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Enel — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 24, 2020
4317_ip_2020-11-24_a62187da-6dc5-44ee-8938-aaeda92b4408.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Capital Markets
November 24th,2020
Our next 10 years
Francesco Starace CEO & General Manager
Enel @2030 The next 10 years
The energy world will be completely transformed over the next decades…
…and platform-based business models will manage increasing levels of complexity...
Why utility as a platform?
implementation and open to ecosystems
… while driving data-flows across company structures
From the Sylos age... …to the digital platform architechture…
...enabling new operating and business models
Platform Business Model
Creating new shared value from the relationship with ecosystems
Platform Operating Model
Enabling innovation, extraction of additional value from existing assets and selling services to third parties
Enel is the leader in the asset classes that are at the center of this transformation…
-
It Includes managed capacity
-
Power and gas customers
-
2019 data for comps
-
From December 31st 2015 to November 20th 2020
…as well as in the digital and platform development journey
Leadership in asset classes and digital & platform open us new ways to create value
Models to create value
Ownership business model
Direct investments in growing renewables, networks and customers supporting long term sustainable growth
Platforms as business enhancer
Stewardship business model
Provide key services, products or knowhow enabled by our platforms catalyzing investments of third parties to maximize our and their value creation
Platforms as business generator
Activities
Operating platforms
Offer operating platform services to third parties through know how and best practices developed over time
Business platforms
Develop new products and services enabling new business opportunities
Joint Ventures & Partnerships
Co-investments opportunities to enhance value creation where platforms enable third parties' investments
Reshaping global energy sector calls for unprecedent investments levels…
Source: IEA, World Energy Investments 2020 and IEA, World Energy Outlook 2020, Sustainable Development Scenario
…where Enel will keep the leadership going forward…
Enel Third parties 2021-30 >150 €bn Ownership model ~40 €bn ~190 Stewardship model ~10 €bn1 ~160
Investments activated for the energy transition
Stewardship model ~45 ~120 42 ~70 60% ~100% RAB (€bn) % Digitalized users Consolidated RES capacity (GW) 2020E 2030 ~4 ~25 812 >10k 6 ~20 Electric buses2 (#) Demand Response (GW) RES managed capacity (GW) 2020E 2030 Household passed (mn) 10.7 34 Ownership model
-
It includes equity injections
-
Includes leased and served buses
…through its ownership business model…
Stewardship model ~40 €bn Ownership model
Enel Third parties
…and a structured stewardship business model that will catalyse additional third parties investments…
Capex by cluster Enel's adjusted EBITDA1 Business platforms Operating platforms JVs & Partnership 2.8 10.1 4.0 2021-30 ~17 €bn 2021-30 ~40 €bn Ownership model >150 €bn Stewardship model ~40 €bn ~10 €bn Enel's direct investments ~10 €bn Renewables E-transport Flexibility & Other Fiber Fair Value of JVs & Partnerships ~10 €bn
Enel Third parties
…creating long term growth…
…and sustainable shared value
- Barrel of oil equivalent. Compared to Enel's consumption in 2020. 2. 2021-30 cumulated. Related to the full life assessment of projects through ownership/stewardship models for GPG. 3. vs 2019 Europe. 4. vs 2019. 5. 2021-30 cumulated. Related to the full life assessment of projects through ownership/stewardship models for Global I&N and Enel X. 6. Avg. reduction related to IT activities due to shift from data center to cloud. 7. Calculated from current contracts up to 2024
Enel @2030 Our ambitions
Renewables Super Major with the world as geographic footprint
Triple our renewable capacity by 2030 Support profitability through global footprint and integrated position Bolster our pipeline to enable growth and create value Stewardship business model to support value creation
Strategic actions
The ownership model in GPG: +75,000 MW in 10 years, tripling our capacity
2021-30 Owned capacity
Capex & Profitability
The stewardship model in GPG: catalysing capital for accelerated value creation and growth
Leveraging on A 141 GW pipeline that is growing worldwide
- It includes storage for around 4 GW in early stage and around 3 in mature pipeline.
