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Aker Horizons Interim / Quarterly Report 2024

Nov 1, 2024

3530_rns_2024-11-01_faf61e40-d5cb-4f51-b3a6-c643006dcf64.pdf

Interim / Quarterly Report

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Third-quarter results 2024

1 November 2024

Main developments

Aker Carbon Capture-SLB JV renamed SLB Capturi; announced its first US-based project

  • SLB Capturi was awarded a contract by CO280 Solutions for FEED of a large-scale carbon capture plant, with expected removal capacity of 800,000 tons of CO2 annually, at a pulp and paper mill on the US Gulf Coast
  • Conclusion of the process for determining future strategy for ACC ASA will be communicated within Q1 2025

Mainstream delivering on pipeline in South Africa and focusing on business optimization

  • South Africa Ilikwa 50 MW solar project reached financial close
  • Andes platform commercial margin improved in Q3
  • Streamlining the business to focus on growth in core markets South Africa, Australia and Philippines, with continued investment in key offshore projects

Narvik Green Ammonia optimization complete; strong data center interest for sites in Northern Norway

  • Concept optimization for Narvik Green Ammonia concluded with decision to move project to Lallasletta
  • MoU signed with Masdar to explore collaboration and investment opportunities in green hydrogen
  • Significant interest from data center players in Kvandal and other industrial sites in the Powered Land site portfolio

SuperNode secured funding to advance superconducting transmission technology development

  • Significant grants secured from Irish and UK institutions to fund research & development
  • Opened new Cable Technology Centre in Blyth, UK, enabling first production of superconducting cables for bulk electricity transmission

Aker Horizons focusing on three Net-Zero levers

Active owner of industry-leading companies driving decarbonization

Developer of industrialscale decarbonization projects

Carbon capture Renewable power & transmission Hydrogen and derivatives

Aker Horizons Asset Development

Mainstream Renewable Power

Mainstream Renewable Power

Leading pure-play renewable energy company

Highlights

  • South Africa Ilikwa 50 MW solar project reached financial close
  • South Africa 100 MW solar project construction on track
  • KF Wind Major milestones achieved including securing grid connection
  • Andes Renovables platform (1.0 GW fully operational) commercial margin improved in Q3
  • Chile Ckhúri 109 MW onshore wind project construction progressing well
  • Cost base reduction targets on track to deliver EUR 28 million in savings from payroll and overhead in 2024
  • Impairment of EUR 134 million recognized reflecting increased market risk in Andes portfolio and other non-core investments and assets

Business plan update

Focus on growth in core markets South Africa, Australia and Philippines, with continued investment in key offshore projects

Further cost optimization programmes planned in 2025

Developing and strengthening partnerships in core markets

Capital recycling plan ongoing and additional funding sources explored to deliver future growth

Andes operational update

Andes commercial margin1

• Positive commercial margin continued in Q3, due to lower internodal price differences on a year-on-year basis and PPA price increases from updated indexations. The lower internodal price differences were mainly driven by seasonally higher hydro generation, resulting in lower withdrawal prices.

Ckhúri construction

  • Positive progress continues with project construction fully released by CMN in July and contractors now mobilized across main site, substation, and overhead line
  • COD target of 2025 maintained, providing optionality given PPA was terminated in 2023

Regulation

  • Electricity subsidy bill has been proposed from 2024-27 to avoid a price increase affecting vulnerable customers and small companies, with first round of votes started.
  • Tariff Stabilization Law second publication has released payments corresponding to the period from November 2023 to February 2024. For Q3, Mainstream recognized EUR 6 million in revenues with the cash impact, including accruals, expected to be EUR 14 million.

Andes commercial margin (EURm) 2

1. Generation revenue net of system cost and PPA commitment

2. Q3 and Q2 2024 margin includes EUR 6m and EUR 20m, respectively, from reassessment revenues for prior periods due to the Tariff Stabilisation Law

Ilikwa financial close

New flexible PPAs to private customers in South Africa

South African market

• Attractive supply demand balance driven by coal plant retirements and growing electricity demand, combined with deregulation opening private markets

Renewable Energy Supply Agreements (RESAs)

  • This new flexible PPA product, called RESA, opens up the energy market in South Africa by giving a wider range of businesses access to affordable, reliable and renewable power
  • Private customers can procure anywhere from 5 MW to 50 MW, from a group of generating facilities, achieving many of the same benefits as PPAs, but with more flexible terms such as shorter-term energy contracts of between five and 10 years

Ilikwa (50 MW, solar PV)

