
first,
single
module
Commercial
Demonstration
Plant
are
expected
to be
substantially
higher
than
subsequent
units
as
construction
and
manufacturing
efficiencies
become available,
including
the
sourcing
of
low
cost
pre-­‐fabricated
structures
and
other
components
from overseas.

5

6. Victorian Government Allocation of Coal Reserves

The
Victorian
Government
has
begun
a
process
of assessing
the
level
of
interest
by
companies
in bidding
for
new
allocations
of
brown
coal
from
the State’s
vast
reserves.
ECT
welcomes
this
initiative
by the
Government,
particularly
as
it
recognises
a
need to
dovetail
these
resource
allocations
with
the utilisation
of
technologies,
which
increase
the
value of
the
resource
and
mitigate
environmental
impacts.

Currently,
Victoria
has
an
estimated
430
billion tonnes
of
brown
coal,
of
which
more
than
30
billion tonnes
could
be
economically
developed
from
the Latrobe
Valley
alone.
About
65
million
tonnes
of brown
coal
is
mined
in
the
Latrobe
Valley
for domestic
use
each
year,
but
none
is
exported.

==> picture [278 x 181] intentionally omitted <==

----- Start of picture text -----

Moisture Level
Brown Coal v. Coldry
100
80
60
Moisture
40
Dry
Maner
20
0
Brown
Coal
Coldry
Percentage
----- End of picture text -----

In
its
raw
form
lignite
cannot
be
economically
exported
due
to
its
high
moisture
content
(more
than
half
is
water) and
its
propensity
to
self-­‐combust.

Coldry
provides
an
economic
solution
to
this
dilemma.

As
such,
ECT
is
keen
to
explore
the
coal
allocation
opportunities
as
they
emerge
and
believes
the
ability
of
Coldry to
dewater
raw
lignite
from
60%
moisture
to
less
than
14%
moisture
forms
a
sound
basis
for
a
premium
export product
in
addition
to
a
high
quality
feedstock
for
downstream
value
added
process
such
as
coal-­‐to-­‐gas.

We
consider
that
consortium
based
approach,
which
can
demonstrate
the
following,
will
have
the
best
chance
of success
in
being
awarded
suitable
coal
allocations:

  • Leverage
    the
    high
    commercial
    value
    of
    Victoria’s
    vast
    lignite
    (brown
    coal)
    reserves

  • Attract
    new
    investment
    in
    long-­‐life
    projects

  • Generate
    substantial
    new,
    permanent
    employment

==> picture [272 x 341] intentionally omitted <==

  • Improve
    the
    historically
    ‘low-­‐value’,
    high
    CO2 intensity
    brown
    coal,
    through
    the
    application
    of new
    technologies

We
will
keep
shareholders
informed
of
any
outcomes from
the
Governments
process
that
may
impact
the Company.

7. Status of Coldry Intellectual Property

Our
Coldry
patent
in
Australia
has
been
sealed,
and
was formally
advertised
as
such
in
the
Official
Journal
of
Patents on
12
April
2012.

Patents
have
been
issued
in
China,
USA,
New
Zealand,
and now
in
Australia.

Applications
are
progressing
in
Europe,
Canada,
Brazil
and India.

In
addition
to
patent
protection
in
jurisdictions
that
feature significant
brown
coal
reserves
and
a
robust
legal
system,
ECT employs
detailed
legal
agreements
as
part
of
a
broad
IP protection
strategy.

6

8. Korea Western Power/K-­‐Coal/Sojitz Announcement

Korea
Western
Power
Co.
Ltd
(KOWEPO),
part
of
Korea
Electric
Power
Co
(KEPCO)
has
announced
the development
of
an
integrated
coal
project
in
East
Kalimantan,
Indonesia
with
project
partners
Sojitz
Ltd
of Japan
and
K-­‐Coal
Co.
Ltd
of
Korea.

K-­‐Coal
is
ECT’s
sales
and
marketing
affiliate
for
North
Asia,
based
in
Busan
South
Korea.

