Investor Presentation • Jul 13, 2020
Investor Presentation
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August 13, 2020 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO – Marc Hess, CFO



Staying on course: Managing Covid-19 challenges and pursue strategic initiatives consistently
| Q1/2020 / May 2020 | Q2/2020 / August 2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| What we see: The perfect storm Covid-19 caused the sharpest global recession in post war history - with dramatic effects on all sectors of the economy |
… | What we see: First signs of gradual recovery… … but more pronounced (than expected) dip and still high Covid-19 risks and uncertainties How we maneuver through the crisis: |
| How we entered into this crisis: Robust and resilient ▪ Conservative risk profile ▪ Strong capital base ▪ Solid liquidity position ▪ Well-diversified business |
… | Staying on course ▪ As a reliable partner being in close contact with our clients finding solutions, supporting where necessary ▪ Precautionary model based risk provisioning and value adjustments ▪ Pursue strategic initiatives consistently ▪ Continue de-risking when opportunities arise |
| What we expect: Gradual recovery Continuous normalisation from mid 2020 onwards, followed by a significant recovery ("swoosh" shaped) in 2021 |
… | What we expect: Gradual recovery continuous Sticking to "swoosh scenario" with more pronounced dip considering slightly slower recovery |
Slightly positive result in the lock down quarter despite Covid-19 impacts and further successful accelerated de-risking activities
| Solid Group Financials |
▪ Q2 operating profit of € 2 mn considering precautionary risk provisioning and value adjustments as well as further successful accelerated de-risking activities ▪ Strong capital, funding and liquidity position |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aareal Bank Group |
Resilient Segment Performance |
▪ SPF: |
- New business: low LTVs and strong, significantly above plan margins partly mitigated by higher funding spreads - Precautionary model based risk provisioning and value adjustments - Italian NPLs significantly reduced (07/20) |
||
| ▪ C/S Bank: |
- As expected, housing industry deposits proven stable - Commission income increased in line with guidance |
||||
| ▪ Aareon: |
- Remaining on track, Covid-19 seen as mid-term catalyst for digitisation - Strong sales of digital products |
||||
| Outlook1) | From today's point of view, Aareal Bank Group remains confident that it can achieve a substantially positive consolidated operating profit for the 2020 financial year, i.e. in the mid- to upper double-digit euro million range. Further effects from potential accelerated de-risking measures are not included. |
1) Naturally, in the current environment, this forecast is subject to significant uncertainty, especially with regard to the assumed duration and intensity of the crisis, the pace of recovery and the associated effects on our clients, as well as prevailing unclear regulatory and accounting provisions, and the possibility that individual loan defaults cannot be reliably predicted

| ▪ | Normal loan servicing by vast majority of our clients | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| --- | -- | ------------------------------------------------------- | -- | -- | -- |
1) LTV pre Covid-19, as at 30.06.2020
2) Ratings not yet reflecting potential changes from management overlays

Covid-19 implications
| ▪ Hotel of € 8.7 bn focussing on 4-5 star properties within city centres ▪ Well diversified portfolio with respect to region and demand sources ▪ Based on current market research it is expected that ▫ The leisure segment will recover first, which has already been witnessed by strong bookings in drive-to holiday and city locations ▫ The corporate segment will follow thereafter and the speed of recovery will be more visible after the summer holidays as of September |
|
|---|---|
| ▫ The MICE segment will take the longest to recover, and will depend on local regulations regarding permitted size of events as well as on the configuration of the meeting facilities within the individual hotels |
|
| Hotel | ▪ Only appr. 10% of our portfolio with expected prolonged recovery period, e.g. luxury, airport hotels, convention ▪ Ø YoD from 9.6% (in Q1 2020) to 4.5% as a consequence of the crises, however still positive |
| ▪ Over 90% of the total volume based on management contracts |
|
| ▪ Over 90% with large international hotel brands |
|
| ▪ Pre-crisis, as the hotel industry has gone through 10 consecutive years of RevPAR (revenue per available room) growth in all major markets a large share of our hotel owners have been able to build substantial reserves |
|
| ▪ Investment finance only, no developments |
|
| with LTV1) ▪ Good entry LTV of 56% on total hotel portfolio, only € 37 mn > 70% only € 37 mn |
|
| ▪ Defaulted exposure: € 178 mn (€ 152 mn as at 07/2020, NPL ratio of hotel portfolio: 1.8% vs. total NPL ratio of 3.7%) |
|
| 1) LTV pre Covid-19, as at 30.06.2020 |

