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Deutsche Wohnen SE Call Transcript 2014

May 14, 2014

113_ip_2014-05-14_8eaee995-08cb-4ab3-a6a9-f0df1d1ef8ee.pdf

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Deutsche Wohnen AG

» Q1 2014 results Conference Call, 14 May 2014

2

» Highlights Q1-2014

» Highlights Q1-2014

Operations
(y-o-y)



Very
strong like
for
like
rental
growth
Significantly
increased
NOI / sqm
/ month
Value creation
by
strong privatisation
business
Successful
institutional
sales
Portfolio Core+
Core)1)
+3.5% (Letting
and
EUR 4.33 sqm
(+5.1%)
value2)
52% gross
margin
above
book
value2)
10% gross
margin
above
book
Financials
(y-o-y)



EBITDA (adjusted)
FFO (w/o disposals)
FFO (w/o disposals) per share
EPRA NAV per share
EUR 126.7m (+93%)
EUR 59.1 (+91%)
EUR 0.21 (+5%)
EUR 14.22 (+1.6% vs. Dec. 13)
Integration of GSW

Well
on track
in regard
to
cost
savings
and
Domination agreement
will enable
the
group
to
Exchange ratio
offer
of
7 Deutsche Wohnen shares
of
EUR 1.40 per share
(net)
synergies: EUR 10m P&L effect
in 2014 expected
enhance
profitability
and
cashflow
for
3 GSW shares
or guaranteed
dividend

1) Incl. pro forma GSW portfolio last 12 months 2) Based on closed units Q1-2014

» Portfolio development and operations

» Strong earnings and cash contributions from letting

in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013 In-place rent:
Current
gross
rental
income
157.0 83.3 Q1-14:
EUR 5.58 / sqm
Non-recoverable
expenses
(3.2) (1.3)
Earnings
from
letting:
Rental loss (2.5) (1.1) Maintenance1)
+ EUR Maintenance (17.2) (8.4) Q1-14: EUR 7.38 /sqm
(Q1-13: EUR 6.48 /sqm)
60.8m Others (2.4) (1.6) additional EUR 7.9m for
modernisation
(EUR
Earnings
from
Residential Property Management
131.7 70.9 3.39 /sqm
in Q1-14)
Personnel, general
and
administrative expenses
(10.6) (6.8) NOI increased by EUR
Net Operating Income (NOI) 121.1 64.1 57.0m (89%) due to
NOI
margin
77.1% 77.0% higher current gross
rental income of EUR
NOI
in EUR / sqm
/ month
4.33 4.12 73.7m (full effect of 2013
acquisitions including
in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013 GSW)
Cash flow Net operating
income
(NOI)
121.1 64.1
+ 100.3% Cash interest
expenses
(46.0) (26.6) w/o EUR 1.1m for
Cash flow
from
portfolio
after cash interest
expenses
75.1 37.5 nursing and assisted
living
Interest cover
ratio
2.63 2.41
NOI-margin
NOI in EUR /
sqm
/ month

Constant on y-o-y basis
despite
higher

+ 5.1% due to changes in portfolio structure resulting from GSW
acquisition among others
maintenance
expenses
1) extrapolated 12 months

» Overview of portfolio as at 31 March 2014

31/03/2014 Residential
units
Share in
terms of
Area 1) In-place
2)
rent
Vacancy Fair
Value 3)
Share in
terms
Fair
Value 4)
Multiple
in-place
Yield Multiple
market
Yield
# units
%
K sqm EUR/sqm % EUR m of Fair Value
%
EUR/sqm rent % rent %
Total 148,797 100% 9,040 5.58 2.6 8,823 100% 947 14.3 7.0 12.8 7.8
Strategic core
and
growth
regions
145,979 98% 8,860 5.60 2.4 8,712 98.7% 955 14.3 7.0 12.8 7.8
Letting
portfolio
139,012 93% 8,398 5.60 2.2
Privatisation 6,967 5% 462 5.49 5.7
Core+ 118,690 80% 7,139 5.68 2.2 7,334 83.1% 995 14.6 6.8 13.0 7.7
Letting
portfolio
113,825 76% 6,818 5.69 2.0
Privatisation 4,865 3% 321 5.53 5.1
Core 27,289 18% 1,721 5.23 3.4 1,378 15.6% 784 12.8 7.8 11.8 8.5
Letting
portfolio
25,187 17% 1,581 5.21 3.1
Privatisation 2,102 1% 140 5.38 7.1
Non-core 2,818 2% 180 4.91 11.2 112 1.3% 593 11.4 8.8 9.7 10.3
Disposal 584 0% 36 5.01 16.1
Other 2,234 2% 143 4.88 9.9

