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Deutsche Wohnen SE — Investor Presentation 2020
Nov 26, 2020
113_ip_2020-11-26_2fcc95e8-4440-4a79-8ab3-bf300c4d623b.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Deutsche Wohnen SE
Company presentation, November 2020 based on 9M 2020 results
Agenda
| 01 | Highlights |
|---|---|
| 02 | Market and Portfolio |
| 03 | Financials and Outlook |
| 04 | Appendix |
Highlights 9M 2020
Resilient operating business despite Covid-19 pandemic
- L-f-l rental growth at 0.9% for letting portfolio (2.4% excl. effects of Berlin rent freeze law)
- Adj. EBITDA margin (excluding disposals) stable at 80%
- FFO I per share at previous years level at EUR 1.21
- EPRA NAV per share at EUR 47.89
- Operational integration of development business on track
Further initiatives to improve energetic footprint
- Proposal to resolve conflicting goals of climate protection and affordability
- Modernization charge to tenants shall be subsidized by funds generated by CO2 emission trading
- Cooperation with GETEC to further enhance energy efficiency
- 1,000 photovoltaic systems and 2,000 charging poles targeted
- Savings potential of 14,000 t CO2 p.a.
Outlook/ Guidance
- 2020 FFO I guidance confirmed
- Re-valuation result of 6% expected at FY 2020
- LTV pro-forma signed disposals and expected valuation uplift at mid point of targeted 35-40% LTV range
Deutsche Wohnen – focus on metropolitan regions and quality product
- : Almost 80% of our portfolio is located in the top 8 cities (by population) of Germany
- Almost 90% of our portfolio is located in cities with more than 500k inhabitants
- Excluding all disposals already signed, c. 20,000 residential units are classified as non-strategic, as neither quality nor location meet our defined requirements
- Focus on high quality products in terms of technical aspects
- Late 19th century Altbau buildings, postwar buildings and new buildings contribute to the improvement of portfolio quality
- 25% of our portfolio is listed memorial, ~5% UNESCO world heritage
1 Including total GDV of 40% minority stake in QBIAG
Acquisitions – total volume of almost EUR 500m signed YTD
| Regional split | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Object of purchase | ▪ 2,300 units, thereof 91% residential |
35% | |||||
| Acquisition price | ▪ EUR 460m / c. EUR 2,700 per sqm |
22% | 20% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Net cold rent | ▪ EUR 15m p.a. ▪ EUR 7.20 per sqm |
Leipzig | Berlin/ Potsdam |
Dresden | Others | Dusseldorf/ Cologne |
|
| Multiple | ▪ 31x in-place rent |
Split by | age | clusters | |||
| Deal type |
▪ Asset deals |
61% | |||||
| Financing | ▪ Through balance sheet capacity and disposal proceeds |
12% | 12% | 8% | 7% |
▪ Selective acquisitions in our strategic Core+ markets
▪ Further enhancing overall portfolio quality – in terms of locations and type of product
Expansion of total development pipeline to EUR >5bn, focussed on dynamic hot spot regions
- Approximately 2/3 of projects "develop to hold" with expected average yield on cost of 3.3%2
- Approximately 1/3 of projects "develop to sell" with expected development margin of > 20%2
- Use of area: 80% residential, 20% commercial
1 Including total GDV of 40% minority stake in QBIAG, total outstanding investments excluding land 2 Based on total cost incl. purchasing cost
- App. 40% in advanced development process
- Completion of total pipeline with outstanding investments of around EUR 3.2 bn1 by 2030 expected
- Expected to add ~9k residential units to Deutsche Wohnen portfolio
Portfolio overview
| Strategic cluster 30/09/2020 |
Residential units (#) |
% of total (measured by fair value) |
In-place rent (EUR/sqm/month) |
Fair value (EUR/sqm) |
Multiple in-place rent (x) |
Multiple re-letting rent3 (x) |
Vacancy (in %) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core+ | 149,456 | 94.5% | 7.00 | 2,519 | 29.9 | 23.2 | 1.6% |
| Core | 13,106 | 5.5% | 6.11 | 1,549 | 21.3 | 18.0 | 2.9% |
| Non-core | 144 | <0.1% | 5.20 | 640 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 5.8% |
| Total | 162,706 | 100% | 6.93 | 2,434 | 29.2 | 22.8 | 1.7% |
| Thereof Greater Berlin | 115,861 | 74.3% | 6.90 | 2,598 | 31.2 | 23.8 | 1.3% |
Development of Deutsche Wohnen rents (Greater Berlin)
1 Based on CBRE asking prices for multi-family homes vs Deutsche Wohnen Fair Values for Greater Berlin 2 Rental gap between Berlin rent freeze and German Civil Code (BGB) 3 Calculation of multiple re-letting rent excluding Berlin rent freeze law
deutsche-wohnen.com 7
Berlin residential market update
▪ Value catch up of around 6% at year end expected, mainly driven by Berlin
▪ In Q2 2021 decision of the federal constitutional court regarding rent freeze law expected, providing positive stimulus in case law is deemed unconstitutional
Source: CBRE
deutsche-wohnen.com
Total like-for-like development at 0.9% y-o-y
| Like-for-like 30/09/2020 |
Residential units (#) |
In-place rent 30/09/2020 (EUR/sqm/month) |
In-place rent 30/09/2019 (EUR/sqm/month) |
Change (y-o-y) |
Vacancy 30/09/2020 (in %) |
Vacancy 30/09/2019 (in %) |
Change (y-o-y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Letting portfolio1 | 148,030 | 6.92 | 6.86 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | -0.3 pp |
| Core+ | 135,675 | 7.00 | 6.94 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | -0.4 pp |
| Core | 12,355 | 6.10 | 6.00 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0 pp |
| Total | 158,665 | 6.92 | 6.86 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | -0.3 pp |