Leveraging on A worldwide platform-based development
BD global presence
Countries (#) 32 Headcount Latin America Europe Africa, Asia & Oceania >240 ~ 120 >75 2021-23 Development investments >1 €bn 2023 vs 20 Avg. cost of MW developed -10% Headcount (#) >450 External HC (#) ~1,000 A big platform Pipeline yearly renewal rate1 >60% A highly adaptive & growing platform An efficient platform ~30 Pipeline growth yoy +50%
Built capacity evolution (MW)
| A global community | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| External Workers (#) |
~12.3k | Countries with opened Sites |
14 |
| Focus on delivery | |||
| Projects Under construction |
~96 | Sites with automation solutions1 |
30% |
| Improving efficiency | |||
| 2023 vs 20 Project lead time |
-25% | 2023 vs 20 Headcount per MW execution |
-9% |
Flags indicate the countries with work force / assetes
- Automation KPI excluding repowering projects
Leveraging on A worldwide platform-based O&M model
Remote fleet 100% Digital workers ~86% External HC (#) ~5k Plants2 ~1.2k Lost production 2023 vs 2020 -7% Opex/MW 2023 vs 20203 -10% A big platform A highly digital platform An efficient platform Countries (#) 23 Generating units1(#) ~16k Headcount (#) >4.5k Headcount North & Central America >360 Europe >3.1k Africa, Asia & Oceania >70 Latin America >900 Hydro Solar Wind Other 78% Capacity (GW) 21% 9.7 14% 13% 72% 14.7 18% 3% 75% 4% 22.8 24 52% 48% 1.4
RES global presence
Flags indicate the countries with work force/assets
-
Of which 7k wind turbines, 5k solar inverters, 1.5k hydro & geo
-
Of which 23 plants operated in JV partnerships
-
Opex/MW related to O&M
Leveraging on Hybridization of renewables - Battery storage
Value proposition
RES electricity and BESS integration provides competitive decarbonization offer
Main value drivers
- ✓ RES risk mitigation, avoiding curtailments for RES
- ✓ Generate additional margins through capacity payments and ancillary services
- ✓ Compliance to regulated tenders
Leveraging on Hybridization of renewables - Green hydrogen
Value proposition
Competitive full decarbonization offer bundling RES electricity and green H2 supply
Main value drivers
- ✓ Sale of hydrogen to industrial offtakers
- ✓ RES plant optimization
- ✓ Savings on Capex and Opex arising from synergies with RES plant
- ✓ Flexibility services
Green hydrogen capacity
Acceleration in RES capex resulting in a c.80% RES share capacity and production
- It includes renewable managed production and nuclear production
Accelerating exit from coal to 2027 from 2030 Coal capacity evolution
- Scope 1 by 2030, consistent with the 1.5 pathway of the Science Based Target Initiative and the IEA 1.5 scenario
Global Power Generation
- Scope 3 related to gas retail activities by 2030, consistent with the 2C pathway of the Science Based Target Initiative
Global leader in networks for scale, quality and resiliency
Capex expansion set to enhance global leadership position
(mn)
- Real Terms
Create value without increasing costs for end users
Leveraging on A single global platform
A single platform… ..enhancing key business drivers…
..for a superior performance
2020E 2030 60% ~100% 41 30 Smart meters coverage Opex/End user1(€/cl) ~350 ~200 User/Remote control point SAIDI (min) 281 ~100
Leveraging on An unparalleled scale of our network operations
Enel current positioning in networks
Leveraging on The highest digitalisation expertise
Leveraging on Distinctive Intellectual Property value
Market share by vendor1
Smart meter as the pivot of a digital network architecture
B2C – Reference energy choice, enabling electrification of the customer base
~100 2020E 2030 Increasing customer value enabling electrification through platforms Allowing electrification of consumption through integrated offering of commodity and services Digitalization to enhance customer experience and efficiencies Customer value1 Volume sold2 2.5x (€/Cl/y) (TWh) 2.5 3.7 Avg. Unitary consumption (MWh/cl/y)2 2020E 2030 ~2x
-
Europe gross margin per customer
-
Europe free market
B2B - Leading energy partner of global and local businesses
B2G - Trusted partner to support cities in their decarbonization and sustainability path
Leveraging on The largest customer base with 70 mn customers1
World's largest customer base in power market
- Real terms
Leveraging on Digital platforms to handle the business
