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Buzzi Unicem Investor Presentation 2021

Apr 15, 2021

4218_ip_2021-04-15_94e51e53-6645-41e1-82d7-9c58a20b3226.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Engineering & Construction Conference

Milan, 15 April 2021

Executive Summary

2020
OVERVIEW
Cement
volumes
at
29.3 mt, substantially
stable
vs 2019 (29.1 mt), thanks
to the progress achieved
in US and Russia and the stability
in
Germany. Negative development
in Eastern
Europe and Italy.
Ready Mix concrete volumes
at
11.7 mt (-3.1%), more impacted
by Covid19.
Favorable
variance
in selling
prices, in local
currencies, in almost
all
the geographies
FINANCIALS Net sales stable
at
3,222 €m (3,221 €m in 2019) but
+1.8% lfl, driven
by Germany (+5.5%) and US (+1.5%). Negative trend in Eastern
Europe (-7.7%) and Italy
(-2.1%)
EBITDA at
781 €m (728 €m in 2019), +7.2% (+10.3% lfl), driven
by Germany (+21.0%) and US (+10.3%). Eastern
Europe flat
and Italy
declined
(-22.1%) due to pandemic
impact
CASH GENERATION
AND NET DEBT
Net cash flow from operations
at
589 €m (575 €m in 2019).
Cash Conversion Rate stable
above
50% (54% in 2020 vs 52% in 2019)
Net Debt
at
242 €m (568€m in 2019). Net Debt/EBITDA ratio at
0.3x (0.8 in 2019)
2021 OUTLOOK Energy cost
inflation
and higher
CO
price
2
Unfavorable
trend in exchange
rate
Slight
improvement
in average
selling
prices
but
possibly
not
sufficient
to fully
offset cost
inflation
Recurring
EBITDA expected
to decrease
in 2021 compared
to 2020 results.

Volumes FY 2020

Price Index by country

FX changes

2020 2019 D 2018 Current
EUR 1 = avg avg % Avg
USD 1.14 1.12 -2.0 1.18 1.19
RUB 82.72 72.46 -14.2 74.04 92.02
UAH 30.85 28.92 -6.7 32.11 33.29
CZK 26.46 25.67 -3.1 25.65 26.05
PLN 4.44 4.30 -3.4 4.26 4.53
MXN 24.52 21.56 -13.7 22.71 23.97
BRA 5.89 4.41 -33.6 4.31 6.73

Analysis by geographical region – Italy and USA

Italy

  • Decline in cement volumes (-2.8%) due to the significant pandemic impact. Ready-mix recorded a more marked contraction (-5.4%)
  • Positive trend in prices
  • Production costs down thanks to savings in fuel and energy
EURm 2020 2019 D% lfl
%
D
Net Sales 501.1 504.7 (0.7) (2.1)
EBITDA 33.8 43.4 (22.1) (17.2)
EBITDA margin
(%)
6.7 8.6
USA
Strong demand
and favorable
weather
conditions
pushed
up volumes
(+5.0%). Ready-mix weaker
(-4.2%)
  • Prices slightly up
  • Favorable trend in energy costs. Ebitda margin at top level of the group
EURm 2020 2019 D% D
lfl
%
Net Sales 1,260.6 1,242.5 1.5 3.5
EBITDA 444.2 402.7 10.3 12.5
EBITDA margin
(%)
35.2 32.4

Analysis by geographical region – Central and Eastern Europe

Central Europe EURm 2020 2019 D% D
lfl
%
Stable
cement
volumes
(-0.5%), despite
pandemic
restrictions. Ready-mix
Net Sales 875.5 843.7 4.1 3.5
volumes
increased
(+3.1%), thanks
to different
scope

Positive pricing
development
EBITDA 145.6 125.0 20.6 16.0
EBITDA margin
(%)
16.6 14.8
Favorable
trend in production costs
  • Cement volumes particularly weak in Poland (-5.3%) and Ukraine (-4.5%). In Russia cement volumes up (2.0%) thanks to good weather conditions and strong demand in Q4.
  • Positive trend in prices, in local currency
  • Negative fx impact, mainly due to ruble (-14.7%)
EURm 2020 2019 D% D
lfl
%
Net Sales 587.0 635.9 (7.7) (0.8)
EBITDA 156.9 157.1 (0.1) 7.2
EBITDA margin
(%)
26.7 24.7

Analysis by geographical region – Mexico and Brazil (valued at equity)

