AI assistant
Buzzi Unicem — Investor Presentation 2021
Apr 15, 2021
4218_ip_2021-04-15_94e51e53-6645-41e1-82d7-9c58a20b3226.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Engineering & Construction Conference
Milan, 15 April 2021
Executive Summary
| 2020 OVERVIEW |
Cement volumes at 29.3 mt, substantially stable vs 2019 (29.1 mt), thanks to the progress achieved in US and Russia and the stability in Germany. Negative development in Eastern Europe and Italy. Ready Mix concrete volumes at 11.7 mt (-3.1%), more impacted by Covid19. Favorable variance in selling prices, in local currencies, in almost all the geographies |
|---|---|
| FINANCIALS | Net sales stable at 3,222 €m (3,221 €m in 2019) but +1.8% lfl, driven by Germany (+5.5%) and US (+1.5%). Negative trend in Eastern Europe (-7.7%) and Italy (-2.1%) EBITDA at 781 €m (728 €m in 2019), +7.2% (+10.3% lfl), driven by Germany (+21.0%) and US (+10.3%). Eastern Europe flat and Italy declined (-22.1%) due to pandemic impact |
| CASH GENERATION AND NET DEBT |
Net cash flow from operations at 589 €m (575 €m in 2019). Cash Conversion Rate stable above 50% (54% in 2020 vs 52% in 2019) Net Debt at 242 €m (568€m in 2019). Net Debt/EBITDA ratio at 0.3x (0.8 in 2019) |
| 2021 OUTLOOK | Energy cost inflation and higher CO price 2 Unfavorable trend in exchange rate Slight improvement in average selling prices but possibly not sufficient to fully offset cost inflation Recurring EBITDA expected to decrease in 2021 compared to 2020 results. |
Volumes FY 2020
Price Index by country
FX changes
| 2020 | 2019 | D | 2018 | Current | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR 1 = | avg | avg | % | Avg | ||
| USD | 1.14 | 1.12 | -2.0 | 1.18 | 1.19 | |
| RUB | 82.72 | 72.46 | -14.2 | 74.04 | 92.02 | |
| UAH | 30.85 | 28.92 | -6.7 | 32.11 | 33.29 | |
| CZK | 26.46 | 25.67 | -3.1 | 25.65 | 26.05 | |
| PLN | 4.44 | 4.30 | -3.4 | 4.26 | 4.53 | |
| MXN | 24.52 | 21.56 | -13.7 | 22.71 | 23.97 | |
| BRA | 5.89 | 4.41 | -33.6 | 4.31 | 6.73 |
Analysis by geographical region – Italy and USA
Italy
- Decline in cement volumes (-2.8%) due to the significant pandemic impact. Ready-mix recorded a more marked contraction (-5.4%)
- Positive trend in prices
- Production costs down thanks to savings in fuel and energy
| EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | lfl % D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 501.1 | 504.7 | (0.7) | (2.1) |
| EBITDA | 33.8 | 43.4 | (22.1) | (17.2) |
| EBITDA margin (%) |
6.7 | 8.6 |
| USA | |
|---|---|
| | Strong demand and favorable weather conditions pushed up volumes (+5.0%). Ready-mix weaker (-4.2%) |
- Prices slightly up
- Favorable trend in energy costs. Ebitda margin at top level of the group
| EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | D lfl % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 1,260.6 | 1,242.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| EBITDA | 444.2 | 402.7 | 10.3 | 12.5 |
| EBITDA margin (%) |
35.2 | 32.4 |
Analysis by geographical region – Central and Eastern Europe
| Central Europe | EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | D lfl % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable cement volumes (-0.5%), despite pandemic restrictions. Ready-mix |
Net Sales | 875.5 | 843.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 | |
| volumes increased (+3.1%), thanks to different scope Positive pricing development |
EBITDA | 145.6 | 125.0 | 20.6 | 16.0 | |
| EBITDA margin (%) |
16.6 | 14.8 | ||||
| Favorable trend in production costs |
- Cement volumes particularly weak in Poland (-5.3%) and Ukraine (-4.5%). In Russia cement volumes up (2.0%) thanks to good weather conditions and strong demand in Q4.