| Thereof Greater Berlin | 107,630 | 6.90 | 6.87 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | -0.5 pp |
▪ Tenant churn per end of June at ~7% in Germany and ~6% in Berlin
▪ Like-for-like rental growth excluding rent freeze impact would have been 2.4% (total) and 2.6% (Berlin)
▪ We confirm our like for like guidance on a P&L basis of 1% for the full year 2020
1 Excluding non-core and disposal stock
Stable letting business
| in EUR m |
9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Income from rents (rental income) |
634.5 | 622.5 |
| Income relating to utility/ancillary costs |
295.0 | 286.1 |
| Income from rental business |
929.5 | 908.6 |
| Expenses relating to utility/ancillary costs |
(288.0) | (279.5) |
| Rental loss | (8.5) | (5.8) |
| Maintenance | (72.6) | (69.0) |
| Others | (6.5) | (4.7) |
| Earnings from Residential Property Management |
553.9 | 549.6 |
| Personnel, general and administrative expenses |
(40.2) | (39.4) |
| Net Operating Income (NOI) | 513.7 | 510.2 |
| NOI margin in % |
81.0 | 82.0 |
▪ Rental income increased by 2% with NOI margin (adjusted for maintenance) at previous year's level
Disposal business delivering double digit gross margins
| Disposals | Privatization | Institutional sales |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| with closing in | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
| No. of units | 182 | 250 | 1,403 | 479 | 1,585 | 729 |
| Proceeds (EUR m) | 38.1 | 72.9 | 348.2 | 49.4 | 386.3 | 122.3 |
| Book value (EUR m)1 | 29.2 | 43.9 | 303.3 | 45.6 | 332.5 | 89.5 |
| Price in EUR per sqm (residential) |
2,893 | 3,4252 | 1,818 | 1,820 | n/a | n/a |
| m)1 Earnings (EUR |
5.0 | 22.42 | 40.3 | 2.4 | 45.3 | 24.8 |
| Gross margin | 31% | 66% | 15% | 8% | 16% | 37% |
| Cash flow impact (EUR m) |
33.2 | 64.0 | 326.0 | 46.5 | 359.2 | 110.5 |
▪ Average privatization price in Berlin at c. EUR 3,200 per sqm ytd
▪ Around 7,400 signed disposals with gross margins of more than 30%. Majority of these with transfer of titles in Q4 2020
deutsche-wohnen.com 11
Note: Table only considers disposals that already had transfer of titles
1 Earnings from Disposals are reported before disposal induced valuation gains.
2 2019 privatization prices elevated due to a mixed use (commercial/ residential) disposal in Berlin at a price of c. EUR 7,100 per sqm (1,300% gross margin).
EBITDA contribution from Nursing business
| Operations (in EUR m) | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Total income | 177.0 | 168.8 |
| Total expenses | (162.6) | (154.3) |
| EBITDA operations | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| EBITDA margin | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Lease expenses | 19.7 | 19.9 |
| EBITDAR | 34.1 | 34.4 |
| EBITDAR margin | 19.3% | 20.4% |
| Assets (in EUR m) | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
| Lease income | 49.8 | 54.0 |
| Total expenses | (2.2) | (3.1) |
| EBITDA assets | 47.6 | 50.9 |
| Operations & Assets (in EUR m) | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
| Total EBITDA | 62.0 | 65.4 |
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Nursing & Assisted Living |
156.9 | 155.2 |
| Other | 20.1 | 13.6 |
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
| Staff | (110.1) | (103.9) |
| Rent/lease (inter-company) | (19.7) | (19.9) |
Hamburg facilities
Decrease in EBITDA due to disposals of nursing facilities as transfer of titles mainly took place end of May
▪ Nursing is expected to contribute around EUR 75m to group EBITDA in 2020 translating into RoCE of ~6%
Adjusted EBITDA margin stable at ~80%
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings from Residential Property Management | 553.9 | 549.6 |
| Earnings from Disposals | (1.6) | 24.8 |
| Earnings from Nursing and Assisted Living | 62.0 | 65.4 |
| Segment contribution |
614.3 | 639.8 |
| Corporate expenses |
(78.4) | (72.5) |
| Other operating expenses/income |
(27.9) | (6.7) |
| EBITDA | 508.0 | 560.6 |
| One-offs | 34.9 | 6.4 |
| Adj. EBITDA (incl. Disposals) | 542.9 | 567.0 |
| Earnings from Disposals | 1.6 | (24.8) |
| Corporate expenses for Disposals |
2.4 | 2.4 |
| Adj. EBITDA (excl. Disposals) | 546.9 | 544.6 |
▪ One-offs are predominantly driven by EUR 20m real estate transfer tax related to ISARIA acquisition
1 Cost ratio defined as corporate expenses divided by gross rental income and lease revenues, whereas corporate expenses are excluding corporate expenses for disposals 2 Defined as adj. EBITDA excluding disposals divided by rental and lease income
FFO I per share at EUR 1.21
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (adjusted) | 542.9 | 567.0 |
| Earnings from Disposals | 1.6 | (24.8) |
| Corporate Expenses for Disposals |
2.4 | 2.4 |
| Long-term remuneration compensation (share based) | (0.2) | 0.0 |
| Finance lease broadband cable network |
2.3 | 2.1 |
| At equity valuation |
2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1 Interest expense/income (recurring) |
(98.4) | (93.1) |
| Income taxes2 | (23.1) | (22.4) |
| Minorities | (7.2) | (5.2) |
| FFO I |
422.4 | 427.7 |
| Earnings from Disposals | (1.6) | 24.8 |
| Corporate expenses for Disposals |
(2.4) | (2.4) |
| Disposals2 Income taxes related to |
(14.4) | (7.1) |
| Sales related valuation of properties |
46.9 | 0.0 |
| FFO II | 450.9 | 443.0 |
| outstanding3 Weighted avg. number of shares in m |
349.22 | 357.77 |
| FFO I per share in EUR |
1.21 | 1.20 |
| FFO II per share in EUR |
1.29 | 1.24 |
▪ FFO I per share at previous year's level
1 Prior year figures changed according to IAS 23 policy change 2 Change in calculation: Income taxes related to Disposals are no longer included in FFO I. Prior year figures were changed accordingly 3 Excluding own shares 4 FFO I margin defined as FFO I divided by rental and lease income
