AI assistant
Axactor SE — Investor Presentation 2022
Aug 18, 2022
3549_rns_2022-08-18_992c121e-c2d2-4633-9b79-9733d9bdd400.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Q2 2022
18 August 2022


Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Financial highlights for the quarter

Increasing NPL investment estimate to EUR 250 - 300m for the year
- NPL investment of 2.3x 2.8x replacement capex in 2022
- Total committed capex EUR 223m so far in 2022

- Cash EBITDA growth of 5% y-o-y
- EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 25m last year

Annualized return on equity of 13%
• Profit after tax of EUR 12m, up from EUR 9m last year

Bond repurchase of EUR 37m1
• Positive one-time P&L impact of EUR 1.4m

Axactor is pursuing a strategy based on three strategic levers
| Blending the book | • Solve old claims with low gross IRR and replace them with new higher gross IRR claims |
|---|---|
| • Accelerate blending and secure growth through investing significantly above replacement capex |
|
| Cost leadership | • Axactor was incepted to disrupt the industry on cost-to-collect |
| • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to excel further |
|
| Best at what we do | Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured Markets: Organic growth • |
First half 2022 puts Axactor back to growth
- Second half of 2020 and 2021 used to stabilize operations after rapid growth
NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR million)


NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing
- Current market prices significantly more favorable compared to the total book
Gross IRR on the total NPL book1…
…and per vintage2

- The single most important profit improvement initiative
- 1%-point change on the total NPL book gross IRR equals ~2%-point in ROE4
- Gross IRR on total NPL book gradually increasing, up 1%-point last 5 quarters
- Committed investments 4.7%-points higher than the total NPL book
6 1) End of period 2) Actual for 2021 and H1 2022 3) Committed investments for 2022-2024 4) Everything else equal
NPL investment estimate increased to EUR 250 - 300m for the year – securing growth on NPL
NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investments of EUR 47m in Q2, with overflow of several deals to Q3
NPL investment estimate increased to EUR 250 - 300m for the year
Expect to invest 2.3x - 2.8x replacement capex in 2022 securing growth on NPL
Axactor EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry – driven by a leading cost position
EBITDA estimates selected peers (%)

- Axactor delivered an EBITDA of 50% for the quarter and 49% year to date
- The key driver is the industry leading position on cost-to-collect2
- Next step blend the book with higher gross IRR portfolios to secure further margin expansion

Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y
Gross revenue (EUR million)

- Gross revenue is up 5% y-o-y from a solid quarter last year
- NPL gross revenue growth of 4% y-o-y
- 3PC gross revenue growth of 13% y-o-y
- Q2 is a seasonally strong quarter whereas Q3 is seasonally weaker
NPL segment: Total income growth of 13% with stable margins
NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Total income growth drivers
- Gross revenue growth of 4%
- Collection performance of 99%
- Reduced amortization rate following the
3PC segment: Total income growth of 13% compared to last year
3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

- Total income growth of 13% y-o-y driven by the acquisition of C.R. Service
- Marginal organic growth on 3PC driven by Spain and Italy
- Improved margins stemming from operational improvements and restructuring cost in Q2 21
Group: Total income growth of 13% and Cash EBITDA growth of 5% compared to last year
(EUR million) 23 53 44 52 54 39 14 57 60 Q3 -21 Q1 -21 Q4 -20 Q2 -20 Q3 -20 Q2 -21 Q4 -21 Q1 -22 Q2 -22 +136% +13%
Total income
EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) -3 27 12 20 25 13 -17 28 30 Q1 -21 52% -12% Q2 -20 Q3 -21 Q3 -20 28% Q4 -20 38% 47% Q2 -21 33% -125% Q4 -21 48% Q1 -22 50% Q2 -22 Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