3) MICE (Meetings Incentives Conventions Exhibitions/Events)
| ▪ Retail portfolio of € 5.9 bn, thereof ~80% of total portfolio located in Europe |
|
|---|---|
| ▪ Largest portfolio share in UK (~€ 1.1 bn), US (~€ 1.1 bn), DE and ES (~€ 0.8 bn each) and IT (~€ 0.7 bn) with substantial state support programs for tenants in place |
|
| Retail | ▪ All major markets already lifted lock down measures but retail activities partially still limited by safety requirements |
| ▪ Footfall still below pre-crisis level, but first sign from re-openings indicate positive signals to get back to normality. In many centres sales revenue per customer increased |
|
| ▪ Covid-19 related Ø YoD decrease so far limited from 9.6% in Q1 2020 to 8.6% in Q2 2020 |
|
| ▪ Based on current market research it is expected that |
|
| ▫ Malls: Accelerated transformation of the retail concepts is expected such that the dominant assets which fulfill omnichannel requirements will recover faster |
|
| ▫ Retail parks are less impacted and seem to be more compatible with the safety and health requirements due to Covid-19. Supermarkets hardly effected by lock-down due to the importance in the daily supply |
|
| ▫ Prime- / Luxury-High-Street segments seem to recover faster in some markets (e.g. Asia) although still travel prohibitions in place |
|
| ▪ Highly committed and professional sponsors with high quality assets |
|
| ▪ Good entry LTV1) of 59% - on total retail portfolio only € 182 mn > 70% / € 103 mn > 80% / € 60 mn > 90% |
|
| ▪ Investment finance only, no developments |
|
| ▪ Defaulted exposure: € 369 mn |
|
1) LTV pre Covid-19, as at 30.06.2020
10
2) Estimate only due to hybrid character of some assets


1) Incl. Student housing (UK & Australia only)



Defaulted exposure Defaulted exposure / Total CREF portfolio


Strong new business margins, significantly above plan


| € mn | Q2 '19 | Q3 '19 | Q4 '19 | Q1 '20 | Q2 '20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | -3 | -4 | -5 | 10 | 10 |
| Net commission income | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| Admin expenses | 19 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| Net other operating income | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Operating profit | -17 | -17 | -14 | -3 | 0 |
▪ Accelerate the organic growth program as well as expedite inorganic initiatives through systematic and institutionalized M&A activities to drive RPU, Units and recurring revenues
▪ Join forces with a potential partner, in order to further strengthen Aareon's organic and inorganic growth prospects
Unlock potential and elevate growth opportunities

European leader for real estate software, serving c.3,000 customers and 10m+ units in DACH, Netherlands, France, Nordics and the UK
| - 11- | a |
|---|---|
Business-critical ERP Solutions and a broad suite of modular Digital Solutions including a cloud-native PaaS platform and enabling new technologies, e.g. Artificial Intelligence based Virtual Assistant

Sustainable and resilient business model with robust downside protection through high level of recurring revenue and low churn, delivering decades of consistent, profitable growth

Experienced leadership team combining deep software and real estate expertise, poised to ramp up inorganic growth by building on a successful M&A track record

| P&L Aareon segment - Industry format1) € mn |
H1 '19 | H2 '19 | H1 '20 | ∆ H1 '20 / '19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue ▪ Thereof ERP revenue ▪ Thereof Digital revenue |
122 99 23 |
130 102 28 |
126 96 30 |
3% -3% 27% |
| Costs2) ▪ Thereof material costs |
-94 -21 |
-97 -23 |
-102 -23 |
9% 11% |
| EBITDA | 28 | 33 | 24 | -17% |
| New products / Inorganic3) | 0 | -2 | -3 | >100% |
| One-offs | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Adj. EBITDA | 29 | 35 | 26 | -8% |
| EBITDA | 28 | 33 | 24 | -17% |
| D&A / Financial result | -12 | -12 | -13 | 14% |
| EBT / Operating profit | 17 | 20 | 10 | -38% |
Costs increased as expected to € 102 mn mainly driven by higher number of FTEs (CalCon acquisition) as well as additional € 3 mn investments supporting Aareon's growth strategy
1) Calculation refers to unrounded numbers
3) Incl. strategic investments, venture and M&A related costs

