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ELDERS LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 15, 2020
64835_rns_2020-11-15_97276312-2104-4cb2-a3a2-d264adce2f53.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Monday 16 November 2020
2020 Full Year Financial Results Presentation
Attached is the presentation of the financial results for the 12 month period ended 30 September 2020.
Further Information: Mark Allison Chief Executive Officer 0439 030 905
Media Enquiries: Stephanie Larkin Head of Marketing & Communications 0419 226 384
Authorised by: Peter Hastings Company Secretary
Elders Limited ABN 34 004 336 636. Registered Office: Level 10, 80 Grenfell Street, Adelaide SA Australia 5000
Elders Limited FY20 Results Presentation 16 November 2020
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DISCLAIMER AND IMPORTANT INFORMATION
Forward looking statements
This presentation is prepared for information purposes only. It contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the agriculture industry many of which are beyond the control of Elders. Elders’ future financial results will be highly dependent on the outlook and prospect of the Australian farm sector, and the values and volume growth in internationally traded livestock and fibre. Financial performance for the operations is heavily reliant on, but not limited to, the following factors: weather and rainfall conditions; commodity prices and international trade relations. Whilst every endeavour has been made to ensure the reasonableness of forward looking statements contained in this presentation, they do not constitute a representation and no reliance should be placed on those statements
Past performance
Past performance should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication or guarantee of Elders’ future performance or condition
Non-IFRS information
This presentation refers to and discusses underlying profit to enable analysis of like-for-like performance between periods, excluding the impact of discontinued operations or events which are not related to ongoing operating performance. Underlying profit measures reported by the Company have been calculated in accordance with the FINSIA/AICD principles for the reporting of underlying profit. Underlying profit is non-IFRS financial information and has not been subject to review by the external auditors, but is derived from audited accounts by removing the impact of discontinued operations and items not considered to be related to ongoing operating performance
Financial data
All dollar values are in Australian dollars ($ or A$), unless otherwise stated
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FY20 RESULTS PRESENTATION AGENDA
-
COVID-19 Impacts ……………………….…….… 4
-
FY20 Key Highlights…………………………….… 5 Delivery Against Our FY20 Priorities…………..… 6 FY20 Financial Performance………………….….. 7 − By Product
-
− By Geography
-
Capital
-
Cash Flow
-
− Net Debt
-
AIRR Acquisition…………….…………………..… 13 FY21 Market Outlook………….………………..…. 14 Completion of 2[nd] Eight Point Plan…………….… 15 Release of 3[rd] Eight Point Plan…………………... 16 Strategic Opportunities……………………….….... 17 FY20 Key Highlights………………………………. 18 Impact of AASB16 Leases.................................. 19 Appendix ............................................................. 21
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COVID-19 IMPACTS
No material impacts, so far
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Elders continues to monitor the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on demand for Elders’ products and services, customers and supply chains:
-
all farm inputs supply chains in which Elders participates are, at present, operating normally
-
livestock supply chains experienced a short-term disruption of live export to Vietnam and Indonesia
-
wool markets remain soft due to limited Chinese buyer activity and although not material, Elders Fine Foods, was significantly impacted by COVID-19 because of shutdown to restaurants and hotels in China
-
Real Estate Services sales have been slightly impacted in parts of the country where COVID-19 has impinged on the ability to conduct inspections and auctions
-
none of these impacts above has had a material impact on Elders’ financial performance for the year ended 30 September 2020
-
Elders has recognised pandemic risk on its risk register and has implemented controls in the business to mitigate COVID-19 impacts. Elders proactively formed a COVID-19 Response Committee and held regular meetings to monitor, track and report business and financial reporting matters relating to COVID-19
-
with Elders’ critical role in agriculture and rural and regional Australia, the decision was made to not stand down or reduce employment due to COVID-19
-
Elders did not access any government support such as JobKeeper during the year ended 30 September 2020
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4
FY20 KEY HIGHLIGHTS Robust year across the business
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Safety Financial Performance
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Strategy
-
2 lost time injuries (LTI), compared to 9 last year, with target of zero
-
LTI frequency rate at 0.5, compared to 2.2 last year
-
Continued emphasis on employee and community safety, health and wellbeing in COVID-19 environment
-
A COVID-19 Response Committee was formed in March with executive and specialist management representation to guide the business effectively and safely responding to the impacts caused by the global pandemic
-
$119.4m Underlying EBIT (+62%)
-
$110.5m Operating Cash Flow (+$99.3m)
-
20.2% Return on Capital (ROC) Elders pre-AIRR acquisition (+2.0%); 18.7% ROC post-AIRR acquisition (+0.5%)
-
1.6x Leverage Ratio (+0.8x), at the lower end of our targeted range of 1.5x-2.0x
-
70.7 cents Earnings per Share (+35%)
-
Successful delivery of the final year of the second Eight Point Plan (EPP)
-
AIRR integration and realisation of Year 1 synergies has delivered EBIT uplift
-
Maintained growth of Titan AG business in key geographical areas to deliver on backward integration strategy
-
Continued to grow our footprint through acquisition of Rural Products and Agency Services businesses and personnel
-
Financial Services delivered growth above acquisition case for Livestock in Transit product, and launched a new livestock funding product
-
Developed our third Eight Point Plan to guide business priorities through to FY23
Note: This presentation refers to and discusses financial results pre-implementation of the AASB 16 Leases standard, unless otherwise stated. This is to enable a more meaningful comparison between the periods.
