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ELDERS LIMITED Interim / Quarterly Report 2010

Jun 21, 2010

64835_rns_2010-06-21_f5a9deaf-6d50-43d1-97ef-fe9e6e6eb945.pdf

Interim / Quarterly Report

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22 June 2010

Company Announcements Office Australian Securities Exchange

ELDERS LIMITED TRADING AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE

As foreshadowed to the market in its request for a Trading Halt made on Friday 18 June 2010, attached is Elders Limited’s Trading and Operational Update.

As previously advised to the market, Elders’ Chief Executive Malcolm Jackman will host a conference call at 8:30 Eastern Standard Time today (Tuesday 22 June 2010) to speak to the announcement and answer questions.

Conference call details are as follows:

Toll Free Australia 1800 505 083 Toll Free New Zealand 0800 449 118 Toll Free Hong Kong 800 967 659 Toll Free Singapore 800 616 2160 Toll Free UK 0800 068 9834 Toll Free USA 1866 369 4113 Toll Free China Telecom 1080 036 101 33 Toll Free China Netcom 1080 061 101 13

Peter Hastings Company Secretary (08) 8425 4964

Elders Limited ABN 34 004 336 636 Registered office: Level 3, 27 Currie Street, Adelaide, South Australia 5000. Postal Address: GPO Box 1176, Adelaide, South Australia 5001.

Telephone: (08) 8425 4000 Facsimile: (08) 8410 1597

22 June 2010

Elders announces revised earnings expectations and targets 11% ($45 million) reduction in cost to serve

  • Earnings expectations reduced as fundamental shift in farm supplies markets and low activity levels in Real Estate, New Zealand and live export to Indonesia offset gains made in volume, costs and % margin

  • Elders to reduce cost to serve by 11% to re-set business with market conditions

  • Executive structure to be made leaner with CEO taking direct responsibility for network performance improvement and management layers from CEO to branch management to be reduced from 4 to 2.

Elders (ASX:ELD) has announced revised earnings expectations and a $45 million cost reduction initiative to bring its cost to serve to levels sustainable in current markets.

Trading results

In a Trading and Operational Update lodged with the ASX today, Elders advised that market conditions (principally persistently low prices for key farm supply lines, coupled with subdued activity levels in real estate, New Zealand and live export volumes to Indonesia) meant that earnings from Rural Services operations for the June quarter and FY2010 would be substantially lower than anticipated.

Elders had previously undertaken to provide the market with an update on its earnings outlook after the peak June Quarter sales period for farm supplies concluded. However, Chief Executive Malcolm Jackman said it was apparent from results to May that insufficient revenue was being earned from the key rural service sales period to achieve guidance, especially after the downgrade to forestry MIS sales forecast earlier this month.

“The bottom line is that while we have lifted our volume, cash, costs and margin performance, the prices and activity levels in current markets are not permitting sufficient revenue to be generated. Uncompromising market conditions have also been compounded by ongoing tight working capital availability within the rural sector” Malcolm Jackman said.

“This year is seeing a fundamental shift in farm supply markets. There is a greater proliferation of low priced generic product and a much greater willingness by growers to use cheaper generic product over branded items. Even though our margins are up as a percentage of sales, the impact of ongoing lower prices in agricultural chemicals alone has acted to reduce gross margin by roughly $12 million in the first 8 months of the year” said Malcolm Jackman.

Results from New Zealand and in Real Estate have reflected subdued market conditions with those business units being $4.5 million lower on gross margin in the year to date.

The lower earnings from Rural Services, coupled with the lower MIS income expected from Forestry and announced previously, means that Elders has recorded a break-even underlying after tax profit for the 8 months to May 2010. While this is well ahead of the corresponding underlying loss of $(16.8) million for the previous corresponding period, it is well behind the budget comparative for the period of $25 million.

Underlying profit after tax for the 12 months to 30 September is now expected to range between a loss of $(8) million and a loss of $(14) million, compared with the original prospectus target of $55.7 million. Elders reported an underlying profit after tax of $1.1 million for the 2010 First Half.

