
25 October, 2019

A next-generation debt management company
- Growth strategy built on scalable, lean and efficient debt management operations across six well-established European markets
- Focused on debt collection on owned portfolios of non-performing loans (NPL) and third-party debt collection, primarily for banks and other financial institutions HQ



Q3 2019 - Key highlights

- Strong y-o-y revenue growth, driven by more than doubling of gross revenue from the NPL segment
- Doubling of EBITDA showing the scalability and efficiency of the Axactor model
- Earnings before tax of EUR 6 million
- Capex of EUR 85 million invested in NPL portfolios
YTD Q3 2019 - Key highlights

- Significant revenue growth and strong margin expansion
- Earnings before tax of EUR 24 million
- Book value and ERC of NPL portfolios up approximately 130% from September 2018
- NPL portfolio investments of EUR 303m YTD expected full-year capex level in the region of EUR 400 million
NPL REO
-,5 ,5 ,15 ,25 ,35 ,45 ,55 ,65 ,75 ,85 ,95 ,105 ,115 ,125 ,135 ,145 ,155 ,165 ,175 ,185 ,195 ,205 ,215 ,225 ,235 ,245 ,255 ,265 ,275 ,285 ,295 ,305
Year-on-year improvements and with less seasonality effect
Gross revenue development (EUR million)



Cash EBITDA
Year-on-year revenue growth in all areas
Gross revenue development (EUR million)

- Continued YoY revenue growth:
- NPL +113%
- 3PC +1%
- REO +7%
- QoQ decline due to slow summer months:
- NPL +7%
- 3PC -22%
- REO -19%


NPL portfolio
NPL q-o-q growth despite seasonal slowdown
NPL gross revenue development (EUR million)

Actual collection vs. active forecast (LTM, rolling)

Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
NPL: Capex mainly into forward flow agreements
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

- EUR 68m invested in forward flow in Q3
- Acquired German unsecured portfolio with outstanding balance of EUR 145m across 65,000 claims
- EUR 303m invested year to date
- Expected capex level in the region of EUR 400m for the full year
NPL: Forward flow outlook
Estimated FF investments from signed contracts (EUR million)

- Total estimated forward flow volume of EUR 277m in 2019, of which EUR 61m remaining in Q4'19
- Selective approach given upwards trend in IRRs
- Renegotiating or discontinuing existing contracts
- Expanded agreement with Nordic client for unsecured loans with estimated annual volume of EUR 44 million from January 2020
- Focusing on combined forward flow and 3PC contracts
- Added new Norwegian client with estimated annual volume of EUR 15 million from August 2019, with initial 3PC period
NPL: Increasing and balanced portfolio
821 1 388 1 473 1 721 1 877 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 ESP NOR DEU SWE ITA FIN
Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)
300

ERC development
(EUR million)

3PC
Growing the third-party collection business
Gross revenue 3PC (EUR million)
18

- +1% YoY
- Seasonal effects explain decline from previous quarter
- Sharpened focus on combined forward flow and 3PC deals to increase 3PC volumes
- Product synergies in business origination, collection execution and data generation
- Expecting more forward flow agreements with initial 3PC periods
- Sound way to increase the capital light side of the business, while offering clients an attractive way to offload their balance sheets
- Exploring partnership strategy for co-invest and new 3PC servicing volumes

REO portfolio
Maintained high REO revenue on declining asset base
REO gross revenue development (EUR million)

REO sales No. of assets in inventory
- Higher unit sales dampened by asset mix and moderate price decline
- Sold 530 units, down 19% from 657 units in Q2
- Average unit price unchanged at EUR 38k
- Maintained healthy balance between margins and volumes
- Allowed for moderately higher discounts to support
• Revenue up 7% y-o-y on significantly lower asset base
REO ERC of EUR 193m remaining per Q3

- ERC decreased by 11% in the quarter
- Expecting to realize almost 50% of remaining asset base over the next 12 months
- REO now represents <10% of Group ERC, and set to decline rapidly
- Axactor has approximately 40% of the total exposure
- Minority shareholders in both Reolux and its subsidiaries

IT & Systems
A unique IT platform designed for scaling up operations

- Axactor Group Standardization from Day1, one exception: Core Collections System
- Taken out legacy with industry standard SW
- Outsourcing to two strategic partners:
- Miratech (Application Development and Maintenance)
- Intility (cloud based computing)
- Miratech & Intility:
- Innovation
- Project Management for all Projects (not only IT)
- Implementation
- Integration
- Operations
- Best practice knowledge sharing between countries
- Mode of Operation with clear KPIs

Financials
Contribution per segment
Contribution per segment*
(EUR million) - Excluding unallocated overhead cost

