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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Oct 25, 2019

3549_rns_2019-10-25_60917a64-af9c-403b-9881-8b4c030ca0ec.pdf

Investor Presentation

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25 October, 2019

A next-generation debt management company

  • Growth strategy built on scalable, lean and efficient debt management operations across six well-established European markets
  • Focused on debt collection on owned portfolios of non-performing loans (NPL) and third-party debt collection, primarily for banks and other financial institutions HQ

Q3 2019 - Key highlights

  • Strong y-o-y revenue growth, driven by more than doubling of gross revenue from the NPL segment
  • Doubling of EBITDA showing the scalability and efficiency of the Axactor model
  • Earnings before tax of EUR 6 million
  • Capex of EUR 85 million invested in NPL portfolios

YTD Q3 2019 - Key highlights

  • Significant revenue growth and strong margin expansion
  • Earnings before tax of EUR 24 million
  • Book value and ERC of NPL portfolios up approximately 130% from September 2018
  • NPL portfolio investments of EUR 303m YTD expected full-year capex level in the region of EUR 400 million

NPL REO

-,5 ,5 ,15 ,25 ,35 ,45 ,55 ,65 ,75 ,85 ,95 ,105 ,115 ,125 ,135 ,145 ,155 ,165 ,175 ,185 ,195 ,205 ,215 ,225 ,235 ,245 ,255 ,265 ,275 ,285 ,295 ,305

Year-on-year improvements and with less seasonality effect

Gross revenue development (EUR million)

Cash EBITDA

Year-on-year revenue growth in all areas

Gross revenue development (EUR million)

  • Continued YoY revenue growth:
    • NPL +113%
    • 3PC +1%
    • REO +7%
  • QoQ decline due to slow summer months:
    • NPL +7%
    • 3PC -22%
    • REO -19%

NPL portfolio

NPL q-o-q growth despite seasonal slowdown

NPL gross revenue development (EUR million)

Actual collection vs. active forecast (LTM, rolling)

Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019

NPL: Capex mainly into forward flow agreements

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

  • EUR 68m invested in forward flow in Q3
  • Acquired German unsecured portfolio with outstanding balance of EUR 145m across 65,000 claims
  • EUR 303m invested year to date
  • Expected capex level in the region of EUR 400m for the full year

NPL: Forward flow outlook

Estimated FF investments from signed contracts (EUR million)

  • Total estimated forward flow volume of EUR 277m in 2019, of which EUR 61m remaining in Q4'19
  • Selective approach given upwards trend in IRRs
    • Renegotiating or discontinuing existing contracts
    • Expanded agreement with Nordic client for unsecured loans with estimated annual volume of EUR 44 million from January 2020
  • Focusing on combined forward flow and 3PC contracts
    • Added new Norwegian client with estimated annual volume of EUR 15 million from August 2019, with initial 3PC period

NPL: Increasing and balanced portfolio

821 1 388 1 473 1 721 1 877 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 ESP NOR DEU SWE ITA FIN

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

300

ERC development

(EUR million)

3PC

Growing the third-party collection business

Gross revenue 3PC (EUR million)

18

  • +1% YoY
    • Seasonal effects explain decline from previous quarter
  • Sharpened focus on combined forward flow and 3PC deals to increase 3PC volumes
    • Product synergies in business origination, collection execution and data generation
    • Expecting more forward flow agreements with initial 3PC periods
    • Sound way to increase the capital light side of the business, while offering clients an attractive way to offload their balance sheets
  • Exploring partnership strategy for co-invest and new 3PC servicing volumes

REO portfolio

Maintained high REO revenue on declining asset base

REO gross revenue development (EUR million)

REO sales No. of assets in inventory

  • Higher unit sales dampened by asset mix and moderate price decline
  • Sold 530 units, down 19% from 657 units in Q2
  • Average unit price unchanged at EUR 38k
  • Maintained healthy balance between margins and volumes
    • Allowed for moderately higher discounts to support

Revenue up 7% y-o-y on significantly lower asset base

REO ERC of EUR 193m remaining per Q3

  • ERC decreased by 11% in the quarter
  • Expecting to realize almost 50% of remaining asset base over the next 12 months
  • REO now represents <10% of Group ERC, and set to decline rapidly
  • Axactor has approximately 40% of the total exposure
    • Minority shareholders in both Reolux and its subsidiaries

