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ELDERS LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2011
Nov 13, 2011
64835_rns_2011-11-13_45e93655-0c02-4f5e-af48-7523227bae6d.pdf
Investor Presentation
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14 November 2011
2011 Full Year Results Presentation
Attached is a presentation to be made at the briefing today on Elders Limited’s results for the full year ended 30 September 2011 to be held at 8.30am Eastern Daylight Time.
The briefing will be webcast via the Company’s website at www.elders.com.au and open to a conference call. Details of telephone numbers and webcast registration were provided in the Company’s release of Friday, 11 November 2011.
International callers can access telephone numbers at http://investor.elders.com.au/full-year-resultsannouncement.
Peter Hastings Company Secretary
1
FY 2011 Presentation Results for the 12 months to 30 September 2011
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Key messages
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FY11 Statutory results impacted by completed and pending divestment of unprofitable and cash consuming operations, particularly Forestry
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Australian network operations have recorded strong improvement. The investment in staff and business transformation are starting to deliver
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Trading operations substantially affected by combination of high A$, live export and weather
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Futuris Automotive has expanded its global footprint and delivered a steady and credible performance despite tough market conditions
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Further debt reduction and improvement to our financing achieved
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Execution of forestry divestment will facilitate further debt reduction leaving Elders focused on profitable, cash generating operations in Rural Services and Automotive
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2
2011 Main Features
Sales and underlying earnings improvement, borrowings reduced
■ Statutory loss of $(395.3)m compared to 2010 loss of $(217.6)m
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Non-recurring items of $(400.0)m, chiefly arising from Forestry exit
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Continuing sales revenue up 16% to $2,263m
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Underlying EBIT up to $33.7m from $2.6m
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Underlying PBT of $7.1m up from $(13.7)m
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Underlying NPAT of $4.7m up from loss of $(15.1)m
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Gross borrowings reduced 14% with net debt down 21% to $345.5m
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Strong improvement from Australian Rural Services Network
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Difficult market conditions for Rural Services Trading and Automotive
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Decision to exit Forestry, land sales of $26 million contracted/completed
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3
Underlying EBIT up from $2.6m to $33.7m Driven by Rural Service improvement and cost reductions
Movement in underlying EBIT $m
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+ 6.3
+0.3
33.7
+ 24.5
2.6
FY10 Rural Services Auto Corporate FY11
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| $ million | FY11 | FY10 |
|---|---|---|
| Rural Services 25.0 0.5 |
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| Automotive 15.3 15.0 |
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| Corporate (6.6) (12.9) |
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| Total EBIT 33.7 2.6 |
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4
Profit and loss
Statutory result reflects impact of non-recurring items from forestry decision Significantly improved underlying earnings
| $ million | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue from continuing operations 2,263.1 1,958.1 |
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| Underlying EBIT 33.7 2.6 |
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| Net underlying borrowing costs (26.6) (16.3) |
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| Underlying profit before tax 7.1 (13.7) |
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| Tax on underlying profit 0.8 3.7 |
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| Non-controlling interests (3.2) (5.1) |
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| Underlying profit/(loss) to shareholders 4.7 (15.1) |
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| Non-recurring items after tax (400.0) (202.5) |
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| Reported net profit/(loss) to shareholders (395.3) (217.6) |
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5
Reconciliation of statutory and underlying profit Non-recurring items
| $ million | 2011 | 2010 | Key items in FY11 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported Loss after tax (395.3) (217.6) |
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| Non-recurring items: Rural Services (22.1) 12.8 Rural Bank (22.3), ETG( -13.9), HiFert (-10.6,) Live export (-2.1) Project costs (-6.4) Redundancy/closure costs (-2.5) Loss on sale (-2.6) Discontinued operations (-2.3) Other (-4.0) |
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| Forestry (391.8) (158.3) Detailed on following slide |
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| Automotive (0.6) 0.8 Loan fee |
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| Corporate (38.1) (53.3) Debt restructuring and refinance costs (-29.1), impairment of non- core assets (-4.1), legal and other costs for tax case (-2.1); interest attributable to Rural Bank investment (-2.8) |
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| Net tax impact 52.6 (4.5) Tax benefit recognised in relation to non-recurring items, including $14.1m relating to ATO acceptance of bad debtsposition. |
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| Non-recurring items after tax (400.0) (202.5) |
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| Underlying NPAT to shareholders 4.7 (15.1) |
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6
Forestry assets
| $ million | Previous Book Value |
FY11 Adjustment |
As at 30 September 11 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property 255.7 (140.9) 114.8* |
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| Receivables 218.9 (156.3) 62.6** |
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| Own trees 27.2 (27.2) |
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| Other 29.8 (8.3) 21.5 |
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| Book Value 531.6 (332.7) 198.9 |
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| Onerous Contracts (11.8) (47.3) (59.1) |
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| Other provisions and payables (16.6) (7.4) (24.0) |