Considering precautionary risk provisioning and value adjustments as well as further successful acc. de-risking activities
| € mn | Q2 '19 | Q3 '19 | Q4 '19 | Q1 '20 | Q2 '20 | Q2 2020-Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 134 | 134 | 130 | 123 | 122 | Stable on Q1, increase in H2 expected |
| Derecognition result | 11 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 9 | € 5 mn from pre-payments, € 4 mn liability buy-backs |
| Loss allowance | 23 | 27 | 35 | 58 | 48 | Incl. precautionary model based risks provisioning and effects from further acc. de-risking |
| Net commission income | 57 | 54 | 65 | 57 | 54 | Aareon with strong sales of digital products |
| FV- / hedge-result |
-7 | 2 | -4 | 11 | -16 | Incl. precautionary model based value adjustments of NPL (fvpl) |
| Admin expenses | 112 | 114 | 118 | 129 | 109 | Reflecting cost management during Covid-19 crises, incl. investments in Aareon growth |
| Others | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10 | Incl. Covid-19 scenario based internal value adjustments of own assets |
| Operating profit (EBT) | 61 | 64 | 62 | 11 | 2 | Considering precautionary risk provisioning and value adjustments as well as further successful de-risking activities |
| Income taxes | 20 | 24 | 20 | 4 | -7 | DTA from unused loss carryforwards |
| Minorities / AT1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | |
| Consolidated net income allocated to ord. shareholders |
37 | 35 | 38 | 2 | 5 | |
| Earnings per share (€) | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.04 | 0.07 |



Incl. precautionary model based risks provisioning and effects from further acc. de-risking





Reflecting cost management during Covid-19 crises, incl. Aareon growth

Decrease of admin expenses in Q2 2020 vs.




1) Underlying RWA estimate, given a 72.5 % output floor based on the final Basel Committee framework dated 7 December 2017, calculation subject to outstanding EU implementation as well as the implementation of further regulatory requirements
2) Ratings not yet reflecting potential changes from management overlays
3) When calculating own funds as at 30 June 2020, interim profits were taken into account, deducting the pro-rata dividend in line with the dividend policy, and incorporating the pro-rata accrual of net interest payable on the AT1 bond. Moreover, the expected relevant impact of the TRIM exercise on commercial property financings, and of the SREP recommendations concerning the NPL inventory as well as the ECB's NPL guidelines for exposures newly classified as NPLs, were taken into account for determining regulatory indicators.

28
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%



As at 30.06.2020: € 45.3 bn (31.12.2019: € 41.1 bn)

1) CREF-portfolio only, private client business (€ 0.4 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.3 bn) not included
2) Other assets includes € 0.4 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.3 bn public sector loans



As at 30.06.2020 – all figures are nominal amounts 1) Composite Rating
▪ Asset quality slightly further improved


We had qualified our annual forecast published in the 2019 Annual Report, noting that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be reliably estimated and that it is thus impossible to anticipate the consequences for business and earnings development.
In the remaining course of the year and in addition to our strategic initiatives as part of "Aareal Next Level" we focus to overcome the challenges and impacts from the Covid-19 pandemic together with our clients.
| Crucial Question: | When will the economic recovery kick-in? With what momentum? |
|---|---|
| Our assumption: | We assume a continuous normalisation of the global economy from mid 2020 onwards followed by a significant recovery ("Swoosh" shaped) in 2021 / 2022 |
| Our Outlook: | From today's point of view, Aareal Bank Group remains confident that it can achieve a substantially positive consolidated operating profit for the 2020 financial year, i.e. in the mid- to upper double-digit euro million range. Further effects from potential accelerated de-risking measures are not included. |
Naturally, in the current environment, this forecast is subject to significant uncertainty, especially with regard to the assumed duration and intensity of the crisis, the pace of recovery and the associated effects on our clients, as well as prevailing unclear regulatory and accounting provisions, and the possibility that individual loan defaults cannot be reliably predicted.