Dynamic Core+regions comprise 80% of total units and 83% of total fair value

Attractive spread between multiples of in-place rent and market rent offering further potential for NAV-growth

Very successful ongoing disposal of non-core portfolio

1) Only residential area
---- -- ----------------------- --
  • 2) Contractually owed rents from rented apartments divided by rented area
  • 3) Fair Value including residential, commercial and parking spaces 4) Fair Value divided by residential and commercial area

» Pro forma like for like overview of portfolio as at 31 March 2014

In-place rent (like-for-like) and vacancy (like-for-like)

Like-for-like
31/03/2014
Residential units
#
In-place
rent1)
31/03/2014
In-place
rent1)
31/03/2013
in % Vacancy
31/03/2014
Vacancy
31/03/2013
EUR/sqm EUR/sqm y-o-y in % in %
Total 134,912 5.61 5.43 3.4% 2.6% 2.4%
Strategic core
and
growth
regions
(letting
portfolio)
126,541 5.63 5.44 3.5% 2.2% 2.3%
Core+ 103,532 5.72 5.50 4.0% 2.0% 2.1%
Greater
Berlin
93,992 5.60 5.38 4.2% 2.0% 2.0%
Rhine-Main 8,090 7.04 6.87 2.5% 1.9% 2.5%
Rhineland 1,450 6.54 6.26 4.4% 3.4% 3.2%
Core 23,009 5.24 5.18 1.2% 3.1% 3.2%
Hanover
/ Brunswick
/ Magdeburg
10,025 5.20 5.15 1.0% 3.9% 4.3%
Rhine Valley South 4,648 5.56 5.44 2.2% 1.4% 1.6%
Rhine Valley North 2,798 5.18 5.11 1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
Central Germany 3,776 5.08 5.04 0.7% 3.3% 3.1%
Others 1,762 5.08 5.05 0.7% 6.2% 3.6%
Privatisation 5,554 5.50 5.43 1.2% 5.7% 2.1%
Non-core 2,817 4.91 4.90 0.1% 11.1% 7.5%

Strong rental growth in our strategic core and growth regions

Core+ regions with compelling rental growth (l-f-l) and a very low vacancy rate 'stars'

  • Driven by new-letting rents and execution of Berlin rent index ('Mietspiegel')
  • Core regions with moderate rental growth (l-f-l) and a low vacancy rate 'cash cows'

1) Contractually owed rent from rented apartments divided by rented area

5.69 5.57 7.04 6.50 In-place rent in EUR/sqm Rent potential » Dynamic rent potential in Core+ regions (letting portfolio) Note: incl. acquisition 1) Contractually owed rent from rented apartments divided by rented area 2) Contractually owed rents for newly concluded contracts for units not subject to rent control effective in 2014 respectively 3) Rent potential = New-letting rent compared to in-place rent 1) 3) New-letting rent in EUR/sqm2) 7.09 6.81 8.89 8.17 Core+ Greater Berlin Rhine-Main Rhineland 24.6% 22.3% 26.3% 25.7% New-letting contracts4) 2,340 1,979 301 60 Current tenant turnover: 7% annualised in Core+ Regions

9

4) Unrestricted units as at 31/03/2014

» Focused and sustainable investments in the portfolio

Maintenance and modernisation

Q1-2014 Q1-2013
EUR/sqm1)
EUR m
EUR m EUR/sqm1)
Maintenance 17.2 7.38 8.4 6.48
Modernisation 7.9 3.39 1.0 0.77
Total 25.1 10.76 9.4 7.25

We continue to target a high level for maintenance and modernisation on the basis of portfolio analysis to ensure our quality standards for a sustainable portfolio.

