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ELDERS LIMITED Investor Presentation 2011

Nov 13, 2011

64835_rns_2011-11-13_45e93655-0c02-4f5e-af48-7523227bae6d.pdf

Investor Presentation

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14 November 2011

2011 Full Year Results Presentation

Attached is a presentation to be made at the briefing today on Elders Limited’s results for the full year ended 30 September 2011 to be held at 8.30am Eastern Daylight Time.

The briefing will be webcast via the Company’s website at www.elders.com.au and open to a conference call. Details of telephone numbers and webcast registration were provided in the Company’s release of Friday, 11 November 2011.

International callers can access telephone numbers at http://investor.elders.com.au/full-year-resultsannouncement.

Peter Hastings Company Secretary

1

FY 2011 Presentation Results for the 12 months to 30 September 2011

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Key messages

  • FY11 Statutory results impacted by completed and pending divestment of unprofitable and cash consuming operations, particularly Forestry

  • Australian network operations have recorded strong improvement. The investment in staff and business transformation are starting to deliver

  • Trading operations substantially affected by combination of high A$, live export and weather

  • Futuris Automotive has expanded its global footprint and delivered a steady and credible performance despite tough market conditions

  • Further debt reduction and improvement to our financing achieved

  • Execution of forestry divestment will facilitate further debt reduction leaving Elders focused on profitable, cash generating operations in Rural Services and Automotive

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2

2011 Main Features

Sales and underlying earnings improvement, borrowings reduced

■ Statutory loss of $(395.3)m compared to 2010 loss of $(217.6)m

  • Non-recurring items of $(400.0)m, chiefly arising from Forestry exit

  • Continuing sales revenue up 16% to $2,263m

  • Underlying EBIT up to $33.7m from $2.6m

  • Underlying PBT of $7.1m up from $(13.7)m

  • Underlying NPAT of $4.7m up from loss of $(15.1)m

  • Gross borrowings reduced 14% with net debt down 21% to $345.5m

  • Strong improvement from Australian Rural Services Network

  • Difficult market conditions for Rural Services Trading and Automotive

  • Decision to exit Forestry, land sales of $26 million contracted/completed

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3

Underlying EBIT up from $2.6m to $33.7m Driven by Rural Service improvement and cost reductions

Movement in underlying EBIT $m

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+ 6.3
+0.3
33.7
+ 24.5
2.6
FY10 Rural Services Auto Corporate FY11
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$ million FY11 FY10
Rural Services
25.0
0.5
Automotive
15.3
15.0
Corporate
(6.6)
(12.9)
Total EBIT
33.7
2.6

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4

Profit and loss

Statutory result reflects impact of non-recurring items from forestry decision Significantly improved underlying earnings

$ million 2011 2010
Sales revenue from continuing operations
2,263.1
1,958.1
Underlying EBIT
33.7
2.6
Net underlying borrowing costs
(26.6)
(16.3)
Underlying profit before tax
7.1
(13.7)
Tax on underlying profit
0.8
3.7
Non-controlling interests
(3.2)
(5.1)
Underlying profit/(loss) to shareholders
4.7
(15.1)
Non-recurring items after tax
(400.0)
(202.5)
Reported net profit/(loss) to shareholders
(395.3)
(217.6)

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5

Reconciliation of statutory and underlying profit Non-recurring items

$ million 2011 2010 Key items in FY11
Reported Loss after tax
(395.3)
(217.6)
Non-recurring items:
Rural Services
(22.1)
12.8
Rural Bank (22.3), ETG( -13.9), HiFert (-10.6,) Live export (-2.1)
Project costs (-6.4) Redundancy/closure costs (-2.5) Loss on sale
(-2.6) Discontinued operations (-2.3) Other (-4.0)
Forestry
(391.8)
(158.3)
Detailed on following slide
Automotive
(0.6)
0.8
Loan fee
Corporate
(38.1)
(53.3)
Debt restructuring and refinance costs (-29.1), impairment of non-
core assets (-4.1), legal and other costs for tax case (-2.1); interest
attributable to Rural Bank investment (-2.8)
Net tax impact
52.6
(4.5)
Tax benefit recognised in relation to non-recurring items, including
$14.1m relating to ATO acceptance of bad debtsposition.
Non-recurring items after tax
(400.0)
(202.5)
Underlying NPAT to
shareholders
4.7
(15.1)