IT & Systems

A unique IT platform designed for scaling up operations

  • Axactor Group Standardization from Day1, one exception: Core Collections System
  • Taken out legacy with industry standard SW
  • Outsourcing to two strategic partners:
    • Miratech (Application Development and Maintenance)
    • Intility (cloud based computing)
    • Miratech & Intility:
      • Innovation
      • Project Management for all Projects (not only IT)
      • Implementation
      • Integration
      • Operations
  • Best practice knowledge sharing between countries
  • Mode of Operation with clear KPIs

Financials

Contribution per segment

Contribution per segment*

(EUR million) - Excluding unallocated overhead cost

  • Total:
    • Contribution margin of 45% (37%)
  • NPL:
    • Portfolio amortization of EUR 23.1m (7.8), up from EUR 18.8m in the previous quarter
    • Contribution margin of 73% (69%)
  • 3PC:
    • Seasonally slow quarter, 1% yoy growth
    • 34% contribution margin (33%)
  • REO:
    • Seasonally slow quarter, 7% yoy growth
    • Lower contribution margin at 7% (11%), reflecting moderately increased discounts
  • 'Other' item of EUR 0.8m, mainly reflects disposal of two small non-core portfolios

*Contribution before allocation of local SG&A and IT cost, management fee, central administration costs, other gains and losses or finance costs Segment contribution margin = Segment contribution/Segment net revenue Total segment contribution less unallocated cost = EBITDA

Net finance, tax and net profits

Condensed Income statement (EUR thousand)

For the quarter
end YTD
30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep
EUR thousand 2019 2018 2019 2018 Full year 2018
EBIT 17 405 8 521 61 027 22 412 40 298
Financial revenue 2 892 21 2 262 395 453
Financial expenses -13 961 -7 741 -39 166 -22 086 -34 591
Net financial items -11 069 -7 720 -36 904 -21 691 -34 138
Profit/(loss) before tax 6 336 801 24 123 720 6 160
Tax (expense) -2 679 -401 -9 688 -1 146 -3 770
Net profit/(loss) after tax 3 657 399 14 435 -425 2 390
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests -801 -866 3 333 -524 -2 103
Net profit/(loss) to equity holders 4 457 1 266 11 102 99 4 492
Earnings per share: basic 0.029 0.008 0.072 0.001 0.029
Earnings per share: diluted 0.025 0.007 0.064 0.001 0.026
  • Total net financial cost of EUR 11.1m
    • Interest cost of EUR 13.4
      • Average blended interest costs of approx. 5%
    • Warrant cost of EUR 0.4m
      • Warrants expire in October
    • Unrealized FX gain of EUR 2.8m
  • Tax expense of EUR 2.7m
    • Effective tax rate still high at 42% as some entities are not in position to recognize tax losses
    • Expects downward trend towards <30% over time
  • Net profit of EUR 3.7m
  • EUR 4.5m to equity shareholders
  • EUR -0.8m to non-controlling minorities

Scale and maturity drives efficiency, profitability and ROE

Revenue, EBITDA, Local SG&A, IT & corporate costs (LTM)

  • Growth strategy with focus on efficient scaling and low collection costs
  • Continued decline in Opex ratio
  • Improved financing costs and tax rates set to support positive ROE development going forward
    • Room for lower cost of capital when refinancing credit facilities and bond
    • Tax rate expected to normalize to <30% level over time
      • 61% in 2018, 40% for YTD Q3 2019

Balance sheet structure

Equity and Liabilities

0

500

1 000

Current funding structure*

  • Net interest bearing debt of EUR 813 million per 30 September 2019
  • Expanded RCF with two new accordion options in October, each for EUR 75m: One of the options executed in October
  • Increased funding by a total EUR 310m in funding YTD:
    • Released EUR 225m in accordion options with Nordic banks: EUR 100m in February + EUR 50m in June + EUR 75m in October
    • Executed bond tap option of EUR 50m in March
    • EUR 15m equity injection and EUR 20m new mezzanine loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April
  • 24 * Including new accordion options agreed in October 2019