The
Memorandum
Of
Understanding
(MOU)
signed
on
16
May
2012,
outlines
a
plan
for
the
joint development
of
a
coal
mine,
coal
processing
facility
and
coal-­‐loading
terminal
in
East
Kalimantan.
The processed
coal
will
be
exported
to
Korea
for
use
by
KOWEPO
at
its
power
stations
in
the
western
part
of Korea,
including
the
Taean
#9
and
#10
power
stations,
which
are
scheduled
for
commissioning
during
2016.

KOWEPO
notes
that
it
is
working
with
K-­‐Coal
to
utilise
low
rank
coal
upgrading
technology
at
the
processing facility
to
produce
a
higher
value,
stable
coal
product
for
export
to
Korea.

K-­‐Coal
has
advised
ECT
that
it
is
promoting
Coldry
technology
to
KOWEPO
for
the
project.

9. Recent Energy Related Forums

As
part
of
our
ongoing
marketing
strategies,
we
are
ensuring
ECT
is
prominent
at
appropriate
global
forums where
new
energy
solutions
and
technologies
are
highlighted
to
the
international
energy
community.

Clean Tech Forum, USA March 2012

ECT
Chief
Operating
Officer
Ashley
Moore
recently
presented
at
the
10th
Annual
CleanTech
Forum
in
San Francisco.

The
event
headline
was
“The
Power
of
Global
Partnerships”
and
our
presentation
was
focused
on
bridging
the gap
between
the
“holy
grail”
of
renewable
energy
solutions
and
achievable,
cost
effective
energy
supply.

Mr.
Moore
informed
delegates
that
our
Coldry
coal
upgrading
technology,
which
creates
black
coal
equivalent pellets
from
low-­‐-­‐-­‐rank
brown
coal,
could
provide
this
much
sought
after
cost
effective
energy
solution, particularly
in
the
Asian
region.

Coal
use
is
forecast
to
increase
by
1
billion
tonnes
a
year
by
2035.
There
is
a
recognised
global
need
for innovations,
which
help
to
mitigate
the
inevitable
emissions
increases
due
to
increased
energy
production.

While
renewables
are
forecast
to
increase
their
market
share
from
~3%
to
~15%
by
2035,
there
exists
a tremendous
opportunity
to
target
and
mitigate
the
inevitable
CO2
increase
from
the
forecast
growth
in
coal
use by
electric
utilities,
especially
in
the
Asia
region
where
the
majority
of
the
coal
demand
growth
is
focused.

Mr.
Moore
told
delegates
that
with
the
forecast
increase
in
coal
demand,
low
rank
coal
is
becoming
increasingly more
attractive
in
terms
of
price
and
availability,
despite
its
somewhat
higher
CO2
intensity.

ECT
presented
at
the
forum
as
part
of
a
delegation
of
five
companies
led
by
consulting
firm
Deloitte.

Power Stations Conference, New Delhi India

Ashley
Moore
also
presented
at
the
Indian
Power
Stations
Conference
in
New
Delhi
on
Tuesday
14
February 2012.
The
topic
of
the
presentation; ‘Enhancing Energy Security through Lignite Beneficiation’ was
timely
and topical
given
the
very
real
coal
shortages
currently
experienced
in
India.

Key
points
noted:

  • According
    to
    India’s
    Central
    Electricity
    Authority,
    as
    at
    11
    Jan
    2012
    60%
    of
    India’s
    generation
    capacity
    had

7

critical
supply
shortages
with
less
than
7
days
supply.

  • Approximately
    28%
    of
    India’s
    generation
    capacity had
    less
    than
    4
    days
    of
    supply
    on
    hand.

  • Some
    recently
    commissioned
    power
    stations
    such as
    DVC’s
    Koderma
    are
    sitting
    idle
    due
    to
    lack
    of
    coal supply.

India
has
the
opportunity
to
apply
the
leading-­‐edge Coldry
technology
to
its
brown
coal
reserves, transforming
them
into
black
coal
equivalent
pellets suitable
for
use
in
power
generation
and
that
are
able to
be
transported
with
lower
spontaneous
combustion risk.

Coldry
also
offers
the
ability
to
acquire
and
upgrade brown
coal
resources
in
places
like
Indonesia, further
enhancing
supply
options
for
Indian power
stations.