  • Partnership between Mainstream Renewable Power (70%) and Investec (30%)
  • Ilikwa, a 50 MW solar PV plant located in the Free State province, reached financial close in October, marking Mainstream's first dedicated RESA project
  • Construction has already started, and the project is expected to reach commercial operation in early 2026

Supply Gap of 160 TWh by 2040 due to coal decommissioning and electricity demand increases

KF Wind

Major milestones achieved including grid connection

South Korea

  • Government planning five-fold increase of wind and solar to 2038 and is supportive of both renewables and nuclear to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050
  • Offshore auction process encourages wind development through a technology specific revenue multiplier and separate auctions for fixed and floating

Korea Floating Wind

  • 1.1 GW floating offshore wind farm, 80km off the coast of Ulsan, South Korea
  • Phase 1: East Blue Power, 375 MW partnership with Ocean Winds 60%, Mainstream 30%, and Kumyang 10%. Phase 2 – KF Wind, 750 MW joint venture with Ocean Winds 66.7% and Mainstream 33.3%.

Recent developments

  • August: Secured Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) approval from the Ministry of Environment for the totality of the two-phase project
  • September: Completed geotechnical survey for the first phase (375 MW)
  • October: Secured a Transmission Service Agreement (TSA) with Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) for a total of 1,125 MW
  • Government announced offshore wind auctions in Q4 2024 and 2025

Asset Development

Aker Horizons Asset Development

Developing hydrogen-based projects

Highlights

  • Narvik Green Ammonia concept optimization concluded, reduced complexity and significant CAPEX savings
  • MoU signed with Masdar to explore collaboration and investment opportunities in green hydrogen
  • Dialogue with industrial gas player for the Rjukan project terminated, evaluating options
  • Aukra blue hydrogen project discontinued as plans for a new export pipeline from Norway to Germany are shelved
  • Significant interest from data center players for Powered Land sites, exploring sale of sites and powered shell business opportunities
  • Grid facility license (concession) for 130 MW at Ballangsleira approved from NVE

Narvik Green Ammonia

Co-locating production, storage and offloading functions on one compact site at Lallasletta

Powered Land – 80 / 20 owned JV with regional electric utility company Nordkraft

Financials

AKH consolidated income statement Q3 2024

Amounts in NOKm1 ACC MRP AAD Other & elim. Q3 24 Total Q2 24 Total
Operating revenues and other income 6 656 13 -9 666 757
Operating expenses -18 -799 -30 -18 -865 -761
EBITDA -12 -142 -18 -27 -199 -3
Depreciation, amortizations and impairments 0 -1,329 -1 2 -1,328 -150
EBIT -12 -1,471 -18 -24 -1,526 -153
Share of profit (loss) JV's -87 -119 0 -6 -212 -44
Net financial items 53 -452 -3 -62 -464 -312
Tax benefit (expense) 0 -2 0 0 -2 2
Profit (loss) discontinued operations 0 0 0 0 0 4,885
Net profit (loss) -47 -2,044 -21 -92 -2,204 4,379
AKH's share of net profit (loss) -20 -1,116 -21 -92 -1,249 1,798

Net capital employed

  1. Net capital employed is a measure of all assets employed in the operation of a business. The number reflects AKH's share of the portfolio companies net capital employed, calculated as total assets less debt.

External financing and commitments

Overview of debt financing facilities and commitments

Debt Total facility
incl. PIK
Key terms
Subordinated
shareholder loan
NOK 2,514m 6.0% coupon per annum, with deferral option against a
1.0% deferral fee with maturity in January 2026
Subordinated
convertible bond
NOK 1,584m 1.5% coupon per annum (PIK). Initial conversion price at
NOK 43.75 per share with maturity in February 2026
Senior unsecured
green bond1
NOK 2,500m 3m NIBOR + 325 bps coupon per annum with maturity in
August 2025
Revolving credit
facility1
EUR 500m Accordion option to upsize the facility amount to EUR 600
million. Maturity extended to May 2025. Option for a
further 1-year extension
Commitments Total amount Key terms
MRP DNB facility
commitment
USD 129m AKH commitment to provide MRP shareholder loan, callable
in January 2025

Debt maturities

NOK million incl. PIK as of 30 September 2024

  1. Covenant LTV = (Senior interest-bearing debt – cash) / (market value listed companies + book value unlisted companies). As of 30 Sep 2024 this was –6.7% (vs. covenant of +50%), calculation based on values shown in appendix on slide 25