- Total:
- Contribution margin of 45% (37%)
- NPL:
- Portfolio amortization of EUR 23.1m (7.8), up from EUR 18.8m in the previous quarter
- Contribution margin of 73% (69%)
- 3PC:
- Seasonally slow quarter, 1% yoy growth
- 34% contribution margin (33%)
- REO:
- Seasonally slow quarter, 7% yoy growth
- Lower contribution margin at 7% (11%), reflecting moderately increased discounts
- 'Other' item of EUR 0.8m, mainly reflects disposal of two small non-core portfolios
*Contribution before allocation of local SG&A and IT cost, management fee, central administration costs, other gains and losses or finance costs Segment contribution margin = Segment contribution/Segment net revenue Total segment contribution less unallocated cost = EBITDA
Net finance, tax and net profits
Condensed Income statement (EUR thousand)
|
|
For the quarter |
|
|
|
|
|
end |
|
YTD |
|
|
30 Sep |
30 Sep |
30 Sep |
30 Sep |
|
| EUR thousand |
2019 |
2018 |
2019 |
2018 |
Full year 2018 |
| EBIT |
17 405 |
8 521 |
61 027 |
22 412 |
40 298 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Financial revenue |
2 892 |
21 |
2 262 |
395 |
453 |
| Financial expenses |
-13 961 |
-7 741 |
-39 166 |
-22 086 |
-34 591 |
| Net financial items |
-11 069 |
-7 720 |
-36 904 |
-21 691 |
-34 138 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Profit/(loss) before tax |
6 336 |
801 |
24 123 |
720 |
6 160 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tax (expense) |
-2 679 |
-401 |
-9 688 |
-1 146 |
-3 770 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net profit/(loss) after tax |
3 657 |
399 |
14 435 |
-425 |
2 390 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests |
-801 |
-866 |
3 333 |
-524 |
-2 103 |
| Net profit/(loss) to equity holders |
4 457 |
1 266 |
11 102 |
99 |
4 492 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Earnings per share: basic |
0.029 |
0.008 |
0.072 |
0.001 |
0.029 |
| Earnings per share: diluted |
0.025 |
0.007 |
0.064 |
0.001 |
0.026 |
- Total net financial cost of EUR 11.1m
- Interest cost of EUR 13.4
- Average blended interest costs of approx. 5%
- Warrant cost of EUR 0.4m
- Warrants expire in October
- Unrealized FX gain of EUR 2.8m
- Tax expense of EUR 2.7m
- Effective tax rate still high at 42% as some entities are not in position to recognize tax losses
- Expects downward trend towards <30% over time
- Net profit of EUR 3.7m
- EUR 4.5m to equity shareholders
- EUR -0.8m to non-controlling minorities
Scale and maturity drives efficiency, profitability and ROE

Revenue, EBITDA, Local SG&A, IT & corporate costs (LTM)
- Growth strategy with focus on efficient scaling and low collection costs
- Continued decline in Opex ratio
- Improved financing costs and tax rates set to support positive ROE development going forward
- Room for lower cost of capital when refinancing credit facilities and bond
- Tax rate expected to normalize to <30% level over time
- 61% in 2018, 40% for YTD Q3 2019
Balance sheet structure


Equity and Liabilities

0
500
1 000
Current funding structure*

- Net interest bearing debt of EUR 813 million per 30 September 2019
- Expanded RCF with two new accordion options in October, each for EUR 75m: One of the options executed in October
- Increased funding by a total EUR 310m in funding YTD:
- Released EUR 225m in accordion options with Nordic banks: EUR 100m in February + EUR 50m in June + EUR 75m in October
- Executed bond tap option of EUR 50m in March
- EUR 15m equity injection and EUR 20m new mezzanine loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April
- 24 * Including new accordion options agreed in October 2019

Summary and outlook

Q3 Summary/Outlook
- Solid NPL performance
- Seasonally slower in 3PC and REO
- Earnings Before Tax of EUR 6 million
- Continuing to drive efficiency and cost improvements through 'One Axactor'
- Lucrative NPL market in Europe: Axactor targeting FY 2019 capex level in the region of EUR 400 million
- Collection platforms and IT systems in place with ability to handle significantly higher volumes with solid profitable growth through 2019 and into 2020