| Resilient performance |
Aareal Group stays positive on operating profit and EpS-level despite significant Covid-19 related burdens, thanks to its strong business performance |
|
|---|---|---|
| Manageable risks |
Precautionary model based risk provisioning and value adjustments, combined with a highly intense monitoring of the credit portfolio to keep Covid-19 impact under control |
|
| Robust business in tough times |
Strong capital and liquidity position |
Aareal Group is well-equipped to weather burdens from Covid-19 |
| Confirmed guidance |
Despite continuous high level of uncertainty, Aareal Group confirms its earnings outlook for FY-2020 |
|
| Compelling strategy |
Regardless of high attention to manage through the crisis, Aareal Group continues to execute on its strategy with full speed |



| 01.04.- 30.06.2020 |
01.04.- 30.06.2019 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 122 | 134 | -9% |
| Loss allowance | 4 8 |
2 3 |
|
| Net commission income | 5 4 |
5 7 |
-5% |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 9 | 1 1 |
-18% |
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -17 | -6 | 183% |
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | 1 | -1 | -200% |
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method | 0 | ||
| Administrative expenses | 109 | 112 | -3% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -10 | 1 | |
| Operating Profit | 2 | 6 1 |
-97% |
| Income taxes | -7 | 2 0 |
-135% |
| Consolidated net income | 9 | 4 1 |
-78% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 0 | 0 | |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 9 | 4 1 |
-78% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 9 | 4 1 |
-78% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 5 | 3 7 |
-86% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 4 | 4 | |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.07 | 0.61 | -89% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
38 3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

| Structured Property Financing |
Services Bank | Consulting / | A a Aareon r e |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.04.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.04- 30.06. 2019 |
01.04.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.04- 30.06. 2019 |
01.04.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.04- 30.06. 2019 |
01.04.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.04- 30.06. 2019 |
01.04.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.04- 30.06. 2019 |
||
| € mn | |||||||||||
| Net interest income | 113 | 138 | 1 0 |
-3 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 134 | |
| Loss allowance | 4 8 |
2 3 |
0 | 0 | 4 8 |
2 3 |
|||||
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 9 |
5 2 |
-3 | -3 | 5 4 |
5 7 |
|
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 9 | 1 1 |
9 | 1 1 |
|||||||
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -17 | -6 | 0 | 0 | -17 | -6 | |||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | 1 | -1 | 1 | -1 | |||||||
| Net gain or loss from investments | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| accounted for using the equity method | |||||||||||
| Administrative expenses | 4 9 |
5 3 |
1 7 |
1 9 |
4 6 |
4 3 |
-3 | -3 | 109 | 112 | |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -11 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10 | 1 | |
| Operating profit | -1 | 6 9 |
0 | -17 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 1 |
|
| Income taxes | -8 | 2 3 |
0 | -6 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 2 0 |
|||
| Consolidated net income | 7 | 4 6 |
0 | -11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 1 |
|
| Allocation of results | |||||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
7 | 4 6 |
0 | -11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 1 |

| 01.01.- 30.06.2020 |
01.01.- 30.06.2019 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 245 | 269 | -9% |
| Loss allowance | 106 | 2 8 |
279% |
| Net commission income | 111 | 110 | 1 % |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 1 6 |
2 7 |
-41% |
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -7 | 0 | |
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | 2 | -1 | -300% |
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method | 0 | 0 | |
| Administrative expenses | 238 | 256 | -7% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -10 | 1 | |
| Operating Profit | 1 3 |
122 | -89% |
| Income taxes | -3 | 4 1 |
-107% |
| Consolidated net income | 1 6 |
8 1 |
-80% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 1 | 1 | 0 % |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 1 5 |
8 0 |
-81% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 1 5 |
8 0 |
-81% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 7 | 7 2 |
-90% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 8 | 8 | |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.11 | 1.20 | -91% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
40 3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