Operating platform for customers at Group's level Customer segments covered by Enel X plaftorms Zero back office 14.0 2020E 2030 Opex/ customer1 (€/cl) Digital Interactions 17 45 2020E 2030 Digital customers (mn) B2C B2B B2G Home appliances ecosystems Offering integrated with commodity Smart cities solutions Flexibility services Customized offering 108 130 Corporate cust. (TWh) Cross segment platforms Homix Smart home solutions EvOs Mobility Platform E-Pay Financial Services YoUrban Municipalities & citizens Der.Os Distributed energy optimization Integrated customer operations
2020E 2030
Leveraging on A growing portfolio of integrated offering
| B2C key offering | B2B key offering | |
|---|---|---|
| Charging points (#) | Demand Response (GW) | Electric buses1 (k) |
Enel @2030 Value for all
The path to transformation
Creating value for our customers, society and the environment
281 ~100 2020E 2030 SAIDI (min/y) ~25% >800 Customers Reduction of household spending1 C&I savings from flexibility2 (€mn) 2030 1. vs 2019 Europe Society and Environment 218 82 2020E 2030 GHG Emissions scope 1 (gCO2eq/kWh) GDP created from local investments4(€bn) >240 2030 54% 86% 2020E 2030 Circularity improvement3
-
Calculated from current contracts up to 2024
-
Materials and fuel consumption reduction of the Group's power fleet throughout the life cycle, compared to 2015
-
2021-30 cumulated. Related to construction sites phase through ownership/stewardship models for Global Power Generation, Global I&N and Enel X
Creating value for Enel
- Compared to Enel's consumption in 2020
Creating value for shareholders
Alberto De Paoli Chief Financial Officer
Enel @2023 The next three years
Long term transition kicks off now…
Investments activated for the energy transition
- Includes leased and served buses
…driven by investments through the ownership business model…
…supported by the stewardship business model…
Enel Third parties
-
Including share of income from JVs and capital gains
-
Fair Value of contracts in place as of 2023 calculated for full life
… crystallising already in the mid term growth and profitability…
…on sound financial metrics
Enel @2023 Our ambitions in medium-term targets
Power Generation The renewable super major
Strategic actions
Total RES capacity ~45 60 ~120 ~4 8 2020 2023 2030 Cumulated catalyzed investments1 19.5 GW of new capacity 2023 installed capacity halfway through 2030 targets Unchanged profitability levels under the ownership model vs previous plan Mature pipeline covers targets by 3x, supporting growth ambitions CO2 emissions down by 65% vs. 2017 16.8 3.8 2021-23 2021-30 +39% (GW) (€bn) 20.6 ~85 Ownership Stewardship ~145 68 ~49
- 65 €bn ownership capex does not include Investments in storage for 5 €bn 56
76% Countries with integrated presence Countries with potential integrated presence 15.4 GW By geography ~58% By tech ~42% 2021-23 Owned capacity RES Capacity evolution Capacity split ~45 ~60 15.4 2020E Capacity additions 2023 Capex & Profitability 11.5 1.1 16.8 €bn Gross capex1 >12% ~200 EBITDA/ Capex IRR-WACC (bps) 15.7 €bn development 57
Renewables ownership business model
Renewables stewardship business model
141 GW of highly diversified pipeline fuels future growth ambitions…
Renewable pipeline1 Breakdown by growth cluster 8.6 68 2 22 33 7 8.7 Gross Pipeline Early stage COD beyond 2026 COD 2024-2025 COD 2021-2023 BESS In execution Mature Pipeline ~57 GW 58% 22% ~57 GW Integrated presence Potential integrated presence Other countries 2 (GW)
- Includes storage for 4 GW in early stage and 3 in mature pipeline. Excludes 0.2 GW of storage in execution.
…with high level visibility on mid term development targets
2021-23 Renewables growth1 : addressed share vs pipeline2 (GW)
Global Power Generation
The next three years will mark a further acceleration of power generation decarbonisation…
-
It includes renewable managed capacity and nuclear capacity
-
It includes renewable managed production and nuclear production
…as well as of growth & profitability
2.1 1.2 4.7 1.5 0.3 (0.9 ) 6.5 2020E RES Growth RES Management Conventional generation 2023 6.8 7.7 +13% (€/MWh) 2 EBITDA/MW (k€/MW) 2 Opex/MW (k€/MW)2,3 EBITDA evolution (€bn) 1
EGP Conventional generation
-
- It includes nuclear generation, gas and trading
-
- It includes renewables and thermal generation
-
- In real terms.
