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Acea — Investor Presentation 2016
Nov 28, 2016
4350_rns_2016-11-28_6954717e-e9b4-4bcb-8122-7474e3b63df2.pdf
Investor Presentation
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2015 Results 2016-2020 Business Plan
November 2016
Agenda
2016-2020 Business Plan highlights
Acea today
WATER
Leading operator in Italy ~ 42% of Group EBITDA
Lazio, Tuscany, Umbria and Campania
- Water sold: 527 million m3
- Customers: nearly 9 million
- Engineering, procurement, construction and management of integrated water services, laboratory analysis
- Water Management services in Latin American countries
One of the main Italian energy retailers
~ 15% of Group EBITDA
- Electricity sold: over 9.4TWh
- Customers: ~ 1.4 million
- 7 hydroelectric power plants (122 MW)
- 3 thermo/cogen plants (243 MW).
Number 6 Italian operator ~ 8% of Group EBITDA Umbria, Lazio and Tuscany Waste treated: ~ 770,000 Tons
Electricity produced (WTE): 265 GWh
One of the leading operators in Italy
- ~ 35% of Group EBITDA
- Electricity distributed: ~ 11 TWh in the city of Rome
- Public lighting and floodlighting managed: over 217,000 lighting points
- Energy efficiency projects.
2015 data
Well-positioned to capture opportunities in all business areas
Source: CONSOB (November 2016) and Companies' data
Acea's Ownership Structure EBITDA from Regulated activities
Strategic Pillars
ACEA Group
Maintaining our strategic pillars…..
Balanced risk profile
- 74% of EBITDA from regulated businesses at the end of the Plan
- 80% of investment in regulated businesses
Efficiencies and innovation
- ~94 €m of efficiencies relates to Acea 2.0 (billing, WFM, insourcing)
- Corporate rationalisation
- Operational efficiency
Organic growth
- Focus on regulated businesses
- New regulatory framework for electricity distribution and water
- Upgrade/development of WTE and composting plants
Financial strength
- Improving financial ratios: Net Debt/Ebitda 2020 2.5x
- Working capital optimization
…. increasing shareholder returns: Dividend Per Share CAGR: 3%-6%
Further opportunities not included in the Plan targets
- Acquisitions of water companies in existing areas of operation
- Consolidation in core areas
- Acquisitions in Latin America
Acea 2.0 – digital and technological transformation
New corporate culture open to change
Acea is revolutionising the way it goes about its business, making sizeable investments in digital technologies
CUSTOMERS
~831 PLANTS
~140,000 KM of NETWORKS
ACEA 2.0 Programme: an ambitious strategic initiative, and a crucial stage in the Group's growth process.
Faced with the arduous task of ensuring the integrity, univocity and quality of data handled, ACEA has chosen SAP solutions (world leader in the sphere of management systems for Utilities).
~7,000 EMPLOYEES
The drivers of technological innovation
Real time Use in mobility
NEW OPERATING MODEL
Total uniformity
RE-ENGINEERING OF PROCESSES
Acea 2.0
ACEA Group
2016-2020 Business Plan Acea Group
Key highlights
ACEA Group
CONSOLIDATED TRACK RECORD OF EXCEEDING PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED TARGETS
| 2015 | 2020 Plan |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (€m) | 732 | 890 | EBITDA CAGR 2015-2020: +4.0% |
| NET PROFIT before non-controlling interests (€m) |
182 | 276 | |
| NET DEBT (€m) | 2,010 | 2,252 | 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: ~12% |
| NET DEBT/EBITDA | 2.7x | 2.5x | DPS CAGR 2015-2020: 3%-6% |
| INVESTED CAPITAL (€m) | 3,606 | 4,244 | PAYOUT RATIO: 50%-60% |
All Acea employees are committed to the successful execution of the Group's Strategic Plan
2016-2020 Business Plan
EBITDA: growth by business area
EBITDA trend €m
Holding
- Roll-in Acea 2.0
- Insourcing of activities
- Redundancy plan
- Corporate rationalisation
- Optimisation of real estate
Environment
- Completion of San Vittore plant
- Revamping of WTE in Lazio region
- Growth in composting market
Energy
- Introduction of Acea 2.0
- Customers: consolidation of customer base in 2017 and growth in 2020
Water
- Revised WACC
- Bonus for quality
- Acea 2.0-WFM
Grids
- Revised WACC
- Introducton of Acea 2.0- WFM
- Renewal of Public Lighting contract
- Growth in Public Lighting (Campania)
