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AMOTIV LIMITED — M&A Activity 2009
Nov 15, 2009
64396_rns_2009-11-15_1029876f-1012-4a55-ad89-c70bc131b098.pdf
M&A Activity
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16 November 2009
GUD RESPONSE TO BREVILLE’S TARGET’S STATEMENT AND INDEPENDENT EXPERT’S REPORT
In response to Breville Group Limited’s ( Breville ) Target’s Statement and Independent Expert ‘s Report, GUD Managing Director Ian Campbell makes the following points:
“We appreciate that the Breville Board has highlighted the reasons why Breville shareholders might accept the GUD Offer. These reasons include the fact the offer represents a significant premium of 51%[1] ; that Breville shareholders may benefit from increased dividends per share; and that Breville’s share price may fall in the absence of GUD’s offer.”
Mr Campbell also said the Independent Expert’s ( Expert ) Report contained in Breville Group’s Target’s Statement was, in GUD’s view, “flawed”, based on the following points:
1. The information contained in the Expert’s report suggests that at less than 100%, Breville is worth $1.86 per share[2] vs. GUD’s assessed offer value of $2.20 - $2.25:
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This is based on:
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the mid-point of the mean and median of the trading multiples of the comparable companies referenced by the Expert (excluding GUD and Breville) of 6.6x FY10 EBITDA[3] ; PLUS
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the Expert’s “premium for pure control (i.e. excluding synergies) for Breville to be 10%”[4] ; PLUS
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Breville management’s assessment of $1 million - $2 million pre-tax synergies at less than 100%[5] ; PLUS
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excluding the adjustment for onerous lease expenses to Breville’s earnings for consistency with comparable multiples.
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1 Premium to the Breville 1 month VWAP of shares on traded on the ASX prior to announcement of the Offer.
2 Applies mid-point of Expert’s trading multiple valuation range to Breville forecast EBITDA of $38.7 million (excluding adjustment for onerous lease expense), less the mid-point of the Expert’s estimate of Breville’s average net debt, applying a 10% “pure” control premium, and adjusting for synergies worth $12 million (or approximately $0.09 per share on a fully diluted basis) if less than 100% of Breville is acquired.
345 Midpoint of EV/EBITDA multiple valuation range of 6.4x – 6.7x, as per page 43 of the Independent Expert’s Report Page 45 of the Independent Expert’s Report Valued at approximately $12 million by the Expert (refer page 54 of the Independent Expert’s Report) WS: CSF_Melbourne: 1471049: v4
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2. It places insufficient weight on the relative track records of GUD and Breville
- GUD’s total shareholder return over the period since Breville listed in May 1999 was over 4 times greater than that of Breville over the same period[6]
3. The Expert has applied its multiple range to Breville’s normalised[7] EBITDA forecast, while comparable multiples are not normalised
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The ‘comparable’ transaction and trading multiples referenced by the Expert appear to be based on reported earnings forecasts.
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For comparability, Breville should be valued on the basis of its unnormalised forecast EBITDA of $38.7 million[8] .
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Applying the Expert’s multiple range to Breville’s unnormalised earnings would reduce the Expert’s valuation of Breville by approximately $0.10 per share[9]
4. There is no basis for the Expert’s multiple valuation
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The mean and median forecast trading EBITDA multiple of the comparable companies listed by the Expert (excluding Breville and GUD) are 6.4x and 6.7x respectively
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The Expert used 8.0x to 8.5x – and the justification for selecting this range is unclear
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The comparable transaction multiples are irrelevant, for the reasons noted by the Expert
For further details, please contact:
Felicity Allen Kreab Gavin Anderson Tel: + 613 9659 3000
Jo Collins Kreab Gavin Anderson Tel: + 612 9552 4499
6 Refer to Figure 1.3 of the Bidder’s Statement for further details
7 Including adjustment for an onerous lease expense (page 35 of the Target’s Statement)
8 Excludes adjustment for onerous lease expense (page 35 of the Target’s Statement)
9 Comparing enterprise value implied by $41.1 million EBITDA (including adjustment for onerous lease expense) at the midpoint of the Expert’s multiple range of 8x – 8.5x to the enterprise value implied by $38.7 million EBITDA (excluding the adjustment for onerous lease expense) at the same multiple range.
WS: CSF_Melbourne: 1471049: v4