Balance sheet and financial position

Elders’ cash and balance sheet position is strong with cash and available credit totalling $110 million as at 31 May. Elders is well within its financial covenants.

Market condition s and Operational Review

Malcolm Jackman said that the revised earnings outlook reflected fundamental changes in the Rural Service and Forestry markets this financial year which have overwhelmed the improvements in operations, cash and cost management by the company.

“Our rural services operations have reduced costs by 3% and lifted their gross margin as a percentage of sales above budget targets and above the levels recorded in the previous year. Overall, seasonal conditions are trending positively. Yet the end result is that we have been working flat out to stand still” Malcolm Jackman said.

“Notwithstanding the gains made, I believe our cost to sales ratio is unsustainable in current markets. We have initiated action to re-set our cost to serve in the near term to that required for satisfactory returns and to improve sales revenue performance over time.”

“Seasonal conditions in Australia are positive and the outlook for the Australian farm sector is improving. Our Go-to-Market strategy has been delivering gains in volume pricing and margin. But while the strategy might be right, the cost to serve isn’t right for these market conditions” he said.

Elders is to reduce its cost to serve by $45 million or 11% under Cost to Serve and Sales Performance improvement initiatives announced today. Measures announced include performance management of the lowest decile of performers out of the business; an immediate freeze on replacement and recruitment and a new flatter executive management structure which reduces the layers of supervision between the CEO and branch management from 4 to 2.

“We believe conditions will eventually improve and the subdued markets in real estate, New Zealand and live export to Indonesia will recover. But we are not prepared to wait until that time when a substantial realignment between our costs and our income is clearly required now”.

Malcolm Jackman will personally take responsibility for management of Elders’ Rural Service performance, with functions reporting to him including Southern and Northern regional management, New Zealand , Sales, Livestock Supply Chain, Marketing and Operational Excellence. Corporate functions previously reporting to Malcolm Jackman will now report to CFO Mark Hosking to enable Malcolm Jackman to optimise focus on network performance.

“I would like to acknowledge the contribution made by Mike Guerin who has resigned from his position as Chief Operating Officer as it is clear that market conditions require Elders to have a leaner management structure and, as such, his position was no longer viable.

“I have no doubt that, without the heavy lifting done by Mike to reform the business, reduce costs and set the Go to Market strategy, Elders’ results would be far worse. I would also like to acknowledge the efforts of John Molenaar as Head of Australian network, who has also resigned from his position as Manager Head of Australia, as that position is also now not sustainable. Both John and Mike leave Elders with the Board’s best wishes and thanks for their efforts” said Malcolm Jackman.

Malcolm Jackman said that further improvements in the cost to sales revenue ratio were expected as sales revenue improved.

“In the immediate term, achieving a lower cost to serve is the effective lever that must be worked to deliver satisfactory returns. The ongoing implementation of our Go-to-Market strategy is expected to deliver improvement as we shift from the old “one size fits all” model to more closely aligning branches and staff with local production profiles. Supporting this will be the ongoing performance management that will occur so that we achieve our objective of becoming a cash focussed, capital light, high performance sales organisation.”

Forestry restructuring

Elders also announced the restructuring of its forestry operations in light of the reduced forestry MIS market. Elders will scale back its MIS activities with a focus on the operation of existing projects, the identification of alternative funding sources , the growth of revenue from a broader range of forestry services including plantation management and retain a lean core resource to offer tax effective retail and institutional products. Restructuring and further cost reductions are anticipated as a consequence. Strong export sales growth and cash flow is still expected from Forestry operations over the coming 2 – 3 years. A breakeven EBIT result is targeted in 2011.

Further Comment:

Malcolm Jackman 0439 642 876 Chief Executive Officer Further information: Mark Hosking 0439 833 816 Chief Financial Officer Don Murchland 0439 300 932 Investor Relations Manager

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Trading and Operational Update 22 June 2010

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June Trading Review Key Points

  1. Current conditions and changing markets for Rural Services and Forestry have necessitated a revision to earnings expectations and the initiation of management action to realign cost structures with current and anticipated conditions.