2016-2020 Business Plan Acceleration of efficiencies identified
Total efficiencies over the period of the Plan: €94m from 2020: ~ €40m on a recurring basis
ACEA Group
Capex optimization
Debt Structure
Long-term debt life and a solid liquidity position
Thanks to the above transactions :
Extension of the average term to maturity of the debt: 7.8 years
Reduction of the average cost of the debt: 2.97%
ACEA Group
2016-2020 Business Plan Environment
2016-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
- Number 3 operator in Italy in 2020
- Completion of previously approved initiatives:
- Revamping line 1 of San Vittore WTE plant in Lazio
- Construction of new composting plant with anaerobic digestion
- Expansion of Orvieto landfill
- Development of composting and sludge conditioning plants
- Consolidation in regions where present, with potential for synergies with other areas of business
| ('000 tons) | 2015 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| WTE | 354 | 553 |
| Mechanical treatment |
- | 355 |
| Landfill | 94 | 133 |
| Composting/anaerobic digestion |
7 | 310 |
| Chemical conditioning of sludge for use in agriculture |
29 | 196 |
| Sludge management |
224 | 241 |
| Liquid waste | - | 295 |
| Total | 708* | 2,083 |
Opportunities Risks
Regulatory:
- Completion of management of waste cycle in Lazio region Competitors:
- Number 6 operator in Italy in Environment sector by volume of waste treated, with 2.4% share of Italian market
- Leading Italian operator of composting plants
Growth:
- Insourcing of sludge treatment at Group level
- Average IRR for acquisitions / new constructions approx. 14%
Plants:
Delays in investment in construction or revamping of plants
Regulatory:
Changes to regulatory framework and authorisation process
Environmental:
- Environmental risks
- Local relations (administrative challenges, protest groups)
Targets and Results
2016-2020 Business Plan Energy
2016-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
Retail
- Moderate growth of customer base, with focus on existing areas of operation
- Improved service quality
- Acea 2.0: new billing and CRM system
- Efficiency of processes and overheads, including via insourcing Production
- Plants modernisation: Castel Madama and Mandela
- Devolopment of energy efficiency initiatives
Opportunities
Risks
Regulatory:
Complete revision of RCV (Remuneration commercialisation retail)
Systems:
Improved billing performance
Regulatory:
Failure to revise RCV
Competitors:
Increase in churn rate
Systems:
Migration of data and ''go-live'' of new billing system
Targets and Results
2016-2020 Business Plan Water
2016-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
- New Regulation: cycle 2016-2019 (quality award)
- Acea 2.0 project: radical transformation, standardisation and integration of all IT systems, obtaining operating cost and process efficiencies
-
Overseas growth (Latin America)
-
ATO2-Roma (expiry 2032)
- ATO5 Frosinone (exp. 2032)
- Other ATOs:
- ATO3 Firenze (exp. 2021)
- ATO6 Siena-Grosseto (exp. 2026)
- ATO2 Pisa (exp. 2021)
- ATO1 Perugia (exp. 2027)
- ATO3 Sarnese V. (exp. 2032)
Opportunities Risks
Regulatory:
- Recognition of FoNI component (to finance new investment)
- Introduction of a component linked to quality factor
Systems:
Improved billing performance
External growth:
Acquisition opportunities
Systems:
Roll out new IT platform
2016-2020 Business Plan
Regulatory Opportunities
Introduction of a component linked to quality factor
The new MTI-2 tariff method also provides incentive mechanisms for the improvement of the contractual and technical quality of the service, by introducing two different mechanisms of awards/penalties.
- The first one involves an award for performance improvements compared to the minimum standards defined by the national Authority. This mechanism is defined with the local Authority and the maximum amount of the premium is a function of the operator's efficiency in comparison to the national average.
In fact the premium is higher, the more the operator is efficient compared to the national average operating cost per customer served, set by the national Authority at 109 € per customer. The award is not subject to the tariff increase limit.
