Q2 2018 Axactor AB
July 25, 2018
Key highlights Q2 2018
- Continued margin expansion EBITDA margin of 20% in Q2 2018
- Cash EBITDA of EUR 41m, illustrating the strong cash flow from the REO segment
- More than 1.000 REO units sold (since entering this market segment in 2017)
- EUR 23m portfolio investments, as well as several large forward flow deals with start date later in the year
- Optimization of co-investment structure with Geveran completed
- Completed reverse share split in the ratio of 10:1
2
Axactor events post Q2 closing
- New funding line for REOs with Nomura International plc
- Will release approximately EUR 100m in cash
- Lowering funding cost for REOs significantly
- Subject to final documentation. Signing/closing within 3 weeks
- Signed important forward flow contract in Germany
- Expect acquisition cost of EUR 20m over a 12 month period
- Complements the large forward flow contract closed in June
- Signing a of large unsecured claims from Banco Sabadell:
- Conditional to formal authorization of the contract
- Outstanding balance of EUR 875m
- Added two new outsourcing contracts in Spain
- Servicing contracts for secured debt
Axactor will establish new credit line for funding of REOs
- Axactor will establish a new funding line for REOs with Nomura International plc
- The transaction will release cash of approximately EUR 100m and will be used to pay down intercompany loan to Axactor AB
- The released funds will be available for Axactor to allocate freely within the group, providing increased flexibility for future investments
- The new loan facility will significantly reduce the REO portfolios funding cost
- Axactor expects the funds to be available in approximately 3 weeks
Standardization is used to reduce costs and to drive efficiency
Standardization - "One Axactor" Positive effects from "One Axactor"
- Intility (IT Infrastructure)
- Miratech partnership (AD/AM)
- ERP/Finance/HR
- Portfolio pricing
- Digitalization
- − Dialer robot
- − Business Intelligence (BI)
- − Data Warehouse (DW)
- − Core Collection Systems
- − Debtor/Client Portals
- − Skill based collection
- CRM
- Branding
- Common KPIs
- Accounts Receivable Management (ARM)
Axactor revenue mix – distribution per country
- Significant growth in Spain driven by the REO segment
- Growth compared to Q1-18 in all geographies
Q2 Revenue Distribution per Country
- REO segment in Spain driving the shift in business mix compared to Q1-18
- Expect large forward flow contracts to increase the relative size of Germany and Norway the next quarters
6
Axactor revenue mix – distribution per business segment
Gross revenue development per segment (EUR million)
- 148% revenue growth y/y* in Q2 2018 primarily driven by REO and NPL portfolios
- Ramp-up of the REO segment continues, and REOs represented 33% of total gross revenue in Q2 2018
- 3PC with 30% growth y/y
- Growth in all segments compared to Q1 2018
Profitability development – EBITDA and Cash EBITDA
- 158% EBITDA growth compared to the same quarter last year*
- 74% EBITDA growth compared to last quarter
- 20% EBITDA margin in Q2-18
8
- Q2 and Q4 are seasonally strong quarters
- *Q2 2017 settlement with former IGE board members is excluded
EBITDA per quarter (EUR million) Cash EBITDA per quarter (EUR million)
- Strong REO cash flow ramping up the Cash EBITDA
- Good performance on NPL portfolios
- Gross margin of 61% in Q2-18, up from 44% last quarter
EBITDA and cash EBITDA - quarter by quarter
- Continued significant growth
- Increased EBITDA margin to 20%
EBITDA (EUR million) Cash EBITDA (EUR million)
- Maintained strong cash flow development
- Gross margin at a record high 61%
Gross revenue and ERC - quarter by quarter
ERC (EUR million) Gross revenue (EUR million)
Collection on portfolios versus business case
LTM Performace vs. Business Case
- NPL collection performance stabilizing at ~100%, with a strong LTM performance of 105% in Q2-18
- High REO performance in Q4 2017 based on moderate volume
- Conservative build-up in REO BC
- Expect convergence towards business case over time
Portfolio statistics NPL
Historical development ERC (EUR million)
- ERC increase of 48% compared to same quarter last year
- Modest growth from Q1-18 due to the relatively low portfolio investments during the quarter
ERC per year (EUR million)
• NPL portfolios with finance claims have long and stable cash flows (15 years+)
Portfolio statistics NPL
Book value portfolios (EUR million) Capex (EUR million)
Portfolio statistics REOs
Historical development ERC (EUR million)
- First REO portfolio acquired in Q2-17
- Reduction in Q2-18 due to the quick liquidation of the REO portfolios
ERC per year (EUR million)
- REO portfolios typically last 3-5 years before depletion
- REOs generally have a lower money multiple than traditional NPL, short payback time ensures very attractive IRR levels
Portfolio statistics REOs
Book value portfolios (EUR million) Capex (EUR million)
• REO portfolios account for 33% of total portfolio balance
Q2-17 Q3-17
0
Q1-17
SPA
• No new portfolios acquired in Q2-18
8.1
• Capex in the quarter represent activated costs on assets in inventory and transfer of remaining assets from one of the portfolios announced in Q1-18
0.4
Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18
5.2
REO portfolios lifetime KPIs*
Opex profile REOs
*Excluding cost of sales
- REO opex consist of three main elements:
- Sales commission paid to servicer
- Servicing fee (maintenance, marketing etc.)