Infrastructure and Network Global leader in networks for scale, quality and resiliency
Sharp increase in investments leads to a 14% growth in RAB…
…and progression in digitalization and quality of service
47 47 ~90 28 30 2020E 2023 2030 End users and digitalization process End users (mn) Share of digitalized end users 2020E 2023 281 228 3.1 2.5 SAIDI (min) SAIFI (#) 2020E 60% 2023 64% Quality and reliability 2030 c.100 ~2 100% Share of digitalized end users @2030 Opex/end user (€/cl)1 41.4 34.5 30 +3% Europe RoW ~74 ~77
Infrastructure & Networks
Double digit growth supported by capex acceleration and efficiencies
RAB/end user (€/cl) Opex/end user (€/cl)1 EBITDA/end user (€/cl) 2020E 2023 563 624 41.4 34.5 107 124 Δ 11% -17% 16% +19% ~8.0 9.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 2020E RAB Efficiency Regulatory & Tariff Volumes 2023 EBITDA evolution (€bn) EBITDA Cumulated 21-23 0.1 €bn Stewardship model +1.8x Future value of contracts vs 20202
B2C – Reference energy choice, enabling electrification of the customer base
| Customer value1 | Volumes sold2 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +10 mn free market customers on end of regulated segment and integrated commercial offering |
(€/cl/y) | (TWh) | |||||
| Initial take up of electrification push through commodity and beyond proposition |
190 170 +30% 150 130 110 |
100 90 80 70 60 |
+55% | ~100 | |||
| Efficiencies unlocked by platform operating model |
90 70 70 50 30 10 |
91 | 50 40 30 20 10 |
40 | 62 | ||
| -10 2020E |
2023 | 0 2030 |
2020E | 2023 | 2030 | ||
| Avg. Unitary consumption (MWh/cl/y)2 |
2.5 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
Strategic actions
B2B - Leading energy partner of global and local businesses
+10% increase in customer value in first 3 years supported by integration of beyond commodity
Value generation driven by platform-based management
Acceleration of PPAs and energy services addressing sustainability needs
Customer value1
(€/cl/y)
(€bn)
Commodity Beyond commodity
B2G - Trusted partner to support cities in their decarbonization and sustainability path
-
Includes leased and served buses
-
Includes interoperability points
Strategic actions
Increasing share of free market customer base
-
Europe gross margin per customer
-
In real terms
71
Retail and Enel X
0.8 5.5
72
Bus (k)
-
Power and gas customers
-
- In real terms
-
- It includes interoperability points
Enel @2023 Sustainable growth and value
Capex split e EBITDA growth by GBL
Cumulated catalyzed investments 2021-23 Incremental EBITDA 2021-23
-
Of consolidated Capex
-
Alignment to EU Taxonomy criteria (Climate Change Mitigation)
Creating value for Enel
- In real terms
Enel @2023
Sustainable finance & financial management
A strong financial position
- Includes capex associated with stewardship model
Excellent credit quality and well distributed maturities
25.4 3.2 6.0 6.7 15.9 2021 2022 2023 2021-23 5.1% 8.8% 9.6% New plan Last 3 years Available liquidity2 2.7x 2.7x 3.4x 2020E 2023 Enel Average Peers Maturities/Gross Debt Yearly refinancing on Net Debt/EBITDA of top European Utilities1 Liquidity and debt maturity by year (€bn) 11.9% 14.8% 2023
average gross debt
-
The panel includes integrated European Utilities (EDP, Iberdrola, EDF, E.on, Innogy, Engie, Naturgy). Source: Bloomberg estimates @17/11/2020
-
As of September 30th, 2020
78
A growing share of sustainable finance
- Programme size – Enel , EFI and Endesa, KPIs set for Endesa differ from Enel's ones
EU recovery plan to drive an increase in European investments
Further reduction in cost of debt
1. Enel estimates on current cost associated with financial instruments
Enel @2023 De-risking targets
2021-2023 targets will maintain a low risk profile
Power production volumes and margins locked in thanks to long customer position in Europe…
…with Power Purchase Agreements offering long term visibility in RoW
2021-23 Targets
2021-2023 Financial Targets
| Earnings growth |
2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | CAGR 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary EBITDA (€bn) |
~18 | 18.7-19.3 | 19.7-20.3 | 20.7-21.3 | +5% / +6% |
| Net ordinary income (€bn) |
5.0-5.2 | 5.4-5.6 | 5.9-6.1 | 6.5-6.7 | 8% / 10% |
| Value creation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaranteed DPS (€/sh) |
0.35 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.43 | ~7% | ||
| Yield1 Implied Dividend (%) |
4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% |
Closing remarks
Closing remarks
2021-2023 Annexes
Agenda
2021-2023 Financial annexes
2021-2023 Macro scenario