  2. EURNOK of 11.7645 per 30 September 2024

Liquidity and net interest-bearing debt

Cash and undrawn RCF1 as of 30 September 2024 NOK million

Net interest-bearing debt as of 30 September 2024 NOK million

Mainstream project overview

Asset Portfolio Country Technology Gross Capacity
(MW)
Economic
interest
Net Capacity
(MW)
P50 Production
(GWh/y)
FC COD PPA Tariff PPA Volume
(GWh)
PPA Tenor
(years)
Operational
Alena Andes –
Condor
Chile Wind 86 90% 77.4 291 2019 2021 5281
Rio Escondido Andes –
Condor
Chile Solar PV 145 90% 130.5 452 2019 2022 USD 43 20
Cerro Tigre Andes –
Condor
Chile Wind 185 90% 166.5 463 2019 2022 USD 42 4621 20
Tchamma Andes –
Condor
Chile Wind 175 90% 157.5 456 2019 2022 USD 40 4401 20
Valle Escondido Andes –
Huemul
Chile Solar PV 105 90% 94.5 345 2020 2022 6381 20
Pampa Tigre Andes –
Huemul
Chile Solar PV 100 90% 90.0 335 2020 2022 USD 39
Puelche
Sur
Andes –
Huemul
Chile Wind 156 90% 140.4 472 2020 2023 6381 20
Llanos del Viento Andes –
Huemul
Chile Wind 160 90% 144.0 453 2020 2023 USD 39
Operational Sub Total 1,112 1,001
Construction
Corporate PPA South Africa South Africa Solar PV 97.5 49% 47.8 270 2023 2025 N/A N/A N/A
Ilikwa6 South Africa South Africa Solar PV 50 70% 35 141 2024 2026 N/A N/A N/A
Ckhúri Andes –
Huemul
Chile Wind 109 90% 98.1 354 2020 2025 N/A2 N/A2 N/A2
Caman Andes –
Copihue
Chile Wind 148.5 90% 133.7 514 2021 N/A N/A2 N/A2 N/A2
Construction Sub Total 405 315
Total Operational and
Construction
1,517 1,315
Development
Late-stage development3 8.7 GW
Early-stage development4 15.0 GW
Total Development5 23.7 GW

Note: All figures shown on a net ownership basis at 30 September 2024

  1. For PPAs in Chile, DISCOs have the right, but not the obligation to buy up to the contracted volume of the energy supplied by the generator. However, the DISCOs have the obligation to buy contracted energy prior to making spot market purchases and can only turn to the spot market when demand exceeds the contracted volume under existing PPAs.

  2. These Andes Renovables PPAs, which were awarded in 2016, have full CPI indexation from that date.

    1. Ckhúri DISCO PPA termination effective 14 July 2023, while Caman PPA has been temporary withdrawn starting 1 June 2023
    1. Late-stage development refers to stage 4 & 5 projects, i.e. those at permit application and pre-construction stage
  3. Early-stage development refers to stage 2 & 3 projects, i.e. those at land signing and Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) stage

    1. Total Development refers to projects from stage 2 (land signing) through to stage 5 (pre-construction)
    1. Ilikwa included following finance close in early October 2024

Global pipeline of wind and solar assets

Pipeline reflects assets in development, construction and operational

Mainstream financial information

Amounts in EURm Q123 Q223 Q323 Q423 2023 Q124 Q224 Q324
Revenue 44 45 46 44 179 45 66 56
EBITDA (48) (30) (18) (43) (138) (8) 5 (12)
EBIT (62) (448) (31) (146) (687) (24) (8) (127)
Net profit (46) (440) (65) 3 (549) (57) (34) (176)
Total assets 2,837 2,322 2,215 1,869 1,869 1,843 1,896 1,716
Cash 411 549 413 224 224 186 187 183
Equity 1,243 800 729 671 671 622 595 409
Liabilities 1,594 1,522 1,486 1,199 1,199 1,221 1,301 1,307
Net debt2 867 740 854 760 760 840 898 902