Relating to ATO2, for 2016 a quality award of maximun €30m has been approved. Acea foresees a quality award for 2016 equal to ~ €18m (not included in Business Plan targets)
| ATO2 - Quality Awards (€m) |
2017-2020 Total |
Annual impact from 2019 on |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximun Value |
104 | 35 | |||
| Impact included in BP targets |
62 | 24 | |||
| ATO 5 | |||||
| No awards, operating cost for customer served is higher than national avarage |
- The second mechanism, which is valid throughout the entire Country, is supplied by a specific tariff component, mandatory for all operators, to be allocated to a specific fund for the quality. During the first activation this mechanism promotes, rewarding the best practices, the growth of the contractual quality levels with respect to the parameters defined by the resolution on the contractual quality (655/2015/R/idr). Not included in Business Plan targets
Recognition of FoNI component
| FoNI component (€m) |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATO2 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 6 |
| ATO5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
On 27 July 2016, the Mayors' Conference for the ATO2 concession area approved the tariff determinations for the period 2016-2019. The determinations establish that the tariff increases to be applied in 2016 are to be spread out over time, in return for recognition of a financial charge as compensation for the deferral.
Targets and Results
Net Debt (€m)
RAB: ATO2 Lazio Centrale
RAB: Companies consolidated using equity method
and ATO5 Frosinone
Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan 23
2016-2020 Business Plan Grids
2016-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
- New Regulation: tariff cycle 2016-2023
- Acea2.0 project: improvement of service quality, cost efficiencies
- Modernisation of distribution network
- Modernisation of public lighting network (''Roma LED'')
Opportunities Risks
Regulatory:
Recognition of t-1 depreciation in tariffs
Growth:
- Acquisition of minor grids
- IP LED technology in other municipalities
Systems:
Improved billing performance
Regulatory:
- Impact of new regulatory cycle
- Quality and service continuity
Systems:
Migration of data and go-live of new billing system
Targets and Results
2015 Plan 2020
Grids
2016-2020 Business Plan
Corporate
Targets and results
- Further simplify the corporate structure
- Facilitate synergies through Project Acea 2.0
- Greater operational efficiency insourcing
2016-2020 Capex: €54m
2020 EBITDA: ~€3m
A solid base for the future Additional initiatives not included in Business Plan
ACQUISITIONS SUBJECT TO BoD DECISIONS
PROCESS SUBJECT TO LOCAL AUTHORITIES' AND PUBLIC SHAREHOLDERS' DECISIONS
* Consolidated using the equity method
Recent acquisitions
Initiatives already identified, but not included in the targets in Business Plan 2016-2020
Business Plan: Key Takeaways
2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 15.9% ACEA GROUP
2016-2020 CAPEX: €2.4bn
2020 EBITDA: €890m
CAGR EBITDA: +4.0%
DPS CAGR: 3%-6%
2020 NET DEBT: €2,252m
Environment
2020 EBITDA: €91m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €262m
Energy 2020 EBITDA: €138m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €159m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 13.9%
Water 2020 EBITDA: €380m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €1,042m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 11.5%
Grids 2020 EBITDA: €277m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €878m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 9.3%
Conclusions
Continued efforts in operating efficiency
Stable and predictable regulatory framework
Significant investment ensuring the Company's future growth
Strong financial position
Attractive shareholder returns as main strategic priority
Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan 32 ACEA Group
Appendix
Appendix
9M 2016 Results - 3Q 2016 Results
1H 2016 Results
2015 Results
Water regulatory framework
Electricity Distribution regulatory framework
Main assumptions and sensitivity analysis
Environmental Sustainability
9M 2016 Financial highlights