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6

Forestry assets

$ million Previous
Book Value
FY11
Adjustment
As at 30
September 11
Investment property
255.7
(140.9)
114.8*
Receivables
218.9
(156.3)
62.6**
Own trees
27.2
(27.2)
Other
29.8
(8.3)
21.5
Book Value
531.6
(332.7)
198.9
Onerous Contracts
(11.8)
(47.3)
(59.1)
Other provisions and payables
(16.6)
(7.4)
(24.0)
Results from discontinued operations
(4.4)
Total
(391.8)
  • Includes current year losses on property disposals

  • ** Includes impact of Cyclone Yasi in H1 FY11 of $(10.4)m

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7

Cash flow

Positive cash flow prior to Forestry

$ million Total Forestry Total ex
Forestry
Rural
Services
Auto Corporate
Operating cash flow:
before working capital 10.9 (29.0) 39.9 42.1 36.2 (38.4)*
working capital movement (34.7) 0.2 (34.9) 17.4 (20.8) (31.5)**
Total cash from operations
(23.8)
(28.8)
5.0
59.5
15.4
(69.9)
  • Includes salary costs of $9.9m attributable to forestry employees

  • ** Includes $36.3 million increase in securitisation attributable to Rural Services

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8

Key balance sheet items

Increased sales, prices and industry trends in working capital movements

$ million FY11 H1 11 FY 10
Inventory & livestock 241.6 303.6 226.0
Trade debtors 540.8 504.7 471.2
Trade creditors (433.9) (420.0) (357.0)
Working capital 348.5 388.3 340.2
Cash
81.6
38.3
80.0
Non-current assets held for sale 185.9 7.2 18.1
Investment property 3.0 261.8 265.0
Non-current receivables 16.9 202.7 199.7
Forestry - 27.5 27.2
Current borrowings (196.1) (305.3) (279.5)
Non-current borrowings (231.0) (81.5) (218.1)
Gross Borrowings (427.1) (386.8) (497.6)
Hybrid equity (145.2) (145.2) (145.2)
Shareholders’ equity 604.7 979.5 1,006.1

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9

Debt

Total reduced 21%, core bank debt cut 39%; increased use of seasonal facility

$ million 30 September: 2011 2010
Core bank debt 274.1 313.7
Trade debtor financing 139.5 111.2
Other non bank debt 13.5 72.7
Gross debt 427.1 497.6
Debt related Derivatives - 17.6
Cash (81.6) (80.0)
Net debt 345.5 435.2
Gearing 57% 43%

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10

Seasonal and market conditions

Eventful first half set up favorable conditions for most agricultural sectors

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6 months to March 31 2011

  • Divergent first half vs second half trends with dry south west WA the only constant

■ Strong summer rains replenished water supplies

good crop planting, especially cotton and rice

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unfavourable for feedlots & flood induced disruption

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reduced demand for pasture fertiliser and water rights trading

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■ Farm supplies

good planting levels across the country

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6 months to 30 September 2011

Ag Chem demand up

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■ Livestock

restocking and tight supply

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■ Wool

Prices at historical highs

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■ Real estate

subdued activity, especially in residential

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equity levels and access to capital

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■ Exchange rates unfavourable, especially for meat and livestock

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11

Rural Services earnings

Strong network and cost improvement, offset in part by Trading and adverse Mark- to-Market

Underlying EBIT movement $ million

+ 3.3 +1.6 - 7.2 - 5.2 + 3.8 + 28.2 25.0 0.5 Underlying Australian New Trading Support Equity Mark to Underlying EBIT FY10 network Zealand Centres Earnings market EBIT FY11 network

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12

Network performance

Growth in sales, margin and improved cost to earn

FY11 vs FY10 Sales Gross Margin
AgChem
+17%
+15%
Fertiliser
+22%1
+ 32%
Farm Supplies (total)
+16%
+17%
Livestock
+9%
+ 8%
Wool
+8 %
+ 17%
Real Estate
-8%
- 5%
Total Australian Network
+13%
+ 11%
Earn per employee
+17%
+14%
Cost-to-earn ratio
n.a
- 9%
2011
2010
Agency turnover (Livestock, Wool & Real Estate)
$4,549m
$4,340m

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1 fertiliser sales based on turnover for consistency due to variation in sales model mix

13

Trading performance Cattle-related business was down on live export restrictions, weather & AUD

Revenue up but Gross Margin down

  • higher revenue ( +6%) due to NZ Wool & feedlots

  • gross margin down 25% due to live export and feedlots

Feedlot trading

$ million 2011 2010
Sales revenue
471.9
446.5
Gross Margin
27.8
36.9
Total EBIT
7.1
14.3
  • sales up with move to 100% shareholding in Killara and higher prices