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5
DELIVERY AGAINST OUR FY20 PRIORITIES Final year of second Eight Point Plan
Operational Safety Performance Key Relationships Performance
- Two lost time injuries (LTI), compared to nine last year, with target of zero
Target for 3 years to FY20
- Implemented hardship relief to clients impacted by bushfires
-
5-10% EBIT growth through the cycles by FY20
-
LTI frequency rate at 0.5, down from 2.2 last year
- Worked closely with industry and clients to ensure continuity of operations and agricultural supply chains during COVID-19
-
20% ROC (15% post AIRR)
-
Continued emphasis on employee and community safety, health and wellbeing in COVID-19 environment
Delivered
- Identified as Australia’s most trusted Agribusiness brand
-
62% Underlying EBIT growth in the past 12 months
-
A COVID-19 Response Committee was formed in March with executive and specialist management representation to guide the business in effectively and safely responding to the impacts caused by the global pandemic
-
Positive progress of diversity plans
-
20.2% ROC Elders Rural Services, 18.7% ROC Elders post-AIRR acquisition
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Established a Sustainability function to monitor, report and improve our impact within our community
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Underlying EPS of 70.7 cents, up 35% from 52.6 cents
-
Continued engagement with Rural Research and Development Corporations, government and tertiary institutions to enhance our agricultural research, development and extension initiatives through the Thomas Elder Institute
-
Provided clients with greater access to market intelligence through the establishment of Thomas Elder Markets
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Efficiency and
Growth
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Acquired new AIRR sites as well as six other stand-alone acquisitions
-
Continued integration of AIRR to deliver EBIT growth and acquisition synergies
-
Maintained growth of Titan AG business in key geographical areas to deliver on backward integration strategy
-
Livestock in Transit delivered well ahead of acquisition business case due to higher opt-ins and continued claims management
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Established new <$100,000 livestock funding offering to fill a gap in the market and complement the existing StockCo offering
-
Continued to grow our footprint through acquisition of Rural Products and Agency businesses and personnel which, in part, has benefited from industry consolidation
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FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: SUMMARY Strong performance across our key metrics
| Financial Metric FY20 Result Pre-AASB 16 ($m) FY19 Result ($m) Year-on-Year Change $m % Sales revenue 2,092.6 1,626.0 466.6 29% Underlying EBITDA 127.9 78.8 49.1 62% Underlying EBIT 119.4 73.7 45.7 62% Underlying profit after tax 109.0 63.6 45.4 71% Statutory profit after tax 124.2 68.9 55.3 80% Net debt 134.1 94.3 39.8 42% Operating cash flow 110.5 11.2 99.3 887% Total capital (balance date) 704.8 489.6 215.2 44% Underlying return on capital (%)1 18.7% 18.2% n.a 0.5% Underlying earnings per share (cents) 70.7 52.6 18.2 35% Leverage ratio (times) 1.6 2.4 (0.8) (33%) |
Underlying EPS (c) Sales Revenue $m 1,425 FY15 1,308 FY17 FY16 1,582 1,613 FY18 1,626 FY19 2,093 FY20 CAGR+10% 34 45 52 55 53 71 FY20 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 CAGR+16% |
Underlying EBIT $m 41 56 71 75 74 119 FY17 FY16 FY15 FY18 FY19 FY20 CAGR +24% 21.9% 28.4% 1st EPP 26.3% Av 28.6% 24.2% 6 year 23.3%Av 18.2% 2nd EPP 20.3% Av 18.7% ROC % |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY15 FY17 FY16 FY18 FY19 FY20 |
1 Return on capital = Rolling 12 months Underlying EBIT / (working capital + investments + property, plant and equipment + intangibles (excluding brand name) – provisions)
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FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: PRODUCT
Additional earnings from Wholesale acquisition and outperformance across most products and services
Change in product margin ($m)
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Product margin
3.9 3.7 0.5 8.8
15.0
39.8
44.0 0.4
27.3
109.0
63.6
FY19 Retail Wholesale Agency Real Estate Financial Feed and Branch Costs Interest, FY20
Underlying Products Products Services Services Services Processing Incentive Tax & NCI Underlying
Profit Services Profit
Product Margin by Year ($m)
FY20 179.9 44.0 131.1 38.2 37.1 15.5 (8.2)
FY19 152.6 nil 116.1 34.3 33.4 15.0 0.6
%
18% 100% 13% 11% 11% 3% n.a