Summary and outlook

Q3 Summary/Outlook

  • Solid NPL performance
  • Seasonally slower in 3PC and REO
  • Earnings Before Tax of EUR 6 million
  • Continuing to drive efficiency and cost improvements through 'One Axactor'
  • Lucrative NPL market in Europe: Axactor targeting FY 2019 capex level in the region of EUR 400 million
  • Collection platforms and IT systems in place with ability to handle significantly higher volumes with solid profitable growth through 2019 and into 2020

Appendix

For the quarter end YTD
P&L statement
EUR thousand
Interest income from purchased loan portfolios
30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018
35 828
17 781 30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018
97 292
52 247 Full year 2018
74 536
Net gain/loss purchased loan portfolios -5 089 -385 93 -152 10 599
Other operating revenue 33 523 31 292 112 944 86 780 121 774
Total Revenue 64 263 48 689 210 329 138 875 206 909
Cost of REO's sold, incl impairment -16 374 -14 598 -56 093 -38 074 -56 438
Personnel expenses operations -9 597 -7 709 -28 162 -23 770 -32 585
Personnel expenses other -3 414 -3 893 -14 309 -14 337 -19 548
Operating expenses -14 849 -12 461 -43 451 -35 959 -52 032
Total operating expense -44 233 -38 661 -142 015 -112 140 -160 602
EBITDA 20 029 10 028 68 314 26 735 46 306
Amortization and depreciation -2 625 -1 507 -7 287 -4 323 -6 009
EBIT 17 405 8 521 61 027 22 412 40 298
Financial revenue 2 892 21 2 262 395 453
Financial expenses -13 961 -7 741 -39 166 -22 086 -34 591
Net financial items -11 069 -7 720 -36 904 -21 691 -34 138
Profit/(loss) before tax 6 336 801 24 123 720 6 160
Tax (expense) -2 679 -401 -9 688 -1 146 -3 770
Net profit/(loss) after tax 3 657 399 14 435 -425 2 390
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests -801 -866 3 333 -524 -2 103
Net profit/(loss) to equity holders 4 457 1 266 11 102 99 4 492
Earnings per share: basic 0.029 0.008 0.072 0.001 0.029
Earnings per share: diluted 0.025 0.007 0.064 0.001 0.026

Balance sheet statement

EUR thousand
ASSETS
30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 31 Dec 2018
Intangible non-current assets
Intangible Assets 20 098 19 544 19 170
Goodwill 55 740 54 462 55 577
Deferred tax assets 6 336 4 239 7 564
Tangible non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 3 000 2 795 2 683
Right-of-use assets 5 938 0 0
Financial non-current assets
Purchased debt portfolios 963 953 419 108 728 820
Other non-current receivables 295 1 155 293
Other non-current investments 662 170 778
Total non-current assets 1 056 021 501 473 814 885
Current assets
Stock of Secured Assets 148 101 212 555 200 009
Accounts Receivable 10 782 7 671 9 459
Other current assets 13 144 8 545 12 774
Restricted cash 2 611 54 3 184
Cash and Cash Equivalents 60 481 112 018 67 593
Total current assets 235 119 340 844 293 018
TOTAL ASSETS 1 291 140 842 317 1 107 903
EUR thousand 30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 31 Dec 2018
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent
Share Capital 81 338 80 842 81 115
Other paid-in equity 201 503 199 135 200 298
Retained Earnings -3 070 -18 619 -14 172
Reserves -7 724 -465 -2 817
Non-controlling interests 99 067 65 801 63 746
Total Equity 371 114 326 693 328 170
Non-current Liabilities
Interest bearing debt 641 095 368 161 567 829
Deferred tax liabilities 10 417 5 261 11 124
Lease liabilities 3 578 0 0
Other non-current liabilities 1 917 3 736 1 180
Total non-current liabilities 657 007 377 159 580 132
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 1 384 4 214 4 522
Current portion of interest bearing debt 232 915 109 244 169 296
Taxes Payable 8 658 1 694 1 610
Lease liabilities 2 436 0 0
Other current liabilities 17 626 23 313 24 172
Total current liabilities 263 019 138 465 199 600
Total Liabilities 920 026 515 624 779 732
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1 291 140 842 317 1 107 903

Legal organization October 2019

axactor.com

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