Interest rate sensitivity
- 1%-point increase in interest rates will increase quarterly interest expense by EUR 1.9m
Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)

$$\texttt{тктов}$$
Q2 is a continuation of the positive development from Q1
- 10% ROE year to date on continuing operations
Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Axactor has a robust balance sheet positioned for growth
| Equity | • Satisfying equity ratio of 29% |
|---|---|
| Liquidity | • Available cash of EUR ~30m • Unused funding line of EUR ~125m on the revolving credit facility |
| Covenant headroom | • Satisfying headroom to bond covenants • Loan to value of 72% vs. the covenant of 75% |
| Funding lines | • No maturities until the end of 2023 |
| Investment capacity | • Estimated investment capacity of EUR ~350m in 2022, well above replacement capex of EUR 108m |

Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Outlook
Increased cost of funding
- Expect further increase in interest rates
- 1%-point increase in interest rate will increase quarterly interest cost by EUR 1.9m and reduce ROE by 1.5%
Mixed outlook on backbook collections
- Rising inflation and interest rates
- Low unemployment rates, increasing salaries and government aid packages
Growth and margin expansion on NPL
- Expect to deploy EUR 250 300m in NPL portfolios in 2022
- Expect margin expansion driven by attractive gross IRR levels and improved economies of scale over time


Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A

Supporting information
NPL investment commitments of EUR 108m next 12 months
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 8% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022
ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region
3PC Total income split by geographic region

- Spain accounting for 52% of total income on 3PC
- Italy share of Total income increased to 15% following the acquisition of C.R. Service
Discontinued operations
- REO book value reduced to EUR 16m ultimo Q2
REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units


Bond covenants (1/2)
- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF
Loan-to-value1- Covenant ≤75%
(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value1 - Covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)
- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations
Leverage ratio1- Covenant ≤4.0x (Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio1 - Covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations
Abbreviations
| Terms | |
|---|---|
| Active forecast | Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios |
| Board | Board of directors |
| Cash EBITDA margin | Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue |
| Chair | Chair of the board of directors |
| Contribution margin (%) | Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income |
| Collection on own NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of repossessed assets | |
| Collection performance | in relation to book value |
| Equity ratio | Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities |
| Forward flow agreement | Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery |
| The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to NPL book value, calculated using | |
| Gross IRR | monthly cash flows over a 180-months period |
| Group | Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries |
| NPL amortization rate | NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios |
| One off portfolio aquisitions | Aquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs |
| Opex | Total operating expenses |
| Recovery rate | Portion of the original debt repaid |
| Replacement capex | Aquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period |
| SG&A, IT and corporate cost | Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc |
| Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the | |
| Solution rate | period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis |
| 3PC | Third-Party Collection |
|---|---|
| AGM | Annual General Meeting |
| APM | Alternative Performance Measures |
| ARM | Accounts Receivable Management |
| B2B | Business to Business |
| B2C | Business to Consumer |
| BoD | Board of Directors |
| BS | Consolidated Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet) |
| CF | Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow |
| CGU | Cash Generating Unit |
| CM | Contribution Margin |
| D&A | Depreciation and Amortization |
| Dopex | Direct operating expenses |
| EBIT | Operating profit/Earnings before Interest and Tax |
| EBITDA | Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization |
| ECL | Expected Credit Loss |
| EGM | Extraordinary general meeting |
| EPS | Earnings Per Share |
| ERC | Estimated Remaining Collection |
| ESG | Environmental, social and governance |
| ESOP | Employee Stock Ownership Plan |
| FSA | The Financial Supervisory Authority |
| FTE | Full Time Equivalent |
| GHG | Greenhouse gas emissions |
| IFRS | International Financial Reporting Standards |
| LTV | Loan to value |
| NCI | Non-Controlling Interests |
| NPL | Non-Performing Loan |
| OB | Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding |
| principal, interest and fees | |
| OCI P&L |
Consolidated Statement of Other Comprehensive Income |
| PCI | Consolidated Statement of Profit and Loss |
| PPA | Purchased Credit Impaired Purchase Price Allocations |
| REO | Real Estate Owned |
| ROE | Return on Equity |
| SG&A | Selling, General & Administrative |
| SPV | Special Purpose Vehicle |
| VIU | Value in Use |
| VPS | Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian Central Securities Depository |
| WACC | Weighted Average Cost of Capital |
| WAEP | Weighted Average Exercise Price |
27