change
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FY19 Acq Organic Market Other FY20
$63.6m +$26.4m +$26.7m +$7.8m ($15.5m) $109.0m
Retail Products benefitted from a strong winter cropping season and
continued backward integration, which offset poor summer crop and
dry conditions in the first half
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Addition of Wholesale Products through acquisition of AIRR contributing $44.0 million in gross margin
-
Agency Services upside mostly in Livestock, primarily driven by high prices for both cattle and sheep
-
Real Estate Services favourable predominantly due to increased broadacre and residential turnover
-
Financial Services increase is due to the acquisition and growth of Livestock in Transit delivery warranty products
-
Branch Incentive includes the accrual of the new program, which commenced this financial year
-
Costs up on last year due to acquisitions, geographical footprint growth and additional corporate initiatives, offset by savings from new Rural Bank distribution agreement
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FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: GEOGRAPHY
Improvement across all areas with increased investment in Group initiatives
Change in underlying profit by geography ($m)
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Underlying EBIT
0.1
10.4 14.8
7.6 0.4
14.4
6.4
21.9
109.0
63.6
FY19 Wholesale Northern Southern Central Western International Corporate Interest, FY20
Underlying Products Australia [1] Australia Australia Australia and other Tax & NCI Underlying
Profit costs Profit
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| Underlying profit | Underlying profit | by geography by year ($m) | by geography by year ($m) | by geography by year ($m) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY20 | 21.9 | 32.6 | 54.3 | 31.2 | 39.2 | (1.2) | (58.5) | ||
| FY19 | Nil | 26.2 | 39.9 | 23.6 | 28.8 | (1.1) | (43.7) | ||
| % change |
100% | 24% | 36% | 32% | 36% | (9%) | (34%) |
-
Addition of Wholesale Products through acquisition of AIRR contributing $21.9 million of EBIT, outperforming expectations and delivering synergies
-
Northern Australian increase driven by higher cattle prices with improved winter cropping conditions leading to higher Retail Products sales
-
Southern Australia benefited from a strong Livestock business (high prices and cattle turnover), plus increased Retail Products sales, and margin improvement from continued growth in our backward integration initiative
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Central Australia was favourable across most products and services, with higher Real Estate Services turnover, Livestock profiting from higher prices and volumes, and improved Retail Products sales
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Western Australia positive due to increased Retail Products sales, benefits of backward integration through Titan AG and continued higher Livestock prices and volumes
-
Corporate and other costs increased due to investment in strategic areas and performance incentive accruals
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1 Northern Australia includes Killara Feedlot
9
FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CAPITAL
Return on Capital (ROC) 3-year average at 20.3% has outperformed 20% second EPP target
Underlying Return on Capital[1]
Elders Rural Services’ underlying ROC increased to 20.2% (up 2.0%). This was achieved by:
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3 Year Avg 20.3%
24.2%
18.2% 20.2% 18.7%
14.0%
FY18 FY19 FY20 ERS FY20 AIRR FY20
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Higher Retail Products return in part due to expansion of our backward integration initiative and improving stock turns
-
Improved earnings in Agency Services and Real Estate Services on similar capital; while Feed and Processing has consistent earnings on increased inventory
The Wholesale acquisition delivered a ROC of 14.0% (15.9% excluding amortisation of intangibles)
| $ m2 | FY20 | FY19 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Products | 241.7 | 207.8 | 33.9 |
| Wholesale Products | 60.6 | 0.0 | 60.6 |
| Agency Services | 50.6 | 43.2 | 7.4 |
| Real Estate Services Financial Services |
1.2 28.1 |
1.3 18.9 |
(0.2) 9.2 |
| Feed and Processing Services | 51.6 | 45.1 | 6.5 |
| Other | (31.3) | (27.7) | (3.6) |
| Working capital (average) Other capital Total capital (average) |
402.4 235.8 638.2 |
288.6 118.7 407.3 |
113.8 117.1 230.9 |
We achieved a 3-year average ROC of 20.3%, which is above our 20% target for the completion of the second Eight Point Plan period
