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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Feb 17, 2023

3549_rns_2023-02-17_892f7b81-dbcf-43dd-b5f1-49ce35e4d358.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q4 2022

17 February 2023

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter on continuing operations

  • Strong EBITDA margin reaching 49% for the quarter
    • EBITDA of EUR 31m, up from EUR -17m last year

  • Cash EBITDA growth of 18% y-o-y
    • Cash EBITDA of EUR 58m, up from EUR 49m last year

  • Profit after tax of EUR 10m, up from EUR -32m last year
    • Stable annualized return on equity of 10%

  • NPL investments of EUR 93m for the quarter
    • NPL investments of 2.7x replacement capex in 2022 secures growth
    • Investing at an attractive Gross IRR of 21% in 2022 compared to 16% on the backbook1

2022 is a material step in the right direction on key financials

1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 Book value of NPL portfolios (EUR billion, end of period)

4 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations. 2021 numbers are fully restated in company financial statements. 2016-2020 figures are estimated without considering certain intercompany eliminations and consolidation effects

2022 is a material step in the right direction on key ratios

Discontinued operation is expected to be fully exited during the year

REO book value (EUR million, end of period)

  • REO book value down to only EUR 8m at yearend
  • Expect to fully exit discontinued operations during 2023
  • 1pp uplift in return on equity in 2022 excluding discontinued operation

Axactor on track to deliver material growth on NPL in 2023

(EURm, 2016-2023e) NPL segment with several similarities to how a bank report income

  • Interest income is calculated on the portfolios
    • Predictable book values multiplied by gross IRR
    • Represented 98% of NPL total income in 2022
  • In addition, total income includes net gain/(loss) on portfolios and sale of repossessed assets

Interest income is the key NPL top-line driver… … with minimum 10% estimated growth in 2023

Going forward we will stick to our successful strategy developed in 2020

1
Accretive investments

Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive
gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL

Target of reaching total backbook
Gross IRR
above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR
of 22+% on newly signed acquisitions
2
Cost leadership

Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized
processes and a strong cost culture

Currently investing extensively in data-driven
valuation and -operation to further excel
3
Best at what we do
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1

Industry: Bank & finance

Debt type: B2C, unsecured

Markets: Existing six countries

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y

Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is up 13% y-o-y
    • NPL gross revenue growth of 15% y-o-y
    • 3PC gross revenue growth of 5% y-o-y
  • Significant NPL investments and the acquisition of C.R. Service are the primary growth drivers

NPL segment: Steady total income growth with stable margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Total income growth drivers

  • Interest income increased by 16%
    • Book value of NPL portfolios up 14% y-o-y
    • Gross IRR increased by 1pp y-o-y
  • Collection performance of 99% for the quarter
  • No significant impairments for the quarter compared to large impairments last year

3PC segment: Total income growth of 5% compared to last year

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • Total income growth of 5% y-o-y driven by the acquisition of C.R. Service
  • Year-end bonuses came in lower this year compared to last year in Spain, burdening both revenue and contribution margin for the quarter

Group: Strong EBITDA margin expansion through 2022 and Cash EBITDA growth of 18% compared to last year

Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) 12 20 25 13 -17 30 30 31 Q3 '21 Q2 '22 28% 47% Q4 '20 33% 38% Q1 '21 Q3 '22 Q2 '21 50% -125% Q4 '21 48% Q1 '22 51% 49% Q4 '22 28

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

Interest expenses on borrowings expected to increase slightly in Q1 driven by accretive investments

Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)

2) The interest rate sensitivity calculation is valid until the hedge expires 15 Dec 2023 and based on the interest-bearing debt at year-end 2022

14 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations

1) Axactor has a 1-year, EUR 573m, 0.5% EURIBOR strike contract with start date 15 Dec 2022

Refinancing of the RCF is going according to the plan. Awaiting refinancing of ACR02

ROE for the year came in at 10% on continuing operations

Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Financial targets announced 11 January 2023

Dimension Targets 2023 Targets 2024 and beyond
Growth 150 million1

NPL investments of EUR 100 -

NPL investments of EUR 200 –
300 million
Profit
Minimum 9%
ROE

To be announced towards end of year
Returns 50% dividend pay-out ratio2

20 -

20 -
50% dividend pay-out ratio
Leverage3
Maximum leverage of 3.5x at year-end

Maximum leverage of 3.5x

17 1) Whereof an estimated amount of EUR 68m is already committed NPL investments 2) Based on FY2023 results and onwards 3) Leverage = (net interest-bearing debt / pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA). As defined in the bond covenants

