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Axactor SE

Quarterly Report Aug 17, 2021

3549_rns_2021-08-17_b5958210-ad9a-4c5e-aaa5-66e14d5601d2.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Q2 2021

17 August 2021

Agenda

Axactor is an established European debt collection company that has grown rapidly in targeted markets

  • Established in Q4 2015 with headquarters in Oslo, Norway, and is one of Europe's top-ten debt collectors
  • Main focus on collection and acquisition of unsecured non-performing loans ("NPL") and third-party collection ("3PC")
  • Operations in six countries; Finland, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain and Sweden, with 1,062 FTEs
  • Geveran owns ~44% of Oslo-listed Axactor SE

Strategic focus has shifted from growing scale during the start-up phase to growing return on equity

Start-up (2016-2020)

Grow scale

  • Aggressive growth
  • Market entries
  • Establish IT and operations

Established player (2021-2024) Steady state (2025→)

Grow return on equity

  • Grow size in existing markets
  • Operational excellence
  • Initiate dividend payments
  • Take part in consolidation of the NPL industry

Grow presence

  • Steady state
  • Competitive cash return to shareholders
  • Use superior operations to enter new markets and segments

Axactor is pursuing a niche strategy to disrupt the industry on cost-to-collect

NPL Cost-to-Collect for selected peers in 20201 (EURm)

  • Axactor incepted to disrupt the industry on cost-to-collect
  • Continued innovation and growing economies of scale to fuel further improvements
  • Niche strategy supporting long-term competitiveness
  • Countries: Organic growth in current countries
  • Products: NPL & 3PC
  • Debt origination: Bank and finance
  • Debt type: Fresh, unsecured, business to consumer

5 1) Cost is calculated as total segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and D&A. Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in future expectations. Additional adjustments made on two peers to make numbers comparable, e.g. due to reporting numbers as a bank

Agenda

Key financial highlights Q2 2021

  • Positive development in Q2 both QoQ and YoY on all numbers, except investments
  • Q2 is seasonally a strong quarter
  • Weak Q2 last year heavily affected by "first wave" of Covid-19

Axactor has obtained credit rating from Moody's and S&P to attract a larger investor base and reduce cost of funding

Rating agency Rating1 Outlook Comments
B1 Positive
Dual rating obtained from leading credit
rating agencies

Important step to reduce future funding cost

Access to a larger investor base

Access to less costly funding through ratings
B Stable underlining solid financial position

Cost reduction program on track

Cost reduction program, annualized1) (EUR million)

  • Realized savings ahead of plan in Q2
  • Outsourced car repossession service in Germany
  • Home shoring back-office functions in Finland
  • Various other improvement initiatives
  • Cost reduction program expected to reach full P&L-effect in Q4

Axactor is currently acquiring portfolios at attractive rates - Expect current book gross IRR to improve over time

Gross IRR on NPL – current and on forward flows1 (% and EUR million)

  • Gross IRR on signed forward flow contracts 47% higher than on the current book
  • Expect prices to stabilize at 18% 22% gross IRR in our markets over time
  • Estimated cost-to-collect is comparable to current level

In Q2 we are rated second best on ESG within consumer finance globally and signed UN Global Compact

• Ranked as second best of 151 companies within consumer finance and among top 5% globally1

• In Q2 Axactor signed up on the world's largest corporate sustainability initiative – UN Global Compact

Agenda

Gross revenue with a positive development on the back of a seasonally strong quarter with tax returns for debtors

Gross revenue (EUR million)

NPL segment with continued gross revenue growth and increasing CM1 margin

NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • All-time high gross revenue on NPL
  • 27% YoY gross revenue growth
  • Despite marginally declining book value
  • Increased portfolio amortization rate to 40%
  • Strong CM1 margin

14 Note: Please note that negative revaluations and negative amortization will appear as positive numbers in the graph

NPL active forecast aligned with current performance

Active forecast versus cash collected1

  • Unsecured NPL collection performance in Q2 2021 of 99%
  • Historic underperformance assumed lost – prudent approach
  • Expect long-term performance to fluctuate around 100%

-20 -24 -24 -21 -20 -20 -22 -20 -21 -21 -21 -25 -22 -22 -25 -24 -22 -23 -23 -23 -23 -24 -25 -25

Active forecast Cash Collected

NPL investments at a historic low of EUR 12m

- Investments expected to exceed replacement CAPEX over the next 12 months

NPL investments in the quarter

  • Low portfolio investment of EUR 12m for the quarter
  • Expect investments of EUR ~200m in 2021, but highly dependent on volumes in Q4
  • Replacement CAPEX of EUR 133m over the next 12 months