Average working capital rose by $113.8 million to $402.4 million for the year, attributable to:
-
Retail Products increases due to debtors in line with higher sales activity
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Wholesale Products working capital of $60.6 million due to Wholesale acquisition
-
Feed & Processing Services increases from higher costs of cattle in our feedlot
-
1 Return on capital = Rolling 12 months Underlying EBIT / (working capital + investments + property, plant and equipment + intangibles (excluding brand name) – provisions) 2 Excludes Elders brand name only
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FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: OPERATING CASH FLOW
Cash conversion at 101% on underlying profit after tax
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| $million | FY20 | FY19 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | 110.5 | 11.2 | 99.3 |
| Investing cash flow | (123.1) | (42.5) | (80.6) |
| Financing cash flow | 56.0 | 26.9 | 29.1 |
| Total cash flow | 43.4 | (4.4) | 47.8 |
Operating cashflow of $110.5 million
EBITDA of $121.4 million, offset by:
Increase in assets and liabilities of $28.6 million. Key drivers include:
-
Growth related increase of $45.0 million in Retail Products with:
-
debtors up on higher 4th quarter sales
-
increase in Titan AG inventory, offset by higher creditors
-
Lower Agency Services working capital of $31.0 million from lower receivables from improved year end debtor collection and increased payables, in part due to timing
-
Higher cattle inventory in Feed and Processing Services due to increase in cattle prices and year end impact of supply chain disruption in China
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FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: NET DEBT
Net Debt up supporting growth, significant improvement across key ratios
Net debt, at balance date
Net debt, YTD average
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$m $m
204.9
191.7
134.1
94.3
FY19 FY20 FY19 FY20
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Net debt
Net debt is up $39.8 million to $134.1 million at September 2020, mainly due to the acquisition of AIRR for which capital raising proceeds were held at balance date last year
Average net debt of $204.9 million was up slightly on last year, with increased working capital supporting growth in the business
Key ratios
All our key ratios have improved on last year
Financial covenants[1]
| Key Ratios | FY20 | FY19 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverage (average net debt to EBITDA) |
1.6 | 2.4 | (0.8) |
| Interest cover (EBITDA to net interest) |
19.4 | 11.6 | 7.8 |
| Gearing (average net debt to closing equity) |
30.4% | 38.9% | (8.5%) |
Undrawn facilities at balance date were $258 million and significant headroom in our financial covenants:
-
leverage is 0.1 (covenant < 3.5 times)
-
interest cover is 27.9 (covenant > 3.5 times)
-
net worth is $672.3 million (covenant > $250 million)
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1 Calculated pursuant to definitions in group syndicated facilities
12
AIRR ACQUISITION
Operational performance, progress on synergies and initiatives
Operational Performance
On track for delivery of acquisition synergies
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Acquisition of Wholesale Products has integrated AIRR and Tuckers retailer brands plus 8 warehouses and 5 retail locations into Elders results
-
Financial performance of $21.9m EBIT, has exceeded business case expectations (10.5 months under Elders ownership)
-
Strong performance specifically in animal health and crop protection categories
-
Stable working capital with active management of debtors, inventory levels and creditors. Achieved ROC of 14.0%*
This has been achieved through:
-
Centralisation of inventory into AIRR warehouses to better manage working capital in Elders Branch Network
-
Consolidating and streamlining procurement of products across both businesses
-
Enhanced margin management and marketing across brands and product portfolio
Implementation of other initiatives
- Maintain loyal member base
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Underlying EBITA [2] $m FY20 Sales by Product Category
Stock
2.2 Feed
CAGR+18% Other 8.0%
10.0%
Animal Health
General
40.0%
Merchandise
10.0%
25.0
19.6 19.5 Fencing
16.6 11.0%
Crop Protection
21.0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
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-
Own label expansion in animal health and merchandise
-
Promote digital strategy through launch of Tucker Click and Collect across member stores
1 EBITA ROC of 15.9%
