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Axactor SE — Investor Presentation 2019
Feb 13, 2019
3549_rns_2019-02-13_8e23380c-46ea-4b7a-b88f-f3f3f5e6fbbc.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q4 2018 presentation
Axactor SE
February 13, 2019
From start-up to top-10 player in Europe in 3 years
- Axactor has become a leading European debt management provider
- Accumulated investments of >EUR 1bn since inception
- Established collection platform companies in six countries
Generated strong revenue growth
- More than doubling of revenues
- Growth in all segments
- Investments and contracts signed in 2018 point towards continued revenue growth in 2019
Scalability beginning to show through in earnings
- Tripling of EBITDA
- 22% EBITDA-margin
- Improvement reflecting higher volumes, better geographical mix and high operational leverage
Focus on profitable growth
- Large and increasing NPL opportunities with attractive IRR
- Strengthening the 3PC and ARM business
- Relentless focus on ONEAXACTOR to sharpen the competitive edge
Key highlights Q4 2018
- Continued strong growth in revenue and sharp increase in EBITDA-margin
- Positive development across all segments
- High portfolio investments of EUR 334m in Q4, mainly in NPL
- Planned investment level of EUR 350-400m in 2019
Events post Q4 closing
- Acquisition of minority shareholder position (10%) in Axactor Italy S.p.A
- DnB/Nordea release of EUR 100 million of RCF accordion option (of total EUR 150 million)
- Signed small forward flow agreement and acquired NPL portfolio from a financial institution in Sweden
Growth and margin improvement
Gross revenue development (EUR million)
EBITDA (EUR million) and EBITDA-margin
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)
Growth across all segments
Gross revenue per segments (EUR million)
- Investment driven NPL growth, with limited effect of large investments in Q4
- REO sales on par with previous two quarters
- Limitations in sales capacity
- Market pausing in Oct-Nov due to political issues which were solved in December
- Healthy 3PC growth boosted by new Spanish contracts and acquisition of SPT in Finland
- ARM business stable before roll-out to new markets
Growing geographical footprint
Gross revenue per country (EUR million)
- 2018 with gross revenue growth in all countries
- Positive entry into Finland
- Revenue of EUR 3m based on one month of operation - exceeding Sweden and Italy
- Started implementing ONEAxactor
- Northern Europe expected to grow in relative importance
- Signed significant forward flow agreements in Germany, Norway and Sweden
EBITDA & Cash EBITDA: Profitability development LTM
EBITDA (EUR million) and cash EBITDA, Last 12 months
- 2018 EBITDA increased to EUR 46m
- High volume growth
- Favourable revenue mix
- High operational leverage
- 2018 Cash EBITDA increased to EUR 136m
- NPL cash EBITDA follows collection performance
- Steady growth in 3PC and ARM
- REO affected by lower than expected scale-up of sales, and EUR 2m negative effect of portfolio revaluation at lowest value principle (IFRS)
NPL portfolio
NPL: High investment level in more balanced portfolio
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)
NPL investments (EUR million), LTM rolling
NPL: Step change in total portfolio size
ERC development (EUR million) NPL book value per country (EUR million)
NPL: Forward flow build-up
Estimated FF from signed contracts (EUR million)
- Continued inflow of new forward flow contracts
- Several new contracts in Sweden, including large 18-month contract starting up in March
- Added large financial institution to the client list in Norway
- Extended the Instabank partnership to Finland
- Estimated forward flow of EUR 258m from signed contracts in 2019
- Expecting renewal of contracts expiring in 2019
NPL: Estimated collection points to profitable growth
Actual collection vs. original business case (LTM, rolling)
Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)
REO portfolio
REO: Reduced capex – asset bulk sales in 2019
REO in Spain (EUR million)
