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Awilco LNG — Interim / Quarterly Report 2020
Feb 19, 2021
3548_rns_2021-02-19_b3b3bef7-1b2f-475f-bd20-5ee126ec85e4.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Q4 2020 19 February 2021
Disclaimer
This presentation may include certain forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections regarding the intent, opinion, belief, various assumptions or current expectations of Awilco LNG (the "Company") and it's management with respect to, among other things, (i) goals and strategies, (ii) evaluation of the Company's markets, competition and competitive position, and (iii) anticipated future performance and trends which may be expressed or implied by financial or other information or statements contained herein.
All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities and events that will, should, could or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Words such as "may", "could", "should", "would", "expect", "plan", "anticipate", "intend", "forecast", "believe", "estimate", "predict", "propose", "potential", "continue" or the negative of these terms and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements.
These forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future, some of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements, and no representation is made as to the accuracy of these. Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are: changes in LNG transportation market trends; changes in the supply and demand for LNG; changes in trading patterns; changes in applicable maintenance and regulatory standards; changes in applicable regulations and laws; technological developments affecting gas and LNG demand; political events affecting production and consumption of LNG; changes in the financial stability of clients of the Company; the Company's ability to secure employment for available vessels and newbuildings on order; increases in the Company's cost base; failure by yards to comply with delivery schedules; changes to vessels' useful lives and residual values; the Company's ability to obtain financing of the newbuildings and lastly unpredictable or unknown factors with material adverse effects on forward-looking statements.
Neither the receipt of this presentation by any person, nor any information contained herein, constitutes, or shall be relied upon as constituting, any advice relating to the future performance of the Company. Each person should make their own independent assessment of the merits of the Company and its business and should consult their own professional advisors. The information and opinions contained in this presentation relate only as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Board of Directors of the Company or the Company and it's management make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of this presentation or of the information contained herein and none of such parties shall have any liability for the information contained in, or any omissions from, this presentation, nor for any of the written, electronic or oral communications transmitted to the recipient in the course of the recipient's own investigation and evaluation of the Company or its business. Unless legally required, the Company assumes no responsibility or obligation to update publicly or review any of the forward-looking statements contained herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Company overview
Awilco LNG is a fully integrated pure play LNG transportation provider, owning and operating LNG carriers.
The Company owns and operates two 2013-built 156,000 cbm TFDE LNG carriers, WilPride and WilForce, trading in the short term/spot market achieving about 80 % utilisation since delivery.
Awilco LNG is listed on Euronext Expand with ticker ALNG.
1. Highlights
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- Financials Q4
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- Market update
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- Summary
4 th quarter highlights
| Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| Net freight income | MUSD 11.2 | MUSD 2.4 |
| EBITDA | MUSD 7.3 | MUSD (0.5) |
| Net profit | MUSD 1.2 | MUSD (6.5) |
- TCE 1) USD 60,500 pd in Q4 2020 (USD 13,000 pd in Q3 2020 and USD 88,200 pd in Q4 2019)
- Utilisation of 100 % in Q4 2020 vs 99 % in Q3 2020
- Both vessels have been fully operational throughout the Covid-19 pandemic
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WilPride was delivered on a 2-3 months time charter contract in the first half of February with expected gross revenues of between USD 10.3 million and USD 14.3 million
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Highlights
-
Financials Q4
-
Market update
-
Summary
Q4 2020 income statement
| USD million | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freight income | 12.8 | 3.7 | 35.6 | 37.1 |
| Voyage related expenses |
(1.6) | (1.3) | (5.0) | (3.4) |
| Net freight income |
11.2 | 2.4 | 30.7 | 33.7 |
| Other income |
(0.6) | - | (0.6) | 11.6 |
| Operating expenses | (2.4) | (2.2) | (8.9) | (16.4) |
| Administration expenses |
(0.9) | (0.7) | (3.0) | (3.7) |
| EBITDA | 7.3 | (0.5) | 18.1 | 25.2 |
| Depreciation | (3.1) | (3.1) | (12.5) | (13.1) |
| Net finance | (2.9) | (2.8) | (13.5) | (20.4) |
| Profit/(loss) before tax |
1.2 | (6.5) | (7.9) | (8.3) |
| Tax | - | - | - | - |
| Profit/(loss) | 1.2 | (6.5) | (7.9) | (8.3) |
Q4 2020 financial position
| USD million | 31.12.20 | 30.09.20 | 31.12.19 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vessels (right-of-use assets) |