- Year end 95
| GDP (%) |
CPI (%) |
€1 FX against |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
| Italy | 1 5 |
2 8 |
1 4 |
1 0 |
1 0 |
1 2 |
n. m. |
n. m. |
n. m. |
| Iberia | 7 7 |
3 9 |
1 9 |
1 1 |
1 3 |
1 4 |
n. m. |
n. m. |
n. m. |
| Latin America |
|||||||||
| Argentina | 4 0 |
2 3 |
2 0 |
34 6 |
24 8 |
18 1 |
109 5 |
120 4 |
131 1 |
| Brazil | 4 8 |
2 5 |
2 4 |
2 2 |
3 2 |
3 5 |
4 8 |
4 6 |
4 6 |
| Chile | 5 2 |
4 3 |
3 9 |
2 3 |
2 5 |
2 8 |
806 | 776 | 783 |
| Colombia | 4 0 |
4 3 |
3 8 |
3 0 |
3 1 |
3 0 |
3 711 , |
3 618 , |
3 646 , |
| Peru | 6 9 |
4 4 |
4 0 |
2 0 |
2 3 |
2 4 |
3 7 |
3 7 |
3 8 |
| of Rest Europe |
|||||||||
| Romania | 3 1 |
2 5 |
2 2 |
2 9 |
2 7 |
2 7 |
4 9 |
4 9 |
4 9 |
| Russia | 4 9 |
3 8 |
1 9 |
4 1 |
3 6 |
3 9 |
0 77 |
76 8 |
78 3 |
| North America |
|||||||||
| USA | 8 9 |
3 6 |
1 5 |
1 2 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
1 12 |
1 13 |
1 14 |
| M exico |
3 2 |
2 1 |
2 0 |
3 4 |
3 3 |
3 2 |
24 7 |
24 7 |
25 1 |
GDP, CPI, FX
Commodities' prices
| 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas TTF (€/MWh) | 8.5 | 14.0 | 15.5 | 17.0 |
| Gas Henry Hub (\$/mmbtu) | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Gas PSV (€/MWh) | 10.3 | 15.8 | 17.2 | 18.6 |
| Oil Brent (\$/bbl) | 39.0 | 48.0 | 55.0 | 59.0 |
| Coal API2 (\$/ton) | 48.0 | 57.0 | 61.0 | 63.0 |
| CO (€/ton) 2 |
25.0 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 |
2021-2023 Global Power Generation
Consolidated capacity & production1
-
Rounded figures. 2. It excludes managed RES capacity for 3.6 GW in 2020 and 7.6 GW in 2023. 3. It excludes managed RES production for 9.8 TWh in 2020 and 20 TWh in 2023.
-
Percentages are calculated excluding perimeter effects
15%
Capacity
Production
15%
| Hydro | Wind | Geothermal | Solar & Other |
Total | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
| Italy | 19 | - | - | 129 | - | 360 | 6 | 15 | - | 17 | 532 | 445 | 171 | 548 | 805 |
| Iberia | 4 | 6 | - | 34 | 396 | 450 | - | - | - | 705 | 1,024 | 1,250 | 743 | 1,426 | 1,700 |
| Latin America |
- | 3 | 3 | 1,020 | 601 | 600 | 28 | - | - | 1,370 | 1,262 | 470 | 2,418 | 1,866 | 1,073 |
| Rest of Europe |
- | - | - | 201 | 511 | 721 | - | - | - | 7 | 20 | 50 | 208 | 531 | 771 |
| North America |
- | - | - | 490 | 550 | 300 | - | - | - | 465 | 730 | 550 | 955 | 1,280 | 850 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1,874 | 2,058 | 2,431 | 35 | 15 | - | 2,564 | 3,568 | 2,765 | 4,495 | 5,651 | 5,199 |
| Managed | 1,324 | 807 | 1,990 |
(MW)
- Rounded figures Total 5,819 6,458 7,189
RES additional capacity1
COD 2021-2023 pipeline1 (GW)
| COD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Total | |
| Italy | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Iberia | - | 1.6 | 3.6 | 5.2 |
| Latin America |
0.0 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| Rest of Europe |
0.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| North America |
0.0 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 7.7 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania |
- | 2.0 | 3.2 | 5.2 |
| Total | 0.1 | 11.5 | 21.8 | 33.4 |
By geography
- Iberia
- Latin America
- Rest of Europe
- North America
- Africa, Asia & Oceania
By geography By technology
| COD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Total | |
| Wind | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | |
| Solar | 0 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 5 | |
| Hydro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Geothermal | 0 0 |
0 0 |
- | 0 0 |
| Total | 0 | 11 | 21 | 33 |
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | |
By technology
2021-2023 Infrastructure & Networks
Electricity distributed, End users, Smart meters1 Electricity distributed (TWh) End users (mn) Smart meters (mn)
Italy Spain Latin America Rest of Europe
Networks regulation: high visibility across the full business plan
- Blend of Rio, Cearà, Goias and Eletropaulo
Current regulatory framework in Europe1
| Italy | Iberia | Romania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC real pre tax 2020 |
5.9% | 5.6%2 | 6.4%4 |
| Next Regulatory Period |
20243 | 2026 | 2024 |
| Regulatory Period Length (years) |
4+4 | 6 | 5 |
| Metering Ownership |
Owned by DSO |
Owned by DSO |
Owned by DSO |
| Smart meter inclusion in RAB |
Yes | No | Yes |
- 104 1. As of November 2020
-
- Nominal pre tax
-
- WACC review by 2022
-
-
- 1% new capex
-
Current regulatory framework in Latin America1
-
- As of November 2020
-
- Return rate before taxes, for Chile it is an estimation given that the real WACC post-tax will be 6.0%.