- Axactor tuning down the REO investment level deployed only EUR 6m into REO assets in Q4
- 2019 focus is NPL investments, with good portfolio availability and increasing IRRs
- Timing of asset realizations somewhat postponed due to capacity limitations (bailiff/brokers)
- Exploring opportunities for bundle sales to add to regular unit divestments
- Underlying market, price levels and asset values remain largely intact
- Modest negative effect of EUR 2m of total portfolio
Quarterly REO capex, book value and ERC
REO investments, Spain (EUR million)
REO book value and ERC, Spain (EUR million)
REO – Lifetime KPIs
Sales (EUR million)* No. of assets sold*
- Lifetime portfolio performance ahead of original business case
- Low quality assets sold at a discount in Q4
- Average sales prices:
- Lifetime: EUR 44 k
- 2018: EUR 45 k (2.001 units sold)
- Q4'18: EUR 38 k ( 612 units sold)
- 6,928 units remaining in inventory at YE 2018
3PC & ARM
Growing the platform business
Gross revenue (EUR million)
- Targeting a more balanced product portfolio
- Established 3PC businesses in all markets
- Strong 3PC offers synergies in terms of business origination, collection execution and data generation
- Established customer relationships with leading financial institutions, including nine of the top 10 Spanish banks
- Increasing contribution of cash rich and capital light earnings for reinvestments
- ARM platform to be rolled out to more markets in 2019
- Established in Norway and Sweden, moving into Finland, Germany and Italy
One Axactor
- Digitalization
- Partnerships
- Systems
- Standardization
- Common KPIs
- Benchmarking
Financials
Contribution per segment – excl. unallocated overhead costs
Contribution per segment (EUR million)*
- Stronger NPL contribution due to higher volumes and more favourable geographical mix
- Steadily improving 3PC contribution with new contracts continuing to add volumes
- Stable development in ARM
- Slightly negative REO contribution in the quarter
- Includes EUR -2m effect of portfolio revaluation at lowest value principle
- Sold a number of low quality assets with a discount in Q4, contributing to low margin
Net finance, tax and net profits
Condensed Income statement Key comments
| EUR thousand | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT | 17 885 | 4 237 | 40 297 | 9 488 |
| Net financial items | -12 447 | -5 596 | -34 138 | -7 515 |
| Profit/ -loss before tax | 5 438 | -1 359 | 6 159 | 1 974 |
| Tax expense | -2 624 | 706 | -3 770 | 611 |
| Net profit/-loss from operations | 2 814 | -653 | 2 389 | 2 586 |
| Net profit/-loss to minority interest | -1 578 | -32 | -2 103 | -32 |
| Net profit/-loss to equity holders | 4 392 | -622 | 4 492 | 2 617 |
| Earnings per share: basic | 0.028 | 0.000 | 0.029 | 0.002 |
| Earnings per share: diluted | 0.025 | 0.000 | 0.026 | 0.002 |
- Total net financial cost of EUR 12.4m in Q4
- Interest cost of EUR 9.5m, of which EUR 1.4m amortized loan fees
- Accrued EUR 2.1m for distr. of interest on Axactor invest 1 A-notes to non-controlling interests
- Average blended interest costs of 4.9%
- Negative net FX impact of EUR 0.3m
- Tax expense of EUR 2.6m in Q4
- High effective tax as certain loss-making entities are not allowed to recognize tax assets
- Net profit to equity shareholders of EUR 4.4m
Balance sheet structure
Assets (EUR million) Equity & Liabilities (EUR million)
Debt maturity profile
Revolving Credit Facility, EUR 250m + EUR 150m accordion Axactor Invest 1, EUR120m senior debt facility Bond, EUR 150m + EUR 100m tap option Reolux/Nomura, EUR 99m outstanding balance Axactor Invest 1, EUR 120m mezzanine
- Net interest bearing debt of EUR 664 million
- Cash flow from operations within restricted group more than covering investments in forward flow agreements after gearing
- EUR 150m accordion option with Nordic banks, of which EUR 100m released in February 2019
- EUR 100m bond tap option
- Axactor Invest 1 close to fully invested, will reinvest running cash flow through already signed forward flow contracts
Summary & Outlook
Q4 & 2018 Summary
