AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Axactor SE

Investor Presentation May 9, 2023

3549_rns_2023-05-09_e99bfddc-5f06-4afb-9e02-c8504a884df6.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Q1 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter on continuing operations

  • Renewal of EUR 545m revolving credit facility
    • 3-year maturity, option to extend the maturity with additional two years1
    • Satisfying terms

Cash EBITDA growth of 4% y-o-y

  • Estimated growth of 11% y-o-y with constant currency and normalized legal cashflow in Spain2
  • Nordics and Germany burdened by macroeconomic headwind

  • Strong EBITDA margin reaching 49% (48%) for the quarter
    • EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 28m last year despite headwind

  • Stable annualized return on equity of 8% (8%)
    • Despite increased cost of funding

3 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations 1) Subject to separate credit approval 2) Legal strike in Spain started 24 January and ended 28 March 2023

Going forward we will stick to our successful strategy developed in 2020

1
Accretive investments

Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive
gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL

Target of reaching total backbook
Gross IRR
above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR
of 25+% on newly signed acquisitions
2
Cost leadership

Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized
processes and a strong cost culture

Currently investing extensively in data-driven
valuation and -operation to further excel
3
Best at what we do
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1

Industry: Bank & finance

Debt type: B2C, unsecured

Markets: Existing six countries

Axactor has had healthy growth since year-end 2021

NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR billion)

NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing

- Gross IRR on total NPL book gradually increasing, up 1.7pp last 2 years

NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year

NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year

  • Invested EUR 33m during the quarter
  • Additional EUR 42m in committed NPL investments

Experiencing fewer transactions as sellers and buyers are trying to agree on new price levels.

NPL cost-to-collect stabilizing at a record low level

- Materializing in an EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry

Axactor NPL cost-to-collect per year1

8 1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in future expectations.

Q1 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y

Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is up 5% y-o-y
    • NPL gross revenue growth of 7% y-o-y
    • 3PC gross revenue growth of -4% y-o-y
  • Estimated gross revenue growth of 11% y-o-y with constant currency and normalized legal cashflow in Spain1

NPL segment: Steady total income growth with stable margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Satisfying growth in total income of 12% y-o-y, with stable margins, despite headwind.

Collection performance of 98% for the quarter

  • Debtors in Nordics and Germany opt for longer payment plans with lower monthly installments
  • Bailiff reservation amount and payment free months increased in several markets
  • Negative effect from legal strike in Spain

3PC segment: Total income burdened by strike and FX

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • 3PC total income growth of 4% y-o-y excluding Spain
    • Spain burdened by negative effects from legal strike1
    • Total income in Norway and Sweden burdened by adverse currency movements
  • Axactor is currently going through all 3PC contracts and terminate those with too low margins

Group: Growth y-o-y in all key parameters despite legal strike in Spain and headwind on currency

Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) 20 25 13 -17 30 30 31 30 49% Q1 '21 38% Q4 '21 47% Q2 '21 -125% Q3 '21 33% 48% Q1 '22 50% Q2 '22 51% Q3 '22 Q4 '22 49% Q1 '23 28

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

RCF refinanced according to the plan. Expect to refinance ACR02 in Q2 or Q3 according to the plan

Update on hedging

Cash effects

• Axactor currently has a 1-year, EUR 573m, 0.5% EURIBOR strike contract with end date 15 Dec 2023

P&L effects

  • The current 1-year hedge was obtained by swapping with a previous 3-year hedge of EUR 200m
  • IFRS hedge accounting requires the positive effects of the hedge to follow the original 3-year duration
    • Hence, Q1 interest expenses has lower interest rate protection than the current hedge, but will on the other hand protect over a 3-year period

Stable ROE of 10% on continuing operations last twelve months

Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Q1 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook

Key driver Outlook
Accretive
investments
+
Highly accretive gross IRR on new deals of 25+% compared to the backbook
of 17%
Growth + NPL: Minimum 10% growth in interest income in 20231


3PC: Expect market growth driven by increased defaults. Axactor is reviewing customer
profitability and will terminate unprofitable contracts
Funding ~
Interest rate hedge secures partial protection of financial expenses for 11 more quarters