- Positive trend in prices, in local currency
- Negative fx impact, mainly due to ruble (-14.7%)
| EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | D lfl % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 587.0 | 635.9 | (7.7) | (0.8) |
| EBITDA | 156.9 | 157.1 | (0.1) | 7.2 |
| EBITDA margin (%) |
26.7 | 24.7 |
Analysis by geographical region – Mexico and Brazil (valued at equity)
| Mexico | EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | D lfl % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Increase in cement volumes (+12.4%) thanks to the marked recovery in public works sector |
Net Sales (100%) | 573.8 | 593.2 | (3.3) | 10.0 | |
| EBITDA (100%) |
265.0 | 252.2 | 5.1 | 19.5 | ||
| Prices, in local currency, flat |
EBITDA margin (%) |
46.2 | 42.5 | |||
| Negative FX impact (Mexican peso -13.7%) |
| Brazil | EURm | 2020 | 2019 | D% | lfl % D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cement volumes visibly improved (+9.3%) |
Net Sales (100%) | 139.1 | 134.7 | 3.2 | 37.9 |
| Strong trend in selling prices, in local currency |
EBITDA (100%) |
48.0 | 23.4 | >100 | >100 |
| Negative FX impact (Brazilian Real -33.6%) |
EBITDA margin (%) |
34.5 | 17.4 |
EBITDA variance analysis
| Dec 20 |
Dec 19 |
∆ | Sept 20 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURm | abs | |||
| Cash and other financial assets | 1,220.9 | 840.9 | 380.0 | 1,133.0 |
| Short-term debt | (214.2) | (72.3) | (141.9) | (47.9) |
| Short-term leasing | (21.4) | (22.5) | 1.1 | (21.6) |
| Net short-term cash | 985.3 | 746.1 | 239.2 | 1,063.5 |
| Long-term financial assets | 11.0 | 2.9 | 8.1 | 2.3 |
| Long-term debt | (1,173.4) | (1,242.1) | 68.7 | (1,276.3) |
| Long-term leasing | (64.5) | (74.7) | 10.2 | (71.2) |
| Net debt | (241.6) | (567.8) | 326.2 | (281.7) |
Gross debt breakdown (1,473.5 €m )
2021 Outlook
Key points
- Headwind from energy cost inflation and exchange rates.
- Price of CO2 rights hitting new record figh.
- Italy: recovery in volumes thanks to easier comparison and growth in construction investments. Positive trend in selling prices
- Central Europe: volumes expected to decline slightly but prices still strengthening. Operating results in moderate decline.
- USA: Volumes expected to be supportive. Favorable price variance hampered by specific regional issues. Rising cost inflation likely to drive down EBITDA around 2019 level.
- Eastern Europe: subdued cement demand in Poland, Czech Republic and Ukraine. Russia should achieve a positive development of volumes thanks to a fairly brisk demand and a more positive outlook for oil prices.
- Capex: higher capex vs 2020, including several projects aimed at continous improvement of the operation efficiency as well as at the challenging CO2 emission reductions.
