AI assistant
Elmera Group ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
May 12, 2021
3591_rns_2021-05-12_f3bdd805-5d4c-4bb6-bb57-06723dc85062.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Q1 2021 PRESENTATION
Rolf Barmen (CEO) Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)
12th May
Q1 2021 HIGHLIGHTS
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
Highlights first quarter 2021
Unfavourable market dynamics affecting the quarter
- 6% YoY increase in net revenue and 9% YoY decrease in EBIT adj. versus a historically strong Q1 in 2020
- Unfavourable market dynamics with significant and rapid increase in elspot prices, particularly in January
-
of deliveries in the Consumer and Business segments decreased by 17,251 in the quarter
- Negative one-off effect of about 10,900 deliveries from the Innlandskraft transaction, primarily due to stop of sales activities and the termination of the Eidsiva brand
- Extended Alliance grew by 2,908 deliveries in the quarter, number of mobile subscribers grew by 2,280, while number of deliveries in the Nordic segment decreased by 3,466 due to phaseout of tender customers with low profitability
Key Highlights
| 1 # of deliveries (end of period) |
Δ in # of deliveries (QoQ) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 005 857 | -20 717 | ||
| Increase of 62 % YoY |
Organic growth: -20 717 |
||
| 2 Volume sold |
Gross revenue | ||
| 7 376 GWh | NOK 4 063m |
||
| Increase of 78 % YoY |
Increase of 210 % YoY |
||
| 3 Net revenue (adj.) 2 |
3 EBIT (adj.) K6 |
||
| NOK 510m |
NOK 215m |
||
| Increase of 6 % YoY 9 |
Decrease of -9 % YoY K7 |
||
| Basic EPS (reported) | K13NIBD (cash) | ||
| NOK 1.17 |
NOK 802m | ||
| Decrease of -33 % YoY |
K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA: 0.96 |
- 1) Number of deliveries excl. Extended Alliance deliveries. Number of deliveries incl. Extended Alliance deliveries: 1,064,775
- 2) Not including Alliance volume. Volume turnover for alliance partners in the quarter: 1,665 GWh
3) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods, special items, unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives and depreciations from acquisitions
BUSINESS REVIEW
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
Update on Covid-19 and dialogue with the Consumer Authority (CA)
- Impact from Covid-19
- The Norwegian Government is planning that the next step in the reopening process will take place in the second part of May, dependant on number of reported cases and the vaccination progress
- Until reopening, the growth is expected to be hampered by reduced sales activity and shut down of sales channels
-
Reduced activity following the governments' measures might have a short-term negative impact on consumption in the Business segment and is also expected to increase voice activity in the Mobile segment, which increases COGS and reduces margins
-
All matters that have been discussed with the CA are settled
- The certification "Trygg Strømhandel" is progressing as scheduled, and the first electricity retailers are expected to be certified in Q3 2021
Market development
Key highlights in Q1 2021
- Significant and rapid increase in elspot prices in January negatively affecting margins
- Colder than last year in two out of three months1
- Jan: -3.3°C below normal (7.3°C colder than 2020)
- Feb: -2.0°C below normal (4.3°C colder than 2020)
- Mar: +1.7°C above normal (0.5°C warmer than 2020)
Weekly elspot prices (NOK/kWh)2
Sources:
- 1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports. The normal has been adjusted according to the temperatures in 1991-2020
- 2) Weekly system prices in NOK from Nordpool
Segment development - Consumer
Key highlights in Q1 2021
- Organic decrease of 19,150 deliveries in Q1 2021
- Negative one-off effect from the termination of the Eidsiva brand, shut down of physical distribution and negative media attention driving the development
- Volume growth of 60% YoY, driven by M&A and increased volume per delivery
- Avg. volume per delivery is increasing 17% YoY 5,009 kWh in Q1 2021 vs. 4,287 kWh in Q1 2020
- More than 170,000 unique app users in the quarter new functionality is continuously added to the app
# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)
1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
Segment development - Business
- Organic growth of 1,899 deliveries in Q1 2021
- Volume growth of 44% YoY, driven by M&A and increased volume per delivery
- Avg. volume per delivery increasing 5% YoY 24,416 kWh in Q1 2021 vs. 23,186 kWh in Q1 2020
- We experience an increasing interest for the local energy solutions in our concept "Klimasmart" and already have customers within aquaculture and real estate. The Energy Management System "Målbart" has also received a warm welcome with several customers signed up
1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q1 2021 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)
| Quarterly Presentation | Q1 2021
New Growth Initiatives & Nordic
- Growth of 2,280 mobile subscribers in Q1 2021
- Fjordkraft will transition from using eRate's service provider platform to their new MVNO platform (mobile virtual network operator)
- The transition is expected to start in Q4 2021 and will increase the profitability of the mobile business
- 26% YoY Alliance volume increase driven by inclusion of the volume from the Innlandskraft transaction
- Growth of 2,908 electricity deliveries within Extended Alliance, comprising 58,918 deliveries at the end of Q1 2021
- Number of deliveries in the Nordic segment decreased by 3,466 in the quarter. The reduction is related to the phaseout of tender customers with low profitability, and the strategic customer segments are developing positively
Sources: Company information
1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q1 2021 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)
Net revenue development
- Net revenue growth of 6% YoY, driven by M&A
- Consumer segment negatively affected by unfavourable market dynamics in the quarter. Q1 20 representing very strong comparables
- Strong development in the business segment, driven by volume growth both from M&A and increased volume per delivery
- The Nordic segment was established in Q4 2020, following the acquisition of SNG, and is therefore having a positive effect on YoY figures
- Last twelve months adj. net revenue growth of 13% YoY, driven by M&A
EBIT adj. development
Change in adj. EBIT (NOKm)
• EBIT adj. decrease 22 NOKm YoY
- Decrease driven by the net revenue development in the Consumer segment, while the other segments increase in EBIT adj. YoY
- Adj. EBIT margin decreasing 7 pp YoY
- Adj. EBIT margin LTM is decreasing 2 pp YoY
Segment overview
Consumer segment Business segment
- YoY net revenue decrease driven by unfavourable market dynamics, reducing margins
-
Significant EBIT margin decrease YoY vs. a historically strong Q1 in 2020
-
Increase in adj. net revenue is driven by volume growth, both from M&A and from increased volume per delivery
- Significant EBIT margin increase YoY, driven by the volume growth
Segment overview cont.
• The Nordic segment is developing as planned, and improving from Q4 2020. The Q4 2020 figures only include the period 11 November to 31 December
• Both YoY net revenue and EBIT adj. improvement driven by both Alliance and Mobile
NWC development
Net working capital1 (NOKm)
- Net working capital (NWC) is increasing to 542 NOKm at quarter-end Q1 2021
- In addition to seasonality and increased prices and volumes, NWC was impacted by quarter-end during Easter public holidays, which affected the timing of customer payments, leading to temporarily increased accounts receivables at the end of the quarter
- NWC was negative again at the end of April
Sources: Company information
1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 46 NOKm in short-term interest bearing debt
2) Volume sold in the Consumer, Business and Nordic segments
3) Average of daily system prices in NOK
| Quarterly Presentation | Q1 2021
Net cash development
Change in net cash Q-o-Q (NOKm)
Sources: Company information
1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets
2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting net cash position. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other longterm liabilities, share based payment expense, change in post-employment liabilities, payment of lease liability and adjustments made on EBITDA.