-
- Chile and Peru uses a Price Cap based on VNR (NRC New Replacement value)
-
- Excluding a pilot project approved by the local regulator, involving 10k smart meters, Smart Meters will be DSO property when the deployment is approved.
-
- Smart meters are not included in the RAB, but they will have a regulated remuneration.
-
- Nominal term
2021-2023 Retail
Power & gas customers and volumes1
| Power | Gas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customers (mn) | Volumes (TWh) | Customers (mn) | Volumes (bsmc) | |||||
| 2020E | 2023 | 2020E | 2023 | 2020E | 2023 | 2020E | 2023 | |
| Italy | 22.7 | 18.7 | 98.0 | 94.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Free Market | 9.7 | 18.7 | 64.4 | 94.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Regulated | 13.0 | - | 33.7 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Iberia2 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 91.4 | 98.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Free Market | 5.7 | 6.1 | 78.5 | 85.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Regulated | 4.8 | 4.5 | 13.0 | 12.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Latin America | 27.7 | 29.3 | 132.8 | 158.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Rest of Europe | 3.0 | 3.3 | 8.9 | 11.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Total | 63.9 | 61.8 | 331.2 | 363.2 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 10.3 |
Italian and Spanish power market – forecast 2020
Italy Spain
| Customers (mn) |
Enel | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulated | Free | Total | 1 market share |
|
| Business | 2 3 |
4 9 |
7 1 |
38% |
| Residential | 13 0 |
16 5 |
29 6 |
47% |
| Total | 15 3 |
21 4 |
36 7 |
|
| Enel Market Share % |
85% | 1 45% |
| Energy | sold | (TWh) | Enel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulated | Free | Total | 1 market share |
|
| Business | 11 3 |
188 5 |
199 8 |
25% |
| Residential | 30 6 |
38 9 |
69 5 |
44% |
| Total | 41 9 |
227 4 |
269 3 |
|
| Enel Market Share % |
80% | 1 28% |
| Customers (mn) |
Enel | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulated | Free | Total | 2 market share |
|
| Business | 0 3 |
0 8 |
1 1 |
34% |
| Residential | 10 8 |
17 6 |
28 4 |
34% |
| Total | 11 0 |
18 4 |
29 4 |
|
| 2 Enel Market Share |
43% | 29% | ||
| Energy sold (TWh) | Enel |
| Enel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulated | Free | Total | 2 market share |
|
| Business | 1.4 | 151.1 | 152.5 | 30% |
| Residential | 26.1 | 54.7 | 80.8 | 32% |
| Total | 27.5 | 205.8 | 233.3 | |
| 2 Enel Market Share |
47% | 33% |
Enel estimate based on Forecast 2020 Regulated; % calculated on Total Regulated Market
Enel estimate based on Forecast 2020 Free; % calculated on Total Free Market (not including Last Resort - "Salvaguardia").