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
% change |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated revenues | 2,167.7 | 2,047.5 | -5.5% | |
| EBITDA | 530.9 | 646.1 | +21.7% | Impact of accounting for Resolution 654/2015: |
| EBIT | 284.8 | 378.1 | +32.8% | €76.5m |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 216.9 | 317.0 | +46.2% | |
| Group net profit/(loss) | 136.6 | 200.9 | 47.1% | Impact of accounting for Resolution 654/2015: |
| Tax rate | 34.6% | 34.5% | €51.5m | |
| Capex | 284.8 | 346.8 | +21.8% |
| (€m) | 30 Sept 2015 (a) |
31 Dec 2015 (b) |
30 Sep. 2016 (c) |
Change (c-a) |
Change (c-b) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET DEBT | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | 2,138.7 | 7.9 | 128.6 |
| Shareholders' Equity | 1,553.8 | 1,596.1 | 1,682.1 | 128.3 | 86.0 |
| Invested Capital |
3,684.6 | 3,606.2 | 3,820.8 | 136.2 | 214.6 |
9M 2016 EBITDA
| Number of employees | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Acea Spa | 640 | 624 |
| Environment | 220 | 248 |
| Energy | 539 | 556 |
| Water | 2,215 | 2,155 |
| Network | 1,348 | 1,309 |
| Total* | 4,962 | 4,892 |
* Figures does not include ~ 3,000 employees related to companies consolidated using the equity method
EBITDA €m
EBITDA 9M 2016
SAO: +€1.2m
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
% change |
Key quantitative data | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 40.4 | 42.1 | +4.2% | Treatment and disposal (/000s of tonnes) |
570 | 607 |
| Capex | 14.9 | 30.3 | +103.4 | WTE electricity sold (GWh) |
196 | 196 |
Energy Electricity sales margin increase +€19.1m
EBITDA main drivers Electricity production margin decrease (fall in energy prices and volumes decrease) -€1.7m
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
% change | Key quantitative data | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA Production |
77.7 25.8 |
95.1 24.1 |
+22.4% -6.6% |
Total electricity production (GWh) - Of which photovoltaic production |
380 12 |
308 9 |
| Sales | 51.9 | 71.0 | +36.8% | Total electricity sold (GWh) Enhanced Protection Market Free Market |
7,200 2,283 4,917 |
6,271 2,036 4,235 |
| Capex | 14.6 | 38.7 | 165.1 | (Mm3) Total gas sold |
88 | 77 |
Acea ATO2: +€34.8m (quality award €9m)
Overseas water operations: -€2.5m
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
% change |
Key quantitative data | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 225.5 | 257.3 | +14.1% | Total volume of water sold (Mm3) |
316 | 309 |
| Of which: Profit/(loss) on investments consolidated under IFRS11 |
20.8 | 20.8 | - | |||
| Capex | 128.3 | 150.4 | +17.2% |
On 27 July 2016, the Mayors' Conference for the ATO2 concession area approved the tariff determinations for the period 2016-2019. The determinations establish that the tariff increases to be applied in 2016 are to be spread out over time, in return for recognition of a market financial charge as compensation for the deferral.
EBITDA main drivers
- Grids Recognition of the positive component linked to the regulatory change introduced by AEEGSI Resolution 654/2015: +€76.5m
- Public Lighting: -€3.4m
Areti margin decrease (new tariff cycle 2016-2023): -€11.2m
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
% change |
Key quantitative data | 9M 2015 |
9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 187.7 | 249.6 | +33.0% | Total electricity distributed (GWh) |
7,959 | 7,594 |
| Capex | 102.4 | 120.6 | +17.8% | |||
| Corporate | Impact of accounting 654/2015: €76.5m |
for Resolution | ||||
| (€m) | 9M 2015 |
2016 | 9M | % change |
||
| EBITDA | (0.4) | 2.0 | n/m | |||
| Capex | 24.6 | 6.9 | n/m |
9M 2016 EBIT and Net Profit
9M 2016 Cash flow
| CASH FLOW ANALYSIS (€m) | 9M 2015 |
2015 | 9M 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 531 | 732 | 646 |
| Change in net working capital | (59) | 98 | (134) |
| Investment | (287) | (423) | (349) |
| Free Cash Flow | 185 | 407 | 164 |
| Net finance income/(costs) | (67) | (90) | (61) |
| Income tax expense | (75) | (115) | (109) |
| Dividends | (96) | (96) | (107) |
| Other | 11 | (27) | (15) |
| Total Cash Flow | (42) | 79 | (128) |
* Before impairment losses on receivables
9M 2016 Net Debt
