Investor Presentation • Jan 12, 2024
Investor Presentation
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Arctic Nordic Debt Collection Seminar 2024 Johnny Tsolis CEO Axactor ASA
• Increased interest rates and bond margins
• Industry out of favor
• Elevated inflation and wages
• Reduced disposable income and regulatory changes
• Cost of funding deteriorate investment capacity
Plummeting industry share prices
Is now the time to take a long position?
| Dimension | Industry | Axactor | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macro | | | • Macro delays portfolio cash flow |
| Funding | | ✓ | • No maturities until medio 2026 • Margins only marginally up compared to 2020 |
| Investment capacity | | ✓ | • Sufficient investment capacity enabling controlled growth |
| Profitability | | ✓ | • Profitable business model – even if all credit facilities were unhedged and refinanced today |
| Peers | Equity%1 | NPL%1 | ROE to shareholders '222 | ROE to shareholders YTD Q3 '232 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer 1 | 43% | 96% | 28% | 29% | ||
| 29% | 77% | 10% | 8% | |||
| Peer 2 | 13% | 97% | 9% | 12% | ||
| Peer 3 | 32% | 82% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Peer 4 | 38% | 19% | -5% | -15% | ||
| Peer 5 | 21% | 44% | -18% | -26% | ||
| Peer 6 | 14% | 80% | -21% | -29% | ||
| Peer 7 | 26% | 42% | -22% | -3% |
4 1) Numbers for FY2022. NPL% = NPL total income / group total income. 2) Continuing operations
| 1 Accretive investments |
• Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| • Target of reaching total backbook Gross IRR above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR of 30+% on newly signed acquisitions |
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| 2 Cost leadership |
• Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized processes and a strong cost culture |
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| • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to further excel |
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| 3 Best at what we do |
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured • Markets: Existing six countries |
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Return on equity to shareholders
EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)
8 1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in future expectations. YTD Q3
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