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Deutsche Wohnen SE Interim / Quarterly Report 2016

May 13, 2016

113_ip_2016-05-13_7e01dc0d-36b6-429e-8b4e-320fa006b433.pdf

Interim / Quarterly Report

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Deutsche Wohnen AG

» Q1 2016 results Conference Call, 13 May 2016

» Financial highlights Q1 2016

Operational development KPIs
In EUR m Q1
2016
YoY In EUR m Q1 2016 YoY
NOI letting 138.1 +13.2% FFO
I (after minorities)
100.9 +41.5%
NOI margin 80.5% +3.7ppt in EUR/ share1) 0.30 +25.0%
Like-for-like rental
growth
3.7% +1.3ppt FFO I margin 58.8% +13.9ppt
Vacancy
rate
1.8% -0.5ppt FFO
II (after minorities)
124.6 +54.6%
NOI nursing 4.6 +21.1% in EUR/ share1) 0.37 +37.0%
FFO contribution 4.0 +17.6% Adj. EBITDA (excl. disposals)
2)
135.5 +19.6%
Occupancy
rate
98.4% +2.2ppt Adj. EBITDA margin 79.0% +7.7ppt
Earnings
from
disposals
23.7 +154.8% Cost
ratio
9.6% +2.2ppt
Gross margin
privatization
33% -9ppt per unit3)
Cost
(in EUR)
412 502
Gross margin
inst. sales
17% +7ppt In EUR m Q1 2016 YTD
Free cash flow
impact
109.0 +374% 4)
EPRA NAV per share
(undiluted)
23.39 1.7%
ICR 5.2x +2x LTV 42% +4ppt

1) Based on weighted average shares outstanding (Q1 2016: 337.42m; Q1 2015: 298.57m); 2) Adjusted for one-off effects excluding disposals; 3) Corporate expenses annualized divided by avg. units in period; 4) based on 337.4m shares outstanding

» Portfolio update Q1 2016 – focused and concentrated

Strategic cluster Residential
units
% of total
measured by
fair value
In-place rent1)
31/03/2016
EUR/sqm/month
Fair
value
31/03/2016
EUR/sqm
Multiple
in-place
rent
Multiple
market
rent
Rent potential2)
31/03/2016
in %
Vacancy
31/03/2016
in
%
Strategic core and growth
regions
153,283 98.2% 5.95 1,304 18.3 15.3 21% 1.7%
Core+ 133,921 88.9% 6.01 1,357 18.8 15.6 24% 1.7%
Core 19,362 9.3% 5.55 950 14.3 12.6 12% 2.3%
Non-core 4,665 1.8% 5.08 706 12.1 10.5 n/a 5.7%
Total 157,948 100% 5.93 1,284 18.1 15.1 21% 1.8%
Thereof Greater Berlin 111,201 73.9% 5.93 1,372 19.3 15.9 23% 1.7%

Further rent potential in Core+ regions of ~24%

Vacancy rate in Core+ portfolio declined by 40bps over 12 months to c. 1.7% (close to structural vacancy)

Attractive spread in Core+ between in-place rent and market rent multiples of more than 3x offer further potential for NAV growth

1) Contractually owed rent from rented apartments divided by rented area; 2) Unrestricted residential units (letting portfolio); rent potential = new-letting rent compared to in-place rent (letting portfolio); 3) Including signed acquisitions and disposals with transfer of ownership after 31/12/2015

» Strong like-for-like development as of 31 March 2016

Like-for-like
31/03/2016
Residential units
number
In-place rent2)
31/03/2016
EUR/sqm
In-place rent2)
31/03/2015
EUR/sqm
Change
y-o-y
Vacancy
31/03/2016
in %
Vacancy
31/03/2015
in %
Change
y-o-y
portfolio1)
Letting
129,014 6.00 5.78 3.8% 1.5% 1.8% -0.3pp
Core+ 115,470 6.06 5.83 3.9% 1.4% 1.6% -0.2pp
Greater
Berlin
95,401 5.99 5.75 4.3% 1.5% 1.7% -0.2pp
Rhine-Main 8,427 7.40 7.20 2.8% 1.1% 1.4% -0.3pp
Mannheim/Ludwigshafen 4,762 5.70 5.59 2.0% 0.5% 1.1% -0.6pp
Rhineland 4,470 5.95 5.77 3.1% 0.9% 1.6% -0.7pp
Dresden 2,410 5.14 5.08 1.3% 2.5% 2.8% 0.3pp
Core 13,544 5.49 5.37 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% -0.7pp
Hanover
/ Brunswick
8,100 5.58 5.42 2.9% 1.7% 2.4% -0.7pp
Core cities
eastern
Germany
4,316 5.33 5.31 0.4% 2.8% 3.5% -0.7pp
Kiel
/ Lübeck
1,128 5.39 5.24 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% -0.6pp
Total 136,2183) 5.98 5.76 3.7% 1.8% 1.9% -0.1pp

