Investor Presentation • Aug 14, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Nordea Small Cap Days Johnny Tsolis, CEO
3
| Market capitalisation |
Equity | NIBD |
|---|---|---|
| ~EUR 130m | EUR 363m | EUR 887m |
| Estimated remaining collection |
EUR 2 153m |
|---|---|
| Book value | EUR 1 107m |
| Buy defaulted debt at discount to face value • Price variations between markets, age and type of debt Example: Credit card, personal loans Use own highly trained personnel and systems to collect over a 15-year period Money multiple typically between 1.7-2.5x |
• Traditional debt collection on behalf of external customers • Typically a fixed fee or a commission to Axactor on the collected amount |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue, LTM | EUR 110m | ||||
| Estimated remaining collection |
EUR 2 153m | Contribution margin (CM1), LTM |
EUR 17m | ||
| Book value | EUR 1 107m | CM1 margin, LTM | 34% |
segments ▪ M&A
| Drivers | Q2 2020 | Covid-19 impact | Outlook | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | NPL portfolio prices | • Portfolios acquired at attractive IRRs in the Nordic market |
Positive | • Improved IRR levels to be blended in over time |
| • | Economies of scale | • EBITDA margin significantly affected by write downs in the quarter |
Neutral | • Volume growth through 2020 and into 2021, with strong cost discipline |
| • | Tax rate | • Effective tax rate not relevant for Q2 2020 |
Neutral | • Expect ~25% over time |
| • | Funding cost | • Current level of ~5% |
Negative (1-year delay) |
• Refinancing and continued improvement of capital structure |
| • | Business mix | • Significant increase in combined 3PC and NPL deals |
Positive (3PC will increase) |
• Leveraging on 3PC and NPL synergies |
Total revenue development (EUR million)
EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)
Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Q2 2020 NPL revaluation and REO impairment accrual
11 *Excluding NPL revaluation in Q2 2020 **Adjusted for NPL revaluation and REO impairment accrual in Q2 2020
Gross revenue (EUR million)
Actions to align costs to activity level
Site consolidation to increase efficiency
EUR ~25m estimated annual savings for 2020
Further cost saving initiatives depends on activity level
• Temporary workforce reductions of ~400 employees during Q2
• Executive team salary reductions in Q2 extended through Q3
• Temporary price reductions from IT vendors
Portfolio prices – a supply overhang of NPLs cause pressure on portfolio prices
2
Increased 3PC volumes – capital constraints and lower prices increase focus on 3PC servicing
3
Industry consolidation – expected to increase medium to long term
4
Regulatory changes – challenges and opportunities
The prices on NPL portfolios has come down significantly since 2017 1
The NPL market will continue to grow over the next years 2
| 1 | Strong niche focus |
▪ Strong focus on becoming best in Europe on unsecured consumer finance ▪ Not trying to be best on "everything" |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Most attractive markets | ▪ All six markets carefully chosen with regards to size, risk profile and legal environment |
| 3 | Access to the best talents | ▪ Highly attractive to join a company with a flat organizational structure, entrepreneurial spirit and a culture for fast decision processes |
| 4 | Proven track record | ▪ Established as one of the top 10 leading debt collection companies in Europe in less than five years |
| 5 | Superior collection platform | ▪ Practically no legacy, company created from "clean sheets" ▪ World class IT-infrastructure and operational setup standardized across all countries |
| 6 | Supportive cornerstone investor | ▪ Geveran has a strong industry track record ▪ Contributes with both competence and capital |
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