RCF renewed. Next step is the planned refinancing of ACR02 in Q2 or Q3
Collection ~
Expect continued negative macroeconomic impact in Nordics and Germany

Collection curves are adjusted to reflect the current macroeconomic conditions

Q1 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 46m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 12% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 48% of total income on 3PC
  • Italy share of Total income increased to 20% (15%) following organic growth in Italy

Discontinued operations

- REO book value reduced to EUR 6m ultimo Q1

REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)

- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF

Loan-to-value - covenant ≤75%

(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)

- Leverage ratio increasing due to FX and new portfolios with low initial cash flow

Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x

(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

WAEP Weighted average exercise price

3PC Third-party
collection
AGM Annual general
meeting
APM Alternative
performance
measures
ARM Accounts
receivable
management
B2B Business
to
business
Terms B2C Business
to
consumer
BoD Board
of
Directors
Active
forecast
Forecast
of
estimated
remaining
collection
on
NPL
portfolios
BS Consolidated
statement
of
financial
position
(balance
sheet)
Board Board
of
directors
CF Consolidated
statement
of
cash
flows
Cash
EBITDA
margin
Cash
EBITDA
as
a
percentage
of
gross
revenue
CGU Cash
generating
unit
Chair Chair
of
the
board
of
directors
CM Contribution
margin
Contribution
margin
(%)
Total
operating
expenses
(excluding
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost)
as
a
percentage
D&A Depreciation
and
amortization
of
total
income
Dopex Direct
operating
expenses
Collection
performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
repossessed
assets in relation to book value
Cost-to-collect Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata EBITDA Earnings
before
interest,
tax,
depreciation
and
amortization
allocation of
unallocated
operating
expenses
and
unallocated
depreciation
and
ECL Expected
credit
loss
amortization.
The
segment
operating expense is used as allocation key for the
EGM Extraordinary
general
meeting
unallocated costs EPS Earnings
per
share
Equity
ratio
Total
equity
as
a
percentage
of
total
equity
and
liabilities
ERC Estimated
remaining
collection
Forward
flow agreement
Agreement
for
future
acquisitions
of
NPLs
at
agreed
prices
and
delivery
ESG Environmental,
social
and
governance
Gross
IRR
The
credit
adjusted
interest
rate
that
makes
the
net
present
value
of
ERC
equal
to
ESOP Employee
stock
ownership
plan
NPL
book
value,
calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
FSA The
financial
supervisory
authority
Group Axactor
ASA
and
all
its
subsidiaries
FTE Full
time
equivalent
GHG Greenhouse
gas
emissions
NPL
amortization rate
NPL
amortization
divided
by
collection
on
own
NPL
portfolios
IFRS International
financial
reporting
standards
NPL
cost-to-collect
ratio
NPL
cost
to
collect
divided
by
NPL
total
income
excluding
NPV
of
changes
in
LTV Loan
to
value
collection
forecasts and
change
in
fair
value
of
forward
flow
commitments
NCI Non-controlling
interests
One
off
portfolio
acquisition
Acquisition
of
a
single
portfolio
of
NPLs
NPL Non-performing
loan
Opex Total
operating
expenses
OB Outstanding
balance,
the
total
amount
Axactor
can
collect
on
claims
under
Recovery
rate
Portion
of
the original
debt
repaid
management,
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
Replacement
capex
Acquisitions
of
new
NPLs
to
keep
the
same
book
value
of
NPLs
from
last
period
OCI Consolidated
statement
of
other
comprehensive
income
Repossession Taking
possession
of
property
due
to
default
on
payment
of
loans
secured
by
P&L Consolidated
statement
of
profit
or
loss
property PCI Purchased
credit
impaired
Repossessed
assets
Property
repossessed
from
secured
non-performing
loans
PPA Purchase
price
allocations
REO Real
estate
owned
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost
Total
operating
expenses
for
overhead
functions,
such
as
HR,
finance
and
legal
etc
ROE Return
on
equity
Solution
rate
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated SDG Sustainable
development
goal
collectable principal
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
SG&A Selling,
general
&
administrative
SPV Special
purpose
vehicle
VIU Value
in
use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian
central
securities
depository
WACC Weighted
average
cost
of
capital

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.