1) Based on the quarterly average area; extrapolated 12 months

» NAV contribution by strong disposal business

Closed
in EUR m
Q1-2014 Q1-2013
Sales
proceeds
86.4 32.1
Cost
of
sales
(3.0) (2.0)
Net sales
proceeds
83.4 30.1
Carrying
amounts
of
assets
sold
(67.6) (24.6)
Earnings
from
Disposals
15.8 5.5

Free cash flow from sales activities of ca. EUR 45m (520 closed privatisation units and 982 closed units institutional sales)

» Signed units for privatisation business & non-core disposals

Signed
with
expected
closing
in 20141)
Units Transaction
volume
Fair value Gross
Margin
# EUR m EUR m EUR m %2)
Privatisation 1,082 92.7 62.4 30.3 49%
Institutional
sales
1,525 59.0 51.9 7.1 14%
Thereof
non-core
properties
1,244 40.7 37.1 3.6 10%
In total 2,607 151.7 114.3 37.4 33%
  • Ongoing and successful focus on disposals in none-core regions
  • 71% of privatisation business from condominium sales in Berlin

Berlin: Papageienviertel Hanover: Bemerode/Kronsberg Berlin: Hufeisensiedlung Berlin: Steglitz

1) Incl. overhang 2013

2) (Transaction volume divided by Fair Value)-1

» Nursing and Assisted Living − increasing FFO contribution

in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013 31/03/2014 Facilities Places
Income Greater
Berlin
12 1,442
Nursing 13.7 11.8 Saxony 7 475
Living 1.5 0.5 Others 2 257
Other 1.6 1.0 In total 21 2,174
Total income 16.8 13.3
Costs Average Occupancy
Nursing and
corporate
expenses
(4.4) (3.4)
Staff
expenses
(8.2) (6.8)
Total costs (12.6) (10.2)
Earnings
from
Nursing and
Assisted
Living
4.2 3.1 96.9 96.0
Cash interest
expenses
(1.1) (0.8)
FFO contribution 3.1 2.3 31/03/2013 31/03/2014

18 of 21 facilities are owned by Deutsche Wohnen with Fair Value of the properties of EUR 144.9m

Slight decrease in average occupancy to 96.0% mainly due to last years` acquisitions with upside potential

» Financials

» Adjusted EBITDA increased by ~ EUR 61m / + 93% (y-o-y)

in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013
Earnings
from
Residential Property Management
131.7 70.9
Earnings
from
Disposals
15.8 5.5
Earnings
from
Nursing and
Assisted
Living
4.2 3.1
Segment
contribution
margin
151.7 79.5
Corporate
expenses
(22.8) (11.8)
Other
operating
expenses/income
(4.4) (2.0)
EBITDA 124.5 65.7
Restructuring
& Reorganisation expenses
2.2 0.0
EBITDA (adjusted) 126.7 65.7

Increased by ~ EUR 61m mainly attributable to an increase of earnings from letting ~ EUR 61m and from disposals ~ EUR10 m Adj. EBITDA

» Adjusted EBT increased by ~ 113% (y-o-y)

in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013
EBITDA (adjusted) 126.7 65.7
Depreciation (1.6) (1.3)
Financial result
(net)
2)
(52.0)
3)
(30.1)
EBT (adjusted) 73.1 34.3
Restructuring
& Reorganization
(2.2) 0.0
Valuation
SWAP and
Convertible
Bond
(16.7) (0.2)
EBT 54.2 34.1
Current
taxes
(3.3) (2.6)
Deferred
taxes
(5.4) (5.3)
Profit 45.5 26.2
1)
Earnings
per share
0.16 0.17
in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013
Interest expenses (47.1) (27.4)
Non-cash interest
expenses
(5.2) (2.9)
(52.3) (30.3)
Interest income 0.3 0.2
Financial
result
(net)
(52.0) (30.1)
Non-cash
interest
expenses
(in EUR m)
Q1-2014 Q1-2013
Low interest
bearing
liablities
(4.3) (1.8)
Liabilities
from
EK 02 taxes
(0.4) (0.5)
Employee
benefit
liability
(0.5) (0.5)
DB 14 0.0 (0.1)
Total (5.2) (2.9)