| Financing | Structured Property |
Services Bank | Consulting / | A a Aareon r e |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.01- 30.06. 2019 |
01.01.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.01- 30.06. 2019 |
01.01.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.01- 30.06. 2019 |
01.01.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.01- 30.06. 2019 |
01.01.- 30.06. 2020 |
01.01- 30.06. 2019 |
||
| € mn | |||||||||||
| Net interest income | 226 | 276 | 2 0 |
-6 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 269 | |
| Loss allowance | 106 | 2 8 |
0 | 0 | 106 | 2 8 |
|||||
| Net commission income | 3 | 4 | 1 2 |
1 0 |
102 | 101 | -6 | -5 | 111 | 110 | |
| Net derecognition gain or loss | 1 6 |
2 7 |
1 6 |
2 7 |
|||||||
| Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 | 0 | |||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting | 2 | -1 | 2 | -1 | |||||||
| Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Administrative expenses | 117 | 140 | 3 5 |
3 7 |
9 2 |
8 4 |
-6 | -5 | 238 | 256 | |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -11 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10 | 1 | |
| Operating profit | 6 | 139 | -3 | -34 | 1 0 |
1 7 |
0 | 0 | 1 3 |
122 | |
| Income taxes | -5 | 4 7 |
-1 | -11 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 4 1 |
|||
| Consolidated net income | 1 1 |
9 2 |
-2 | -23 | 7 | 1 2 |
0 | 0 | 1 6 |
8 1 |
|
| Allocation of results | |||||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
1 1 |
9 2 |
-2 | -23 | 6 | 1 1 |
0 | 0 | 1 5 |
8 0 |

| Structured Property Financing |
Consulting / Services Bank |
Aareon | Consolidation / Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 |
Q1 | Q4 | Q3 2019 |
Q2 | Q2 2020 |
Q1 | Q4 | Q3 2019 |
Q2 | Q2 2020 |
Q1 | Q4 | Q3 2019 |
Q2 | Q2 | Q1 2020 |
Q4 | Q3 2019 |
Q2 | Q2 2020 |
Q1 | Q4 | Q3 2019 |
Q2 | |
| € mn | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 113 | 113 | 135 | 138 | 138 | 10 | 10 | - 5 |
- 4 |
- 3 |
- 1 |
0 | 0 | 0 | - 1 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 123 | 130 | 134 | 134 |
| Loss allow ance |
48 | 58 | 35 | 27 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 58 | 35 | 27 | 23 | |||||||||
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 53 | 58 | 49 | 52 | - 3 |
- 3 |
- 3 |
- 4 |
- 3 |
54 | 57 | 65 | 54 | 57 |
| Net derecognition gain or loss |
9 | 7 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 15 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| Net gain / loss from fin. instruments (fvpl) |
-17 | 10 | - 4 |
5 | - 6 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17 | 10 | - 4 |
5 | - 6 |
|||||||||||
| Net gain or loss on hedge accounting |
1 | 1 | 0 | - 3 |
- 1 |
1 | 1 | 0 | - 3 |
- 1 |
|||||||||||||||
| Net gain / loss from investments acc. for using the equity method |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| Administrative expenses |
49 | 68 | 59 | 55 | 53 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 43 | 43 | - 3 |
- 3 |
- 3 |
- 4 |
- 3 |
109 | 129 | 118 | 114 | 112 |
| Net other operating income / expenses |
-11 | 0 | - 1 |
- 1 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - 1 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Operating profit | - 1 |
7 | 63 | 74 | 69 | 0 | - 3 |
-14 | -17 | -17 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 62 | 64 | 61 |
| Income taxes | - 8 |
3 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 0 | - 1 |
- 4 |
- 6 |
- 6 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - 7 |
4 | 20 | 24 | 20 | |||||
| Consolidated net income |
7 | 4 | 42 | 47 | 46 | 0 | - 2 |
-10 | -11 | -11 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 42 | 40 | 41 |
| Cons. net income attributable to non controlling interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| Cons. net income attributable to ARL shareholders |
7 | 4 | 42 | 47 | 46 | 0 | - 2 |
-10 | -11 | -11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 41 |






1) Incl. Student housing (UK & Australia only)

1) Performing CREF-portfolio only, LTV pre Covid-19, exposure as at 30.06.2020












1) Incl. Student housing (UK & Australia only)


| LTV | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exposure | 70% bis 75% 75% bis 80% 80% bis 85% 85% bis 90% 90% bis 95% 95% bis 100% über 100% | ||||||||
| 100% | 250 | 132 | 71 | ||||||
| 95% | |||||||||
| Probability | 90% | ||||||||
| 85% | |||||||||
| 80% | |||||||||
| 75% | |||||||||
| 70% | |||||||||
| 60% | |||||||||
| 40% | |||||||||
| 20% |
Current average LTV of 57%
Layered LTVs:
70% LTV exposure: € 250 mn
80% LTV exposure: € 132 mn
90% LTV exposure: € 71 mn
1) Performing CREF-portfolio only, LTV / YoD pre Covid-19, exposure (excl. commitments) as at 31.03.2020