| Quarterly Presentation | Q1 2021
Outlook for 2021-20231
| Group | Targeting high-single digit net revenue growth. 2021 expected above double digit due to acquisitions in 2020 Targeting a sustainable EBIT margin of 36-38% Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | Targeting mid-single digit annual net revenue growth |
Revised in Q1: Expecting a slightly negative net |
||||
| Consumer | EBIT margin |
Targeting a sustainable level of 32-34% |
revenue growth and an EBIT margin in the area of 30% in 2021 |
|||
| Growth | Targeting a sustainable level of mid-single digit growth. 2021 expected above double digit due to acquisitions in 2020 |
|||||
| Business | EBIT margin |
Targeting a sustainable level of 52-54% |
Revised in Q1: Expecting a higher EBIT margin than targeted in 2021 |
|||
| Nordic | | Targeting an annual EBIT contribution of ~50 NOKm | Revised in Q1: Expecting an EBIT contribution of ~65 NOKm in 2021 |
|||
| NGI | | Targeting a 50% improvement in nominal EBIT from 2020 to 2021 and a positive run-rate EBIT from late 2021 |
Revised in Q1: Expecting a 75% improvement in nominal EBIT from 2020 to 2021 |
|||
| Cap.ex. | | Targeted to be in the area of NOK 65-70m annually | ||||
| Leverage | Targeting a leverage of 2-2.5x NIBD/EBITDA with variations intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital Current balance sheet enabling substantial capacity to finance acquisitions |
|||||
| Dividend | Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% of net income, adjusted for certain cash and non-cash items2 Attractive and increasing dividend |
1) Outlook on an organic basis, not including additional M&A transactions in the period. All targets are based on adjusted figures, further described under alternative performance measures in the quarterly report 2) Adjusted EBIT + net finance – estimated tax – amortisation of acquisition debt
Appendix
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT
| NOK in thousands | Note | 01 2021 | 01 2020 | Full year 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing operations | ||||
| Revenue | 2,3 | 4 0 6 2 9 5 2 | 1310256 | 4214727 |
| Direct cost of sales | 2 | (3553371) | (828855) | (2647005) |
| Revenue less direct cost of sales | 509 581 | 481 402 | 1 5 6 7 7 2 2 | |
| Personnel expenses | 2 | (111493) | (78596) | (328485) |
| Other operating expenses | 2 | (131 246) | (124593) | (471938) |
| Depreciation right-of-use assets | (4663) | (3100) | (13302) | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | 2,7 | (95111) | (45647) | (291 872) |
| Total operating expenses | (342514) | (251936) | (1105596) | |
| Impairment and change in provision for onerous contracts | 4 | 9122 | (268493) | |
| Other gains and losses, net | 4,9 | 5388 | 1906 | 331 539 |
| Operating profit | 181 577 | 231 371 | 525 172 | |
| Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures | 734 | (153) | 1168 | |
| Interest income | 2499 | 6381 | 16814 | |
| Interest expense lease liability | (658) | (429) | (1813) | |
| Interest expense | 10 | (10219) | (1658) | (11982) |
| Other financial items, net | (12922) | 240 | (15692) | |
| Net financial income/(cost) | (20 566) | 4 3 8 2 | (11505) | |
| Profit/ (loss) before tax | 161 011 | 235 754 | 513 667 | |
| Income tax (expense)/income | 5 | (27368) | (52084) | (113604) |
| Profit/ (loss) for the period | 133 643 | 183 670 | 400 063 | |
| Basic earnings per share (in NOK)* | б | 1,17 | 1,76 | 3,73 |
| Diluted earnings per share (in NOK)* | 6 | 1,15 | 1,74 | 3,69 |
ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation
| NOK in thousands | 01 2021 | Q1 2020 Full year 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjusted | 4062952 | 1310256 | 4 183 361 |
| Corporate 1) | 29 650 | ||
| 1716 | |||
| Special items 2) Revenue |
4 0 6 2 9 5 2 | 1310256 | 4 214 7 27 |
| Direct cost of sales adjusted | (3553371) | (828855) | (2639876) |
| Corporate 1) | (7129) | ||
| Direct cost of sales | (3553371) | (828855) | (2647005) |
| Revenue less direct cost of sales adjusted | 509 581 | 481 402 | 1 543 486 |
| Corporate 1) | 22521 | ||
| Special items 2) | 1716 | ||
| Revenue less direct cost of sales | 509 581 | 481 402 | 1 5 6 7 7 2 2 |
| Total operating expenses adjusted | (294 293) | (243760) | (935 208) |
| Special items 2) | 2 3 5 4 | (42213) | |
| Depreciation of acquisitions 3) | (50575) | (8177) | (128175) |
| Total operating expenses | (342514) | (251936) | (1105596) |
| Impairment and change in provision for onerous contracts | 9122 | (268493) | |
| Other gains and losses 4) | 5388 | 1906 | 331 539 |
| Operating profit | 181577 | 231 371 | 525 172 |
| Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures | 734 | (153) | 1168 |
| Interest income | 2499 | 6381 | 16814 |
| Interest expense lease liability | (658) | (429) | (1813) |
| Interest expense | (10219) | (1658) | (11982) |
| Other financial items, net | (12922) | 240 | (15692) |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 161 011 | 235754 | 513 667 |
ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation cont.