1)Based on weighted average shares outstanding (Q1-14: 286.2m; Q1-13: 158.1m) 2) Adjusted for Valuation of SWAP and Convertible Bond (EUR 16.7m)

3) Adjusted for Valuation SWAP (EUR -0.2m)

» Recurring FFO per share performance +5 % (y-o-y)

in EUR m Q1-2014 Q1-2013
Profit 45.5 26.2
Earnings
from
Disposals
(15.8) (5.5)
Depreciation 1.6 1.3
Valuation
SWAP and
Convertible
Bond
16.7 0.2
Non-cash financial
expenses
5.2 2.9
Deferred
taxes
5.4 5.3
Tax
benefit
from
capital
increase
0.0 0.5
FFO attributable
to
non-controlling interest
(1.7) 0.0
Restructuring
& Reorganization
expenses
2.2 0.0
FFO
(w/o disposals)
59.1 30.9
Earnings
from
Disposals
15.32) 5.5
FFO (incl. disposals) 74.4 36.4
1)
FFO (w/o disposals) per share
0.21 0.20
1)
FFO (incl. disposals) per share
0.26 0.23

Accretive FFO (w/o disposals) per share development: +5% (y-o-y)

1) Based on weighted average shares outstanding (Q1-14: 286.2m; Q1-13: 158.1m)

2) Adjusted for minority contribution

» Balance sheet – Assets

in EUR m 31/03/2014 31/12/2013
Investment properties 8,907.8 8,937.1
Other non-current
assets
551.4 552.2
Derivatives 0.2 2.7
Deferred
tax
assets
282.9 280.5
Non current
assets
9,742.3 9,772.5
Land and
buildings
held
for
sale
91.6 97.1
Trade receivables 22.3 29.8
Other current
assets
57.8 77.3
Cash
and
cash equivalents
180.1 196.4
Current
assets
351.8 400.6
Total assets 10,094.1 10,173.1

» Balance sheet – Equity and Liabilities

in EUR m 31/03/2014 31/12/2013
Total equity 3,977.8 3,944.3
Financial liabilities 5,032.1 5,154.6
Convertible 256.4 250.2
Tax
liabilities
68.5 62.6
Deferred
tax
liabilities
355.4 353.1
Derivatives 181.6 159.3
Other liabilities 222.3 249.0
Total equity
and
liabilities
10,094.1 10,173.1
Equity in EUR m 31/03/2014
+ Profit 45.5
-
Cash flow hedge
11.3
-
Pensions
0.7

Equity ratio

Stable at 39% on y-o-y basis

» EPRA NAV per share up by 1.6%

in EUR m 31/03/2014 31/12/2013 in EUR m 31/03/2014 31/12/2013
Equity (before
non-controlling
interests)
3,810.1 3,777.8 EPRA NAV per share
in EUR
(undiluted)
14.22 13.99
Fair value
adjustment
of
convertible
bond
6.0 (2.2) Adjusted
NAV per share
in
EUR (undiluted)
12.50 12.27
Fair values
of
derivative
financial
instruments
181.4 156.5 Shares outstanding
in m
286.22 286.22
Deferred
taxes
(net)
72.5 72.6
EPRA
NAV (undiluted)
4,070.0 4,004.7
Goodwill (491.6) (491.6)
Adjusted
NAV (undiluted)
3,578.4 3,513.1
EPRA NAV
per share Increased by 1.6% to EUR 14.22 as at 31 March 2014
Adjusted
NAV Reflects (i.e. deducts) the goodwill from GSW transaction

» Outlook

» Q & A

» Appendix

» LTV at 56.5%; low average interest rate ~ 3.36%

Financial liabilities
in EUR m
Mark-to-market 5,288.5
Debt structure LTV (%) 56.5%
Nominal value 5,379.0
LTV (%) 57.5%