1) thereof € 350 mn NPL (in FY 2019, of which € 310 mn in H2 2019), € 350 mn single borrower risk, € 410 mn BTPs, € 80 mn NPL provisioned for future reduction
2

Dimension of (theoretical) Stage migration effects have benefit from successful de-risking executed in 2019 and Covid-19 related provisions already considered in Q1/20 LLP



Development of Return on Equity1) demonstrates financial strength

19.8% Common Equity Tier 1 ratio2), significantly exceeding the statutory requirements

€ 26.3 bn Valuable Real Estate Finance Portfolio3)

Digital solutions boost our client's sustainability records

Above average results in sustainability ratings

Covered Bonds4) with best possible ratings – also attractive from an ESG point of view5)
Aareal Bank awarded as top employer for the 13th time in succession

Preparations for future disclosure requirements (EU Action Plan)

1) Pre-tax RoE of 8.7% as at 31.12.2019
2) Basel 3, as at 30.06.2020
3) REF-portfolio includes private client business (€ 0.4 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.3 bn)
4) Mortgage Pfandbriefe rated Aaa by Moody's
5) imug classified mortgage Pfandbriefe as recommendable investments with regard to ESG aspects (BBB), without DHB
59
Set-up of ESG-opportunity & risk management (e.g. we currently work on an Aareal-Green Lending Definition and climate reporting (TCFD1 )
Strong economic performance (e.g. contribution to the stability of the property banking sector/financial markets and to restoring trust in the banking industry)
Failsafe information security (e.g. we undergo voluntary external audits and certification processes)
Transparent reporting on remuneration model/details
Governance Roadshow
Environmental disclosure (e.g. Aareal's ecological footprint, environmental KPIs (datasheet on website), CDP reporting, etc.)

1) TCFD: Taskforce on Climate-related Financial Dislosures
Within core business
On corporate level
| Key takeaways at a glance | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transparent Reporting – facilitating informed investment decisions |
▪ "Separate Combined Non-financial Report 2019 for Aareal Bank AG" has been published on March 26, 2020 ▪ PwC issued an unqualified limited assurance opinion |
||||||||
| MSCI | Aareal Bank Group with "AA Rating" in highest scoring range for all companies assessed relative to global peers reg. Corporate Governance practices (as per 06/2019) |
||||||||
| Sustainability | ISS-ESG | Aareal Bank Group holds "prime status" and ranks with a C+ rating among the top 15% within the 'Financials/Mortgage & Public Sector Finance' category (since 2012, re-confirmed 08/2019) |
|||||||
| Ratings – confirming the company's sustainability performance |
Sustainalytics | Aareal Bank AG is with a score of 22.9 at medium risk of experiencing material financial impacts from ESG factors, rank 116 out of 934 rated banks (13th Percentile). (as per 12/2019) |
|||||||
| CDP | Aareal Bank AG received a C which is in the Awareness band1 . This is same as the Europe-regional average of C, and same as the Financial services sector average of C. (Report 2019) |
||||||||
| imug | Aareal Bank was rated "positive B" in the category "Issuer Performance"; rank 6 out of 43 rated banks (as per 07/2019) |
1) Downgrade due to average consideration of ESG aspects in governance and corporate processes.