EPRA NAV per share at EUR 47.89
| in EUR m | 30/09/2020 | 31/12/2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (before non-controlling interests) |
12,197.0 | 12,700.4 |
| Fair values of derivative financial instruments |
58.3 | 50.8 |
| Deferred taxes (net) |
4,208.4 | 4,040.1 |
| EPRA NAV (undiluted) | 16,463.7 | 16,791.3 |
| Shares outstanding in m (excluding own shares) |
343.8 | 357.1 |
| EPRA NAV per share in EUR (undiluted) |
47.89 | 47.02 |
| Effects of exercise of convertibles |
0.0 | 0.01 |
| EPRA NAV (diluted) |
16,463.7 | 16,791.3 |
| Shares diluted in m (excluding own shares) |
343.8 | 357.1 |
| EPRA NAV per share in EUR (diluted) |
47.89 | 47.02 |
▪ EPRA NAV per share increased by c. 2% ytd to EUR 47.89
1 Effects of convertible bonds are only considered if the respective instruments are in the money/ dilutive
Conservative long-term capital structure
| Rating | A- (negative outlook) / A3 (negative outlook) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Ø maturity | ~ 6.9 years | |
| % secured bank debt |
55% | |
| % unsecured debt | 45% | |
| Ø interest cost | ~ 1.2% (~ 90% hedged) | |
| LTV target range | 35-40% |
1 As of 30 September 2020
▪ The share buyback was terminated in Sept 2020. The programme has been utilized to c. 79.5%. A total volume of approx. EUR 597m was purchased corresponding to 16.07m shares.
- Short-term debt in the amount of EUR 395m will mature in Nov 2020 and will be repaid with sales proceeds from disposals.
- LTV is ~ 40.8%; pro-forma for signed disposals at 39.3%
- ICR (adjusted EBITDA excl. disposals / net cash interest) ~5.4x
Outlook 2020
1 FFO I guidance does not include recent acquisitions (ISARIA)
Appendix
Portfolio and Development Update
Value generation for all stakeholders
Deutsche Wohnen – key strategic elements
deutsche-wohnen.com 21 1 Definition of product clusters: New buildings: 80's, 90's buildings and recent constructions, serial housing: skyscrapers, complex settlements and pre-fabricated buildings, postwar buildings: 50's and 60's buildings, Altbau: Wilhelminian/ Gründerzeithäuser, pre-war buildings
Deutsche Wohnen, the only residential company with majority of assets in top 8 cities
▪ Deutsche Wohnen portfolio is "best in class", characterized by a high value upside potential driven by the attractive macro fundamentals of Germany's top cities
2 Peers include top four stock exchange listed peers by market capitalization; Deutsche Wohnen pro-forma LEG portfolio disposal for Deutsche Wohnen
Update on Berlin residential market
multi-family-homes (EUR / sqm) 6% 9% 5% 1% -2% 17% 15% 13% 4% 4% 10% 12% 12% 14% 3% 1,965 2,296 2,647 2,986 3,119 3,252 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M 2020
Development of asking prices for
Development of asking prices for condominiums (EUR / sqm)
Slight decline due to Berlin rent freeze
Price growth for multi family homes and condominiums continues at lower pace
Source: CBRE
5
4
2
1
3
Deutsche Wohnen – Creating new supply
- "Develop to hold" focus on metropolitan areas and biggest cities in Germany
- Focus on high quality and green building certificates (DGNB) to improve CO2 footprint
- Benefitting from significant financing cost advantage . compared to pure play developer
- 2/3 of total pipeline "develop to hold" ensuring long ' term FFO I growth and NAV step up
- 1/3 of pipeline "develop to sell" to realize attractive ' margins and fund the development pipeline
Isaria – Strong development pipeline across asset classes
| ▪ 13 development projects of ISARIA |
Regional split of pipeline (by area) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Object of purchase | AG | 4% |
| Acquisition price | ▪ c. EUR 600m (enterprise value) |
9% Region Munich |
| Exp. Rent for pipeline |
▪ EUR 60m p.a. / c. EUR 15 per sqm ▪ Thereof 2,700 residential units |
Stuttgart 17% Frankfurt am Main 71% Hamburg |
| Investment | ▪ Total investments EUR 1.8bn |
Development split of asset classes (by area) |
| Initial yield | ▪ 3.3% / multiple 30x |
|
| Financing | ▪ Debt financing ▪ Further asset disposals ▪ Deutsche Wohnen LTV to be kept in target range |
Residential 43% Commercial 57% |
| Expected closing |
▪ Q2-Q3 2020 |
▪ Residential development capabilities to provide political support in addressing supply demand imbalance in German cities
deutsche-wohnen.com
QUARTERBACK Immobilien AG – EUR 2bn residential development pipeline
| Object of purchase | ▪ Purchase of 40% shares of QBIAG plus direct investments in several project companies with a total GDV of ~EUR 2bn ▪ Further c. 1,500 residential units are in the asset stock of QBIAG with 2/3 located in Dresden/ Leipzig and Berlin region ▪ Economic ownership as of 01/01/2020 |
Regional split of pipeline (by GDV) Berlin 4.2% Other |
|---|---|---|
| Acquisition price | ▪ EUR 210m for 40% shares of QBIAG and further c. EUR 190m for stakes in project companies (incl. debt) |
26.3% Dresden/ Leipzig München 7.5% |
| Investment rationale | ▪ Professional platform with strong track record and foot print in Central Germany ▪ Strong access to residential development products in Dresden/Leipzig and Berlin region ▪ Participation in expected sales margin of Ø 30%, of which already ~20% at contractually agreed purchase prices (further 20% LOIs) |
62.0% Split of asset classes (by area) |
| Expected rent for pipeline |
▪ EUR c. 90m p.a. / c. 10.50 per sqm |
|
| Yield on costs (incl. purchase price) |
▪ 3.6% / 27.7x |
Commercial 16% |