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook

Key driver Outlook
Accretive
investments
+
Highly accretive gross IRR on new deals of 22+% compared to the backbook
of 17%
Growth + NPL: Minimum 10% growth in interest income in 20231


3PC: Expect market growth driven by increased defaults in the society
Funding ~
Interest rate hedge secures flat interest rates from Q4 2022 into Q1 2023

Ongoing refinancing of the RCF according to the plan

Awaiting refinancing of ACR02 to get clearer visibility on portfolio-
and bond market
Collection ~
A satisfying collection performance of 99% in 2022. Expect collection performance to
fluctuate around +/-
100% over time

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 68m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 19% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 53% of total income on 3PC
  • Italy share of Total income increased to 19% (5%) following the acquisition of C.R. Service and subsequent organic growth in Italy

Discontinued operations

- REO book value reduced to EUR 8m ultimo Q4

REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)

- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF

Loan-to-value - covenant ≤75%

(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)

- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations

Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x

(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

WAEP Weighted average exercise price

3PC Third-party
collection
AGM Annual general
meeting
APM Alternative
performance
measures
ARM Accounts
receivable
management
B2B Business
to
business
Terms B2C Business
to
consumer
BoD Board
of
Directors
Active
forecast
Forecast
of
estimated
remaining
collection
on
NPL
portfolios
BS Consolidated
statement
of
financial
position
(balance
sheet)
Board Board
of
directors
CF Consolidated
statement
of
cash
flows
Cash
EBITDA
margin
Cash
EBITDA
as
a
percentage
of
gross
revenue
CGU Cash
generating
unit
Chair Chair
of
the
board
of
directors
CM Contribution
margin
Contribution
margin
(%)
Total
operating
expenses
(excluding
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost)
as
a
percentage
D&A Depreciation
and
amortization
of
total
income
Dopex Direct
operating
expenses
Collection
performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of
repossessed
assets in relation to book value
EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
Cost-to-collect Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata EBITDA Earnings
before
interest,
tax,
depreciation
and
amortization
allocation of
unallocated
operating
expenses
and
unallocated
depreciation
and
ECL Expected
credit
loss
amortization.
The
segment
operating expense is used as allocation key for the
EGM Extraordinary
general
meeting
unallocated costs EPS Earnings
per
share
Equity
ratio
Total
equity
as
a
percentage
of
total
equity
and
liabilities
ERC Estimated
remaining
collection
Forward
flow agreement
Agreement
for
future
acquisitions
of
NPLs
at
agreed
prices
and
delivery
ESG Environmental,
social
and
governance
Gross
IRR
The
credit
adjusted
interest
rate
that
makes
the
net
present
value
of
ERC
equal
to
ESOP Employee
stock
ownership
plan
NPL
book
value,
calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
FSA The
financial
supervisory
authority
FTE Full
time
equivalent
Group Axactor
ASA
and
all
its
subsidiaries
GHG Greenhouse
gas
emissions
NPL
amortization rate
NPL
amortization
divided
by
collection
on
own
NPL
portfolios
IFRS International
financial
reporting
standards
NPL
cost-to-collect
ratio
NPL
cost
to
collect
divided
by
NPL
total
income
excluding
NPV
of
changes
in
LTV Loan
to
value
collection
forecasts and
change
in
fair
value
of
forward
flow
commitments
NCI Non-controlling
interests
One
off
portfolio
acquisition
Acquisition
of
a
single
portfolio
of
NPLs
NPL Non-performing
loan
Opex Total
operating
expenses
OB Outstanding
balance,
the
total
amount
Axactor
can
collect
on
claims
under
Recovery
rate
Portion
of
the original
debt
repaid
management,
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
Replacement
capex
Acquisitions
of
new
NPLs
to
keep
the
same
book
value
of
NPLs
from
last
period
OCI Consolidated
statement
of
other
comprehensive
income
Repossession Taking
possession
of
property
due
to
default
on
payment
of
loans
secured
by
P&L Consolidated
statement
of
profit
or
loss
property PCI Purchased
credit
impaired
Repossessed
assets
Property
repossessed
from
secured
non-performing
loans
PPA Purchase
price
allocations
REO Real
estate
owned
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost
Total
operating
expenses
for
overhead
functions,
such
as
HR,
finance
and
legal
etc
ROE Return
on
equity
Solution
rate
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated SDG Sustainable
development
goal
collectable principal
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
SG&A Selling,
general
&
administrative
SPV Special
purpose
vehicle
VIU Value
in
use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian
central
securities
depository
WACC Weighted
average
cost
of
capital

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