338.3 | 341.1 | 350.0 |
| Other fixed assets | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Total non-current assets |
339.0 | 341.4 | 350.0 |
| Trade receivables | 0.1 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| Other short term assets |
0.9 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 12.6 | 8.0 | 23.5 |
| Total current assets |
13.6 | 13.2 | 27.3 |
| Total assets | 352.6 | 354.6 | 377.4 |
| Total equity | 99.5 | 98.3 | 107.3 |
| Long-term interest bearing debt |
225.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Other non-current liabilities |
0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Non-current liabilities |
225.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Short-term interest bearing debt |
18.8 | 248.2 | 260.2 |
| Other current liabilities |
8.8 | 7.6 | 9.5 |
| Total current liabilities |
27.7 | 255.8 | 269.6 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
352.6 | 354.6 | 377.4 |
Q4 2020 cash flow
| USD million |
Q4'20 | Q3'20 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Flows from Operating Activities: |
||||
| Profit/(loss) before taxes |
1.2 | (6.5) | (7.9) | (8.3) |
| Income taxes paid |
- | - | - | - |
| Interest and borrowing costs expensed |
2.7 | 2.8 | 13.2 | 20.7 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
3.1 | 3.1 | 12.5 | 13.0 |
| Trade receivables, inventory and other short term assets |
3.8 | (1.6) | 2.4 | 5.1 |
| Accounts payable, accrued exp. and deferred revenue |
1.3 | 3.3 | (3.0) | (1.4) |
| Net cash provided by / (used in) operating activities |
12.3 | 1.2 | 17.2 | 29.2 |
| Cash Flows from Investing Activities: |
||||
| Investment in vessels / sale of vessels |
(0.3) | - | (0.7) | (1.0) |
| Net cash provided by / (used in) investing activities |
(0.3) | - | (0.7) | (1.0) |
| Cash Flows from Financing Activities: |
||||
| Proceeds from borrowings | - | - | 262.5 | - |
| Repayment of borrowings |
(4.7) | (4.7) | (270.4) | (7.6) |
| Interest and borrowing costs paid |
(2.6) | (3.3) | (19.5) | (19.6) |
| Net cash provided by / (used in) financing activities |
(7.3) | (8.1) | (27.4) | (27.2) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 4.7 | (6.9) | (10.9) | 1.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period |
8.0 | 14.8 | 23.5 | 22.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
12.6 | 8.0 | 12.6 | 23.5 |
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Highlights
-
Financials Q4
-
Market update
-
Summary
Spot rates
- Sharp increase in LNGC spot rates throughout Q4 2020 into Q1 2021 largely driven by higher Asian LNG prices
- Historical average TFDE market rate USD 76,000 pd with ~45 % volatility
Source: Fearnley LNG, Company calculations
LNG demand growing
DENTED BY COVID-19, BUT STILL UP Y-O-Y
- LNG trade in 2020 up by 0.6 % y-o-y (~2 MT)
- Depending recovery from pandemic, large catchup in under utilised production expected for
Gas prices with historical lows and highs
- Global gas prices bottomed in May 2020 and reached historical highs in Asia at year-end
- After winter peak, prices normalising
- Geographical price differential (arbitrage) creates additional demand for transportation
Source: Fearnley LNG, CME, Company calculations
The BIG picture by DNV GL
PEAK OIL AND COAL NATURAL GAS GROWING
- Peak coal in 2014
- "We predict peak oil has already happened" - DNV GL
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Natural gas the go-to-fuel for flexible power generation to complement renewables and for hard-to-decarbonise industry and shipping
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Natural gas largest energy source in the 2020s
- More than 1,300 bn USD of LNG infrastructure investments is expected in the 2020s
- LNG trade is expected to triple to 2050
200
• Decarbonisation of natural gas may unlock further demand
MTPA MTPA LNG TRAINS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
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150 MTPA new capacity currently under construction
- Further FIDs needed to meet expected demand from 2025
- More than 800 MTPA of new liquefaction capacity is in various stages of planning
Source: IGU, Company presentations, Bloomberg
LNG fleet and orderbook
- Fleet growth of 5.7% during 2020, bringing total LNGC fleet to 539 vessels > 125' cbm at year-end 2020
- 33 newbuilding orders made in 2020 all linked to long term hire and upcoming projects
- Current orderbook 106 LNGC or 20 % of existing fleet
Source: Fearnley LNG
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Highlights
-
Financials Q4
-
Market update
-
Summary
Summary
- ➢ Covid-19 pandemic severely impacted global economic activity and resulted in challenging conditions in the LNGC market in Q2 and Q3 2020. Sharp increase in LNGC spot rates throughout Q4 2020 largely driven by higher Asian LNG prices as buyers underestimated demand during cold winter.
- ➢ LNG trade flow in 2020 was flat despite 20 mtpa of new liquefaction capacity being commissioned, which expected to increase 2021 production when demand catches up
- ➢ Mid- and long-term demand for LNG transportation remains strong
- ─ Natural gas is cheap, abundantly available, environmentally friendly and flexible
- ─ ~30 % growth in LNG supply vs 20 % fleet growth
- ─ Tonne-mile demand growth expected from increased LNG demand in Asia being met by US supplies
- ➢ Awilco LNG
- ─ Fully integrated and proven track record
- ─ Lean and cost focused organisation
- ─ No debt maturities until 2030
A Fully Integrated Pure Play LNG Transportation Provider
Jon Skule Storheill CEO Mobile: +47-9134 4356 E-mail: [email protected]