-
Comparing with 2019, data have been adjusted to reflect the availability of the growth, on a monthly basis, of free market data provided by the Authority (approx. equal to 2pp)
-
Portugal is not included
2021-2023 Enel Group
Gross Capex1 (€bn)
Conventional generation
Cumulated gross capex by geography Cumulated 3 gross capex by GBL2
| Global Power Generation |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conventional Generation & Trading |
EGP | Global & |
Infrastructures NetworNs |
Retail | Enel X |
Services & Other |
Total | ||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
| Italy | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Iberia | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Latin America |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| of Rest Europe |
0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| North America |
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Total | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 11.9 | 14.0 | 13.1 |
| Total Capex 2021 - 2023 |
2.7 | 16.8 | 16.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 39.0 |
Asset development capex1 (€bn)
Conventional generation
| Global Generation Power |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conventional Generation & Trading |
EGP | Global & |
Infrastructures NetworNs |
Services Retail Enel X & Other |
Total | ||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
| Italy | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Iberia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Latin America |
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Rest of Europe |
0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| North America |
- | - | - | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Africa, Asia & Oceania |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Total | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| Total Capex 2021 - 2023 |
1.2 | 15.7 | 8.7 | - | 0.6 | 0.2 | 26.4 |
Group Ordinary EBITDA1
-
- Rounded figures
-
- Services & Other is not included in the breakdown
-
- Other is not included in the breakdown
Global Power Generation Ordinary EBITDA1
-
Rounded figures
-
Other is not included in the breakdown
EBITDA by geography Ordinary EBITDA 2 49% 26% 23% 2% 2020E ~8 €bn 42% 20% 36% 2% 2023 9.5 €bn ~8.0 9.5 2020E 2023 Italy Iberia Latin America Rest of Europe (€bn)
Infrastructure & Networks Ordinary EBITDA1
- Other is not included in the breakdown
Customers Ordinary EBITDA1
Retail Enel X
2020E 2023
4.0
0.5
4.5
(€bn)
- Other is not included in the breakdown
3.2
0.1
3.3
EBITDA by GBL (€bn)1
-
Rounded figures
-
Other is not included in the breakdown
EBITDA by GBL (€bn)1
-
Rounded figures
-
Other is not included in the breakdown
Baseload power price & production sold forward
| price Baseload |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | ||||||
| Italy (€/MWh) |
37 0 |
52 3 |
53 9 |
55 3 |
|||||
| Iberia (€/MWh) |
32 6 |
47 2 |
48 4 |
49 2 |
| Production forward sold |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020E | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | ||||||||
| price | % | price | % | price | % | price | % | ||||
| Italy (€/MWh)1 |
56 9 |
100% | 51 7 |
85% | 51 7 |
26% | - | - | |||
| Iberia (€/MWh)1 |
73 9 |
100% | 71 6 |
96% | ~ 70 8 |
43% | - | - | |||
| Brazil (USD/MWh) |
45 8 |
100% | 50 0 |
100% | 52 4 |
100% | 53 5 |
100% | |||
| Chile (USD/MWh) |
75 7 |
100% | 69 4 |
100% | 64 9 |
100% | 66 0 |
100% | |||
| Colombia (USD/MWh) |
58 3 |
100% | 67 2 |
90% | 65 4 |
90% | 67 5 |
90% | |||
| (USD/MWh) Peru |
53 9 |
100% | 56 5 |
100% | 59 2 |
100% | 61 6 |
100% |
2021-2023 Targets sensitivity
Risks and opportunities: commodities and volumes
Mitigation factors
Increasing renewable production
Forward hedging strategy
Long customer position and forward sales
Very diversified customer base
Risks and opportunities: currencies
2021-23 EBITDA & Net Income impact (+/-10% USD/LOC FX1 )
2021-2023 Environmental, Social and Governance annexes
2021-2023 Sustainability Plan
Sustainable business model, driving change through growth accelerators
2021 – 2023 Sustainability Plan
- Growth accelerators include innovation, digital supports, circular economy and sustainable finance
People we work with
Reskilling and upskilling – Promote and plan reskilling and upskilling programs for Enel people in order to support the energy transition
- Selection processes involving blue collar workers and the USA perimeter are not included as local legislation to protect anti-discrimination practices in the recruiting phase does not allow to monitor this data 2. Eligible and reachable people having worked in the Group for at least 3 months during 2020
