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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Oct 27, 2022

3549_rns_2022-10-27_96612f67-1ed3-49e9-9c9f-807468814fb7.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q3 2022

27 October 2022

Q3 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter

  • Continued EBITDA margin expansion reaching 51% for the quarter
  • EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 13m last year

  • Cash EBITDA growth of 22% y-o-y

  • Cash EBITDA of EUR 54m, up from EUR 44m last year

  • Profit after tax of EUR 10m, up from EUR -2m last year

  • Stable annualized return on equity of 10%

  • NPL investments of EUR 69m for the quarter

  • Already secured investments of more than 2x replacement capex in 2022
  • Investing at an attractive Gross IRR of 20% YTD compared to 16% on the backbook1

Axactor is pursuing a strategy based on three strategic levers

Blending the book
Solve old claims with low gross IRR and
replace them with new higher gross IRR claims

Accelerate blending and secure growth through
investing significantly above replacement capex
Cost leadership
Axactor was incepted to disrupt the industry on
cost-to-collect

Currently investing extensively in data-driven
valuation and -operation to excel further
Best at what we do Targeted focus to become best at what we do1

Industry: Bank & finance

Debt type: B2C, unsecured

Markets: Organic growth

Third quarter is a continuation of the growth seen throughout 2022

NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR billion)

NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing

- Current market prices significantly more favorable compared to the total book

1) End of period 2) Committed NPL investments 3) Everything else equal

6

NPL investment estimate of EUR 250 - 300m for the year reiterated – securing material growth on NPL

NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investment estimate of EUR 250 - 300m for the year

  • Invested EUR 69m during the quarter
  • Need to close additional NPL investments of EUR 18 - 68m to reach the full year estimate

Already secured investments of more than 2x replacement capex in 2022

Axactor with record low NPL cost-to-collect YTD 2022

- Materializing in an EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry

1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in

future expectations. Additional adjustments made on two peers to make numbers comparable, e.g. due to reporting numbers as a bank. 2) Peer numbers for 2021, Axactor YTD 2022

3) Peers: FactSet as of 7 Oct, 2022; Broker estimates. Axactor = YTD 2022 continuing operations

8

Financial results in perspective

- Positive development on all key financial metrics YTD

Q3 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y

Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is up 17% y-o-y from a weak quarter last year
  • NPL gross revenue growth of 17% y-o-y
  • 3PC gross revenue growth of 20% y-o-y
  • Gross revenue is down from last quarter as Q3 is seasonally weaker than Q2

NPL segment: Total income growth of 63% with stable margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Total income growth drivers

  • Gross revenue growth of 17%
  • Collection performance of 99%
  • Reduced amortization rate following the revaluation in Q4 2021 and higher gross revenue for the quarter

3PC segment: Total income growth of 20% compared to last year

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • Total income growth of 20% y-o-y driven by the acquisition of C.R. Service
  • Marginal organic growth on 3PC driven by Spain and Italy
  • Underlying margin is slightly better in Q3-22 compared to last year, when adjusting for onetime effects

Group: Continued EBITDA margin expansion and Cash EBITDA growth of 22% compared to last year

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

Rising interest rates is expected to increase interest expense on borrowings with EUR 2.1m in Q4

Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)

Annualized ROE for the quarter in line with YTD results underpinning the stable financial results in 2022

Return on equity to shareholders

Axactor has a robust balance sheet positioned for growth

Equity
Satisfying equity ratio of 29%
Liquidity
Available cash of EUR ~20m

Unused funding line of EUR ~100m on the revolving credit facility
Covenant headroom
Satisfying headroom to bond covenants

Loan to value of 72% vs. the covenant of 75%
Funding lines
No maturities until the end of 2023
Investment capacity
Estimated investment capacity of EUR ~320m in 2022,
well above replacement capex of EUR 108m

Q3 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook

19

Increased cost of funding1

  • Expect interest expense on borrowings to increase by EUR 2.1m from third to fourth quarter
  • 1pp further increase in interest rates is estimated to increase quarterly interest expense on borrowings by EUR 1.8m

Mixed outlook on backbook collections

  • Rising inflation and interest rates might put pressure on debtors' ability to repay and postpone collections
  • Low unemployment rates, increasing salaries and government aid packages expected to partly offset challenges

Growth and margin expansion on NPL

  • Expect to deploy EUR 250 300m in NPL portfolios in 2022
  • Expect margin expansion driven by attractive gross IRR levels and improved economies of scale over time

Financial targets

Axactor is pleased to announce that financial targets will be published on 11 January 2023

The targets will be presented in a global investor webcast at 10:00 CET

Furthermore, the company invites all debt and equity analysts to a physical lunch meeting at 12:00 CET

Q3 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 113m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 11% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 46% of total income on 3PC
  • Italy share of Total income increased to 17% following the acquisition of C.R. Service

Discontinued operations

- REO book value reduced to EUR 13m ultimo Q3

REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)

- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF

Loan-to-value1- Covenant ≤75%

(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value1 - Covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)

- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations

Leverage ratio1- Covenant ≤4.0x (Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio1 - Covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

SPV Special purpose vehicle VIU Value in use

WACC Weighted average cost of capital

VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian central securities depository

3PC
Third-party collection
AGM
Annual general meeting
APM
Alternative performance measures
ARM
Accounts receivable management
B2B
Business to business
B2C
Business to consumer
BoD
Board of Directors
Terms
BS
Consolidated statement of financial position (balance sheet)
CF
Consolidated statement of cash flows
Active forecast
Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios
CGU
Cash generating unit
Board
Board of directors
CM
Contribution margin
Cash EBITDA margin
Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue
D&A
Depreciation and amortization
Chair
Chair of the board of directors
Dopex
Direct operating expenses
Contribution margin (%)
Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total
EBIT
Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
income
EBITDA
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization
Collection performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of
ECL
Expected credit loss
repossessed assets in relation to book value
EGM
Extraordinary general meeting
Equity ratio
Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities
EPS
Earnings per share
Forward flow agreement
Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery
ERC
Estimated remaining collection
Gross IRR
The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to NPL book
ESG
Environmental, social and governance
value, calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
ESOP
Employee stock ownership plan
Group
Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries
FSA
The financial supervisory authority
NPL amortization rate
NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios
FTE
Full time equivalent
One off portfolio acquisition
Acquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs
GHG
Greenhouse gas emissions
Opex
Total operating expenses
IFRS
International financial reporting standards
Recovery rate
Portion of the original debt repaid
LTV
Loan to value
Replacement capex
Acquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period
NCI
Non-controlling interests
Repossession
Taking possession of property due to default on payment of loans secured by property
NPL
Non-performing loan
Repossessed assets
Property repossessed from secured non-performing loans
OB
Outstanding balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management,
SG&A, IT and corporate cost
Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
Solution rate
OCI
Consolidated statement of other comprehensive income
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal
P&L
Consolidated statement of profit or loss
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
PCI
Purchased credit impaired
Active forecast
Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios
PPA
Purchase price allocations
REO
Real estate owned
ROE
Return on equity
SDG
Sustainable development goal
SG&A
Selling, general & administrative

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