2 EBITA for FY17-FY19 has been adjusted to reflect September year end. FY20 proforma result includes $2.2m EBITA in the 6 weeks prior to acquisition
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13
FY21 MARKET OUTLOOK
The agricultural sector remains on track for a recovery after successive years of drought-affected seasons in eastern Australia. Production is forecast to grow but the value of production is expected to remain steady due to reduced prices. COVID-19 continues to disrupt the agricultural sector, however the business and broader industry has remained adaptable. Continuing uncertainty also remains in export markets
-
Rural Area planted for summer crop is expected to rebound from historically low levels last year, resulting in recoveries in demand for crop protection and fertiliser
-
Products COVID-19 has had minimal impact overall on key inputs across the industry, Elders continues to adapt to these challenges
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Contribution margin improvement to be achieved through optimised pricing and continued delivery of synergies and backward integration from AIRR and Titan AG
-
Continued investment in Rural Products acquisitions and working capital to support business growth and performance
-
Agency Cattle prices to ease from record prices, but expected to remain within a historically high range
-
Services Sheep prices are forecast to fall due to reduced international and domestic demand for sheep meat, and a shift to more affordable cuts Reduced consumer demand for apparel and disrupted clothing supply chains has raised the levels of unsold textiles and raw fibres, which will likely constrain demand and keep wool prices under pressure in the near-term
-
Real Estate High levels of demand for farmland is expected to continue while potential farmland sellers are deferring selling decisions due to uncertainty created by COVID-19; this is
-
Services expected to deliver ongoing strong farmland values
-
Regional residential property markets continue to outperform city markets and are expected to continue into FY21 as buyers seek better returns
-
Financial Livestock financing expected to grow with the launch of new <$100,000 livestock funding product to complement the existing StockCo offer Services Significant room for continued growth in Livestock in Transit product with less than half of livestock clients opted in to the add-on product
-
Reduced consumer demand for apparel and disrupted clothing supply chains has raised the levels of unsold textiles and raw fibres, which will likely constrain demand and keep wool prices under pressure in the near-term
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Continued growth in Insurance and Agri-Finance offerings through marketing and promotion with partners QBE and Rural Bank
-
Feed & A challenging year for Killara Feedlot may see difficulty sourcing animals at reasonable prices and volumes to service major export markets; this however will be partially
-
Processing offset by easing feed costs
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-
Elders Fine Foods trading profitably under renewed multichannel strategy
-
Costs and Costs are expected to increase in line with footprint growth, continued investment in our Eight Point Plan and the first phases of our System Modernisation program
-
Capital
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14
COMPLETION OF SECOND EIGHT POINT PLAN
FY20 completes our second EPP, which was built on the foundations of our first EPP. Over the past 6 years, EBIT has grown 24% p.a., exceeding target of 5 to 10% year on year and LTIs have reduced to 2
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Underlying EBIT and ROC ROC % Strategic Focus Outcomes
Underlying EBIT
28.4% 28.6%
24.2% First Focus Areas LTI reduced to 6 in FY17
21.9% 18.7% • Safety $70.4m EBIT in FY17
EPP
18.2% • Back to basics agri. focus CAGR 32%
• Capital restructure 27% ROC in FY17
119 • Capital light operating model Average ROC 26.3%
71 75 74 • Leadership refresh
56
41 Financial Targets
• $60m EBIT by FY17
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
• 20% ROC by FY17
First EPP Second EPP
Second Focus Areas LTI reduced to 2 in FY20
Lost-time injuries (LTIs) • Safety $119.4m EBIT in FY20;
EPP
LTI • 50% organic growth $97.5m plus $21.9m AIRR,
• exceeded stretch target of
50% inorganic growth
14 • Maintain cost base $113m by $6.4m
CAGR 27%
9 Financial Targets
4 6 5 • 5-10% EBIT growth, $82m- 18.7% ROC in FY20
2 Average ROC 20.3%
$94m EBIT (plus $19m AIRR
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 EBIT) by FY20 Successful growth via
• inorganic opportunities (e.g.