"I believe that fundamental renovations aimed at improving the life cycle assessment of a building should be supported by the regulatory authorities and not penalized. Of course, one can subsume renovations under "risky" property development and then attach correspondingly high capital requirements to them. On the other hand, if you don't completely renovate a building you will hardly be able to immediately meet the next climate standard. …
I am not talking about reducing capital adequacy requirements at all. But we would have gained a lot if refurbishment didn't necessarily trigger an increase. …" Hermann J. Merkens, BÖZ, 19. Juni 2020

Proportion of new business that was accounted for by properties with green building certificates1based on market value (USD)

1) Other certificates such as HQE, DGNB, Energy Star






solutions on three continents: Europe, North America, Asia/Pacific
(hotel, logistic, office, retail, residential, student housing); additional industry experts in hotels, logistics and retail properties
Investment finance (Single asset, Portfolio, Value add) Integrated payment transaction
system for the housing industry (market-leading) and the utility sector
▪ Intelligent solutions to improve connectivity and efficiency for bank and non-bank customers
software, 60+ years in the market serving c.3.000 customers and 10m+ units with 40 locations in DACH, Netherlands, France, Nordics and UK
Mission-critical ERP and a broad set of modular Digital Solutions built on a cloud-enabled PaaS platform
Sustainable and resilient business model with strong downside protection delivers decades of consistent profitable growth
Experienced leadership team combining deep software expertise and longstanding real estate experience with a strong M&A roll-up track record (with 675+ Software engineers)





1) TAM and RPU figures rough company estimations, describing the expected entire future market potential

| 2019 | Stabilisation and investment phase (2020 - 2022) |
Reaping the rewards phase (Mid-term) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues Group1) | € 762 mn | Low single digit growth (CAGR) |
|||||
| ▪ o/w Aareon |
7 - 9% CAGR revenues // 22 - 25% CAGR digital revenues |
||||||
| € 64 mn | € >110 mn | ||||||
| Adj. EBITDA Aareon2) | EBITDA from M&A on top | ||||||
| Capitalisation | ~12.5% B4 CET1 ratio | ||||||
| Pre tax RoE | 8.7% | Stable (through investment phase) |
12% (more supportive environment) |
||||
| Dividend policy | 50% base dividend plus 20-30% supplementary dividend |
1) Revenues Group = NII + NCI
2) 2019 + stabilisation and investment phase excl. strategic investments; Reaping the rewards phase incl. strategic investments









We have clear visions of how to develop further our individual business activities in order to strengthen their respective independent profiles
Regardless of the continuous adverse environment and due to our confidence in the consistency of our strategic measures, we feel comfortable with confirming our highly attractive dividend policy with a payout ratio of 50% base plus 20-30% supplementary dividend
By investing in our businesses, we will significantly increase profitability and further enhance strategic optionalities. In a more supportive environment we aim a 12% pre tax RoE



| Progress on strategic initiatives and the development of products, markets and M&A | |
|---|---|
| Organic initiatives New products, new markets |
▪ Aareon Smart Platform: Further roll-out ▪ Neela AI based Virtual Assistant announcement ▪ New growth cases: Ongoing check for potential development partners ▪ First venture OFI Group with platform Ophigo: First end-to-end-transaction successfully realised; pipeline targets achieved |
| Inorganic initiatives, M&A activities, other cooperations |
▪ CalCon Integration is up and running – product integration in Aareon Smart World is ongoing and sales synchronized as well as internal processes started to be set up ▪ M&A activity to grow inorganically: ▫ Institutionalised process of performing extensive market screening and systematically identifying numerous potential targets in accordance with Aareon's sustainable growth strategy ▪ Foresight initiative: Syndicate partner in high level project to create platform for smart living services supported by Federal Ministry of Economics and Energy. |

| P&L Aareon segment - Industry format² |
Q1 19 | Q2 19 | H1 19 | Q3 19 | Q4 19 | H2 19 | FY 19 | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | H1 20 | ∆ Q2 20/19 | ∆ H1 20/19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | |||||||||||||
| Sales revenues | 59 | 63 | 122 | 60 | 70 | 130 | 252 | 64 | 61 | 126 | -3% | 3% | |
| thereof ERP revenue | 47 | 51 | 99 | 48 | 55 | 102 | 201 | 49 | 47 | 96 | -9% -3% |
||
| thereof Digital revenue | 12 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 51 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 24% 27% |
||
| Costs1 | -45 | -48 | -94 | -47 | -50 | -97 | -191 | -50 | -51 | -102 | 6% | 9% | |
| thereof material costs | -10 | -11 | -21 | -11 | -12 | -23 | -44 | -11 | -12 | -23 | 10% | 11% | |
| EBITDA | 14 | 15 | 28 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 61 | 14 | 10 | 24 | -32% | -17% | |
| New Products / Inorganic³ | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -3 | >100% | >100% | |
| One-offs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Adj. EBITDA | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 22 | 35 | 64 | 15 | 12 | 26 | -22% | -8% |
| P&L Aareon segment - Industry format² |
Q1 19 | Q2 19 | H1 19 | Q3 19 | Q4 19 | H2 19 | FY 19 | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | H1 20 | Q2 20/19 ∆ |
H1 20/19 ∆ |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | |||||||||||||
| EBITDA | 14 | 15 | 28 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 61 | 14 | 10 | 24 | -32% | -17% | |
| D&A / Financial result | -6 | -6 | -12 | -6 | -6 | -12 | -24 | -7 | -7 | -13 | 13% | 14% | |
| EBT / operating profit | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -62% | -38% |
1) Incl. capitalised software and other income
2) Calculation refers to unrounded numbers
3) Incl. strategic investments, venture and M&A activities