3PC development

-Total income and margins are improving. Expected to continue improving as society reopens

3PC Total income CM1 %

• High customer retention during the pandemic, but lower volumes – expect volume reversion as societies reopen

particularly for Spain and Italy

• Sales processes take longer time during the pandemic

• Negative impacts related to Covid-19 continue,

  • Market is improving with increasing pipeline
  • Margin driven down by EUR 0.7m restructuring cost in Q2

REO development (run-off segment)

- Good sales momentum on a declining asset base, but with negative margins

REO total income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

Q1-19 Q3-19 Q1-21 Q2-19 Q2-20 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-21 Q3-20 Q4-20

  • Revenue upheld on good level despite declining asset base
  • Inventory down 42% since Q2 2020
  • 361 assets sold during Q2 2021
  • 2,039 assets in inventory at quarter-end
  • Book value down to EUR 55m at quarter-end
  • Remaining debt facilities of EUR 16m with Nomura repaid ahead of the plan

Summary: Growth on total income, margin expansion and second highest cash EBITDA ever

All-time high net profit after tax to equity holders

  • Cost discipline materializing in lower depreciation for the quarter
  • Positive development in net financial items
  • Includes a positive one-time effect of EUR 1.5m in unrealized FX gain
  • Includes a negative one-time effect of EUR 0.6m in write-down of amortized loan fees2
  • Tax rate of 28% excluding REO
  • Expect reduced tax rate going forward

RoE to shareholders back on pre-pandemic levels

- Aim to initiate dividend payments as return on equity gradually improves

Return on Equity excl. minorities per quarter (annualized)

  • Expect RoE to improve over time as the underlying business improves and as societies slowly defeat the pandemic
  • Expect short term fluctuations in RoE driven by seasonality and business performance

Agenda

Outlook

ROE expected to increase over time, but with short term fluctuations

  • 3PC volume expected to return to pre-pandemic levels as societies re-open
  • Cost reduction program targeting EUR 1.2m additional annualized savings by year-end
  • Increasing market activity for both 3PC and NPL
  • Axactor strictly prioritizes best NPL deals
  • NPL investment guiding of EUR ~200m for 2021, but highly dependent on market activity in Q4
  • Credit rating expected to reduce interest cost on potential future bonds
  • Q3 is seasonally weaker than Q2 and the pandemic continue to affect our business environment

Supporting information

NPL portfolio

Q2 2021

NPL segment with continued gross revenue growth and increasing CM1 margin

NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • All-time high gross revenue on NPL
  • 27% YoY gross revenue growth
  • Despite marginally declining book value
  • Increased portfolio amortization rate to 40%
  • Strong CM1 margin

26 Note: Please note that negative revaluations and negative amortization will appear as positive numbers in the graph

Improving collection performance

Actual collection vs. active forecast1 (LTM, rolling)

100% 101% 108% 112% 106% 101% 98% 92% 93% 97% 96% 98% 98%
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
-18 -18 -18 -19 -19 -19 -19 -20 -20 -20 -20 -21 -21
  • Q2 collection performance of 99%
  • LTM collection performance of 98%
  • Curves for 2021 aligned with current performance
  • Long term average performance expected to fluctuate around 100%

Investment commitments are increasing

- Prioritizing high IRR portfolios, and expecting significant volumes to be offered in Q4 2021

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

  • Increasing forward flow commitments
  • Expect significant volumes to be offered in Q4 2021
  • Commitments decrease towards the end of the period as contracts expire – expect to sign new volumes offsetting the decline

FIN DEU ITA NOR ESP SWE Committed Forward flow investments (est.)

ERC decreasing by 2% YoY due to low investment levels

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

ERC split on estimated yield and amortization

- Axactor uses the IFRS industry standard, the effective interest method, to calculate amortization

ERC next four quarters (EUR million)

ERC next 15 years (EUR million)

Yield Amortization

3PC

Q2 2021

3PC Development

-Total income and margins are improving. Expected to continue improving as society reopens

3PC Total income CM1 %

  • Negative impacts related to Covid-19 continue, particularly for Spain and Italy
  • High customer retention during the pandemic, but lower volumes – expect volume reversion as societies reopen
  • Sales processes take longer time during the pandemic
  • Market is improving with increasing pipeline
  • Margin driven down by EUR 0.7m restructuring cost in Q2

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC total income split by geographic region

  • Spain generate majority of 3PC income
  • Nordics accounting for 19% of revenue

REO portfolio (run-off segment)

Q2 2021

REO development (run-off segment)