| 12 October 2016 | Acea announced the launch of a tender offer for the partial buyback of bonds maturing in 2018 and 2020, amounting to a total of €300,000,000. |
|---|---|
| 19 October 2016 | Acea completed the placing of 10-years fixed rate bond totalling €500m (as part of €1.5bn EMTN): oversubscription ~2x; gross annual coupon 1%; issue price 98.377%; minimum denomination €100,000. Listed on the market regulated by the Luxembourg Stock Exchange. |
| 24 October 2016 | Acea announced that it had received valid tenders for bonds with a total value of €346,836,000. |
Thanks to the above transactions :
Extension of the average term to maturity of the debt: 7.8 years
Reduction of the average cost of the debt: 2.97%
3Q 2016 Financial highlights
| Efficiency |
|---|
| Innovation acea |
| Balanced risk profile |
| (€m) | 3Q 2015 |
3Q 2016 |
% change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated revenues | 726.5 | 660.8 | -9.0% |
| EBITDA | 177.6 | 202.3 | +13.9% |
| EBIT | 82.2 | 104.0 | +26.5% |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 60.0 | 84.6 | +41.0% |
| Group net profit/(loss) | 37.3 | 51.4 | +37.8% |
| Environment EBITDA main drivers |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€m) | 3Q 2015 |
3Q 2016 |
% change |
||||
| EBITDA | 13.3 | 12.9 | -3.0% |
| (€m) | 3Q | 3Q | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | change | ||
| EBITDA | 78.8 | 92.7 | +17.6% |
| (€m) | 3Q | 3Q | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | change | |
| EBITDA | 21.7 | 25.4 | +17.1% |
| (€m) | 3Q | 3Q | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | change | |
| EBITDA | 64.4 | 68.9 | +7.0% |
1H 2016 Results
1H 2016 Financial highlights
| (€m) | 1H 2015 | 1H 2016 | % change |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated revenues | 1,441.1 | 1,386.7 | -3.8% | |||
| EBITDA | 353.3 | 443.7 | +25.6% | |||
| EBIT | 202.7 | 274.1 | +35.2% | Impact of accounting €63.3m |
for Resolution | 654/2015: |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 156.8 | 232.3 | +48.2% | |||
| Net Profit/(Loss) | 103.6 | 154.3 | +48.9% | |||
| Minority Interest | 4.3 | 4.8 | +11.6% | |||
| Group net profit/(loss) | 99.3 | 149.5 | +50.6% | Impact of accounting €41.0m |
for Resolution | 654/2015: |
| Capex | 167.5 | 220.8 | +31.8% | |||
| (€m) | 30 June 2015 (a) |
31 Dec 2015 (b) |
30 June 2016 (c) |
Change (c-a) |
Change (c-b) |
|
| NET DEBT | 2,128.9 | 2,010.1 | 2,131.9 | 3.0 | 121.8 | |
| Shareholders' Equity | 1,518.6 | 1,596.1 | 1,631.4 | 112.8 | 35.3 | |
| Invested Capital |
3,647.5 | 3,606.2 | 3,763.3 | 115.8 | 157.1 |
2015 Results
2015 Financial highlights
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | Change % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,038.3 | 2,917.3 | -4.0% | |||||
| EBITDA | 717.7 | 732.0 | +2.0% | Increased |
depreciation | and | ||
| EBIT | 390.4 | 386.5 | -1.0% | growth | amortisation (capex intangible |
growth: assets resulting |
||
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 289.8 | 296.4 | +2.3% | from the entry in operation information technology) |
of | |||
| Taxes* | 120.9 | 114.9 | -5.0% | Reduced (improved |
bad debt collections) |
provisions | ||
| Net profit/(loss) | 168.9 | 181.5 | +7.5% | Increased |
provisions | |||
| Minority interest | 6.4 | 6.5 | +1.6% | |||||
| Group net profit/(loss) | 162.5 | 175.0 | +7.7% | |||||
| Dividend per share (€) | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.1% | |||||
| Capex | 318.5 | 428.9 | +34.7% | | 84% of capex regards businesses, with positive impact on development of RAB |
regulated | ||
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 (b) |
31 Dec 2015 (c) |
Change (c/a) |
Change (c/b) |
|||
| NET DEBT | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | -3.8% | -5.7% | |||
| Shareholders' Equity | 1,502.4 | 1,553.8 | 1,596.1 | +6.2% | +2.7% | |||
| Invested | Capital | 3,591.5 | 3,684.6 | 3,606.2 | +0.4% | -2.1% |
*Tax expense reflects the negative impact of the reassessment of deferred taxation:
- recognition, in 2014, of a charge of €17.1m due to abolition of "Robin Hood Tax";
- recognition, in 2015, of a charge of €19.9m due to reduction in IRES rate from 2017 (2016 Stability Law).