Vacancy in Core+ letting portfolio further reduced to 1.4%

Like-for-like rental growth in Core+ driven by re-letting (c. 1/3) and regular rent increase (c. 2/3) in particular driven by implementation of 2015 Berlin rent table

In Dresden like-for-like rental growth derived from re-lettings only

1) Cluster block sale of strategic core and growth regions allocated to letting portfolio; 2) Contractually owed rent from rented apartments divided by rented area; 3) Total L-f-l stock incl. Non-Core

» Strong earnings and cash contributions from letting

in EUR m Q1 2016 Q1
2015
Rental income 171.5 158.9
Non-recoverable
expenses
(2.8) (3.6)
Rental loss (2.3) (1.8)
Maintenance (17.4) (19.0)
Others (1.8) (2.0)
Earnings
from
Residential Property
Management
147.2 132.5
Personnel, general
and
administrative expenses
(9.1) (10.5)
Net Operating Income (NOI) 138.1 122.0
NOI
margin
80.5% 76.8%
NOI
in EUR / sqm
/ month
4.69 4.41

in EUR m Q1 2016 Q1 2015

Net operating income (NOI) 138.1 122.0 Cash interest expenses (25.9) (34.8)

Development of
NOI margin
80.5%
77.1% 76.8%
Q1-2014 Q1-2015 Q1-2016
Increased rental income and further efficiencies in operating business, as well as seasonal lower maintenance expenses,
resulting in improved NOI margin

112.2 87.2

Cash flow from portfolio after cash interest

expenses

» Growing prices as demonstrated by disposal business

Disposals Privatization Institutional
sales
Total
with
closing
in
Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2015
No. of
units
491 453 1,280 108 1,771 561
Proceeds (EUR m) 43.5 40.0 115.6 9.7 159.1 49.7
Book value 32.8 28.1 99.2 8.8 132.0 36.9
Price
in EUR per sqm
1,272 1,285 1,135 951 n/a n/a
Earnings
(EUR
m)
7.6 8.7 16.0 0.6 23.7 9.3
Gross margin 33% 42% 17% 10% 21% 35%
Cash flow
impact
(EUR
m)
27 20 82 3 109 23

Disposal business contributed cash flows of EUR 109m in Q1 2016

Privatization: Disposal of below-average quality; significant step up in prices for signed but not yet closed disposals of c. 500 units with on average EUR ~1,600 per sqm (Berlin share of sold units ~60% with gross margins >50%

Institutional sales: consisted predominantly of a Berlin city-border portfolio with 900 units

» Attractive FFO contribution from Nursing and Assisted Living

in EUR m Q1
2016
Q1
2015
Income
Nursing 13.6 12.9
Living 1.6 1.5
Other 2.0 1.9
Total income 17.2 16.3
Costs
Nursing and
corporate
expenses
(3.8) (4.3)
Staff
expenses
(8.8) (8.2)
Total costs (12.6) (12.5)
Earnings
from
Nursing and
Assisted
Living (NOI)
4.6 3.8
Cash interest
expenses
(0.6) (0.4)
FFO contribution 4.0 3.4
Q1 2016 #
of
facilities
# of places
Greater
Berlin
12 1,442
Saxony 7 475
Others 1 131
In total 20 2,048

Nursing and Assisted Living business delivers RoCE of c. 10% and RoE of c. 15% based on FV of c. EUR 160m and c. 40% LTV