ECT
presented
both
its
Coldry
and Matmor
technologies,
in collaboration
with Neyveli
Lignite
Corporation (NLC),
to
a
broad
audience in
this
significant
market.

Low Rank Coal Symposium, Melbourne

The
2nd
Annual
Low
Rank
Coal Symposium
was
held
in
Melbourne
during
16-­‐19 April
and
was
attended
by
over
200
delegates
from
23 countries.

The common thread throughout the event was that despite the carbon dioxide tax here in Australia and elsewhere around the world, coal demand is likely to rise by several billion tonnes a year by 2035 under current policies.

This
message
highlighted
the
very
clear
and
urgent
task ahead

how
best
to
mitigate
CO2
emissions
from
the inevitable
increase
in
low-­‐-­‐-­‐rank
coal
use
driven
by emerging
nations.

CCS
programs
(Carbon
Capture
and
Storage)
were discussed
at
length.
These
initiatives
have
the
ability
to significantly
mitigate
CO2
emissions,
but
costs
are significant.

It’s
worth
noting
that
the
conference
generally acknowledged
there
is
no
silver
bullet
or
single
solution to
mitigating
CO2
from
brown
coal
use.
We
need
a multi-­‐pronged
approach
to
deliver
CO2
abatement
at

least

cost.

The
conference
organisers,
Victoria’s
Department
of Primary
Industries,
agreed
to
include
an
optional
tour of
ECT’s
Bacchus
Marsh
facilities
as
part
of
the conference
program.
This
tour
occurred
on
20
April and
attracted
a
broad
group
of
30
attendees
including engineers,
technology
developers,
multinational companies,
academics
and
investors
from
around
the world.
Our
guests
were
given
a
tour
of
the
Coldry
pilot plant
in
operation,
and
an
overview
of
our
Matmor test
plant,
followed
by
an
overview
of
our
planned commercial
scale
Coldry
project
here
in
Victoria’s Latrobe
Valley.

World Coal Magazine

The
April
2012
edition
of
World
Coal
Magazine
is
out and
features
an
article
on
Coldry
titled ‘Drying
Out’.

April’s
issue
focuses
on
coal preparation
with
an
article
by
the IEA’s
Nigel
S.
Dong
on
low-­‐rank
coal upgrading.
It
follows
on
from
his December
issue
article
titled
‘Soaking
it Up’
which
explained
trial
and
commercial technologies
for
drying
low
rank
coal
(Coldry included).

A
PDF
version
of
our
article
can
be
downloaded here:
Drying
Out

World
Coal
Magazine

April 2012
(http://www.ectltd.com.au/wp-­‐ content/uploads/ECT.pdf)

Coldry and Matmor Workshop, Jakarta

ECT,
in
collaboration
with
K-­‐Coal
and
BPPT
presented
a Coldry
&
Matmor
workshop
for
delegates
in
Jakarta, Indonesia
on
31
May.
The
workshop
highlighted
the market
drivers
behind
the
Coldry
and
Matmor opportunities
and
showcased
the
unique
features
and benefits
of
both
technologies.
Of
great
interest
were the
economics,
with
Coldry
providing
a
low
cost
drying solution
and
Matmor
providing
the
opportunity
to decouple
iron
making
from
the
price
of
coking
coal.

==> picture [253 x 131] intentionally omitted <==

8

10. Market Perspectives

Since
the
last
shareholder
update,
external
trends
have
continued
to
influence
the
regional
markets
in
which
we operate.
Australia,
as
the
world’s
largest
coal
exporter,
and
Indonesia,
as
the
world’s
largest
thermal
coal exporter,
are
sensitive
to
the
trends
of
the
major
growth
economies,
as
well
as
those
affecting
more
established nations.
Chief
amongst
them
are:

  • China

    the
    largest
    coal
    consuming
    country
    in
    the
    world,
    and
    the
    major
    economic
    growth
    engine
    in
    Asia

  • India

    the
    second
    most
    populous
    nation,
    with
    rapidly
    accelerating
    needs
    for
    primary
    energy
    sources

  • Japan

    a
    very
    important
    trading
    partner,
    key
    coal
    customer,
    and
    still
    recovering
    from
    disasters
    suffered during
    and
    following
    the
    2011
    tsunami