| Financing | ▪ Capital recycling and new debt ▪ Deutsche Wohnen LTV to be kept in 35-40% target range ▪ Q3 2020 |
84% Residential |
| Expected closing |
Current level of rents and prices in TOP German cities
▪ Relative to other German cities Berlin continues to screen relatively attractive
1 Source: CBRE
Development concept through participation in QUARTERBACK
− Shown in "at equity FFO II" position
Corporate Governance / structure
- Deutsche Wohnen is represented at management and supervisory board level of QUARTERBACK
- − Reporting is provided and projects are continuously monitored by DW
- − Important business decisions need the consent of DW (the board)
- − The founder of QUARTERBACK serves as CEO and brings in dedicated experience and local development network
QUARTERBACK (development platform)
- Acquires unbuilt land plots / benefits from financing strength of DW
- Prepares land for construction (planning and building permit)
- Pre-agreement/ negotiation of terms for disposal of projects
Construction of units
- Assets "to sell" are disposed to 3rd parties
Berlin rent freeze
Key points of Berlin rent regulation in force since 23rd of February 2020
General
- Applies to all residential apartments except for subsidized housing stock and new construction (age cluster after 2014)
- Rents are basically fixed to the rent level of June 18th, 2019 for 5 years and rent caps between 3.92 and 9.80 EUR/sqm have been defined
- Landlords shall provide existing tenants and new tenants with information on the applicable rent and the relevant criteria within 2 months after application
- Penalty fines of up to EUR 500k for individual cases
Existing contracts
- Modernization increase up to 1 EUR/sqm possible if rent caps are exceeded by max. 1 EUR and only for defined measures
- Rent ceiling levels can increase by 1 EUR if at least three of five defined quality criteria are fulfilled
- Starting from 2022 and up to 1.3% p.a. inflation adjustment up to the rental ceiling depending on wage inflation
- If individual rent level exceeds 120% of the respective cap landlords have to reduce rent (starting from 23rd Nov 2020)
New lettings
- The lower of rent ceiling or rent level of the previous tenant
- Rent ceiling levels can increase by 1 EUR if at least three of five defined quality criteria are fulfilled
Deutsche Wohnen Berlin properties clustered by building age
| Age cluster | DW proportion1) | Rental ceiling (EUR/sqm/month) |
Average net cold rent per month ceiling3) based on rental (EUR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| < 1918 | 6% | 6.45 | 387 |
| 1919-1949 | 32% | 6.27 | 376 |
| 1950-1964 | 26% | 6.08 | 365 |
| 1965-1972 | 9% | 5.95 | 357 |
| 1973-1990 | 20% | 6.04 | 362 |
| 1991-2002 | 4% | 8.13 | 488 |
| Ø Deutsche Wohnen | EUR 6.202) rental ceiling vs EUR 6.96 DW in-place rent |
372 |
- Average rental cap at EUR 6.20 per sqm and c. 11% below Deutsche Wohnen in-place rent of EUR 6.96 per sqm for the Berlin portfolio
- Average monthly rent would amount to EUR 372 per month for a 60sqm apartment, regardless of individual income situation, micro-location and quality
- Berlin rent regulation is structured to provide relief for high income households
- Source: Senatsverwaltung für Stadtentwicklung
- 1) Focus on relevant Deutsche Wohnen clusters >3% of Berlin portfolio
- 2) Weighted average rental ceiling for unrestricted units of Deutsche Wohnen portfolio in Berlin according to proposed law
- 3) Based on 60 sqm apartment for typical 2 person household
Size matters – Deutsche Wohnen's below average apartment size is a clear affordability advantage
| Affordability of average |
Deutsche Wohnen flat in Berlin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DW In place rent |
DW- rent freeze rent |
DW re letting rent |
Market rent2 |
|
| Net cold rent per sqm (EUR) |
6.96 | 6.20 | 9.19 | 10.44 |
| Ancillary cost per sqm (EUR) |
3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Gross rent per sqm (EUR) |
9.96 | 9.20 | 12.19 | 13.44 |
| Monthly rent (EUR) | 598 | 552 | 731 | 806 |
| Housing cost ratio1 | 18% | 17% | 22% | 25% |
▪ Average apartment size of c. 60 sqm on average screens affordable
1 Based on net disposable household purchasing power in Berlin at EUR 3,258 according to CBRE 2018 (CBRE 2017: EUR 3,046)
2 CBRE asking rent Berlin in 2019 at EUR 10.44 per sqm
Deutsche Wohnen – ideally positioned to benefit from the existing megatrends and committed to ESG concerns
Improvement of energy efficiency of our properties
| ▪ | Energy efficiency improved from 139.1 kWh/sqm p.a. |
|---|---|
| (2015) to 128.9 kWh/sqm p.a. (2019) |
|
| ▪ | 6,650 units with complex energetic refurbishment from |
| 2015 – 2019 resulting in: |
|
| → significantly reduced energy consumption of 25.7m |
|
| kWh (6,200 t CO p.a.) 2 |
|
| → improved energy efficiency by ~ 30% to 102 kWh/sqm |
|
| p.a. | |
| → Ø CO reduction of 1 t per refurbished apartment 2 |
|
| through complex energetic measures |
Energy intensity of our properties better than German average
The weighted average of the final energy consumptions on the basis of the current energy performance certificate of properties. Discrepancies in the final energy requirements of approximately 20 kWh may arise due to the non-specification of the type of heating in question. The allocation according to current category of energy efficiency of properties is therefore based solely on the classification in accordance with the German Energy Saving Ordinance (EnEV). Taking account of approximately 30,000 listed units for which no energy performance certificate is required, the data comprises approximately 100% of our total portfolio.
deutsche-wohnen.com 36 .
