Q1 2019 presentation

Axactor SE April 26, 2019

Q1 2019 - Key highlights

Revenue more than doubling and with continued margin expansion
EUR 8 million Earnings Before Tax up 47% from Q4 2018
CAPEX of EUR 69 million invested in NPL portfolios mainly forward flow contracts
Released EUR 100m of additional funding from RCF accordion option and EUR 50m from Bond Tap
2019 planned CAPEX deployment of EUR 400-450m

Attractive European NPL market

Q1'19 NPL gross revenue of EUR 52.4m (20.9)
NPL contribution margin of EUR 27.1m (10.4) or 77% of net revenue (67%)
Steady flow of new portfolios coming to the market
Attractive opportunities in all Axactor markets
Declining portfolio prices "Axactor markets" trading at 12-14% IRR

The REO sales growing

Q1 REO gross revenue of EUR 24.7m (8.7)
Sales growth of 22% vs Q4'18 and return to profitability
REO contribution margin of EUR 2.8 or 11%, up from EUR -0.8m (-4%) in Q4'18
Prioritizing margins over sales volumes and expecting positive sales trend to continue in Q2'19 ⁹

REO gross revenue (EUR million)

Improved funding

~EUR 185m in increased funding capacity
- EUR 100m accordion option in February
- EUR 50m bond tap option in March
- EUR 15m equity investment and
- EUR 20m loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April'19
Upgrading 2019 investment level from EUR 350-400m to EUR 400-450m

Axactor Invest 1 funding (EUR million)

Revenue growth and margin improvement

Gross revenue development (EUR million)

EBITDA (EUR million) and EBITDA-margin

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

NPL and REO growth from Q4 to Q1

Gross revenue per segments (EUR million)

NPL collection up 32% from Q4'18, driven by large investments in Q4'18
REO sales up 22% from Q4'18
3PC with 22% y/y growth
Stable ARM business before roll-out to new markets

More balanced geographical footprint REO portion set to decline over time

NPL portfolio

Strong NPL growth – solid collection performance

NPL gross revenue development (EUR million)

110 % Actual collection vs. original business case (LTM, rolling)

NPL: Investments set to increase through 2019

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

CAPEX deployment in several NPL forward flow contracts
Acquired new Spanish NPL portfolio in April:
- Outstanding balance of EUR 77m across 22,000 claims

NPL: Forward flow build-up

Estimated FF from signed contracts (EUR million)

Graph illustrates already contracted volumes
Additional volumes (on top) from renegotiations/ renewals with improved IRRs
Estimated forward flow volume of EUR 286m from signed contracts in 2019, of which EUR 219m remaining (rest of 2019)

NPL ERC: Growing and more diversified

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

REO portfolio

REO sales growth

REO gross revenue development (EUR million)

Q4 issues with notary & stamp costs resolved
First small bulk sale closed in Q1
Continued ramp-up of sales expected in Q2
Margin prioritized over sales volume

REO ERC: Protecting margins – flatter sales curve

REO ERC per year (EUR million)

REO sales of EUR 24.7m in Q1'19
- 555 units at average price of EUR 44k
- 5,773 units remaining in inventory
- Good cash-flow
Remaining ERC lowered by EUR 6m (2.5%)
- Asset value largely intact. However, discounts slightly higher than business case
Prioritizing margins over volumes
- Expecting a flatter ERC curve going forward

The REO exposure will be quickly reduced going forward

ERC by segment

2000

0 500 1000 1500 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 NPL 73% REO 27% NPL 86% REO 14%

No new REO portfolio acquisitions
Current REO portfolio to be halved over next 12 months
Investments in NPL will reduce the share of REO ERC further in 2019

3PC & ARM

Growing the platform business

Gross revenue (EUR million)

3PC sales up 22% y/y
- Collection platforms established in all six markets
- Product synergies in terms of business origination, collection execution and data generation
- Customer relationships with leading financial institutions, including nine of the top 10 Spanish banks
- Increasing contribution of cash rich and capital light earnings for reinvestments
ARM platform to be rolled out to more markets

Financials

Contribution per segment

Contribution per segment (EUR million) Excluding unallocated overhead cost

NPL: Continued contribution growth
- 77% contribution margin of net revenue
REO: Return to profitability
- 11% contribution margin in Q1'19 vs. -4% in Q4'18
3PC: Steady y/y improvement normal seasonality
- 27% contribution margin
ARM: Marginal changes
- 42% contribution margin

Cost efficiency increasing with scale

One Axactor Clear strategy with focus on streamlined organization secures scalable platform
Standardization reduces costs and improves crossborder cooperation
Expect to leverage scale benefits further over the coming years

Revenue, Local SG&A, IT and Corporate costs, LTM

300

Net finance, tax and net profits

Condensed Income statement Key comments

	For the quarter end/YTD	Full year 2018
EUR thousand	31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2018
EBIT	19,875	4,757	40,298

Financial revenue	16	91	453
Financial expenses	-11,919	-5,541	-34,591
Net financial items	-11,903	-5,450	-34,138

Profit/(loss) before tax	7,972	-693	6,160
Tax (expense)	-3,348	-303	-3,770
Net profit/(loss) after tax	4,624	-996	2,390
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests Net profit/(loss) to equity holders	2,584 2,040	425 -1,421	-2,103 4,492