| NOK in thousands | 01 2021 | 01 2020 Full year 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Special items incurred specific to: | |||
| - acquisition related costs and implementation costs | (7485) | (21579) | |
| - income related to compensatory damages | $\sim$ | 1716 | |
| - one off amortisation of customer contracts in acquired companies | $\sim$ | (5745) | |
| - severance packages and other one off costs in acquired companies. | 6451 | $\sim$ | (14889) |
| - gain from sale of trade receivables previously impaired | 3387 | $\sim$ | |
| Special items | 2 3 5 4 | (40 497) |
| NOK in thousands | 01 2021 | 01 2020 Full year 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TrønderEnergi Marked acquisition | (2608) | (5180) | (20718) |
| Oppdal Everk Kraftomsetning acquisition | (572) | (787) | (3148) |
| Vesterålskraft Strøm acquisition | (484) | (565) | (2261) |
| Innlandskraft acquisition | (35, 446) | (36254) | |
| Troms Kraft Strøm acquisition | (10625) | (7037) | |
| Troms Kraft Strøm acquisition - Depreciation of fixed price customer contracts | (52910) | ||
| Other customer acquisitions | (839) | (1645) | (5847) |
| Depreciation of acquisitions | (50575) | (8177) | (128175) |
BALANCE SHEET
| NOK in thousands | Note | 31 March 2021 |
31 March 2020 |
31 December 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets: | ||||
| Non-current assets | ||||
| Deferred tax assets | 35143 | 37316 | ||
| Right-of-use assets property, plant and equipment | 92302 | 62 255 | 81724 | |
| Property, plant and equipment | 8819 | 6656 | 8409 | |
| Goodwill | 7 | 1424680 | 166 696 | 1442849 |
| Intangible assets | 7 | 798 173 | 166816 | 869 568 |
| Cost to obtain contracts | 191660 | 154 149 | 172656 | |
| Investments in associates and joint ventures | 11902 | 9847 | 11168 | |
| Other non-current financial assets | 62 488 | 39510 | 63877 | |
| Total non-current assets | 2 625 166 | 605 929 | 2 687 566 | |
| Current assets | ||||
| Intangible assets | 3443 | 4730 | 2880 | |
| Inventories | 6248 | 452 | 2398 | |
| Trade receivables | 8, 10, 12 | 2 279 982 | 867893 | 1476927 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 9 | 138514 | 350 901 | 193175 |
| Other current assets | 111145 | 113 324 | 167065 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 561092 | 691735 | 599348 | |
| Total current assets | 3 100 423 | 2029035 | 2 441 793 | |
| Total assets | 5725589 | 2 634 964 | 5 1 29 3 5 9 |
| Equity | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Share capital | 34 285 | 34 285 | |
| Share premium | 991614 | 27.353 | 991 614 |
| Retained earnings | 1034773 | 005256 | 918148 |
| Total equity | 2060 672 | 1163980 | 1944047 |
BALANCE SHEET
| NOK in thousands | Note | 31 March 2021 |
31 March 2020 |
31 December 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current liabilities | ||||
| Net employee defined benefit plan liabilities | 79688 | 100 008 | 110828 | |
| Interest-bearing long term debt | 10 | 789 260 | 125100 | 812808 |
| Deferred tax liabilitites | 140118 | 17667 | 130 499 | |
| Lease liability - long term | 78133 | 52 848 | 67 442 | |
| Other provisions for liabilities | 14501 | 14 649 | ||
| Total non-current liabilites | 1101701 | 295 623 | 1136225 | |
| Current liabilities | ||||
| Trade and other payables | 12 | 1 365 123 | 388040 | 1029 604 |
| Overdraft facilities | 10 | 472 648 | 29 400 | |
| Current income tax liabilities | 35912 | 76 160 | 129098 | |
| Derivative financial instruments | 9 | 53722 | 337719 | 110616 |
| Social security and other taxes | 170295 | 105678 | 143425 | |
| Lease liability - short term | 17414 | 11951 | 17 366 | |
| Other current liabilities | $ \cdot $ | 448 103 | 255812 | 589 578 |
| Total current liabilities | 2 5 6 3 2 1 6 | 1175 360 | 2049087 | |
| Total liabilities | 3 664 917 | 1 470 983 | 3185312 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 5725589 | 2 634 964 | 5129359 |
CASH FLOW
| NOK in thousands | Note | Q1 2021 | Q1 2020 | Full year 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating activities | ||||