Avg.
interest
rate incl. Convertible
bond:
~ 3.36%

Avg.
mandatory
redemptions
p.a.:
~ 1.6%
Debt service
Avg. weighted
maturity:
~ 7.9 years

Interest rate fixed
or
hedged:
~ 91%

Significant potential from due refinancing available in order to enhance FFO profile through a decrease of existing interest rate levels

1) Convertible Bond

» Details on regions of portfolio as at 31 March 2014

31/03/2014 Residential
Share in terms
Commercial Parking
units of units Area In-place rent 1
)
Vacancy units spaces
# in % k sqm EUR/sqm in % # #
Total 148,797 100% 9,040 5.58 2.6% 2,098 31,408
Strategic core and growth regions 145,979 98% 8,860 5.60 2.4% 2,063 30,447
Letting portfolio 139,012 93% 8,398 5.60 2.2% 1,953 27,873
Privatisation 6,967 5% 462 5.49 5,7% 110 2,574
Core + 118,690 80% 7,139 5.68 2.2% 1,845 20,504
Letting portfolio 113,825 76% 6,818 5.69 2.0% 1,737 18,502
Privatisation 4,865 3% 321 5.53 5.1% 108 2,002
Greater Berlin 107,853 72% 6,479 5.56 2.1% 1,631 14,851
Letting portfolio 104,066 70% 6,235 5.57 2.0% 1,587 14,122
Privatisation 3,787 3% 244 5.25 3.9% 44 729
Rhine-Main 9,018 6% 542 6.97 2.6% 168 4,892
Letting portfolio 8,090 5% 479 7.04 1.9% 121 4,014
Privatisation 928 1% 63 6.35 8.4% 47 878
Rhineland 1,819 1% 119 6.54 3.9% 37 732
Letting portfolio 1,669 1% 104 6.50 3.4% 29 366
Privatisation 150 0% 15 6.84 7.1% 8 366
Core 27,289 18% 1,721 5.23 3.4% 218 9,943
Letting portfolio 25,187 17% 1,581 5.21 3.1% 216 9,371
Privatisation 2,102 1% 140 5.38 7.1% 2 572
Hanover/Brunswick/Magdeburg 11,039 7% 708 5.25 4.1% 111 2,776
Letting portfolio 10,210 7% 654 5.20 3.9% 110 2,499
Privatisation 829 1% 54 5.85 6.9% 1 277
Rhine Valley South 4,853 3% 303 5.56 1.8% 41 3,341
Letting portfolio 4,650 3% 290 5.56 1.4% 41 3,186
Privatisation 203 0% 13 5.64 10.0% 0 155
Rhine Valley North 2,949 2% 191 5.20 1.7% 3 2,116
Letting portfolio 2,845 2% 184 5.19 1.4% 3 2,007
Privatisation 104 0% 7 5.53 10.1% 0 109
Central Germany 5,720 4% 343 4.98 3.0% 55 1,152
Letting portfolio 5,720 4% 343 4.98 3.0% 55 1,152
Privatisation 0 0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0
Others 2,728 2% 176 5.03 6.2% 8 558
Letting portfolio 1,762 1% 110 5.08 6.2% 7 527
Privatisation 966 1% 66 4.94 6.2% 1 31
Non-Core 2,818 2% 180 4.91 11.2% 35 961
Disposals 584 0% 36 5.01 16.1% 22 236
Other 2,234 2% 143 4.88 9.9% 13 725

1) Contractually owed rents from rented apartments divided by rented area

» Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements including assumptions, opinions and views of Deutsche Wohnen or quoted from third party sources. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause actual results, financial positions, the development or the performance of Deutsche Wohnen to differ materially from the estimations expressed or implied herein. Deutsche Wohnen does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and accordingly, none of Deutsche Wohnen AG or any of its affiliates (including subsidiary undertakings) or any of such person's officers, directors or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. Deutsche Wohnen does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.

Deutsche Wohnen AG

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