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 54.5 | 57.4 | +5.3% | Treatment and disposal ('000s of tonnes) |
774 | 765 |
| Capex | 13.3 | 25.9 | +94.7% | WTE electricity sold (GWh) |
249 | 265 |
Electricity production: +€0.4m Fall in energy prices and reduced volumes Consolidation of photovoltaic business
Electricity sales: -€4.1m
Recognition of non-recurring item
Increased margin from enhanced protection market due to revised retail price Reduced margin from free market (lower volumes)
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change |
Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 111.6 | 107.9 | -3.3% | Total Electricity production (GWh) |
513 | 470 |
| Production | 33.8 | 34.2 | +1.2% | Total Electricity sold (GWh) |
10,887 | 9,419 |
| Sales | 77.8 | 73.7 | -5.3% | Enhanced Protection Market | 3,000 | 2,951 |
| Free Market | 7,887 | 6,468 | ||||
| Capex | 19.7 | 30.6 | +55.3% | Total Gas sold (Mmc) |
103 | 126 |
Efficiency Acea ATO2: tariff increase +€16.7m
Growth at companies consolidated using the equity method +€9.6m
Overseas water operations: +€0.4m
Recognition, in 2014, of non-recurring items by Acea Ato2 for adjustments
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 292.2 | 310.8 | +6.4% | Total volume of water sold | 540 | 527 |
| of which: Profit/(Loss) on investments consolidated under IFRS 11 |
19.0 | 28.6 | +50.5% | (Mmc) | ||
| Capex | 148.9 | 204.4 | +37.3% |
- Operational efficiency and new technologies
- Acea Distribuzione margin increase
- Pubblic Lighting margin increase
- Deconsolidation of photovoltaic business
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 253.3 | 255.7 | +0.9% | Total Electricity distributed |
10,294 | 10,557 |
| Capex | 122.4 | 156.2 | +27.6% | (GWh) |
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 6.1 | 0.2 | n.s. |
| Capex | 14.2 | 11.8 | -16.9% |
Regulatory framework
Water regulatory framework
RESOLUTION 664/2015 "Approval of the Water Tariff Regime for the second regulatory period MTI-2" 28 December 2015
On 28 December of last year, the AEEGSI approved its Final Resolution (664/2015), setting out the Water Tariff Regime for the second regulatory period (2016-2019).
The applicable regulations are broadly based on a matrix chart with 6 different quadrants relating to: the ratio of required capex to the value of existing infrastructure; eventual changes in the operator's objectives or operations (consolidation, significant improvements in service quality); the value of the operator's opex per inhabitant served compared with the estimated average opex for the sector as a whole in 2014.
Key points in the Resolution are set out below:
- The duration of the regulatory period has been set at four years, with biennial revision of the RAB and of controllable opex. The cost of debt and tax expense may be reviewed every two years in the event of "significant changes".
- There is further support for the consolidation process, allowing for tariffs to be standardised in the event of a combination of operators holding concessions for different areas.
- A system of quality performance rewards and penalties has been introduced. The reward component is excluded from any tariff caps.
- Application of a tariff multiplier has been confirmed.
- The "sharing" mechanism has been confirmed, based on a matrix that penalises the least efficient operators.
- The mechanism for allowing for a portion of late payment costs has been defined (80% of the costs effectively incurred by operators), taking into account the varying impact of this problem throughout the country (North: 2.1% of turnover; Central: 3.8% of turnover; South: 7.1% of turnover) and providing incentives for the adoption of efficient credit management solutions.
- The "ψ" parameter, on which determination of the component intended to pre-finance the cost of new investment (FNI), may be selected within a range of 0.4-0.8.
- The distinction between non-controllable and controllable opex has been retained. Costs linked to the integration of operations and/or significant improvements in service quality are also allowed for.
- The cost of debt has been set at 2.8% (compared with 2% for the electricity sector).