- Good sales momentum on a declining asset base, but with negative margins

REO total income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

Q1-19 Q3-19 Q1-21 Q2-19 Q2-20 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-21 Q3-20 Q4-20

  • Revenue upheld on good level despite declining asset base
  • Inventory down 42% since Q2 2020
  • 361 assets sold during Q2 2021
  • 2,039 assets in inventory at quarter-end
  • Book value down to EUR 55m at quarter-end
  • Remaining debt facilities of EUR 16m with Nomura repaid ahead of the plan

REO portfolio moving towards the tail

  • Total portfolio investments of EUR 287m*
  • Last portfolio acquisition in Q3 2018
  • 75% decline in book value since peak

  • A total of 8,663 assets acquired*

  • 6,624 assets sold

(EUR million)

Current
book
Asset
class
#
assets
%
of
total
Book
value
%
of
total
Housing 810 40
%
29
6
54
%
Parking,
annex etc.
683 33
%
2
5
4
%
Land 237 12
%
3
8
7
%
Commercial 309 15
%
20
3
37
%
Eliminations 0 0
%
-1
2
-2
%
Total 2,039 100
%
55.0 100
%
Originally
acquired
Asset
class
#
assets
%
of
total
Book
value
%
of
total
Housing 4
040
,
47
%
195
7
68
%
Parking,
annex etc.
3
395
,
39
%
15
8
6
%
Land 357 4
%
9
4
3
%
Commercial 871 10
%
66
4
23
%
Total 8,663 100
%
287.3 100
%
  • Housing represent 54% of current book value
  • Average book value per remaining asset EUR 27k
  • Average book value per sold asset of EUR 32k
  • Average sale price per sold asset of EUR 38k

Appendix

P&L statement

For
the
end
quarter
Year
to
date
EUR
thousand
30
Jun
2021
30
Jun
2020
30
Jun
2021
30
Jun
2020
Interest
income
from
purchased
loan
portfolios
41,779 40
511
,
83
677
,
79
838
,
Net
gain/(loss)
purchased
loan
portfolios
-2,084 -28
147
,
-4
120
,
-36
906
,
Other
operating
revenue
26,161 16
219
,
47
331
,
41
222
,
Other
income
3 71 2 99
Total
income
65,859 28
654
,
126
891
,
84
253
,
Cost
of
REO's
sold
incl
impairment
,
-14,144 -32
033
,
-24
530
,
-42
207
,
Personnel
expenses
-14,252 -12
923
,
-33
120
,
-27
824
,
Operating
expenses
Total
-15,313
-43,709
-13
663
,
-58
619
-29
348
,
-86
997
-30
058
,
-100
089
operating
expenses
, , ,
EBITDA 22,150 -29
965
,
39
893
,
-15
836
,
Amortization
and
depreciation
-2,325 -2
612
,
-4
919
,
-5
224
,
EBIT 19,826 -32
577
,
34
975
,
-21
060
,
Financial
revenue
1,565 201 1
010
9
934
Financial
expenses
-13,391 -14
558
,
,
-29
669
,
,
-30
213
,
Net
financial
items
-11,826 -14
357
,
-28
659
,
-20
279
,
Profit/(loss)
before
tax
8,000 -46
934
,
6
316
,
-41
339
,
Tax
(expense)
-3,619 2
538
,
329
-5
,
393
profit/(loss)
Net
after
tax
4,380 -44
396
,
987 -40
946
,
Attributable
to:
Non-controlling
interests
-2,771 -17
722
,
-4
730
,
-19
438
,
of
Equity
holders
the
parent
company
7,152 -26
674
,
5
717
,
-21
508
,
Earnings
per share:
basic
0.024 -0
144
0
020
-0
120
Earnings
per share:
diluted
0.023 -0
144
0
019
-0
120