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| Results from discontinued operations (4.4) |
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| Total (391.8) |
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Includes current year losses on property disposals
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** Includes impact of Cyclone Yasi in H1 FY11 of $(10.4)m
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7
Cash flow
Positive cash flow prior to Forestry
| $ million | Total | Forestry | Total ex Forestry |
Rural Services |
Auto | Corporate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow: | ||||||
| before working capital | 10.9 | (29.0) | 39.9 | 42.1 | 36.2 | (38.4)* |
| working capital movement | (34.7) | 0.2 | (34.9) | 17.4 | (20.8) | (31.5)** |
| Total cash from operations (23.8) (28.8) 5.0 59.5 15.4 (69.9) |
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Includes salary costs of $9.9m attributable to forestry employees
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** Includes $36.3 million increase in securitisation attributable to Rural Services
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8
Key balance sheet items
Increased sales, prices and industry trends in working capital movements
| $ million | FY11 | H1 11 | FY 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inventory & livestock | 241.6 | 303.6 | 226.0 |
| Trade debtors | 540.8 | 504.7 | 471.2 |
| Trade creditors | (433.9) | (420.0) | (357.0) |
| Working capital | 348.5 | 388.3 | 340.2 |
| Cash 81.6 38.3 80.0 |
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| Non-current assets held for sale | 185.9 | 7.2 | 18.1 |
| Investment property | 3.0 | 261.8 | 265.0 |
| Non-current receivables | 16.9 | 202.7 | 199.7 |
| Forestry | - | 27.5 | 27.2 |
| Current borrowings | (196.1) | (305.3) | (279.5) |
| Non-current borrowings | (231.0) | (81.5) | (218.1) |
| Gross Borrowings | (427.1) | (386.8) | (497.6) |
| Hybrid equity | (145.2) | (145.2) | (145.2) |
| Shareholders’ equity | 604.7 | 979.5 | 1,006.1 |
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9
Debt
Total reduced 21%, core bank debt cut 39%; increased use of seasonal facility
| $ million 30 September: | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|
| Core bank debt | 274.1 | 313.7 |
| Trade debtor financing | 139.5 | 111.2 |
| Other non bank debt | 13.5 | 72.7 |
| Gross debt | 427.1 | 497.6 |
| Debt related Derivatives | - | 17.6 |
| Cash | (81.6) | (80.0) |
| Net debt | 345.5 | 435.2 |
| Gearing | 57% | 43% |
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10
Seasonal and market conditions
Eventful first half set up favorable conditions for most agricultural sectors
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6 months to March 31 2011
- Divergent first half vs second half trends with dry south west WA the only constant
■ Strong summer rains replenished water supplies
good crop planting, especially cotton and rice
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unfavourable for feedlots & flood induced disruption
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reduced demand for pasture fertiliser and water rights trading
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■ Farm supplies
good planting levels across the country
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6 months to 30 September 2011
Ag Chem demand up
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■ Livestock
restocking and tight supply
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■ Wool
Prices at historical highs
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■ Real estate
subdued activity, especially in residential
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equity levels and access to capital
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■ Exchange rates unfavourable, especially for meat and livestock
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11
Rural Services earnings
Strong network and cost improvement, offset in part by Trading and adverse Mark- to-Market
Underlying EBIT movement $ million
+ 3.3 +1.6 - 7.2 - 5.2 + 3.8 + 28.2 25.0 0.5 Underlying Australian New Trading Support Equity Mark to Underlying EBIT FY10 network Zealand Centres Earnings market EBIT FY11 network
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12
Network performance
Growth in sales, margin and improved cost to earn
| FY11 vs FY10 | Sales | Gross Margin |
|---|---|---|
| AgChem +17% +15% |
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| Fertiliser +22%1 + 32% |
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| Farm Supplies (total) +16% +17% |
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| Livestock +9% + 8% |
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| Wool +8 % + 17% |
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| Real Estate -8% - 5% |
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| Total Australian Network +13% + 11% |
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| Earn per employee +17% +14% |
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| Cost-to-earn ratio n.a - 9% |
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| 2011 2010 |
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| Agency turnover (Livestock, Wool & Real Estate) $4,549m $4,340m |
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1 fertiliser sales based on turnover for consistency due to variation in sales model mix
13
Trading performance Cattle-related business was down on live export restrictions, weather & AUD
■ Revenue up but Gross Margin down
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higher revenue ( +6%) due to NZ Wool & feedlots
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gross margin down 25% due to live export and feedlots
■ Feedlot trading
| $ million | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue 471.9 446.5 |
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| Gross Margin 27.8 36.9 |
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| Total EBIT 7.1 14.3 |
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sales up with move to 100% shareholding in Killara and higher prices
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returns down on cool wet weather and tight sourcing markets
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tight supply markets
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markets locally and offshore
■ Live export
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Indonesian live export volume down 72,000 head (35%)
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H1 market restrictions, and Australian government suspension in H2
■ Wool
- high prices on strong demand
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14
Network Related Equity Earnings
Increased earnings contribution
Elders Insurance
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overall Gross Written Premium and corresponding revenue consistent with Plan
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prudent expense management
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transition of underwriting to QBE progressed well, including new IT systems