- Cost of sale reversal of book value upon sale (no cash impact)
- Sales commission generally fixed percentage of sales
- Servicing fee generally based on volume under management by the servicer
- Opex to sales ratio declining with volume as the portfolio liquidates
Q2 income statement
Income statement Key comments
|
2Q |
2Q |
2Q LTM |
Jan - Dec |
EURO thousand |
2018 |
2017 |
2018 |
2017 |
| Income |
66 696 , |
26 922 , |
165 813 , |
104 ,734 |
of portfolios Amortization debt |
-12 310 , |
-3 290 , |
-26 901 , |
-14 948 , |
Net revenue |
54,386 |
23,632 |
138,912 |
89,785 |
Cost of secured sold assets |
-17 353 , |
|
-24 921 , |
-1 445 , |
Personnel expenses collection |
-7,975 |
-6 640 , |
-30 111 , |
-26 ,578 |
Personnel expenses other |
-5,170 |
-3 918 , |
-20 900 , |
-18 378 , |
Operating expenses |
-13 278 , |
-6 929 , |
-38 605 , |
-28 ,569 |
| EBITDA |
10,610 |
6,145 |
24,373 |
14,815 |
Amortization and depreciation |
-1 476 , |
-1 148 , |
-5,569 |
-5,327 |
| EBIT |
9 134 , |
4 997 , |
18 805 , |
9 488 , |
Financial revenue |
473 |
1 849 , |
1 ,775 |
3 070 , |
Financial expenses |
-8 994 , |
-1 633 , |
-22 381 , |
-10 ,585 |
Net financial items |
-8 ,521 |
216 |
-20 607 , |
-7,515 |
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/(loss) before tax |
613 |
5,213 |
-1 802 , |
1 974 , |
Tax expense |
-442 |
-582 |
585 |
611 |
Net profit/(loss) from continued operations |
172 |
4,631 |
-1,217 |
2,585 |
CASH EBITDA |
40,566 |
9,401 |
78,359 |
32,695 |
- Net financial items were negative EUR 8.5m for the quarter:
- Interest cost of EUR 8.4m of which EUR 0.9m in amortized loan fees
- Amortized warrant cost of EUR 0.4m
- Positive net FX impact in the quarter of EUR 0.4m
Balance sheet structure
- Portfolio book value is EUR 539m, including REO
- Available cash at end of Q2 is EUR 121m
- Equity ratio of 41%
Forward flow build-up
- Significant forward flow contracts have been signed during the first half of 2018 in Germany, Italy, Norway and Sweden
- Some of the new contracts started late in Q2, while the rest are due to start later in the year
- With the new contracts, total annual forward flow investments will be in the region of EUR 175m
- Contracted forward flow volume will double NPL collections for Germany and Norway in 2019
- The forward flow pipeline is still strong
Axactor funding capacity
- Axactor with approximately 450 mEUR in funding capacity (after closing the Nomura agreement)
- Additional capacity
- Axactor has close to 200 mEUR in accordion options with the Nordic banks
- Bond tap option of 100 mEUR
- Full utilization of additional capacity must be matched by approximately 40% equity
Outlook
- REO market in Spain remains strong
- Rapid growth in Spanish market for secured NPL
- Continued high volumes of unsecured NPL forward flow portfolios from Nordic consumer banks
- Solid 3PC pipeline in Spain
- Expect high cash flow generation to continue in the second half of 2018
Summary Q2 presentation
- Significant ramp-up of cash generation (Cash EBITDA of EUR 41m)
- 20% EBITDA margin in Q2
- Signed significant forward flow portfolios in Germany, Italy, Norway and Sweden
- Establishing new funding line for REO portfolios with Nomura, releasing approximately EUR 100m in cash at lower cost
- Continue to drive efficiency and cost initiatives through One Axactor
- Strong momentum into 2H 2018