Base Dividend
+
of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend
▪ We intend to distribute approx. 50%
▪ In addition, we plan to distribute supplementary dividends of up to 20-30% of the EpS under the following prerequisites:
▫ No material deterioration of the
environment (with longer-term and sustainably negative effects)
▫ Nor attractive investment opportunities neither positive growth environment
Payout ratio of up to 80% confirmed Significant book value per share growth incl. dividend

▪ Attractive dividend policy and significant book value growth creating sustainable value for Aareal and hence our shareholders



1

Regulatory capital ratios: Future treatment appears to be more generous, although decisions will be taken on a case by case basis
▪ P2R could be partly covered by AT1 (and/or T2)
Economic ICAAP: Future requirements will be tightened
1) Different risk categories regarding regulatory capital ratios and economic ICAAP


Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| € mn | 31.12. 2015 |
31.12. 2016 |
31.12. 2017 |
31.12. 2018 |
31.12. 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Retained Profit ▪ Net income ▪ Profit carried forward from previous year ▪ Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
99 99 - - |
122 122 - - |
147 147 - - |
126 126 - - |
120 120 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
720 | 720 | 720 | 720 | 720 |
| Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) = |
819 | 842 | 870 | 846 | 840 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6) of the German Commercial Code |
287 - |
235 28 |
283 35 |
268 42 |
314 40 |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 532 | 579 | 552 | 536 | 486 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
46 | 46 | 32 | 24 | 23 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
578 | 625 | 584 | 560 | 509 |
1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only


| = New Business |
Newly acquired business + renewals |
|---|---|
| Common Equity = Tier 1 ratio |
CET 1 Risk weighted assets |
| = Pre tax RoE |
Operating profit/income ./. loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 cupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, AT1 and dividends |
| = CIR |
Admin expenses Net income |
| = Net income |
net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income |
| Net stable funding = ratio |
Available stable funding Required stable funding |
| Liquidity coverage = ratio |
Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress |
| = Earnings per share |
operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 cupon Number of ordinary shares |
| = Yield on Debt |
NOI x 100 (Net operating income, based on 12-months forward looking estimate) Outstanding incl. prior/pari-passu loans (without developments) |
| = CREF-portfolio |
Commercial real estate finance portfolio excl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans |
| = REF-portfolio |
Real estate finance portfolio incl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans |

Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]
Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]
Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3009 [email protected]
Group Sustainability Officer Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3424 [email protected]
Manager Sustainability Management Phone: +49 611 348 3554 [email protected]

This document has been prepared by Aareal Bank AG, exclusively for the purposes of a corporate presentation by Aareal Bank AG. The presentation is intended for professional and institutional customers only.
It must not be modified or disclosed to third parties without the explicit permission of Aareal Bank AG. Any persons who may come into possession of this information and these documents must inform themselves of the relevant legal provisions applicable to the receipt and disclosure of such information, and must comply with such provisions. This presentation may not be distributed in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted by law.
This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to purchase securities. Aareal Bank AG has merely compiled the information on which this document is based from sources considered to be reliable – without, however, having verified it. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Therefore, Aareal Bank AG does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any information or opinion contained herein. Aareal Bank AG accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current plans, views and/or assumptions and subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Aareal Bank AG's control. This could lead to material differences between the actual future results, performance and/or events and those expressed or implied by such statements.
Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.



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