» Best in class EBITDA margin

in EUR m Q1
2016
Q1
2015
Earnings
from
Residential Property Management
147.2 132.5
Earnings
from
Disposals
23.7 9.3
Earnings
from
Nursing and
Assisted
Living
4.6 3.8
Segment
contribution
margin
175.5 145.6
Corporate
expenses
(16.5) (18.7)
Other
operating
expenses/income
0.2 (7.9)
EBITDA 159.2 119.0
One-offs 0.0 3.6
EBITDA (adjusted) 159.2 122.6

Significant step-up of adj. EBITDA margin by 7.7pp (excl. disposals) driven by improvement of NOI and reduction of corporate expenses

» Operational improvements and acquisitions drive FFO growth

in EUR m Q1
2016
Q1
2015
EBITDA (adjusted) 159.2 122.6
Earnings from Disposals (23.7) (9.3)
At equity
valuation
0.2 0.4
Interest expense/ income (26.1) (35.0)
Income taxes (7.1) (5.5)
Minorities (1.6) (1.9)
FFO
I
100.9 71.3
Earnings from Disposals 23.7 9.3
FFO II 124.6 80.6
in EUR1)
FFO I per share
0.30 0.24
in EUR1)
FFO II per share
0.37 0.27
  • FFO I per share increased by 25% yoy while leverage was significantly reduced
  • Dividend expected to increase by 30% to EUR 0.70 per share for 20162)

1) Based on weighted average shares outstanding (Q1 2016: 337.42m; Q1 2015: 298.57m); 2) Based on FFO I guidance of at least EUR 360m and 337.4m shares outstanding

» Steady increase of EPRA NAV per share

in EUR m 31/03/2016 31/12/2015
Equity (before
non-controlling interests)
6,743.4 6,653.5
Fair values
of
derivative financial
instruments
60.0 44.8
Deferred
taxes
(net)
1,090.4 1,064.1
EPRA NAV (undiluted) 7,893.8 7,762.4
Shares outstanding
in m
337.4 337.4
EPRA NAV per share
in EUR
(undiluted)
23.39 23.01
Effects
of
exercise
of
convertibles
952.51) 952.11)
EPRA
NAV (diluted)
8,846.3 8,714.5
Shares diluted
in m
370.2 370.2
EPRA
NAV per share
in EUR (diluted)
23.90 23.54
Goodwill GSW (535.1) (535.1)
Shares outstanding
in m
337.4 337.4
Adj. NAV per share
(undiluted)
21.81 21.42

1) Current strike price: 17.79 EUR and 21.41 EUR corresponds to ~32.7m shares

» Appendix

» Bridge from adjusted EBITDA to profit

in EUR m Q1 2016 Q1 2015
EBITDA (adjusted) 159.2 122.6
Depreciation (1.3) (1.3)
At equity
valuation
0.2 0.4
Financial result
(net)
(26.2)1) (30.0)
1)
EBT (adjusted) 132.1 91.7
Valuation
properties
0.0 0.0
Other one-off income 0.0 0.9
One-off costs
for
transactions
0.0 (4.5)
One-off costs
financing
0.0 (5.4)
Restructuring
& Reorganization
0.0 0.0
Valuation
SWAP and
convertible
bonds
(4.3) (109.9)
EBT 127.6 (27.2)
Current
taxes
(7.1) (5.5)
Deferred
taxes
(19.9) (11.5)
Profit 100.6 (44.2)
Profit attributable
to
the
shareholders
of
the
parent
company
97.3 (47.1)
per share2)
Earnings
0.29 (0.16)
in EUR m Q1 2016 Q1 2015
Interest expenses (26.5) (35.2)
In % of
rents
~16% ~22%
Non-cash interest
expenses
(0.0) (5.0)
(26.5) (30.2)
Interest income 0.3 0.2
Financial
result
(net)
(26.2) (30.0)

Thereof EUR (7.8m) from valuation of derivatives and EUR 3.5m from convertible bonds

1) Adjusted for Valuation of SWAPs and convertible bonds; 2) Based on weighted average shares outstanding (Q1-16: 337.4m; Q1-15: 298.6m)