20% ROC (15% post AIRR)
Titan AG, AIRR, LIT,
First EPP Second EPP Insurance, etc)
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15
| OUR 2023 AMBITION OUR BUSINESS UNITS OUR STRATEGIC PRIORITIES OUR ENABLERS OUR VALUES |
Compelling shareholder returns 5-10% EBIT and EPS growth through the cycles at 15% ROC Industry leading sustainability outcomes across health and safety, community, environment and governance Most trusted Agribusiness brand in rural and regional Australia |
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| RURAL P ROD U C T S AGENCY SERVICES REAL ESTATE |
FINANCIAL SERVICES FEED & PROCESSING TECHNICAL SERVICES |
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| 1 Win market shareacross all products, services and geographies through client focus, effective sales and marketing and strategic acquisitions |
2 Capture more gross margin in Rural Productsthrough optimised pricing, backward integration and supply chain efficiency |
3 4 5 Strengthen and expand our service offerings, including Livestock and Wool Agency, Real Estate, Financial and Tech Services Optimise our feed and processing businessesin Killara Feedlot and Elders Fine Foods Develop a sustainability programthat is authentic and industry leading |
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| 6 7 Systems Modernisation Program– invest in best of breed solutions to improve customer experience, drive process and administration efficiency and better accommodate change |
8 Attract, retain and develop the best peoplein agriculture and provide asafe and inclusive working environment Maintain unflinching financial disciplineand commitment to cost and capital efficiency |
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| INTEGRITY CUSTOMER FOCUSED ACCOUNTABILITY |
TEAM WORK INNOVATION |
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STRATEGIC OPPORTUNITIES
Significant growth opportunities to gain share by serving new customers, in new geographies, with our multiple product and service portfolio
We continue to focus on opportunities that allow us to win new customers and a greater share of existing customers across our diversified business
Rural Products
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Victoria
EBIT Scale
Rural Products
Real Estate
3m 4m+
<1m 2m Agency
Feed & Processing
Indicative view of size of opportunity
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- There is opportunity to increase market share and presence in high value areas, including Western Victoria, South Coast (WA), Northern Queensland, central NSW and the Yorke Region in SA
Agency Services
- Footprint expansion and personnel acquisitions will deliver growth in targeted locations to expand our Agency business
Real Estate Services
- Growth through expansion of owned sites and franchise locations, particularly in South West WA and regional Victoria
Financial Services
- Livestock funding and insurance products, alongside our general insurance partnership will be focused on growth across all regions
Feed and Processing Services
- Opportunities to expand offerings in central NSW region
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17
FY20 KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Robust year across the business
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-
2 lost time injuries (LTI), compared to 9 last year, with target of zero
-
LTI frequency rate at 0.5, compared to 2.2 last year
Safety $119.4m Underlying EBIT (+62%) $110.5m Operating Cash Flow (+$98.8m) Financial Performance
-
Continued emphasis on employee and community safety, health and wellbeing in COVID-19 environment
-
A COVID-19 Response Committee was formed in March with executive and specialist management representation to guide the business effectively and safely responding to the impacts caused by the global pandemic
-
20.2% ROC Elders pre-AIRR acquisition (+2.0%); 18.7% ROC post-AIRR acquisition (+0.5%);
-
1.6x Leverage Ratio (+0.8x), at the lower end of our targeted range of 1.5x-2.0x
-
70.7 cents Earnings per Share (+35%)
-
Successful delivery of the final year of the second Eight Point Plan (EPP)
-
AIRR integration and realisation of Year 1 synergies has delivered EBIT uplift
-
Maintained growth of Titan AG business in key geographical areas to deliver on backward integration strategy
Strategy
-
Continued to grow our footprint through acquisition of Rural Products and Agency Services businesses and personnel
-
Financial Services delivered growth above acquisition case for Livestock in Transit product, and launched a new livestock funding product
-
Developed our third Eight Point Plan to guide business priorities through to FY23
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18
IMPACT OF AASB 16 LEASES
Adopted 1 October 2019
| Operating expenses | | $34.5m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & Loss1 | Depreciation Interest Expense |