  • returns down on cool wet weather and tight sourcing markets

  • tight supply markets

  • markets locally and offshore

Live export

  • Indonesian live export volume down 72,000 head (35%)

  • H1 market restrictions, and Australian government suspension in H2

Wool

  • high prices on strong demand

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14

Network Related Equity Earnings

Increased earnings contribution

Elders Insurance

  • overall Gross Written Premium and corresponding revenue consistent with Plan

  • prudent expense management

  • transition of underwriting to QBE progressed well, including new IT systems

Elders Financial Planning

  • first full year of Joint Venture (9mth in FY10)
$ million 2011 2010
Elders Insurance
6.2
5.6
Elders Financial Planning
0.5
0.3
Australian Wool Handlers
4.1
3.2
Other
0.5
0.6
Total Earnings
11.3
9.7
  • advisor network growth, up from 49 to 66

  • brokerage up to $10.7m from $7.5m

AWH

  • increased wool volumes handled, storage down on higher prices

  • capacity utilisation improvements through development of cotton handling and logistics business

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15

Automotive operations Results reflective of vehicle industry trends

  • Sales and margin impacted by lower volumes

  • Australian passenger vehicle build down 10% yoy; although some marques down by up to 50%

  • Futuris sales revenue down 4% before sales increment of $68.6m from consolidated JV’s

  • Chinese volume lower than anticipated

$ million 2011 2010
Sales revenue
315.2
256.9
Futuris Auto EBIT
15.8
15.4
Joint venture income
(0.5)
(0.4)
Underlying EBIT
15.3
15.0
Non-recurring items
-
0.8
EBIT - reported
15.3
15.8
  • Strong contracting performance

  • Opening of new Thailand facilities to support GM & Ford as well as in-sourced “cut and sew” for Australia under FTA

  • Expansion in China with Brilliance and Gonow

  • Growth in North America with Tesla and Fisker

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16

Automotive operations

Future growth secured during FY10/11

Red – represents new incremental business contract secured from FY10 onwards

Note the dates shown are the planned start of volume production

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GM Thailand Seating - mid 2012 Ford Thailand Interiors - mid 2012

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BMW Carpet - mid 2012
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Black – represents replacement business contract secured from FY10 onwards

Brilliance Seating - end 2011 JAC Seating - end 2010 GAC Gonow - Seating mid 2012 GreenTech - Seating mid 2012

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Tesla Seating - mid 2012 Fisker Seating - mid 2013

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established in construction Holden MY14 Seating & Interiors - mid 2012 Holden Cruze Seating & Interiors - mid 2011 Airbag assembly - mid 2011 Toyota Camry Interiors - end 2011 Ford Territory Seating & Interiors - mid 2011 Numerous Rail Industry Interiors - mid 2012 Clean Technology manufacturing - mid 2012 (Water Heaters and Wood replacement products)

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Forestry divestment

Escalation of Staged Capital Release to total withdrawal from sector

  • Announced Staged Capital Release program targeting selected assets in May

  • Decision on Oct 3 to extend to total withdrawal from Forestry as case for retention no longer measures up for Elders shareholders

  • impact of softening prices and near term outlook on returns and payback horizon

  • deteriorating near to medium term cash profile no longer justifiable for Elders

  • receipt of credible non-binding offers

  • Forestry has been classified as assets held for sale

  • Processes are underway for various categories of assets across the forestry portfolio, including infrastructure, land and trees (both pulpwood and speciality timbers) and accrued income assets

  • range of internal and external advisers appointed

  • $26m of land sales successfully executed to date (Central Queensland land)

  • remaining processes ongoing

  • As part of the exit processes, Elders is working closely with the responsible entities of the MIS Schemes with a view to achieving an orderly exit

  • It is expected that the results of assets sales, other than those in the ordinary course of forestry operations, will be applied to further reduce corporate debt

  • Elders expects to be able to update the market on the progress of these processes in due course

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18

FY12 Outlook

Conditions and momentum supporting positive start to FY12

Network

  • strong finish to winter cropping season

  • livestock markets and volumes very tight

  • broadacre real estate trending up

  • confidence levels rising in rural sector

  • appointment of Group General Manager, Australian Network to drive improvement further

Trading

  • live export demand up

  • feedlots still impacted by higher A$; tight markets

Auto

  • local volumes picking up

  • supply to new contracts in China, Thailand and USA to commence

■ Expectation is that FY12 will be a year to:

  • extend turnaround in operational performance begun in FY11;

  • substantially complete the forestry divestment

  • and reduce debt and interest significantly with the proceeds

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19 19