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 161011 | 235754 | 513667 | |
| Adjustments for | ||||
| Depreciation | 7 | 61838 | 17257 | 168012 |
| Depreciation right-of-use assets | 4663 | 3100 | 13 30 | |
| Amortisation of contract assets | 33 27 3 | 28 391 | 123860 | |
| Impairment of intangible asset | 4.7 | 9533 | 197 470 | |
| Interest income | (2499) | (6381) | (16814 | |
| Interest expense lease liability | 658 | 429 | 1813 | |
| Interest expense | 10219 | 1658 | 1198 | |
| Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures | (734) | 153 | (1168) | |
| Change in long-term receivables | 297 | (13820) | (7686) | |
| Share based payment expense | 919 | 777 | 3252 | |
| Change in post-employment liabilities | 1976 | 2 5 8 2 | (302) | |
| Payments to obtain a contract | (53206) | (23304) | (137 280 | |
| Changes in working capital (non-cash effect) | ||||
| Impairment loss recognised in trade receivables | 8 | (4581) | 16736 | 1934 |
| Provision for onerous contracts recognised in other current liabilities | 4 | (18655) | 71023 | |
| Change in fair value of derivative financial instruments | 4.9 | (5388) | (1906) | (331 539 |
| Changes in working capital | ||||
| Inventories | (3850) | 342 | (1453) | |
| Trade receivables | 8 | (813933) | 622838 | 260 279 |
| Purchase of el-certificates | (84153) | (245712) | (245712 | |
| Non-cash effect from cancelling el-certificates | 83 978 | 263782 | 263 594 | |
| Purchase of guarantees of origination | (4320) | (1397) | (4 0 6 4 | |
| Non-cash effect from disposal of quarantees of origination | 3949 | 2357 | 7089 | |
| Other current assets | 54117 | (94858) | 1943 | |
| Trade and other payables | 350 929 | (430103) | 61721 | |
| Other current liabilities | 11 | (72240) | (347136) | (351741 |
| Cash generated from operations | (286197) | 31 5 36 | 638 087 | |
| Interest paid | (11060) | (2209) | (22058 | |
| Interest received | 2 4 9 9 | 6381 | 16814 | |
| Income tax paid | 5 | (122145) | (90024) | (113 533 |
| Net cash from operating activities | (416903) | (54316) | 519 30! | |
CASH FLOW
| NOK in thousands | Note | 01 2021 | 01 2020 | Full year 202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investing activities | ||||
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment | (1291) | (49) | ||
| Purchase of intangible assets | 7 | (13418) | (15079) | (6476) |
| Proceeds from sale of intangible assets | 7 | 10000 | 1000 | |
| Net cash outflow on acquisition of subsidiares | (103352) | |||
| Net cash outflow on acquisition of shares in associates | (10000) | (10000 | ||
| Net (outflow)/proceeds from non-current receivables | 1092 | (325) | (1698) | |
| Net (outflow)/proceeds from other long-term liabilities | 829 | (196) | ||
| Net cash used in investing activities | (12788) | (15404) | (1 1 1 5 9 7 0 | |
| Financing activities | ||||
| Proceeds from overdraft facilities | 10 | 443 248 | 2940 | |
| Proceeds from revolving credit facility | 10 | 50000 | ||
| Repayment of revolving credit facility | 10 | (500 000 | ||
| Proceeds from issuance of shares | 2341 | 273 | ||
| Dividends paid | (31371) | |||
| Formation expenses | (10) | |||
| Proceeds from long term debt | 10 | 93700 | ||
| Instalments of long term debt | 10 | (23 425) | (13900) | (6512) |
| Repayment of long term debt | 10 | (152900 | ||
| Payment of lease liability | (4530) | (2522) | (12.450) | |
| Net cash used in financing activities | 415 293 | (14081) | 424 92 | |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (14398) | (83801) | (171736) | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 599 348 | 775 536 | 77553 | |
| Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | (23859) | (4450) | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 561 092 | 691735 | 599 34 |
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.
All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.
For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]