|
$33.2m $2.6m |
| EBIT Impact | | $1.2m | |
| BalanceSheet | Right of Use Assets Lease Liability |
|
$100.8m $104.5m |
| Cash Flow1 | Operating Cash Flow Financing Cash Flow Net Cash Flow |
|
$31.8m $31.8m $nil |
| Basic EPS* | | 0.8 cents | |
| Key Metrics | Return on Capital^ Leverage# |
|
0.2% 0.4x |
| Net Debt | | $104.5m |
-
1 Figures exclude impact of previously held finance leases
-
Calculated on 12 months of Reported NPAT
^ Capital employed includes right of use assets and lease liabilities
-
Based on an annualised FY20 EBITDA
Using the ‘modified retrospective approach’, whereby no comparative period information is restated
Recognised Right of Use Asset as equal to the calculated Lease Liabilities
P&L Impact:
-
Previously leased premises and motor vehicle expenses included in Operating Expenses $34.5m
-
Replaced by Depreciation on Right of Use Assets $33.2m and Interest Expense on Lease Liabilities $2.6m
-
Elders expects the net impact on EBIT over the life of each lease assessed under AASB 16 to be immaterial
Elders held the following balances at 30 September 2020:
-
Right of Use Asset: $100.8m
-
Lease Liability: $104.5m
Net debt increases, however not included in banking covenant ratios
No net cashflow impact as cash flows are reallocated in the Cash Flow Statement from operating activities to financing activities, reflecting repayment of the Lease Liabilities
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19
FY20 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (INCL. AASB 16) Minimal impact on earnings; primarily impacts net debt
| 1Return on capital = Rolling 12 months Underlying EBIT / (w Financial Metric |
orking capital + investments + pr FY20 Statutory |
operty, plant and equipment + i FY20 AASB 16 Impact |
ntangibles (excluding brand nam FY20 Pre-AASB 16 |
e) – provisions) FY19 Statutory |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue 2,092.6 - 2,092.6 1,626.0 Underlying EBITDA 162.4 34.5 127.9 78.8 Underlying EBIT 120.6 1.2 119.4 73.7 Underlying profit after tax 107.7 (1.3) 109.0 63.6 Statutory profit after tax 122.9 (1.3) 124.2 68.9 Net debt 237.5 103.4 134.1 94.3 Operating cash flow 142.3 31.8 110.5 11.2 Total capital (balance date) 806.9 102.1 704.8 489.6 Underlying return on capital (%)1,2 18.9% 0.2% 18.7% 18.2% Underlying earnings per share (cents) 69.9 (0.8) 70.7 52.6 Leverage ratio (times) 2.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 |
1 Return on capital = Rolling 12 months Underlying EBIT / (working capital + investments + property, plant and equipment + intangibles (excluding brand name) – provisions) 2 Capital employed includes right of use assets and lease liabilities
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20
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APPENDIX
21
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BUSINESS MODEL*
Diversification by product, service, market segment and geography
| Retail Products Farm Supplies Fertiliser Wholesale Products Farm Supplies Pet Supplies FY20 gross margin contribution $1.4b retail sales 219 stores 809k tonnes fertiliser $0.2b wholesale sales 370 member stores Rural Products 419 APVMA registrations |
Agency Services Livestock Wool Grain 9.6m head sheep 1.8m head cattle 145k wool bales |
Real Estate Services Farmland Residential Property Management Franchise $1.3b farmland sales $0.9b residential sales 111 franchises 9,371 properties under management |
Financial Services Agri Finance StockCo (30%) Elders Insurance (20%) LIT & WIT Delivery Warranty $3.0b loan book1 $1.7b deposit book1 $76.2m StockCo book1 $727.6m gross written premium2 |
Digital and Technical Services Fee for Service (170+ agronomists) Auctions Plus (50%) Elders Weather Clear Grain Exchange (30%) Auctions Plus 865k head sheep 113k head cattle Elders Weather 1.2m active users Clear Grain Exchange 51k grain tonnes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auctions Plus |
||||
| Elders Weather |
||||
| Clear Grain Exchange |
||||
| 40% 10%4 |
29% | 9% | 8% | n/a2 |
| 1Principal positions are held by Rural Bank, StockCo and Elders Insurance (QBE subsidiary) respectively 2Existing agronomic activity presented within Retail margin, Elders Weather in Other margin, and Auctions Plus and Clear Grain Exchange in Agency margin 3AIRR acquisition settled 13 November 2019 with over 10 months earnings in FY20 |
22 |
1Principal positions are held by Rural Bank, StockCo and Elders Insurance (QBE subsidiary) respectively
2Existing agronomic activity presented within Retail margin, Elders Weather in Other margin, and Auctions Plus and Clear Grain Exchange in Agency margin 3AIRR acquisition settled 13 November 2019 with over 10 months earnings in FY20
FY20 RESULTS BY BUSINESS SEGMENTATION Retail and Wholesale Products plus Agency Services have the largest influence on Elders margin