Factors
affecting
these
nations
and
several
others
have
led
to
some
changes
in
the
global
marketplace
over recent
months.
Specific
changes
to
draw
your
attention
to
are:

  • Significant
    increases
    in
    China’s
    domestic
    coal
    supply
    capability,
    meaning
    the
    need
    to
    purchase
    growing quantities
    from
    foreign
    sources
    has
    been
    significantly
    mitigated.
    This
    has
    provided
    Chinese
    coal
    traders more
    opportunity
    to
    ‘cherry
    pick’
    coal
    purchases.

  • A
    tightening
    of
    China’s
    monetary
    policy,
    driving
    coal
    traders
    to
    reduce
    working
    capital
    and
    de-­‐stock, which
    means
    their
    purchase
    frequency
    has
    decreased

    not
    to
    be
    confused
    with
    a
    decrease
    in
    demand. This
    has
    largely
    now
    been
    played
    out,
    with
    coal
    stocks
    now
    at
    the
    low
    end.

  • Japan,
    a
    nation
    with
    significant
    immediate
    needs
    for
    coal
    and
    natural
    gas,
    recently
    announced
    it
    has completed
    the
    closure
    programs
    for
    ALL
    its
    nuclear
    generation
    facilities.
    Higher
    consumption
    at
    gas
    plants –
    previously
    used
    only
    in
    the
    role
    of
    peaking
    supply

    means
    there
    is
    a
    growing
    and
    significant
    disparity
    in natural
    gas
    pricing
    globally.
    This
    has
    some
    far-­‐reaching
    implications,
    including
    the
    option
    for
    Japan
    to import
    electricity
    via
    sub-­‐sea
    cable
    from
    expanded
    coal-­‐fired
    generation
    in
    Korea.

  • India’s
    ambitions
    for
    generation
    capacity
    growth
    to
    support
    its
    overall
    GDP
    plans
    have
    (finally)
    recognised the
    gap
    in
    its
    ability
    to
    supply
    via
    domestic
    coal
    reserves.
    All
    new
    thermal
    power
    stations
    are
    mandated by
    government
    to
    purchase
    at
    least
    30%
    of
    coal
    requirements
    from
    imported
    sources.
    This
    has
    driven
    a higher
    number
    of
    Indian
    companies
    to
    seek
    coal
    resources
    outside
    India.

  • US
    growth
    in
    non-­‐conventional
    gas
    supplies
    has
    driven
    down
    US
    domestic
    pricing.
    This
    has
    led
    to
    a
    short-­‐ -­‐-­‐
    term
    trend
    of
    increasing
    export
    of
    US
    coal
    from
    the
    Powder
    River
    Basin.
    It
    is
    also
    expected
    to
    lead
    to investment
    in
    LNG
    facilities
    to
    enable
    export
    of
    the
    large
    &
    low
    cost
    supplies
    of
    gas,
    leading
    to
    an equalisation
    in
    the
    global
    gas
    prices
    (eg.
    US
    pricing
    of
    $2-­‐3/GJ
    vs.
    Japan
    pricing
    at
    ~$15/GJ).

ECT
has
ongoing
business
development
activity
in
India,
China,
Japan
and
South
Korea.

Overall,
the
short
term
pricing
for
benchmark
coals
has
declined,
driven
by
several
of
the
reasons
above.
While this
is
not
welcome,
underlying
growth
trends
in
Indian
demand,
pressures
on
US
gas
pricing
(upwards,
drawing coal
away
from
the
export
market),
and
an
expected
easing
of
Chinese
monetary
policy
(allowing
coal
traders access
to
increase
their
O/S
purchases),
are
likely
to
see
the
prices
remain
on
trend.

We’re

Moving!

On
Monday
2[nd] July
we
will
move
one
floor
down
to
new
offices.
The
new
address
and
phone
contact details
will
be
as
follows:

Environmental
Clean
Technologies
Limited Suite
712,
530
Little
Collins
Street,
Melbourne,
VIC,
3000,
Australia Tel:
+613
9909
7684
Email:
[email protected]

9