- The ERP (Equity Risk Premium) is 4% (compared with 5.5% for the electricity sector).
- The real RF (Risk Free) rate is 0.5%, determined on the basis of yields on 10-year euro area government bonds with ratings of at least "AA" (in line with the electricity sector).
- The WRP (Water Risk Premium) is 1.5% (compared with a CRP Country Risk Premium of 1% used in the electricity sector).
- The 1% time-lag for capex has been confirmed.
Based on the provisions in the Resolution, the WACC for the Water sector is 5.34% (compared with 6.1% for the regulatory period 2014-2015 and 6.4% for the period 2012-2013).
Electricity Distribution regulatory framework
RESOLUTION 654/2015 and 583/2015
"Tariff regulation for the supply of electricity transmission, distribution and metering services in the regulatory period 2016-2023" (December, 2015)
"Rate of return on capital invested in infrastructure services in the electricity and gas sectors: criteria for determination and revision" (December, 2015)
The Regulator has extended the duration of the regulatory period to eight years, dividing it into two sub-periods, each lasting four years. In the second sub-period (2020-2023), a Totex-based approach will be introduced.
Key points in the Resolution are set out below:
- Opex based on 2014 figures.
- Equal allocation of productivity improvements (sharing) among users and operators (50%-50%).
- Greater selectivity applied to capex, with particular attention paid to service quality.
- A reduction in the time-lag from 2 to 1 year.
- Confirmation of the determination of net working capital with reference to parameters based on net fixed assets, applying a lower percentage than the one applied in previous regulatory periods.
GAS GRIDS
The WACC is fixed for two years (2016-2017) for the transmission service and for three years (2016-2018) for gas distribution and storage:
Gas transmission: 5.4% (compared with the previous 6.3%);
Gas distribution: 6.1% (compared with the previous 6.9%);
Storage: 6.5% (compared with the previous 6.0%).
ELECTRICITY GRIDS
The WACC is fixed for three years (2016-2018) for the electricity transmission and distribution
Electricity transmission: 5.3% (compared with the previous 6.3%)
Electricity distribution: 5.6% (compared with the previous 6.4%)
Main assumptions
Main assumptions
| Main assumptions |
2015 | 2016 Plan |
2017 Plan |
2018 Plan |
2019 Plan |
2020 Plan |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange | \$/€ | 1.110 | 1.119 | 1.031 | 1.082 | 1.180 | 1.220 |
| Brent | \$/Bbl | 52.4 | 53.6 | 61.8 | 66.9 | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| PUN | €/MWh | 52.3 | 47.7 | 45.8 | 46.8 | 47.6 | 48.6 |
| Green certificates |
€/MWh | 100.1 | 102.0 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 103.3 | 102.5 |
| EU-ETS | €/tons of CO2 |
7.7 | 10.8 | 10.3 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 14.5 |
| CIP6 | €/MWh | 224.6 | 217.9 | 225.6 | 227.0 | 224.4 | 226.8 |
Sensitivity analysis on key drivers
Sensitivity to oil prices (dollar per barrel impact in €m on Group EBITDA) GROUP EBITDA +1\$/Barrel 0.14€m
Acea Group Presentation
ACEA – SUSTAINABILITY
Acea is assessed by leading analysts, rating Agencies and ESG asset managers:
- Oekom Research
- Vigeo
- KeplerCheuvreux
- Forum Ethibel
- Kempen SNS
GOVERNANCE
- Acea has more women on its Board of Directors than any other listed company (44%)
- Acea SpA's Chairwoman has the authority to oversee activities and corporate processes relating to aspects of environmental impact and social sustainability
- The Sustainability Report is published with the Annual Report
- The Sustainability Plan for 2016-2020 is being prepared
- Acea's Ethics Committee consisting of 3 Directors and 2 external members – promotes and oversees application of the
Group's Code of Ethics, art. 7 of which focuses on Sustainability
SOCIAL
- Acea has financed and supported around 800 projects presented by members of the public and associations from Rome's district councils
- The ELENA (Experimenting Flexible Labour Tools for Enterprises by Engaging Men And Women) project is part of the European REC (Rights, Equality and Citizenship) programme, which aims to trial flexible forms of labour designed to improve the work-life balance
- Long-standing relationships with suppliers in order to establish lasting partnerships
ENVIRONMENTAL
- Satellite monitoring used to protect drinking water sources
- 78% of the electricity generated is produced from renewable sources (613 GWh out of 783 GWh)
- Low carbon footprint for the water distribution system (0.41 kg of CO2/m3)
- Composting as a means of promoting a circular economy
- AReti has a major Italian presence in smart grids and LED lighting
- RoMA (Resilience enhancement of Metropolitan Areas) project – advanced models for services and the management and experimentation of new forms of interaction between citizens and the public sector in critical situations
Acea is engaged on CSR also through its COP (Communication on Progress) promoted by Global Compact Network. From 2014 the Acea COP qualifies for Advanced level - only 12 Italian Companies.