1 Source: Own calculations based on Techem Energiekennwerte 2018
| ▪ | ~ 64% of our units perform better than average p.a.)1 residential property in Germany (135.5 kWh/sqm |
|---|---|
| ▪ | ~ 29% of our units perform well with less than 100 kWh/sqm p.a. (A+ to C) |
| ▪ | Ø consumption of our holdings at 128.9 kWh/sqm p.a. (2019: 132.3 kWh/sqm p.a.) |
Deutsche Wohnen - a socially reliable landlord who goes beyond legal requirements
EUR 30m Corona aid fund for our tenants and partners
Our promise to our tenants: In more than 800 cases no rent increases due to rent index adjustments or modernisation measures
One in four re-letting residential units to tenants entitled to a certificate of eligibility to live in social-housing ("Wohnberechtigungsschein") to mitigate gentrification in urban areas
Deutsche Wohnen provides affordable housing with Ø EUR 6.93 in-place rent and small apartment size of Ø 60 sqm
Regular annual tenant surveys to further improve tenant satisfaction and response times based on latest survey 87% are satisfied with their apartment and 78% with Deutsche Wohnen as their landlord
Deutsche Wohnen provides affordable housing
1) Market rent based on CBRE 9M 2020
2) Affordability based on average apartment size of 60 sqm and average household income in Berlin of EUR 3,278 (CBRE Wohnmarktreport 2020)
Responsible corporate management
- Supervisory board:
- → 1/3 are female
- → Rejuvenation: Ø age at 56
- → Ø tenure at 6.7x (2016: 9.5 years)
- Management board:
- → Remuneration: STI 80% Financial Targets /
- 20% Non-Financial Targets
- → 20% female quota until June 2025
- Employees:
- → At least 40% females in executive positions
- → 77% of employees are happy with Deutsche Wohnen as employee
Corporate Governance Strategically manage sustainability activities
- Concept for incorporating the recommendations of TCFD into Group reporting
- Make carbon footprint quantifiable via upstream and downstream supply chains to refine the investment strategy for the achievement of the climate protection goals
- Add energy efficiency criteria to the portfolio management system
- ESG is element of management compensation as execution of sustainability programme forms part of STI compensation
Initiatives to improve CO2 footprint
- Deutsche Wohnen hosted a Climate Conference in October 2020
- Engagement with politics, science and stakeholders
- Combine economic, social and ecologic aspects in the interest of landlords and tenants
- Socially responsible climate protection is possible for the housing industry
- Proposal to resolve conflicting goals of climate protection and affordability
- Majority of tenants are in favor of climate protection but only willing/ able to pay a limited amount
- Proposal: tenants receive subsidies to cover rental uplifts from energetic refurbishments for a limited time
- Decreasing subsidy leading to slight rent adjustment over time but tenants benefit immediately from reduced energy costs
- Funding through the Energy and Climate Fund (CO2 pricing legislation by the German Federal Government)
- Cooperation with GETEC to further enhance energy efficiency
- 1,000 photovoltaic systems and 2,000 charging poles targeted within the Deutsche Wohnen settlements
- Savings potential of 14,000 t CO2 p.a.
- Investment of ca. EUR 75m over the next 10 years
Our proposal for a socially responsible climate protection in the residential property space
- Energy efficient refurbishment need to accelerate, refurbishment rate would need to increase from 1% to 2.5% in Germany
- Many tenants do not support refurbishment as this leads to rent increases whose amount exceeds potential energy cost savings
- Deutsche Wohnen's proposal is to cover modernization costs of up to 8% by the Energy and Climate Fund ("EKF"). It was set up by the federal government to finance measures for improving energy efficiency, funded by income from auctioning of CO2 emission rights
- Over a period of 15 years, this support would taper off in a linear fashion, ensuring that tenants would only slowly begin to contribute to climate costs. At the same time, residents would benefit from lower energy consumption and improved quality of life from day one.
- We are also proposing the same level of support for owner-occupied property
Example for rent and refurbishment surcharge
Nursing & Assisted Living
Nursing portfolio – regional distribution
| 2 er wn |
Region | Facilities # |
Beds1 # |
Occupancy rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| o by |
Greater Hamburg |
17 | 3,380 | 87.6% |
| ed | Greater Berlin |
12 | 1,430 | 98.7% |
| ag an |
Saxony | 9 | 580 | 99.1% |
| M | In-house operations | 38 | 5,340 | 91.9% |
Assets excluding operations
| Region | Facilities # |
Beds1 # |
WALT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bavaria | 13 | 1,630 | 9.1 |
| North-Rhine Westphalia | 9 | 1,240 | 13.1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 3 | 510 | 11.5 |
| Baden-Wuerttemberg | 4 | 500 | 8.9 |
| Lower Saxony | 1 | 110 | 10.3 |
| Hesse | 4 | 530 | 9.2 |
| Other | 6 | 720 | 7.4 |
| In-house operations | 40 | 5,240 | 10.2 |
| Total nursing | 78 | 10,580 | n/a |
Geographical allocation of the nursing and assisted living portfolio
▪ Deutsche Wohnen business model superior to most peers as owner with operational know-how, exposed to lower risk and low cost of funding
Demographic trends in Germany underpin rising demand
Source: Latest forecast of Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung (BiB) in 2018
| Increasing share of age groups 65+ and 80+ | Ageing population leads to increasing demand for nursing homes |