Mexico EURm 2020 2019 D% D
lfl
%

Increase
in cement
volumes
(+12.4%) thanks
to the marked
recovery
in
public works
sector
Net Sales (100%) 573.8 593.2 (3.3) 10.0
EBITDA
(100%)
265.0 252.2 5.1 19.5
Prices, in local
currency, flat
EBITDA margin
(%)
46.2 42.5
Negative FX impact (Mexican
peso -13.7%)
Brazil EURm 2020 2019 D% lfl
%
D
Cement
volumes
visibly
improved
(+9.3%)
Net Sales (100%) 139.1 134.7 3.2 37.9

Strong trend in selling
prices, in local
currency
EBITDA
(100%)
48.0 23.4 >100 >100
Negative FX impact (Brazilian
Real -33.6%)
EBITDA margin
(%)
34.5 17.4

EBITDA variance analysis

Dec
20
Dec
19
Sept
20
EURm abs
Cash and other financial assets 1,220.9 840.9 380.0 1,133.0
Short-term debt (214.2) (72.3) (141.9) (47.9)
Short-term leasing (21.4) (22.5) 1.1 (21.6)
Net short-term cash 985.3 746.1 239.2 1,063.5
Long-term financial assets 11.0 2.9 8.1 2.3
Long-term debt (1,173.4) (1,242.1) 68.7 (1,276.3)
Long-term leasing (64.5) (74.7) 10.2 (71.2)
Net debt (241.6) (567.8) 326.2 (281.7)

Gross debt breakdown (1,473.5 €m )

2021 Outlook

Key points

  • Headwind from energy cost inflation and exchange rates.
  • Price of CO2 rights hitting new record figh.
  • Italy: recovery in volumes thanks to easier comparison and growth in construction investments. Positive trend in selling prices
  • Central Europe: volumes expected to decline slightly but prices still strengthening. Operating results in moderate decline.
  • USA: Volumes expected to be supportive. Favorable price variance hampered by specific regional issues. Rising cost inflation likely to drive down EBITDA around 2019 level.
  • Eastern Europe: subdued cement demand in Poland, Czech Republic and Ukraine. Russia should achieve a positive development of volumes thanks to a fairly brisk demand and a more positive outlook for oil prices.
  • Capex: higher capex vs 2020, including several projects aimed at continous improvement of the operation efficiency as well as at the challenging CO2 emission reductions.

Recurring EBITDA 2021

Recurring EBITDA expected to soften. The slowdown may be more or less significant depending on how the pandemic will evolve in the coming months, as well as its impact on economic activity in the geographic areas where the group operates

Appendix

Buzzi Unicem at a glance

  • International multi-regional, "heavy-side" group, focused on cement, ready-mix and aggregates
  • Dedicated management with a long-term vision of the business
  • Highly efficient, low cost producer with strong and stable cash flows
  • Successful geographic diversification with leading positions in attractive markets
  • ₋ Italy (# 2 cement producer), United States (# 4 cement producer), Germany (# 2 cement producer), material joint venture assets in Mexico and Brazil
  • ₋ Significant positions in Luxembourg, The Netherlands, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia and Ukraine, as well as entry point in Slovenia and Algeria
  • High quality and environmentally friendly assets
  • Leading product and service offering
  • Conservative financial profile and balanced growth strategy

"Value creation through lasting, experienced know-how and operating efficiency"

Cement plants location and capacity

2020 2019 D D Forex Scope D
l-f-l
EURm abs % abs abs %
Italy 501.1 504.1 (3.6) -0.7 - 6.9 -2.1
United
States
1,260.6 1,242.5 18.1 +1.5 (25.6) - +3.5
Germany 717.0 679.6 37.4 +5.5 - 5.7 +4.7
Lux / Netherlands 191.7 192.5 (0.8) -0.4 - - -0.4
Czech
Rep / Slovakia
159.5 168.2 (8.7) -5.2 (4.2) - -2.7
Poland 117.8 123.4 (6.0) -4.8 (4.0) - -1.6
Ukraine 116.1 131.9 (15.8) -12.0 (7.7) - -6.1
Russia 195.8 214.5 (18.7) +8.7 (27.8) - +4.2
Eliminations (37.1) (36.1) (1.0)
Total 3,222.4 3,221.4 1.0 +0.03 (69.2) 12.6 +1.8
Mexico (100%) 573.8 593.2 (19.4) -3.3 (78.9) - -10.0
Brazil
(100%)
139.1 134.7 4.4 +3.2 (46.7) - +37.9
2020 2019 D D Forex Scope D
l-f-l
EURm abs % abs abs %
Italy 33.8 43.4 (9.6) -22.1 - (2.1) -17.2
United
States
444.2 402.7 41.5 +10.3 (9.0) - +12.5
Germany 123.8 102.3 21.5 +21.0 - 0.6 +20.5
Lux / Netherlands 21.7 22.7 (1.0) -4.0 - - -4.0
Czech
Rep / Slovakia
46.8 46.3 0.5 +1.1 (1.4) - +4.2
Poland 35.3 32.1 3.2 +10.0 (1.2) - +13.5
Ukraine 21.9 21.0 0.9 +4.3 (1.5) - +11.0
Russia 52.9 57.7 (4.8) -8.3 (7.5) - +4.8
Eliminations (0.4) (0.2)
Total 780.8 728.1 52.7 +7.2 (20.6) (1.5) +10.3
Mexico (100%) 265.0 252.2 12.8 +5.1 (36.4) - +19.5
Brazil (100%) 48.0 23.4 24.5 +>100 (16.1) - +>100