The last Acea ranking (99 B) represents a high level of transparency in the communication of practices adopted to combat climate change and the ability to limit the carbon footprint of processes. In the Utilities sector, in which seven enterprises are represented, Acea achieved the third best evaluation, behind Enel and Snam.
| Organization | Answer: Public/ Not Public Score |
Final |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | ||
| A2A | Public | 96C |
| ACEA SpA | Public | 99B |
| Enel Green Power SpA SA | N/A | |
| ENEL SpA | Public | 100B |
| Hera | Public | 98B |
| Iren SpA | Public | 97C |
| Snam S.P.A | Public | 100B |
| Terna | Public | 96C |
Acea signs up to the UN's Global Compact from 2007, committing to integrate the ten principles regarding human rights and labour, environmental protection and efforts to combat corruption into its strategic vision and organisational culture and to support the UN's wider Sustainable Development Goals. Through its Communications on Progress (COPs), Acea informs stakeholders about the activities carried out and the results achieved. From 2014, Acea's COPs have been classified as Advanced, in that they go beyond the basic requirements. There are 1,735 companies in the world out of 20,540 classified as Advanced, including 12 in Italy.
The Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), the organisation that assesses corporate disclosure regarding climate change and water, has ranked Acea as 99B, indicating a high degree of transparency in its communication of the measures adopted to combat climate change and its ability to limit greenhouse gas emissions. Acea is the third best performer among Italian utilities after Enel and Snam.
Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan 61 Acea Group Presentation ACEA Group
Coming soon: next challenges concerning Sustainability
2016 Corporate Governance Code for Listed Companies and application of corporate social responsibility principles
2017
EU Directive 95/2014 as regards disclosure of non-financial and diversity information
Acea is ready to comply with upcoming disclosure obligations and grasp the opportunities arising from the strategic management of aspects of ESG in its operations, to ensure the sustainable creation of shared value
Disclaimer
THIS PRESENTATION CONTAINS CERTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT REFLECT THE COMPANY'S MANAGEMENT'S CURRENT VIEWS WITH RESPECT TO FUTURE EVENTS AND FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE OF THE COMPANY AND ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON ACEA S.P.A.'S CURRENT EXPECTATIONS AND PROJECTIONS ABOUT FUTURE EVENTS. BECAUSE THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES, ACTUAL FUTURE RESULTS OR PERFORMANCE MAY MATERIALLY DIFFER FROM THOSE EXPRESSED THEREIN OR IMPLIED THEREBY DUE TO ANY NUMBER OF DIFFERENT FACTORS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BEYOND THE ABILITY OF ACEA S.P.A. TO CONTROL OR ESTIMATE PRECISELY, INCLUDING CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK, FUTURE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS, FLUCTUATIONS IN THE PRICE AND AVAILABILITY OF FUEL AND OTHER RISKS.
YOU ARE CAUTIONED NOT TO PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN, WHICH ARE MADE ONLY AS OF THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION. ACEA S.P.A. DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO PUBLICLY RELEASE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT EVENTS OR CIRCUMSTANCES AFTER THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION.
THIS PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A RECOMMENDATION REGARDING THE SECURITIES OF THE COMPANY.
***
PURSUANT TO ART. 154-BIS, PAR. 2, OF THE LEGISLATIVE DECREE N. 58 OF FEBRUARY 24, 1998, THE EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF PREPARING THE CORPORATE ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS AT ACEA, DEMETRIO MAURO – CFO OF THE COMPANY - DECLARES THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN CORRESPOND TO DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.