| Northern Australia |
Southern Australia |
Central | Western Australia |
International Geographies |
Other | FY20 Margin ($m) |
Avg. Working Capital ($m) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Products | Farm Supplies and Fertiliser | 179.9 | 230.9 | ||||||
| Wholesale Products | Farm and Pet Supplies | 44.0 | 48.5 | ||||||
| Agency Services | Livestock, Wool, and Grain | 131.1 | 54.2 | ||||||
| Real Estate Services | Farmland, Residential, Property Management, Franchise | 38.2 | 1.5 | ||||||
| Financial Services | Agri Finance and Insurance | 37.1 | 30.2 | ||||||
| Feed & Processing Services | Killara Feedlot |
China | 15.5 | 49.4 | |||||
| Other | (8.2) | ||||||||
| FY20 Margin ($m) | 128.0 | 135.8 | 88.4 | 93.4 | 0.2 | (8.2) | 437.6 | ||
POINTS OF PRESENCE
We have approx. 500 points of presence in Australia, catering to the needs of a variety of agricultural regions. We also supply a further 350+ sites with product through our wholesale members
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Elders Zones and Points of Presence Agricultural Land Use in Australia
1
2
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1 Elders Owned Branches refers to sites that offer Rural Supplies. Many of these sites will also offer Real Estate services (company owned or franchise) and Insurance services (franchise only) 2 Elders Owned Real Estate locations may also have Elders Insurance franchise located at the same premises
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PROFIT SENSITIVITY
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Based on FY20 full year statistics
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25
INDUSTRY AND MARKET OUTLOOK (LONG TERM)
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Market Summary of Outlook
The value of Australian agricultural production has increased steadily over recent years. It is estimated to be $61b in 2020-21, and remain constant until
Agricultural 2024-25
production Farm exports are expected to decrease to $44m and remain at these levels until 2025
& exports
Australian beef production is projected to decrease with lower slaughter rates and a rebuild of the national herd, weaker demand outlook will cause
prices to decrease in 2020-21
Cattle Live export volumes are expected to decrease in 2020-21 due to lower than forecast production and global demand from China, this will also gradually
decrease in the medium term due to global competition
The Australian sheep flock is expected to increase due to return to normal seasonal conditions. The flock is expected to rebuild in the medium term.
Sheep & Sheep prices are expected to remain higher than the 5 year historical average
Wool In the short term shorn wool is expected to remain steady due to increase in wool cuts and increase in the medium term. Wool prices are forecast
to fall in 2020-21 due to consumer demand, however will recover in the medium term as demand quality improves
The Australian dairy herd will increase in the short term in part due to favourable season conditions. Global butter prices are expected to fall in 2020-21
following increases in milk production in key exporting regions
Dairy Dairy exports will decrease as higher domestic consumption is projected to reduce supplies
Area planted to grains is expected to increase in 2020-21 on the back of drought affected levels of 2019-20, and will remain flat for the medium
Grains & term assuming favourable conditions
Oilseeds Wheat and barley prices will ease, as productivity improvements increase yields at a level that outweighs demand. Uncertain barley outlook for China
Oilseed plantings will remain largely unchanged in the medium term with world supply aligning with demand
In the short term, cotton production is expected to increase reflecting recovery from drought affected levels, this is expected to continue for the medium
Sugar & term. Returns to cotton growers are projected to increase to $661/bale in 2024-25
Cotton Sugar production & area planted will remain relatively unchanged due to increasing interest in horticulture. Sugar prices will rise in 2019-20 due
to production levels and remain largely unchanged in the medium term as increased health awareness reduces per person sugar consumption
Gross value of Australian horticulture is projected to increase to $12.8b in 2024-25 (2018-19: $11b), largely driven by increased fruit and nut production
due to rising demand in China
Horticulture Domestic prices are forecast to increase as production levels recover
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Long Term
Market Relevance
Outlook to Elders
Neutral
High
Neutral
High
Neutral
High
Neutral
Low
Neutral
High
Neutral
Medium
Neutral
Medium
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Source: ABARES Agricultural Commodities Outlook, March and September 2020
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26