Local and global communities
Environmental sustainability
| Plan actions | 2020E | 2030 targets |
|---|---|---|
| Reduction of specific No emissions1 x |
-54% vs 2017 (0,36 g/kWh ) eq |
-70% in 2030 (vs 2017) |
| emissions1 Reduction of specific SO 2 |
-87% vs 2017 (0,11 g/kWh ) eq |
-90% in 2030 (vs 2017) |
| Reduction of specific dust emissions1 | -95% vs 2017 (0,006 g/kWh ) eq |
-97% in 2030 (vs 2017) |
| Reduction of specific water requirements1 | n.a. | -65% in 2030 (vs 2017) |
- Redefined in line with the new 2030 Scope 1 emission reduction target certified by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi)
Innovation
Cyber security
Focus on Corporate Governance
Corporate governance structure
-
Chair can be considered independent in accordance with Unified Financial Act criteria 131
-
Out of which 3 Directors drawn from the slate filed by a group of mutual funds and other institutional investors
Board composition
45% 33% 22% 3 6 5 4 1 3 67% 11% 22% 56% 44% CEO and General Manager Francesco Starace Chair (C) Corp. Governance & Sust. C. Michele Crisostomo Cesare Calari Costanza Esclapon de Villeneuve Alberto Marchi Mariana Mazzucato Mirella Pellegrini Anna Chiara Svelto Samuel Leupold Age diversity Tenure diversity Gender diversity Skill diversity 48-52 53-56 57-66 Male Female 1-3 years 4-6 years Over 6 years Strategy Energy Expertise in International Environment Legal & Corporate Governance Non executive Executive Independent Communication & Marketing (C) Control & Risks C. Nomination & Compensation C. Accounting, Finance & Risk Management Corp. Governance & Sust. C. Nomination & Compensation C. Control & Risks C. Related Parties C. Control & Risks C. (C) Nomination & Compensation C. Corp. Governance & Sust. C. Related Parties C. Control & Risks C. Related Parties C. Nomination & Compensation C. (C) Related Parties C. (C) Chair Board of Directors Board of Directors' diversity 132
CEO's short-term variable remuneration1
| Macro objective |
Objective | Type of target | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Weight |
Entry (50%) | Target (100%) | Over (150%) | |||
| Profitability | Ordinary consolidated net income |
35% | 5.25 €bn | 5.35 €bn | 5.41 €bn | Economic |
| Efficiency | Group Opex | 20% | 8.28 €bn | 8.12 €bn | 8.04 €bn | Economic |
| Cash and debt management |
FFO/Consolidated net financial debt |
15% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 25.2% | Financial |
| Safety | Safety in the workplace |
15% | FI3≤ 0.80 & FA4≤ 7 |
FI3≤ 0.78 & FA4≤ 7 |
FI3≤ 0.76 & FA4≤ 7 |
ESG |
| COVID 19 emergency |
Remote management of operations5 |
15% | Average IT logins 80% |
Average IT logins 84% |
Average IT logins 88% |
ESG |
-
Management by objectives (MBO) 2020
-
(%) Weight in the variable remuneration
-
FI: Work-related accident Frequency Index
-
FA: Number of Fatal Accidents during 2020, except for road events
-
Average daily logins recorded during the period March-December 2020 to the ten main IT applications used within the Enel Group compared to the period January-February 2020
Long-term variable remuneration1
100%8 of the base amount is assigned in Enel shares, whose number is determined on the basis of the arithmetical mean of Enel's daily VWAP in the three-months period preceding the beginning of the performance period
-
Long-Term Incentive (LTI) Plan 2020. Performance period: January 1, 2020 – December 31, 2022. 30% payment (if any) in the 4th year. 70% payment (if any) in the 5th year (deferred payment) 2. Average TSR Enel compared to average TSR EUROSTOXX Utilities Index-EMU, calculated in the three-month period preceding the beginning and the end of the performance period
-
- Cumulative for the 3-year period 2020-2022 4. Renewable sources net consolidated installed capacity /Total net consolidated installed capacity at the end of 2022
-
- (%) Weight in the variable remuneration 6. For the CEO/General manager. 100% at target and 180% at Over II for the other beneficiaries of the LTI Plan 2020
-
As at 2022 8. For the CEO/General manager. 50% for the other beneficiaries of the LTI Plan 2020
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries.
Pursuant to art. 154-bis, paragraph 2, of the Italian Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Alberto De Paoli, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
Contact us
Monica Girardi Head of Group Investor Relations
Investor Relations team
Federico Baroncelli Serena Carioti Federica Dori Federica Pozzi Fabrizio Ragnacci Noemi Tomassi Emanuele Toppi
Contacts
Email [email protected] Phone +39 06 8305 7975