|---|---|
| 29% 7% |
▪ Nursing care market driven by (irreversible) demographic trends - increasing demand for social, medical and nursing services |
| 22% | − Increase in demand until 2040 by c. 40%, corresponding to additional 380k beds |
| 71% | − New construction cannot meet increase in demand (supply demand imbalance) |
| ▪ Main reasons for aging German population are: |
|
| 10% | − Decreasing birth rates |
| 39% | − Ageing of former baby boomer generations |
| 29% | − Increasing life expectancy |
| 61% | ▪ Until 2040 the age group >80 years is expected to increase by 30% |
| − Approx. 10% of the German population will be >80 years in 2040 |
|
| − Increased demand for specialized facilities to serve e.g. Alzheimer's disease / dementia |
|
| 12% 43% |
▪ The requirement for professional service structures in nursing care are further boosted by ongoing trends: |
| 31% 57% |
− Increasing mobility |
- − Bigger distance between family members
- − Higher share of employment of all family members
Overview of elderly care market in Germany
| Description | Payment regulation | |
|---|---|---|
| Nursing homes (inpatient care) |
▪ Covers all levels of inpatient care ▪ Focus on higher care degrees ▪ Daycare programs located in nursing homes ▪ Short-term inpatient care, if the need of care is only temporarily |
▪ Reimbursement level depending on extend of care required (5 degrees available) ▪ Long-term care insurance (LTC) covers a monthly allowance, remainder has to be paid by pension / private wealth ▪ Social security system covers if no private wealth is available |
| Outpatient care | ▪ Covers all levels of outpatient care incl. domestic support ▪ Focus on lower care degrees ▪ Services are delivered at home or in assisted living facilities |
▪ Reimbursement level depending on level of care required ▪ Social LTC insurance pays defined allowance, per month for either: − Professional outpatient care service − For a relative to take on care ▪ Remainder to be paid by pension / private wealth |
| Assisted living | ▪ Special form of outpatient care with focus on premium customers ▪ Apartments are rented out incl. complementary LTC packages and availablity of extra services |
▪ Relatively unregulated market in terms of rent regulation ▪ Not reimbursed by LTC insurance |
Overview of regulatory environment for nursing homes (1/2)
New homes authorization Quality requirements Pricing & financing ▪ No formal permission (except for building laws) required to set up new nursing homes ▪ Operators entitled to enter into new supply contract with Long-term care insurance (Pflegekassen) as soon as structural requirements for operating a nursing home are set ▪ Independent operators MDK1 -score checks process structure and performance quality ▪ Mandatory publication of MDK quality reports of each nursing home planned through latest regulatory initiatives to increase transparency ▪ Frequency of quality assurance audits of outpatient and inpatient care has historically increased ▪ Prices for nursing care services strictly regulated and negotiated with authorities and revised every 1-2 years, usually above cost inflation ▪ Total cost for a nursing home place is funded by the respective resident, long-term care insurance and, if required, social welfare (depending on residents' income) − Vast majority of nursing services costs is financed by long-term care insurance; level of reimbursements are defined by laws, depending on level of care required − Accommodation & catering as well as investment costs are, in principle, financed by resident (or social welfare system); investment rates are set freely for resident not receiving public aid − Operators are free to generate additional revenues from secondary services, financed by respective resident
deutsche-wohnen.com 46
1 MDK – German Health Insurance Medical Service
Overview of regulatory environment for nursing homes (2/2)
- Germany is one of few countries which requires all citizens to have either public or private long-term care insurance
- − Care Funds (Pflegekassen) provide a cost cover for care related services to the operator, based on the level of patient care necessary
- − Care Funds supported by mandatory social insurance as provided by care insurance law1
- − Funded at a contribution rate of 3.05% of gross salary and 3.30% respectively for childless employees
- In addition to national regulation, there are different regional legislations on fit-out standards, multi-occupancy ratios minimum room measurement and employee skills (not homogeneous)
▪ Germany has one of the most stable funding systems for long-term care in Europe
1) Pflegeversicherungsgesetz
Why we target to increase our investment in nursing market
Nursing & Assisted Living – Strategy update
- Deutsche Wohnen is targeting an EBITDA contribution of 15% in the medium-term
- Segment contribution to group EBITDA at c. 10%
- Further investments envisaged
- Redensification and new constructions to provide further growth opportunities, predominately in Hamburg region
- Opportunistic and selective M&A
- Improvement of quality of assets and services
- Focus on self payers reduces regulatory risk
- Adjust mix of nursing and assisted living towards higher proportion of assisted living
- Serviced apartments
Best in class Nursing and Assisted Living portfolio
Im Schlossgarten, Brandenburg Wolkenstein, Saxony Wilsdruff, Saxony
Am Schwarzen Berg, Lower Saxony Am Albertpark, Saxony Bonn, North Rhine-Westphalia
Finkenau, Hamburg
Holstenhof, Hamburg