Appendix
|
|
For the quarter end |
|
YTD |
|
|
| P&L statement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EUR thousand Interest income from purchased loan portfolios |
30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 35 828 |
17 781 |
30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 97 292 |
52 247 |
Full year 2018 74 536 |
|
Net gain/loss purchased loan portfolios |
-5 089 |
-385 |
93 |
-152 |
10 599 |
|
Other operating revenue |
33 523 |
31 292 |
112 944 |
86 780 |
121 774 |
|
Total Revenue |
64 263 |
48 689 |
210 329 |
138 875 |
206 909 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost of REO's sold, incl impairment |
-16 374 |
-14 598 |
-56 093 |
-38 074 |
-56 438 |
|
Personnel expenses operations |
-9 597 |
-7 709 |
-28 162 |
-23 770 |
-32 585 |
|
Personnel expenses other |
-3 414 |
-3 893 |
-14 309 |
-14 337 |
-19 548 |
|
Operating expenses |
-14 849 |
-12 461 |
-43 451 |
-35 959 |
-52 032 |
|
Total operating expense |
-44 233 |
-38 661 |
-142 015 |
-112 140 |
-160 602 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EBITDA |
20 029 |
10 028 |
68 314 |
26 735 |
46 306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization and depreciation |
-2 625 |
-1 507 |
-7 287 |
-4 323 |
-6 009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EBIT |
17 405 |
8 521 |
61 027 |
22 412 |
40 298 |
|
Financial revenue |
2 892 |
21 |
2 262 |
395 |
453 |
|
Financial expenses |
-13 961 |
-7 741 |
-39 166 |
-22 086 |
-34 591 |
|
Net financial items |
-11 069 |
-7 720 |
-36 904 |
-21 691 |
-34 138 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/(loss) before tax |
6 336 |
801 |
24 123 |
720 |
6 160 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax (expense) |
-2 679 |
-401 |
-9 688 |
-1 146 |
-3 770 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net profit/(loss) after tax |
3 657 |
399 |
14 435 |
-425 |
2 390 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests |
-801 |
-866 |
3 333 |
-524 |
-2 103 |
|
Net profit/(loss) to equity holders |
4 457 |
1 266 |
11 102 |
99 |
4 492 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share: basic |
0.029 |
0.008 |
0.072 |
0.001 |
0.029 |
|
Earnings per share: diluted |
0.025 |
0.007 |
0.064 |
0.001 |
0.026 |

Balance sheet statement
EUR thousand ASSETS |
30 Sep 2019 |
30 Sep 2018 |
31 Dec 2018 |
| Intangible non-current assets |
|
|
|
| Intangible Assets |
20 098 |
19 544 |
19 170 |
| Goodwill |
55 740 |
54 462 |
55 577 |
| Deferred tax assets |
6 336 |
4 239 |
7 564 |
| Tangible non-current assets |
|
|
|
| Property, plant and equipment |
3 000 |
2 795 |
2 683 |
| Right-of-use assets |
5 938 |
0 |
0 |
| Financial non-current assets |
|
|
|
| Purchased debt portfolios |
963 953 |
419 108 |
728 820 |
| Other non-current receivables |
295 |
1 155 |
293 |
| Other non-current investments |
662 |
170 |
778 |
| Total non-current assets |
1 056 021 |
501 473 |
814 885 |
| Current assets |
|
|
|
| Stock of Secured Assets |
148 101 |
212 555 |
200 009 |
| Accounts Receivable |
10 782 |
7 671 |
9 459 |
| Other current assets |
13 144 |
8 545 |
12 774 |
| Restricted cash |
2 611 |
54 |
3 184 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents |
60 481 |
112 018 |
67 593 |
| Total current assets |
235 119 |
340 844 |
293 018 |
| TOTAL ASSETS |
1 291 140 |
842 317 |
1 107 903 |
|
|
|
|
| EUR thousand |
30 Sep 2019 |
30 Sep 2018 |
31 Dec 2018 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
|
|
|
| Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent |
|
|
|
| Share Capital |
81 338 |
80 842 |
81 115 |
| Other paid-in equity |
201 503 |
199 135 |
200 298 |
| Retained Earnings |
-3 070 |
-18 619 |
-14 172 |
| Reserves |
-7 724 |
-465 |
-2 817 |
| Non-controlling interests |
99 067 |
65 801 |
63 746 |
| Total Equity |
371 114 |
326 693 |
328 170 |
|
|
|
|
| Non-current Liabilities |
|
|
|
| Interest bearing debt |
641 095 |
368 161 |
567 829 |
| Deferred tax liabilities |
10 417 |
5 261 |
11 124 |
| Lease liabilities |
3 578 |
0 |
0 |
| Other non-current liabilities |
1 917 |
3 736 |
1 180 |
| Total non-current liabilities |
657 007 |
377 159 |
580 132 |
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
1 384 |
4 214 |
4 522 |
| Current portion of interest bearing debt |
232 915 |
109 244 |
169 296 |
| Taxes Payable |
8 658 |
1 694 |
1 610 |
| Lease liabilities |
2 436 |
0 |
0 |
| Other current liabilities |
17 626 |
23 313 |
24 172 |
| Total current liabilities |
263 019 |
138 465 |
199 600 |
|
|
|
|
| Total Liabilities |
920 026 |
515 624 |
779 732 |
|
|
|
|
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
1 291 140 |
842 317 |
1 107 903 |
Legal organization October 2019

axactor.com