Main developments

  • Mainstream's income statement is reflective of the principal activities of development, construction and operation of projects
  • Positive commercial margin continued in Q3, due to lower internodal price differences on a year-on-year basis and PPA price increases from updated indexations. The lower internodal price differences were mainly driven by seasonally higher hydro generation, resulting in lower withdrawal prices. Combined, Q3 commercial margin for Andes was EUR 21m1 . EUR 6m revenue for prior periods was recognized in Q3 due to reassessments following the Tariff Stabilisation Law in Chile. The cash impact, including accrued amounts, is expected to be circa EUR 14m
  • Impairments and write-downs of EUR 134m have been recognized primarily related to operating assets in Chile, various development pipeline projects and investments in associates and joint ventures. The impairments reflect an updated view on market risk in Chile, and updated assessments related to the underlying values of some noncore assets and investments. The Andes portfolio in Chile remains the largest component of total assets at over EUR 1.3 billion, with the balance split across property, plant and equipment, cash and receivables
  • EBITDA in 2024 reflects the positive effect of cost base reductions. Q3 EBITDA adjusted for impairment ended at EUR -1m. Q3 net profit includes finance expenses of EUR 31m, of which EUR 11m relates to the new financing facility put in place at the end of 2023 and EUR 19m from deferred interest on senior and mezzanine debt
  • Restricted cash of EUR 135m at the end of the quarter, mainly related to Andes portfolio. Net debt increased due to drawdown on the financing facility, deferred interest and FX translation effect of USD loans

  • Generation revenue net of system cost and PPA commitment

  • Net debt reflects borrowings at carrying values

Aker Horizons Asset Development financial information1

Amounts in NOKm Q123 Q223 Q323 Q423 2023 Q124 Q224 Q324
Revenue 14 - - 2 17 1 1 10
EBITDA (57) (63) (45) (58) (223) (65) (36) (18)
EBIT (58) (64) (45) (59) (226) (66) (36) (18)
Net profit (67) (82) (49) (94) (293) (75) (39) (21)
Total assets 892 933 942 959 959 970 900 928
Cash 215 187 121 93 93 109 43 38
Equity 660 717 727 695 695 690 677 707
Liabilities 232 216 215 263 263 281 223 222
Net cash and IB
receivables
152 136 69 41 41 59 (8) (9)

Main developments

  • Income statement reflective of the key activities in the period
    • o Continuing to mature the projects in the pipeline
    • o Establishing partnerships on key assets
  • Project costs consist mainly of own hours and third-party study costs, where a large portion of the spend has been dedicated to maturing the Narvik and Rjukan projects
  • Assets of NOK 928 million are mainly related to industrial sites in the Narvik area
  • Liabilities of NOK 222 million are mainly related to acquisitions in Narvik

Aker Horizons and holding companies per Q3 2024 NOK million

Income statement
Operating revenue (net) 19
Operating expenses -45
EBITDA -26
Value change -5,733
Net other financial items -60
Profit (loss) before tax -5,819
6,325
297
2,967
9,588
3,027
6,509
52
9,588
Q3 2024 Balance sheet Q3 2024 Cash flow statement Q3 2024
Investments1 6,325 Cash flow from operating activities -44
Current operating assets 297
Cash and cash equivalents 2,967 Net payment for investments -71
Assets 9,588 Cash flow from investing activities -71
Equity 3,027 Cash flow from financing activities -
Interest-bearing debt 6,509 Total cash flow in the period -115
Non-interest-bearing debt 52 Revaluation of cash and cash equivalents -
Equity and liabilities 9,588 Cash in the beginning of the period 3,082
Cash and cash equivalents 30 Sep 2024 2,967

25 1. Aker Horizons ASA and holding companies prepares and presents its accounts in accordance with the Norwegian Act and generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), to the extent applicable. Accordingly, exchange-listed shares owned by Aker Horizons and holding companies are recorded in the balance sheet at the lower of market value and cost price

Sustainability

Sustainability commitment across three core themes

Environment

• Our investment thesis is grounded in a desire to be planet-positive, and we commit to accelerating Net Zero commitments and decarbonization of industries

Social

• We are dedicated to respect for human rights, and ensure diversity, inclusion and a secure working environment

Governance

• We ensure good corporate governance throughout our organization

Alignment with international frameworks1

Disclaimer

This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker Horizons ASA and Aker Horizons ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "intends", "may", "outlook", "plan", "strategy", "estimates" or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including with respect to Covid-19 pandemic and its impacts, consequences and risks. You should not place undue reliance on these forwardlooking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker Horizons' businesses, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, actions of competitors, the development and use of new technology, particularly in the renewable energy sector, inability to meet strategic objectives, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although Aker Horizons ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. Aker Horizons ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither Aker Horizons ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use. Any forward-looking statement and any other information included in this presentation speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update any of these statements after the date of this presentation.

This presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may be lawfully communicated ("relevant person"). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included herein. This presentation does not constitute an offering of any of the securities described herein.

The Aker Horizons group consists of many legally independent entities, constituting their own separate identities. In this document we may sometimes use "Aker Horizons", "Group, "we" or "us" when we refer to Aker Horizons companies in general or where no useful purpose is served by identifying any particular Aker Horizons company.

To learn more about Aker Horizons visit akerhorizons.com