» Summary balance sheet

Assets Equity and Liabilities
in EUR m 31/03/2016 31/12/2015 in EUR m 31/03/2016 31/12/2015
Investment properties 12,692.9 11,859.1 Total equity 6,986.2 6,872.0
Other non-current
assets
616.4 614.3 Financial liabilities 4,357.7 3,780.4
Deferred
tax
assets
327.7 325.5 Convertibles 961.4 965.4
Non current
assets
13,637.0 12,798.9 Bonds 500.3 498.3
Land and
buildings
held
for
sale
328.8 66.9 Tax
liabilities
46.1 37.5
Trade receivables 38.8 13.4 Deferred
tax
liabilities
1,128.9 1,110.2
Other current
assets
96.3 159.3 Derivatives 60.0 44.8
Cash
and
cash equivalents
331.0 661.6 Other liabilities 391.3 391.5
Current
assets
794.9 901.2 Total liabilities 7,445.7 6,828.1
Total assets 14,431.9 13,700.1 Total equity
and
liabilities
14,431.9 13,700.1

Investment properties represent ~88% of total assets

Strong balance sheet structure offering comfort throughout market cycles

» Focused and increasing investments into the portfolio

Q1
2016
Q1
2015
EUR m EUR m
Maintenance
(expensed through p&l)
17.4 19.0
Modernization
(capitalized on balance
sheet)
13.3 15.7
Total 30.7 34.7
Total EUR/ sqm1) 12.52 15.06
Capitalization
rate
43.3% 45.2%

1) Based on the quarterly average area

» Conservative long term capital structure with <1.7% interest costs

Rating A-
/ A3; stable
outlook
LTV 42%
ICR1) >5x
Ø maturity ~9 years
% secured
bank
debt
77%
% unsecured
debt
23%
Ø interest
cost
<1.7% (>80% hedged)
Key financial
principles
LTV: 35-45%
fully
flexible regarding
secured
or
unsecured
financing
  • Low leverage, long maturities and best in class rating
  • Flexible financing approach to optimize financing costs
  • No significant maturities until and including 2019, thereafter maturity profile evenly spread
  • Convertible bonds accounted 100% as debt (deeply in the money)
  • Base case LTV 2016 <40% expected

1) adjusted EBITDA/ interest expenses

» Unchanged guidance (base case)

2015 2016e Main
drivers
Mid-term
perspective4)
EPRA NAV per share
(undiluted)1)2)
23.01 25 –
26
Capex upgrade, rent development, further yield
compression expected based on market evidence
FFO I in EUR m 303 >360 Addition of 15k units on a net base and like-for-like
rent growth
(EUR ~50m in total), interest cost
savings (EUR ~10m)
Dividend per share3) 0.54 ~0.70 Higher FFO I, payout
ratio increased from 60% to
65%
LTV 38%/43%3) <40% Valuation uplift from capex and further yield
compression
  • Like-for-like rental growth of 2.5% in 2016 expected
  • Targeted disposals of ~2,000 units in 2016 provide attractive income stream
  • Streamlining of portfolio successfully executed, further opportunistic institutional sales possible but depending on pricing

Note: Base case guidance: without acquisitions and opportunistic portfolio disposal; 1) Excluding any changes in goodwill impairment and valuation of financial instruments; 2) Based on currently outstanding shares; 3) Pro forma acquisitions; 4) relative perspective to individual KPI

» Strong generation of total shareholder return

Development of dividend in EUR per share Development of EPRA NAV (undiluted) in EUR per share

  • Top line growth via acquisitions and operational improvements as well as refinancing/ debt paydown translates into FFO growth (CAGR 2012-2015: 24%)
  • Beeing invested in the right markets delivers NAV growth over time, based on strong fundamental trends (CAGR 2012-2015: 37%)
  • Via targeted modernization projects, further improvement of rents and capital growth
  • NAV growth results in further LTV reduction and improvement of the risk profile

» THE BERLIN-PORTFOLIO AT A GLANCE

» Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements including assumptions, opinions and views of Deutsche Wohnen or quoted from third party sources. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause actual results, financial positions, the development or the performance of Deutsche Wohnen to differ materially from the estimations expressed or implied herein. Deutsche Wohnen does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and accordingly, none of Deutsche Wohnen AG or any of its affiliates (including subsidiary undertakings) or any of such person's officers, directors or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. Deutsche Wohnen does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.

Deutsche Wohnen AG

Registered Office Pfaffenwiese 300 65929 Frankfurt/ Main Berlin Office Mecklenburgische Straße 57 14197 Berlin Phone: +49 30 897 86 5413 Fax: +49 30 897 86 5419

© 2016 Deutsche Wohnen AG