Wiesbaden, Hessen Nürnberg, Bavaria Königstein, Hesse
Highly fragmented market structure for nursing home operators
| Top private operators (by # of beds) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operator | # of facilities | # of beds |
Market share (%) |
||
| Korian | 247 | 26,598 | 3.0% | ||
| Alloheim Gruppe |
221 | 20,132 | 2.3% | ||
| Pro Seniore | 120 | 14,928 | 1.7% | ||
| Orpea | 134 | 11,868 | 1.4% | ||
| Kursana | 96 | 9,043 | 1.0% | ||
| Azurit | 84 | 8,030 | 0.9% | ||
| DOMICIL | 49 | 6,135 | 0.7% |
▪ Nursing home operator market is very fragmented
- − Top ten private operators only c. 13% market share, expected to increase further
- − Private operators manage c. 42%
- − Many small (family) operators, often with less than 10 facilities and capex backlog
- Occupancy levels vary widely across operators and regions
- − Average occupancy rate of c. 90%
- − Free capacity in many instances does not fulfil today's standards for nursing homes (i.e.: free capacity ≠ available capacity)
- Significant consolidation trend among private operators in recent years
- − 3 of the top 5 operators are international companies
- − Consolidation is expected to continue and to accelerate professionalism (and therewith profitability) of overall sector
- Private operators increase their capacity the fastest (by acquisition or greenfield projects); growth of non-profit operators limited by funding constraints
Source: www.pflegemarkt.com, 2020
Diverse
Bridge from adjusted EBITDA to profit
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (adjusted) | 542.9 | 567.0 | |
| Depreciation | (29.2) | (29.9) | |
| At equity valuation |
2.1 | 1.7 | |
| 2 Financial result (net) |
(124.3) | (108.4) | |
| 2 EBT (adjusted) |
391.5 | 430.4 | |
| properties2 Valuation |
171.7 | 447.0 | |
| One-offs | (35.2) | (17.5) | |
| Valuation SWAP and convertible bonds |
(102.1) | (6.8) | |
| EBT | 425.9 | 853.1 | |
| Current taxes |
(37.5) | (29.7) | |
| Deferred taxes |
(80.5) | (188.7) | |
| Profit | 307.9 | 634.7 | |
| Profit attributable to the shareholders of the parent company |
300.2 | 617.3 | |
| per share1 Earnings |
0.86 | 1.73 |
1 Based on weighted average shares outstanding excluding own shares (9M 2020: 349.22.50m ; 9M 2019: 357.77m) 2 Prior year figures changed according to IAS 23 policy change
| in EUR m | 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest expenses | (106.9) | (96.7) | ||
| In % of gross rents |
~17% | ~16% | ||
| capitalized2 Interest expenses |
6.0 | 4.3 | ||
| Non-cash interest expenses |
(27.9) | (17.5) | ||
| Interest income | 4.5 | 1.5 | ||
| 2 Financial result (net) |
(124.3) | (108.4) | ||
| 9M 2020 valuation result stems from signed disposals above recent book values |
One-offs are predominately driven by EUR 20m land transfer taxes, which arose in connection with a business combination accounted for in accordance with IFRS 3. This business combination entails the acquisition of the project business of ISARIA Wohnbau AG ("ISARIA"), which was completed on 1 July 2020
Ongoing investments into the portfolio
| 9M-2020 | 9M-2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR m | EUR / Sqm1 |
EUR m | EUR / sqm1 |
|
| Maintenance (expensed through p&l) |
72.6 | 9.47 | 69.0 | 8.86 |
| Refurbishment (capitalized on balance sheet) |
178.2 | 23.26 | 231.1 | 29.68 |
| Total | 250.8 | 32.73 | 300.1 | 38.54 |
▪ Maintenance at EUR 9.47 per sqm due to seasonality, FY 2020 level expected to be stable at around EUR 10 per sqm
▪ C. 42% of refurbishment investments (EUR 75m) are related to re-letting
1 Annualized figure, based on quarterly average area
Summary balance sheet
| Assets | Equity and | Liabilities | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in EUR m | 09/30/2020 | 12/31/2019 | ||
| Investment properties | 26,259.9 | 25,433.3 | ||
| Other non-current assets |
899.0 | 442.2 | ||
| Derivatives | 2.9 | 1.1 | ||
| Deferred tax assets |
5.4 | 0.1 | ||
| Non current assets |
27,167.2 | 25,876.7 | ||
| Land and buildings held for sale |
481.2 | 468.9 | ||
| Trade receivables | 50.5 | 25.0 | ||
| Other current assets |
1,436.1 | 795.5 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents |
328.2 | 685.6 | ||
| Current assets |
2,296.0 | 1,975.0 | ||
| Total assets | 29,463.2 | 27,851.7 |
| in EUR m | 09/30/2020 | 12/31/2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Total equity | 12,604.1 | 13,107.3 |
| Financial liabilities | 6,563.2 | 6,327.7 |
| Convertibles | 1,748.2 | 1,682.8 |
| Bonds | 3,513.8 | 2,014.1 |
| Tax liabilities |
59.9 | 26.2 |
| Deferred tax liabilities |
3,886.9 | 3,713.8 |
| Derivatives | 61.6 | 52.1 |
| Other liabilities | 1,025.5 | 927.7 |
| Total liabilities | 16,859.1 | 14,744.4 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
29,463.2 | 27,851.7 |
▪ Investment properties represent ~89% of total assets
▪ Strong balance sheet structure offering comfort throughout market cycles
Like-for-like development by regions
| Like-for-like 30/09/2020 |
Residential units (#) |
In-place rent2 30/09/2020 (EUR/sqm) |
In-place rent2 30/09/2019 (EUR/sqm) |
Change (y-o-y) |
Vacancy 30/09/2020 (in %) |
Vacancy 30/09/2019 (in %) |
Change (y-o-y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Letting portfolio1 |
148,030 | 6.92 | 6.86 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | -0.3pp |
| Core+ | 135,675 | 7.00 | 6.94 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | -0.4pp |
| Greater Berlin |
107,630 | 6.90 | 6.87 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | -0.5pp |
| Rhine-Main | 8,909 | 8.64 | 8.52 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | +0.6pp |