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  1. FY10 to date has shown positive seasonal conditions, low input prices, good livestock prices and improving farm incomes.

  2. Good progress made in farm supply volumes and controllable areas such as costs, margin, cash management and supply chain offset by low and intractable prices on key lines and reduced market volumes in real estate, New Zealand and in live export to Indonesia. Revenue improvement initiatives have not made headway.

  3. Maintained market share (with exception of WA fertiliser).

  4. Elders is a significant key player in the Australian rural services and forestry sectors but the existing sales to cost ratio is not generating returns for shareholders and is not sustainable in current market conditions.

  5. Elders has initiated an action plan to achieve near term reduction in costs with the objective of realising an 11% reduction in “cost-toserve”; leaner, lower cost corporate structure and a lift in sales revenue per employee.

2

Situation overview

  1. Seasonal conditions have been generally supportive of original earnings guidance

  2. However trading and activity since H1 has not generated anticipated revenue and margin outcomes. Results for May and downgraded expectations for June and period to Sept 10 indicate that Elders will not generate sufficient income from its peak sales season to achieve earnings guidance:

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  • Forestry: as advised June 15; MIS sales expected to be minimal (EBIT impact of up to -$8 m).

  • Automotive continuing to track ahead of budget.

  • Rural services:

    • farm supplies sales volumes up on YTD pcp (Ag Chem up 33%; East Coast fertiliser up 13%, on pcp YTD)

    • Gross Margin % up (network margin 22.8% vs 18.8% May YTD)

    • cash generation up

    • BUT prices still low (eg Glyph 450 $3.80/l v 3 year average of $6.45/l –down 41%)

    • NZ still affected by subdued local market conditions

    • revenue for April & May $158 million lower than budget

  • Go to Market Strategy has delivered volume and margin growth and sharpened sales effectiveness. Ongoing implementation critical and will continue.

  • Recovery in prices anticipated but not in near term.

  • Medium term revenue growth will occur through performance management and transforming Elders into a High Performance Sales Organisation.

6. Immediate action required to address revenue to cost ratio with requirement to reduce “cost-to-serve” by 11% through tighter individual KPIs, performance management, tougher consequence management and recruitment controls.

3

Underlying earnings update and outlook Reduced earnings expectations for Rural Services and Forestry

Forestry
$ million
Rural Services EBIT
Forestry EBIT
Automotive EBIT
Investment & other
H1 10 May 10 YTD May 09
YTD

Forecast
FY10
12.6
7.4
8.6
(7.3)
15.0 23.0 24 -29
6.0 9.7 (2) - 0
10.9 (14.0) 13 -15
(9.3) (11.4) (15) –(11)
EBIT 21.3 22.7 7.3 20 - 33
Net Underlying interest
Underlying profit/(loss)
before tax
Tax expense
Non-controlled interests
(14.9)
6.4
(2.1)
(3.2)
(18.5) (40.8) (33) – (30)
4.2 (33.5) (13) - 3
(0.1) 15.6 4 – (4)
(4.1) 1.1 (5) – (7)
Underlying profit to
shareholders
1.1 0.0 (16.8) (14) – (8)

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4

Finance

Strong cash position, within covenants

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  1. Gearing as per covenants of 35% at 31 May (48% including trade debtor financing of $142 million)

  2. Net debt at 31 May of $394 million, including cash of $110 million

  3. Annual “clean down” of transactional facility completed

  4. Trade Debtor Financing 12 month extension terms agreed 5. Operating within covenants

Cash and undrawn facilities
($ million)
**July 2010 Fcst ** August 10 Fcst September 10 Fcst
Average
127
77
90
Low
77
66
71
High
154
106
105
Covenant tests First Test Date Fcst June
2010
FY2010
(Sep-quarter)
FY2011
(Sep-quarter)
FY2012
(Sep-quarter)
Gross Debt / EBITDA
30 June 2010
4.74x
<6.0x
<3.75x
<2.5x
EBITDA / Interest
30 June 2010
2.24x
>1.2x
>2.5x
>3.25x
Gearing (Gross Debt /
Equity)
31 December 2009
29%
<60%
<55%
<45%