- Continued growth and margin expansion
- High investments in several markets step change in portfolio size
- Geographical expansion positive entry into Finland
- Continuing to drive efficiency and cost through "ONEAxactor"
Outlook
- High investment level in 2018 secures healthy profitable growth in 2019
- Increasing revenue expected from 3PC and ARM
- Margin expansion expected to continue from 2018 to 2019, with quarterly fluctuations
- High volume of NPL portfolios for sale in our markets, with portfolio IRRs on the increase
Appendix
Legal Organization February 2019
P&L statement
| for the quarter end | Full Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec | 31 Dec | 31 Dec | 31 Dec | ||
| 2018 | 2017 | 2018 | 2017 | ||
| EUR thousand | Note | ||||
| Net revenue | 3,4 | 68 034 | 28 652 | 206 909 | 87 745 |
| Other revenue | з | 0 | o | o | 2040 |
| Total revenue | 68 034 | 28 652 | 206 909 | 89785 | |
| Cost of secured assets sold (REOs) | 7 | $-16417$ | $-1321$ | $-54491$ | $-1445$ |
| Personnel expenses collection | $-8815$ | $-7400$ | $-32584$ | $-26578$ | |
| Personnel expenses other | $-5211$ | $-6478$ | $-19548$ | $-18378$ | |
| Operating expenses | $-18019$ | $-7805$ | $-53979$ | $-28,569$ | |
| EBITDA | 19571 | 5 6 4 9 | 46 30 6 | 14815 | |
| Amortization and depreciation | $-1686$ | $-1412$ | $-6009$ | $-5327$ | |
| EBIT | 17885 | 4 2 3 7 | 40 297 | 9488 | |
| Financial revenue | 5 | 58 | 252 | 453 | 3070 |
| Financial expenses | 5 | $-12504$ | $-5848$ | $-34590$ | $-10,585$ |
| Net financial items | $-12447$ | -5 596 | $-34138$ | $-7515$ | |
| Profit/ (loss) before tax | 5438 | $-1359$ | 6 1 5 9 | 1974 | |
| Tax expense | $-2624$ | 706 | $-3770$ | 611 | |
| Net profit/(loss) from operations | 2814 | $-653$ | 2 3 8 9 | 2586 | |
| Net profit/(loss) to Non controlling interest | 5 | $-1578$ | $-32$ | $-2103$ | $-32$ |
| Net profit/(loss) to equity holders | 4 3 9 2 | $-622$ | 4 4 9 2 | 2617 | |
| Earnings per share: basic | 0,028 | 0,000 | 0,029 | 0,002 | |
| Earnings per share: diluted | 0.025 | 0,000 | 0.026 | 0,002 | |
Balance sheet statement
| 31 Dec | 31 Dec | |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | |
| EUR thousand Note |
||
| Assets | ||
| Intangible non-current assets | ||
| Intangible assets | 19 170 | 18 3 5 9 |
| Goodwill | 55 5 78 | 53 582 |
| Deferred tax asset | 7564 | 3 9 4 5 |
| Tangible non-current assets | ||
| Property, Plant and equipment | 2683 | 2499 |
| Financial non-current assets | ||
| Investment in joint ventures | ||
| Purchased debt portfolios 6 |
728820 | 317150 |
| Other long term receivables | 801 | 1065 |
| Other long term investments | 170 | 191 |
| Total non-current assets | 814 786 | 396 791 |
| Current assets | ||
| Stock of secured assets REO's 7 |
200 009 | 154 101 |
| Current receivables | 9937 | 8047 |
| Other current assets | 12 2 9 4 | 13070 |
| Restricted cash | 24 | 1878 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 70 753 | 48 604 |
| Total current assets | 293 016 | 225 700 |
| Total assets | 1 107 802 | 622 491 |
Equity and liabilities
| Total equity and liabilities |
1 107 802 |
622 491 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total liabilities current |
197 233 |
84 198 |
|
| Other liabilities current |
24 513 |
17 603 |
|
| Payable Taxes |
1 610 |
1 376 |
|
| of borrowings Current portion non-current |
9 | 166 588 |
61 189 |
| payables Accounts |
4 522 |
4 029 |
|
| Current liabilities |
|||
| Total liabilities non-current |
582 399 |
246 459 |
|
| Other liabilities non-current |
3 446 |
3 002 |
|
| Deferred liabilities tax |
11 124 |
5 887 |
|
| bearing debt Non-current interest |
9 | 567 829 |
237 571 |
| liabilities Non-current |
|||
| Total equity |
328 171 |
291 833 |
|
| Non-controlling interests |
63 746 |
31 776 |
|
| Reserves | -2 817 |
1 3 |
|
| profit/(Loss) Retained earnings |
-14 172 |
-15 630 |
|
| Other paid-in equity |
200 298 |
196 298 |
|
| Share Capital |
8 | 81 115 |
79 377 |
| attributable holders of the Equity equity to parent |
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