Balance sheet statement

EUR thousand 30
Jun 2021
30
Jun 2020
Full year 2020
ASSETS
Intangible non-current assets
Intangible Assets 19,064 21,184 19,989
Goodwill 55,527 54,087 54,879
Deferred
tax assets
7,766 11,776 7,769
Tangible non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 2,509 2,787 2,530
Right-of-use
assets
3,704 5,765 4,826
Financial non-current assets
Purchased debt portfolios 1,104,079 1,107,257 1,124,699
Other
non-current receivables
416 530 458
Other
non-current investments
196 193 196
Total non-current assets 1,193,260 1,203,579 1,215,346
Current
assets
Stock
of
Secured
Assets
55,012 88,625 78,786
Accounts Receivable 5,975 6,468 7,124
Other
current assets
12,832 11,797 11,645
Restricted cash 2,909 2,891 2,946
Cash
and Cash
Equivalents
44,429 31,398 47,779
Total current assets 121,157 141,179 148,281
TOTAL
ASSETS
1,314,417 1,344,758 1,363,627
EUR thousand
EQUITY
AND LIABILITIES
30
Jun 2021
30
Jun 2020
Full year 2020
Equity attributable to equity holders of
the parent
Share
Capital
158,150 97,040 97,040
Other
paid-in equity
269,907 236,454 236,562
Retained Earnings -1,956 -19,354 -16,036
Reserves -9,570 -24,684 -15,999
Non-controlling interests 12,365 73,595 74,113
Total Equity 428,896 363,052 375,680
Non-current Liabilities
Interest bearing debt 695,658 802,240 579,282
Deferred
tax liabilities
6,395 15,409 6,436
Lease liabilities 2,078 3,395 2,804
Other
non-current liabilities
1,567 1,334 1,433
Total non-current liabilities 705,698 822,378 589,955
Current
Liabilities
Accounts
Payable
6,145 3,584 6,147
Current
portion of
interest bearing debt
135,737 116,225 356,903
Taxes Payable 16,944 9,535 12,002
Lease liabilities 1,866 2,613 2,282
Other
current liabilities
19,132 27,371 20,657
Total current liabilities 179,824 159,328 397,992
Total Liabilities 885,522 981,706 987,947
TOTAL
EQUITY
AND
LIABILITIES
1,314,417 1,344,758 1,363,627

Legal organization June 2021

*50% of the shares in Reolux Holding S.à r.l. is held by Geveran Trading Co. Limited (Cyprus).

*Geveran Trading Co. Limited also holds shares of Axactor SE 41

Terms and abbreviations

APM / KPI definition

EBITDA adjusted for change in forward flow derivatives, calculated cost of share option program, portfolio Terms and abbreviations
Cash EBITDA amortizations and revaluations, REO cost of sales and REO impairments
CM1 Margin Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income 3PC Third-party collection
Debt-to-equity ratio Total interest bearing debt as a percentage of total equity APM Alternative Performance Measures
Discount The rate of discount of original debt balance used to negotiate repayment of debt ARM Accounts Receivable Management
EBITDA margin EBITDA as a percentage of total income B2B Business to Business
Economic growth GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth B2C Business to Consumer
Efficient Legal system Governmental bailiff exchanging information electronically BoD Board of Directors
Equity ratio Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities CGU Cash Generating Unit
Estimated Remaining Collection express the expected future cash collection on own portfolios (NPLs) in nominal CM1 Contribution Margin
ERC values, over the next 180 months. Dopex Direct Operating expenses
The internal rate of return that makes the net present value of ERC equal to NPL book value. Calculated using EBIT Operating profit, Earning before Interest and Tax
Gross IRR monthly cash flows over a 180-month period EBITDA Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization
Gross margin Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue ECL Expected Credit Loss
3PC revenue, REO sale, cash collected on own portfolios and other revenue, excluding change in forward flow EPS Earnings Per Share
Gross revenue derivatives EUR Euro
House pricing House price index, development of real estate values FTE Full Time Equivalent
Interest changes The interest charged to debtors on active claims IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards
Interest level Lending rate in the market NCI Non-controlling interests
Net Interest Bearing Debt means the aggregated amount of interest bearing debt, less aggregated amount of NOK Norwegian Krone
NIBD unrestricted cash and bank deposits, on a consolidated basis NPL Non-performing loan
Opex ex SG&A, IT and corp.cost Total expenses excluding overhead functions OB Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding
Payment agreement Agreement with the debtors to repay their debt principal, interest and fees
Recovery rate Portion of the original debt repaid PCI Purchased Credit Impaired
Return on Equity, excluding minorities, Net profit/(loss) to equity holders as a percentage of total average equity in period excluding Non-controlling PPA Purchase Price Allocations
annualized interests, annualized based on number of days in period REO Real Estate Owned
Return on Equity, including minorities, Net profit/(loss) after tax as a percentage of total average equity in period, annualized based on number of days in SEK Swedish Krone
annualized period SG&A Selling, General & Administrative
Settlements One payment of full debt SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
SG&A, IT and corporate cost Total operating expenses for overhead functions VIU Value in Use
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Solution rate period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis WAEP Weighted Average Exercise Price
Total estimated capital commitments for The total estimated capital commitments for the forward flow agreements are calculated based on the volume
forward flow agreements received over the last months and limited by the total capex commitment in the contract.
Total income Gross revenue minus portfolio amortizations and revaluations
Tracing activity Finding and updating debtor contact information

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