Net Cash Flow from Operations and Capex development

Dyckerhoff shares (above 95%) Dyckerhoff shares (squeeze-out) Cementizillo (Italy) Testi, Arquata, Borgo (Italy) Uralcement (Korkino, Russia) Seibel & Söhne (Germany) BCPAR Brazil 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net cash flow from operations Ordinary capex Expansion capex Equity Investment % Net cash flow from operations / Net sales % Ordinary capex / Net sales Eur m Cementizillo (earn out) Dyckerhoff shares (squeeze-out) 156 233 231 314 304 236 218 444 339 257 251 253 257 245 302 304 371 332 575 589 96 114 144 119 140 159 155 184 214 217 60 31 20 55 164 77 29 31 43 11 88 67 140 34 229 82 29 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 5.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4% 13.2% 11.6% 17.9% 18.3%

Debt Maturity Profile – FY 2020

  • Total nominal value of debt and borrowings stood at €m 1,223 at December 2020
  • As at December 2020 available €m 321m of undrawn committed facilities (€m 299 for Buzzi Unicem, €m22 for Dyckerhoff)

Historical EBITDA development by country

E-MARKET
SDIR
CERTIFIED
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Italy EBITDA 10,3 -5,9 -18,1 -18,7 -37,2 -22,2 -79,7 -1,7 43,4 33,8
margin 1,8% -1,2% -4,2% -4,8% -9,8% -5,9% -18,6% -0,4% 8,6% 6,8%
Germany EBITDA 90,3 72,2 108,1 88,6 72,1 76,8 78,1 82,5 102,3 123,8
margin 14,2% 12,0% 18,0% 14,7% 12,6% 13,4% 13,3% 13,0% 15,1% 17,3%
Lux/
Netherlands
Czech Rep/
EBITDA 35,0 8,3 11,5 15,9 19,7 25,8 17,6 23,1 22,7 21,7
margin 15,7% 4,3% 6,3% 9,7% 11,7% 14,7% 9,4% 11,7% 11,8% 11,3%
EBITDA 35,2 25,4 19,2 27,0 32,6 34,4 36,5 43,6 46,3 46,8
Slovakia
Poland
Ukraine
margin 20,5% 17,0% 14,6% 20,2% 24,0% 25,2% 24,7% 26,5% 27,5% 29,4%
EBITDA 36,9 21,8 27,1 18,2 22,7 23,4 24,1 31,9 32,1 35,3
margin 26,6% 20,0% 26,8% 20,4% 20,4% 24,6% 24,9% 28,6% 25,9% 29,9%
EBITDA 6,9 15,8 12,3 11,0 4,0 12,8 16,0 7,0 21,0 21,9
margin 6,2% 11,8% 10,0% 12,5% 5,7% 16,1% 16,9% 8,0% 15,9% 18,9%
Russia EBITDA 65,7 96,1 92,6 73,4 48,4 43,2 46,0 50,1 57,7 52,9
margin 37,4% 41,0% 37,2% 35,0% 29,0% 28,0% 24,9% 27,0% 26,9% 28,3%
USA
Mexico
EBITDA 71,4 123,9 151,0 207,3 311,7 356,5 369,6 341,2 402,7 444,2
margin 12,8% 18,2% 20,7% 24,2% 28,1% 31,9% 33,0% 31,9% 32,4% 35,2%
EBITDA 82,6 97,5 77,5 Adoption of
IFRS 11
margin 34,7% 36,2% 33,2%
EBITDA 434,3 455,1 481,2 422,7 473,2 550,6 508,2 577,2 728,1 780,8
Group
margin 15,6% 16,2% 17,5% 16,9% 17,8% 20,6% 18,1% 20,1% 22,6% 24,2%

Historical series of cement consumption by country

2020 cement consumption vs peak

Engineering & Construction Conference

Milan, 15 April 2021