Recurring EBITDA 2021
Recurring EBITDA expected to soften. The slowdown may be more or less significant depending on how the pandemic will evolve in the coming months, as well as its impact on economic activity in the geographic areas where the group operates
Appendix
Buzzi Unicem at a glance
- International multi-regional, "heavy-side" group, focused on cement, ready-mix and aggregates
- Dedicated management with a long-term vision of the business
- Highly efficient, low cost producer with strong and stable cash flows
- Successful geographic diversification with leading positions in attractive markets
- ₋ Italy (# 2 cement producer), United States (# 4 cement producer), Germany (# 2 cement producer), material joint venture assets in Mexico and Brazil
- ₋ Significant positions in Luxembourg, The Netherlands, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia and Ukraine, as well as entry point in Slovenia and Algeria
- High quality and environmentally friendly assets
- Leading product and service offering
- Conservative financial profile and balanced growth strategy
"Value creation through lasting, experienced know-how and operating efficiency"
Cement plants location and capacity
| 2020 | 2019 | D | D | Forex | Scope | D l-f-l |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURm | abs | % | abs | abs | % | |||
| Italy | 501.1 | 504.1 | (3.6) | -0.7 | - | 6.9 | -2.1 | |
| United States |
1,260.6 | 1,242.5 | 18.1 | +1.5 | (25.6) | - | +3.5 | |
| Germany | 717.0 | 679.6 | 37.4 | +5.5 | - | 5.7 | +4.7 | |
| Lux / Netherlands | 191.7 | 192.5 | (0.8) | -0.4 | - | - | -0.4 | |
| Czech Rep / Slovakia |
159.5 | 168.2 | (8.7) | -5.2 | (4.2) | - | -2.7 | |
| Poland | 117.8 | 123.4 | (6.0) | -4.8 | (4.0) | - | -1.6 | |
| Ukraine | 116.1 | 131.9 | (15.8) | -12.0 | (7.7) | - | -6.1 | |
| Russia | 195.8 | 214.5 | (18.7) | +8.7 | (27.8) | - | +4.2 | |
| Eliminations | (37.1) | (36.1) | (1.0) | |||||
| Total | 3,222.4 | 3,221.4 | 1.0 | +0.03 | (69.2) | 12.6 | +1.8 | |
| Mexico (100%) | 573.8 | 593.2 | (19.4) | -3.3 | (78.9) | - | -10.0 | |
| Brazil (100%) |
139.1 | 134.7 | 4.4 | +3.2 | (46.7) | - | +37.9 |
| 2020 | 2019 | D | D | Forex | Scope | D l-f-l |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURm | abs | % | abs | abs | % | ||
| Italy | 33.8 | 43.4 | (9.6) | -22.1 | - | (2.1) | -17.2 |
| United States |
444.2 | 402.7 | 41.5 | +10.3 | (9.0) | - | +12.5 |
| Germany | 123.8 | 102.3 | 21.5 | +21.0 | - | 0.6 | +20.5 |
| Lux / Netherlands | 21.7 | 22.7 | (1.0) | -4.0 | - | - | -4.0 |
| Czech Rep / Slovakia |
46.8 | 46.3 | 0.5 | +1.1 | (1.4) | - | +4.2 |
| Poland | 35.3 | 32.1 | 3.2 | +10.0 | (1.2) | - | +13.5 |
| Ukraine | 21.9 | 21.0 | 0.9 | +4.3 | (1.5) | - | +11.0 |
| Russia | 52.9 | 57.7 | (4.8) | -8.3 | (7.5) | - | +4.8 |
| Eliminations | (0.4) | (0.2) | |||||
| Total | 780.8 | 728.1 | 52.7 | +7.2 | (20.6) | (1.5) | +10.3 |
| Mexico (100%) | 265.0 | 252.2 | 12.8 | +5.1 | (36.4) | - | +19.5 |
| Brazil (100%) | 48.0 | 23.4 | 24.5 | +>100 | (16.1) | - | +>100 |
Net Cash Flow from Operations and Capex development