| Dresden/Leipzig | 8,804 | 6.27 | 6.09 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | -0.2pp |
| Rhineland | 4,810 | 7.52 | 7.36 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | -0.5pp |
| Mannheim/Ludwigshafen | 4,579 | 6.31 | 6.22 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.0pp |
| Other Core+ | 943 | 10.70 | 10.58 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | +0.1pp |
| Core | 12,355 | 6.10 | 6.00 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0pp |
| Hanover/Brunswick | 8,678 | 6.26 | 6.14 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | -0.2pp |
| Other Core | 3,677 | 5.71 | 5.64 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | +0.4pp |
| Total3 | 158,665 | 6.92 | 6.86 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | -0.3pp |
1 Excluding non-Core and disposal stock like Kiel / Lübeck 3 Total l-f-l stock incl. non-Core 2 Contractually owed rent from rented apartments divided by rented area 3
Fair Values across regions
| Regions | Residential units (#) |
FV 30/09/2020 (EUR m) |
FV 30/09/2020 (EUR/sqm) |
Multiple in-place rent 30/09/2020 |
Multiple rent1 re-letting 30/09/2020 |
Multiple spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core+ | 149,456 | 23,568 | 2,519 | 29.9 | 23.2 | 6.0x |
| Greater Berlin |
115,861 | 18,522 | 2,598 | 31.2 | 23.8 | 6.5x |
| Rhine-Main | 10,749 | 1,836 | 2,716 | 26.2 | 21.1 | 5.1x |
| Dresden/Leipzig | 10,587 | 1,696 | 2,195 | 29.5 | 23.8 | 5.7x |
| Rhineland | 6,672 | 903 | 2,144 | 24.6 | 20.5 | 4.1x |
| Mannheim/Ludwigshafen | 4,644 | 434 | 1,445 | 19.3 | 15.9 | 3.4x |
| Other Core+ | 943 | 176 | 3,184 | 24.5 | 20.7 | 3.8x |
| Core | 13,106 | 1,361 | 1,549 | 21.3 | 18.0 | 3.3x |
| Hanover/Brunswick | 8,718 | 932 | 1,579 | 20.9 | 17.5 | 3.4x |
| Other Core | 4,388 | 429 | 1,487 | 22.0 | 19.1 | 2.9x |
| Non-Core | 144 | 6 | 640 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 2.4x |
| Total | 162,706 | 24,934 | 2,434 | 29.2 | 22.8 | 5.7x |
Recent residential portfolio disposals
| Signed | Signed in 2020 |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Kiel, Lübeck, Chemnitz | Berlin | Across Germany (34 locations) |
| No. of units |
6,350 | 2,175 | 6,380 residential, 38 commercial |
| Signing | Aug 19 | Dec 19 |
Jun 20 |
| Disposal price |
EUR 615m | EUR 358m | EUR 658m |
| Disposal price per unit |
c. EUR 1,600 per sqm | c. EUR 2,280 per sqm | c. EUR 1,540 per sqm |
| Gross margin | 34% | 30% | 37% |
| Rental impact 2020 / p.a. |
- EUR 28m p.a. / - EUR 28m p.a. |
- EUR 2.9m / - EUR 12.5m p.a. |
- EUR 5m / -EUR 30m p.a. |
| Transfer of titles |
Dec 2019 |
Q4 2020 / Q1 2021 | Nov 2020 |
▪ Opportunistic portfolio streamlining to continue in 2020 and beyond
Acquisition and disposal track record
| Main acquisitions (>1,000 units deal size) |
Fair Value in EUR/sqm |
In-place rent in EUR/sqm |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Deal | Units # |
Location | At acquisition |
30/06/2020 | ∆ | At acquisition | 30/06/2020 | ∆ | |
| 2013 | Centuria | 5,200 | Berlin | 711 | 1,993 | 180% | 4.65 | 5.96 | 28% | |
| Larry | 6,500 | Berlin | 842 | 2,078 | 147% | 4.97 | 6. 21 | 25% | ||
| GSW | 60,000 | Berlin | 960 | 2,547 | 165% | 5.44 | 6.90 | 27% | ||
| Windmill | ~4,600 | Berlin | 1,218 | 1,953 | 60% | 5.12 | 6.01 | 17% | ||
| 2015 | Henry | ~1,600 | Berlin | 1,302 | 2,158 | 66% | 5.26 | 5.89 | 12% | |
| Accentro | 1,200 | Berlin | 1,227 | 2,202 | 79% | 5.14 | 5.83 | 13% | ||
| 2016 | Olav1 | ~ 14,000 | diverse | 1,365 | 2,4502 | 80% | 5.93 | 6.932 | 17% | |
| ~5,200 | Berlin | 1,469 | 2,443 | 66% | 5.55 | 6.91 | 25% | |||
| ~3,800 | Kiel | 1,043 | 1,173 | 12% | 5.37 | 6.00 | 12% | |||
| 2017 | Helvetica | ~3,900 | Berlin | 2,390 | 3,600 | 51% | 6.95 | 8.47 | 22% | |
| Main disposals | Fair Value in EUR/sqm |
|||||||||
| Year | Location | Units # |
acquisition3 At |
FV before | disposal | At disposal | ∆ Margin at acquisition | ∆ Margin at disposal | ||
| 2019 | Kiel, Lübeck, Chemnitz, Others |
6,355 | 1,020 | 1,197 | ~1,600 | 56% | 34% | |||
| Berlin | 2,175 | 798 | 1,747 | ~2,280 | 185% | 30% | ||||
| 2020 | Westportfolio | 6,418 | 804 | 1,123 | ~1,540 | 92% | 37% | |||
| Total | ~14,948 |
1 Includes 1,600 units on top of Olav portfolio
2 Based on remaining portfolio considering existing Olav portfolio in our books 3 Based on acquisition prices or historically available data
deutsche-wohnen.com
Deutsche Wohnen's residential portfolio is best-in-class
Carl-Legien-Siedlung, Berlin
Südwestkorso, Berlin
Oranienkiez, Berlin
deutsche-wohnen.com
The Berlin portfolio at a glance
Berlin # 111,528 | 1.3% EUR 6.91 | EUR 2,625
Greater Berlin
115,861 | 1.3% EUR 6.90 | EUR 2,598
Units | Vacancy (%) In-place rent (EUR/sqm) | Fair value (EUR/sqm)
3,000 > 5,000 >8,000 >10,000
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements including assumptions, opinions and views of Deutsche Wohnen or quoted from third party sources. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause actual results, financial positions, the development or the performance of Deutsche Wohnen to differ materially from the estimations expressed or implied herein. Deutsche Wohnen does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and accordingly, none of Deutsche Wohnen SE or any of its affiliates (including subsidiary undertakings) or any of such person's officers, directors or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. Deutsche Wohnen does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
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