5

Rural Services results YTD vs budget Sales revenue shortfall offsetting cost and % margin gains

$ million
Sales revenue
Gross Margin
Gross margin %
Rural Services
Gross Margin %
Network
Costs
May 10
YTD
May 10
Budget
Variance
$
Variance
%
1,174.0 1,546.0 -372.0 -24.1%
224.5 254.1 - 29.6 -11.6%
19.1% 16.4% + 2.7% 16.5%
22.8% 20.4% +2.4% 11.7%
(209.5) (214.9) + 5.4 2.5%
Underlying EBIT 15.0 39.2 -24.1
(61.6%)

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Lower sales revenue, impacting gross margin and offsetting gains in n costs and % margi

6

Rural Services results analysis May YTD behind 09 and budget due to margin shortfall

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$ million
Australian
network
New Zealand
Meat and
Livestock
trading
Network related
Support centres
Gross margin Gross margin Gross margin Costs Costs Costs Contribution Contribution Contribution
May 10
YTD
May 09
YTD
May 10
Budget
May 10
YTD
May 09
YTD
May 10
Budget
May 10
YTD
May 09
YTD
May 10
Budget
169.4 183.1 194.7 (129.0) (140.7) (134.0) 40.4 42.4 60.7
15.2 13.8 17.2 (17.1) (15.9) (15.7) (1.9) (2.0) 1.5
16.0 20.3 21.2 (11.8) (10.4) (11.9) 4.2 9.9 9.3
23.9 20.8 21.0 (1.7) (1.8) (1.8) 22.2 19.0 19.2
(49.9) (46.3) (51.5) (49.9) (46.3) (51.5)
Total 224.5 238.1 254.1 (209.5) (215.1) (214.9) 15.0
23.0
39.2
Underlying EBIT 15.0
23.0
39.2

7

Rural Services sales and margin Variance against budget for May YTD

$ million variance arising from: Sales
revenue
Gross
Margin
Ag Chem prices - 73.2 -11.8
Ag Chem volume +23.7 +3.8
Fertiliser prices -13.4 -1.2
Fertiliser volume -21.1 -1.8
WA Fertiliser -112.5 -1.3
Other Farm Supplies -18.2 -5.4
Livestock Agency volume -7.8 -7.8
Livestock price +6.8 +6.8
Wool +3.0 +0.1
Real Estate turnover - 4.6 - 2.5
New Zealand -13.5 -2.0
Meat and Livestock trading -141.3 -5.1
Other 0 -1.4
Costs n/a +5.4
Underlying EBIT
-372.0
-24.1

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8

Elders and Australian agriculture Business has scale and signficance

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May YTD volume
Cattle sold(agency) 1.32 million head; $836 milliongross
Sheepsold 6.70 million head; $594 milliongross
Pigs sold 96,000; $17.7 milliongross
Properties sold Sale of 765 broadacre, 2188 residential
properties with total gross value of $1.209
billion
Fertiliser sold(tonnes) 280,000 solids, 54,000 liquids
Wool sold 327,000 bales; $316 million gross
Livestock exported 148,363 head; $181million gross
Feedlot throughput 62,300 head; $89.9 million gross
Rural and regional customer
relationships
80,000 (Aust) +40,000 (NZ)
Points of presence - Australia 390 rural & regional + 132 metro real estate
franchise
- New Zealand 18

9

Go to Market Strategy Establishing Elders as the Productivity Partner of choice and a High Performance Sales Organisation

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: Stage 1, Internal focus

Renew understanding of client base. Re-orientation and reorganisation backed with systems.

  • Increased pricing discipline 

  • Key account program success 

  • Margin growth 

  • Re-organisation around grower sectors

Completed.

Stage 2, External and client interface Underway & accelerating

  • Align branches and staff capabilities with production profile of clients

  • Shift from “one-size fits all” to differentiated value proposition

  • Enable targeting of low penetration sectors such as dairy and horticulture

10

Rural Services: conclusions and imperatives Business case strong –but not with current cost structures while current market conditions persist

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  1. Seasonal and market conditions are overall positive for Australian growers. Medium and long term outlook is good.