Dyckerhoff shares (above 95%) Dyckerhoff shares (squeeze-out) Cementizillo (Italy) Testi, Arquata, Borgo (Italy) Uralcement (Korkino, Russia) Seibel & Söhne (Germany) BCPAR Brazil 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net cash flow from operations Ordinary capex Expansion capex Equity Investment % Net cash flow from operations / Net sales % Ordinary capex / Net sales Eur m Cementizillo (earn out) Dyckerhoff shares (squeeze-out) 156 233 231 314 304 236 218 444 339 257 251 253 257 245 302 304 371 332 575 589 96 114 144 119 140 159 155 184 214 217 60 31 20 55 164 77 29 31 43 11 88 67 140 34 229 82 29 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 5.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4% 13.2% 11.6% 17.9% 18.3%
Debt Maturity Profile – FY 2020
- Total nominal value of debt and borrowings stood at €m 1,223 at December 2020
- As at December 2020 available €m 321m of undrawn committed facilities (€m 299 for Buzzi Unicem, €m22 for Dyckerhoff)
Historical EBITDA development by country
| E-MARKET SDIR |
|---|
| CERTIFIED |
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | EBITDA | 10,3 | -5,9 | -18,1 | -18,7 | -37,2 | -22,2 | -79,7 | -1,7 | 43,4 | 33,8 | |
| margin | 1,8% | -1,2% | -4,2% | -4,8% | -9,8% | -5,9% | -18,6% | -0,4% | 8,6% | 6,8% | ||
| Germany | EBITDA | 90,3 | 72,2 | 108,1 | 88,6 | 72,1 | 76,8 | 78,1 | 82,5 | 102,3 | 123,8 | |
| margin | 14,2% | 12,0% | 18,0% | 14,7% | 12,6% | 13,4% | 13,3% | 13,0% | 15,1% | 17,3% | ||
| Lux/ Netherlands Czech Rep/ |
EBITDA | 35,0 | 8,3 | 11,5 | 15,9 | 19,7 | 25,8 | 17,6 | 23,1 | 22,7 | 21,7 | |
| margin | 15,7% | 4,3% | 6,3% | 9,7% | 11,7% | 14,7% | 9,4% | 11,7% | 11,8% | 11,3% | ||
| EBITDA | 35,2 | 25,4 | 19,2 | 27,0 | 32,6 | 34,4 | 36,5 | 43,6 | 46,3 | 46,8 | ||
| Slovakia Poland Ukraine |
margin | 20,5% | 17,0% | 14,6% | 20,2% | 24,0% | 25,2% | 24,7% | 26,5% | 27,5% | 29,4% | |
| EBITDA | 36,9 | 21,8 | 27,1 | 18,2 | 22,7 | 23,4 | 24,1 | 31,9 | 32,1 | 35,3 | ||
| margin | 26,6% | 20,0% | 26,8% | 20,4% | 20,4% | 24,6% | 24,9% | 28,6% | 25,9% | 29,9% | ||
| EBITDA | 6,9 | 15,8 | 12,3 | 11,0 | 4,0 | 12,8 | 16,0 | 7,0 | 21,0 | 21,9 | ||
| margin | 6,2% | 11,8% | 10,0% | 12,5% | 5,7% | 16,1% | 16,9% | 8,0% | 15,9% | 18,9% | ||
| Russia | EBITDA | 65,7 | 96,1 | 92,6 | 73,4 | 48,4 | 43,2 | 46,0 | 50,1 | 57,7 | 52,9 | |
| margin | 37,4% | 41,0% | 37,2% | 35,0% | 29,0% | 28,0% | 24,9% | 27,0% | 26,9% | 28,3% | ||
| USA Mexico |
EBITDA | 71,4 | 123,9 | 151,0 | 207,3 | 311,7 | 356,5 | 369,6 | 341,2 | 402,7 | 444,2 | |
| margin | 12,8% | 18,2% | 20,7% | 24,2% | 28,1% | 31,9% | 33,0% | 31,9% | 32,4% | 35,2% | ||
| EBITDA | 82,6 | 97,5 | 77,5 | Adoption of IFRS 11 |
||||||||
| margin | 34,7% | 36,2% | 33,2% | |||||||||
| EBITDA | 434,3 | 455,1 | 481,2 | 422,7 | 473,2 | 550,6 | 508,2 | 577,2 | 728,1 | 780,8 | ||
| Group | ||||||||||||
| margin | 15,6% | 16,2% | 17,5% | 16,9% | 17,8% | 20,6% | 18,1% | 20,1% | 22,6% | 24,2% |
Historical series of cement consumption by country
2020 cement consumption vs peak
Engineering & Construction Conference
Milan, 15 April 2021