Earnings per share: basic Earnings per share: diluted	0.013 0.012	-0.001 -0.001	0.029 0.026

Total net financial cost of EUR 11.9m
- Interest cost of EUR 10.9m, of which EUR 1.5m amortized loan fees
- Average blended interest costs of 5.0%
- Negative net FX impact of EUR 0.4m
Tax expense of EUR 3.3m
- 42% effective tax rate
- Some entities not yet in position to recognize tax losses
Net profit of EUR 4.6m
- EUR 2.0m to equity shareholders
- EUR 2.6m to non-controlling minorities

Balance sheet structure

Assets (EUR million) Equity & Liabilities (EUR million)

Debt maturity profile

Revolving Credit Facility, EUR 300m + EUR 50m accordion Axactor Invest 1, EUR 120m senior debt facility Bond, EUR 200m + EUR 50m tap option Reolux/Nomura, EUR 89m outstanding balance Axactor Invest 1, EUR 140m mezzanine

Net interest bearing debt of EUR 667 million
EUR 100m released of accordion option with Nordic banks in February, EUR 50m remaining
EUR 50m bond tap option executed in March, EUR 50m remaining
EUR 15m equity injection and EUR 20m new mezzanine loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April
Axactor 1 will reinvest running cash flow

Summary & Outlook

Q1 Summary

Solid financial performance in Q1
22% y/y growth in 3PC
Continued strong collection performance
Growth in REO sales and profitability
Improved financial capacity
Continuing to drive efficiency and cost improvement through 'One Axactor'
- Finland integration on track

Outlook

Attractive NPL market increasing IRRs
Increased NPL capex guiding (EUR 400-450m)
Expect continued growth in the 3PC market
Continued profitable growth and margin expansion

Klikk for å redigere tittelstil

Appendix

P&L statement

		end/YTD the For quarter		Full year 2018
thousand EUR	Note	31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2018
income from purchased loan portfolios Interest	6	28,989	17,442	74,536
gain/loss portfolios purchased loan Net	6	6,371	-1,802	10,599
Other operating revenue		38,289	20,160	121,774
Total Revenue	3,4	73,649	35,800	206,909

of REO's sold Cost	7	-19,302	-6,123	-54,491
Personnel expenses operations		-9,433	-8,086	-32,585
Personnel expenses other		-6,102	-5,274	-19,548
Operating expenses		-16,671	-10,219	-53,978
Total operating expense		-51,508	-29,702	-160,602

EBITDA		22,140	6,097	46,306

Amortization and depreciation		-2,266	-1,341	-6,009

EBIT		19,875	4,757	40,298

Financial revenue	5	16	91	453
Financial expenses	5	-11,919	-5,541	-34,591
financial Net items		-11,903	-5,450	-34,138

Profit/(loss) before tax		7,972	-693	6,160

(expense) Tax		-3,348	-303	-3,770

profit/(loss) after Net tax		4,624	-996	2,390

profit/(loss) Non-controlling Net interests to	5	2,584	425	-2,103
profit/(loss) holders Net equity to		2,040	-1,421	4,492

Earnings per share: basic		0.013	-0.001	0.029
Earnings per share: diluted		0.012	-0.001	0.026

Balance sheet statement

EUR thousand	Note	31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2018	31 Dec 2018
ASSETS
Intangible non-current assets
Intangible Assets		18,992	18,522	19,170
Goodwill		56,281	54,260	55,577
Deferred tax assets		6,852	5,186	7,564
Tangible non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment		2,851	2,491	2,683
Right-of-use assets	9	5,874	0	0
Financial non-current assets
Purchased debt portfolios	6	781,361	353,969	728,820
Other non-current receivables		294	843	293
Other non-current investments		778	170	778
Total non-current assets		873,283	435,441	814,885

Current assets
Stock of Secured Assets	7	181,121	192,694	200,009
Accounts Receivable		8,931	7,817	9,459
Other current assets		9,832	8,311	12,774
Restricted cash		5,309	1,825	3,184
Cash and Cash Equivalents		119,887	195,907	67,593
Total current assets		325,080	406,554	293,018

TOTAL ASSETS		1,198,363	841,995	1,107,903

EUR thousand	Note	31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2018	31 Dec 2018
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent
Share Capital		81,115	79,377	81,115
Other paid-in equity		200,485	196,946	200,298
Retained Earnings		-12,132	-20,142	-14,172
Reserves		-1,675	-384	-2,817
Non-controlling interests		92,605	40,077	63,746
Total Equity		360,398	295,873	328,170
Non-current Liabilities
Interest bearing debt	8	579,436	432,303	567,829
Deferred tax liabilities		10,925	5,670	11,124
Lease liabilities	9	3,641	0	0
Other non-current liabilities		991	3,072	1,180
Total non-current liabilities		594,992	441,045	580,132
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable		4,046	3,504	4,522
Current portion of interest bearing debt	8	207,572	34,660	169,296
Taxes Payable		5,076	1,862	1,610
Lease liabilities	9	2,253	0	0
Other current liabilities		24,026	65,050	24,172
Total current liabilities		242,973	105,076	199,600
Total Liabilities		837,964	546,121	779,732
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES		1,198,363	841,995	1,107,903