Elders Financial Planning
- first full year of Joint Venture (9mth in FY10)
| $ million | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|
| Elders Insurance 6.2 5.6 |
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| Elders Financial Planning 0.5 0.3 |
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| Australian Wool Handlers 4.1 3.2 |
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| Other 0.5 0.6 |
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| Total Earnings 11.3 9.7 |
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advisor network growth, up from 49 to 66
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brokerage up to $10.7m from $7.5m
AWH
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increased wool volumes handled, storage down on higher prices
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capacity utilisation improvements through development of cotton handling and logistics business
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15
Automotive operations Results reflective of vehicle industry trends
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Sales and margin impacted by lower volumes
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Australian passenger vehicle build down 10% yoy; although some marques down by up to 50%
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Futuris sales revenue down 4% before sales increment of $68.6m from consolidated JV’s
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Chinese volume lower than anticipated
| $ million | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue 315.2 256.9 |
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| Futuris Auto EBIT 15.8 15.4 |
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| Joint venture income (0.5) (0.4) |
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| Underlying EBIT 15.3 15.0 |
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| Non-recurring items - 0.8 |
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| EBIT - reported 15.3 15.8 |
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Strong contracting performance
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Opening of new Thailand facilities to support GM & Ford as well as in-sourced “cut and sew” for Australia under FTA
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Expansion in China with Brilliance and Gonow
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Growth in North America with Tesla and Fisker
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16
Automotive operations
Future growth secured during FY10/11
Red – represents new incremental business contract secured from FY10 onwards
Note the dates shown are the planned start of volume production
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GM Thailand Seating - mid 2012 Ford Thailand Interiors - mid 2012
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BMW Carpet - mid 2012
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Black – represents replacement business contract secured from FY10 onwards
Brilliance Seating - end 2011 JAC Seating - end 2010 GAC Gonow - Seating mid 2012 GreenTech - Seating mid 2012
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Tesla Seating - mid 2012 Fisker Seating - mid 2013
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established in construction Holden MY14 Seating & Interiors - mid 2012 Holden Cruze Seating & Interiors - mid 2011 Airbag assembly - mid 2011 Toyota Camry Interiors - end 2011 Ford Territory Seating & Interiors - mid 2011 Numerous Rail Industry Interiors - mid 2012 Clean Technology manufacturing - mid 2012 (Water Heaters and Wood replacement products)
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Forestry divestment
Escalation of Staged Capital Release to total withdrawal from sector
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Announced Staged Capital Release program targeting selected assets in May
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Decision on Oct 3 to extend to total withdrawal from Forestry as case for retention no longer measures up for Elders shareholders
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impact of softening prices and near term outlook on returns and payback horizon
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deteriorating near to medium term cash profile no longer justifiable for Elders
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receipt of credible non-binding offers
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Forestry has been classified as assets held for sale
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Processes are underway for various categories of assets across the forestry portfolio, including infrastructure, land and trees (both pulpwood and speciality timbers) and accrued income assets
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range of internal and external advisers appointed
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$26m of land sales successfully executed to date (Central Queensland land)
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remaining processes ongoing
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As part of the exit processes, Elders is working closely with the responsible entities of the MIS Schemes with a view to achieving an orderly exit
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It is expected that the results of assets sales, other than those in the ordinary course of forestry operations, will be applied to further reduce corporate debt
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Elders expects to be able to update the market on the progress of these processes in due course
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18
FY12 Outlook
Conditions and momentum supporting positive start to FY12
■ Network
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strong finish to winter cropping season
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livestock markets and volumes very tight
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broadacre real estate trending up
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confidence levels rising in rural sector
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appointment of Group General Manager, Australian Network to drive improvement further
■ Trading
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live export demand up
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feedlots still impacted by higher A$; tight markets
■ Auto
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local volumes picking up
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supply to new contracts in China, Thailand and USA to commence
■ Expectation is that FY12 will be a year to:
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extend turnaround in operational performance begun in FY11;
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substantially complete the forestry divestment
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and reduce debt and interest significantly with the proceeds
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