  2. Scale, industry position and FY10 volume growth shows the Elders’ brand and network has value and significance to Australian farm sector.

  3. Current prices are well below medium term averages.

  4. While Elders expects improvement in the longer term, low prices are here for the foreseeable future and the proliferation and market acceptance of generic product has changed revenue-margin dynamics.

  5. To generate an acceptable return in this climate Elders needs to dramatically improve its cost to sales ratio.

  6. Sales revenue improvement can be achieved in the future and Elders will accelerate initiatives in train for this purpose.

  7. The immediate need is for costs to be brought into alignment with current market conditions. This will require a 11% reduction in cost to serve.

11

Re-aligning costs to current market conditions Cost to serve to be reduced 11%

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  1. Tight recruitment restrictions on all new and replacement roles.

  2. Reduce staff numbers by 10% through performance management of under-performers and realignment of structure and roles to build greater customer value, lift sales and margins.

  3. Staffing level reductions achieved through natural attrition and tougher consequence management.

  4. Redundancies to be avoided.

  5. Leaner, more focussed Executive and Support Services structure.

  6. Savings totalling $45 million annualised targeted across the Group.

12

Organisational structure Leaner, shifting responsibility to operational performance to the most senior level

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  1. Leaner, flatter organisation structure more in keeping with current revenue generation

  2. Malcolm Jackman to assume direct responsibility for Rural Services management, including network, supply chain, operational excellence and marketing

  3. Layers of supervision between CEO to branch to be reduced from 4 to 2

  4. Rural Services Chief Operating Officer, Mike Guerin resigned effective 30 June 2010

  5. Manager Australian network, John Molenaar resigned effective 30 June 2010

  6. Corporate service and support functions previously managed by M Jackman reallocated to optimise focus on operational performance.

13

Revised Org Structure

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----- Start of picture text -----

Elders Ltd
Malcolm Jackman
CEO & MD
Malcolm JackmanNetwork Tony DageGroup GM Trading Finance and Corporate Mark Hosking CFOServices Strategy& PartnershipsSam McClureGroup GM Human ResourcesRobert TantiGroup GM Shaun HughesCIOI.T. Mark De WitAutoMD Vince ErasmusCOO & MDForestry
----- End of picture text -----

Elders Forestry Strategic Response

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Immediate cash management initiatives:

  • Manage through current market conditions

  • Expect cost reductions of up to $5m in 2011

  • Realise cash from a programmed divestment of underperforming properties

Future Direction

  • Capitalise on and consolidate port asset position

  • Access alternative funding such as institutional plantation investment

  • Expand forestry services and marketing business

  • Continue to service existing retail customers, bringing plantations to harvest

  • Market a modest volume of tax-effective retail product (review post 2010 selling season)

  • Actively develop new markets in Asia for Australian environmentally certified woodchip

15

Forestry Cashflows from Existing Plantations

$m By Year

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150

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----- Start of picture text -----

108
94
100
52 56 48 53
50
29 28 29
6 16 8
2 -3
-
-3
(50)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
$m Cummulative
600 521
414
320
267
300
191 219
135
49 57 58 55 83
19
-3 3
-
(300)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
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16

Growing the Company The 4 Strategic Cornerstones of the new Elders are:

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17

Summary

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  1. Results for the critical June quarter to date show continuation of first half trends: strong volume growth and cost gains being offset by low prices, reduced live export to Indonesia and low real estate volumes.

  2. Elders has revised earnings expectations as market conditions have reduced sales revenue and margin generation

  3. Cash position is strong and Elders is within financial covenants

  4. Volume and margin growth achieved, backed by scale, affirm Elders’ relevance and business base but only if cost to sales ratios are re-set.

  5. Existing Rural Services cost and organisational structures are not sustainable in the current low price conditions.

  6. Costs are to be reduced by $45 million to provided near term realignment

  7. Executive management focus and cost to be reduced through restructure to leaner flatter network focussed organisation

  8. Sales to increase over medium term through performance management and implementation of Stage 2 of Go To Market strategy

18