Investor Presentation • Mar 31, 2011
Investor Presentation
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March 31, 2011Dr. Wolf Schumacher, CEO – Hermann J. Merkens, CFO
… to be continued in 2011!
| A l l h i d t t a r g e s a c e e v |
G i d a n c e u |
9 M G i d a n c e u - |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
€ 4 6 0 4 8 0 € 4 8 0 m n m n > - |
€ 0 9 5 m n |
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| f A l l d i l t o a n c e o r c r e o s s e s w |
€ 1 1 1 6 € 1 1 1 4 1 7 5 7 m n m n - - |
€ 1 0 5 m n |
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| A d i i i t t m n s r a e e p e n s e s v x |
€ 3 6 0 m n ~ |
€ 3 6 0 m n ~ |
€ 3 6 6 m n |
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| N b i i i i t e w u s n e s s o r g n a o n |
€ b € b 4 5 4 5 n n > - - |
€ b 6 7 n |
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| O f C / S i i t t t p e r a n g p r o s e g m e n |
€ 2 6 € 2 6 m n m n > > |
€ 2 6 m n |
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| C i i i i l d F d t t a p a s a o n a n u n n g |
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| S l i d i l i i t t o c a p a p o s o n |
T i i 1 t e r r a o : C T i i ( 1 t o r e e r r a o e |
l. S F F i / h b i x c o n y r |
1 d ) s : |
) ( A I R B A 1 ) 2 9 % ( A I R B A ) 8. 1 % |
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| S f l i d i i i i t t o r e n a n c n g s u a o n |
€ b i d 3 9 n r a s e ; f l i b l f d d d f d i e x e u s e o s e c u r e a n u n s e c u r e u n n g |
Aareal Bank is well positioned to increasingly exploitpresent market opportunities for its credit business
1) Advanced internal ratings-based approach (advanced IRBA)
| 2 0 1 0 |
2 0 0 9 |
C h a n g e |
C t o m m e n s |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
||||
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
5 0 9 |
4 6 0 |
1 1 % |
H i h i "p i f f " g e r m a r g n s a y n g o |
| f A l l d i l t o w a n c e o r c r e o s s e s |
1 0 5 |
1 5 0 |
3 0 % - |
S f l i l i d t t t r o n g p o r o o q u a y a n k d l t t m a r e e v e o p m e n |
| N i i i t e c o m m s s o n n c o m e |
1 2 3 |
1 3 3 |
8 % - |
B d d b f t r e n e c o s s o r u y S F F i t o n g u a r a n e e |
| / N l d i d i t t t t e r e s r a n g n o n- r a n g u - / h d i t e g e a c c o n n g u |
6 - |
2 0 |
- | R f l l i l k t t t e e c s v o a e m a r e s d i f l i t t a n p r o a c e p o r o o v t m a n a g e m e n |
| A d i i i t t m n s r a v e e x p e n s e s |
3 6 6 |
3 6 1 |
1 % |
S i l l d l d t t t u n e r c o n r o u e o h i h d i i l i t g c o s s c p n e |
| O i f i t t p e r a n g p r o |
1 3 4 |
8 7 |
5 4 % |
O f i l 2 0 0 9 t t u p e r o r m n g r e s u s |
| T i i ( C R S A ) 1 2 0 0 9 % t e r r a o - T i i ( A I R B A ) 1 2 0 1 0 % t e r r a o - |
- 1 2 9 |
1 1. 0 - |
S l i d i l i i t t o c a p a p o s o n |
| C / S S P & L t e g m e n ( i d f ) t t n u s r y o r m a |
2 0 1 0 |
2 0 0 9 |
C h a n g e |
|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
|||
| S l a e s r e e n e v u |
1 9 9 |
2 0 9 |
-5 % |
| O k i l t w n w o r c a p a |
2 | 2 | - |
| C h i i t a n g e s n n v e n o r y |
0 | 0 | - |
| O h i i t t e r o p e r a n g n c o m e |
8 | 7 | 1 4 % |
| C f i l h d t t o s o m a e r a p r c a s e u |
2 3 |
2 5 |
-8 % |
| S f f t a e p e n s e s x |
1 0 0 |
1 0 9 |
-8 % |
| D A i i l t m p a r m e n o s s e s , , |
1 3 |
1 4 |
-7 % |
| R l i i t t t t e s u s a e q u y a c c. n v e s m |
- | 0 | - |
| O h i t t e r o p e r a n g e x p e n s e s |
4 7 |
0 5 |
-6 % |
| R l f i d i i l t t t e s u s r o m n e r e s a n s m a r |
0 | 0 | - |
| R l f d i t e s r o m o r n a r u y i i i t t a c v e s |
2 6 |
2 0 |
3 0 % |
| I t n c o m e a x e s |
8 | 7 | 1 4 % |
| S l t t e g m e n r e s u |
1 8 |
1 3 |
3 8 % |
| S l i b d t t t t t t e g m e n r e s a r e o u u i i i t t t m n o r y n e r e s s |
2 | 2 | - |
| S l f t t t e g m e n r e s u a e r i i i t t t m n o r n e r e s s y |
1 6 |
1 1 |
4 5 % |
9
Property finance under management
| N P L 1) E x p o s u r e |
S i f i p e c c 1) A l l o w a n c e s |
f i P l t o r o o 2) A l l o w a n c e s |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E u r o m n |
|||||||||||
| A 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 t s a |
7 1 0 |
2 0 2 |
5 2 4 8= 1 0 0 + |
||||||||
| U i l i i 2 0 1 0 t t s a o n |
-2 5 5 |
-5 2 |
- | ||||||||
| A d d i i 2 0 1 0 t o n |
3 3 6 |
1 1 1 |
-6 | ||||||||
| A 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 t s a |
7 9 1 |
9 4 |
|||||||||
| C i t o v e r a g e r a o i f i l l s p e c c a o a n c e s w |
3 3. |
0 % |
|||||||||
| 2 6 1 |
9 4 |
||||||||||
| A 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 t s a |
7 9 1 |
3 5 5 |
|||||||||
| C i t o v e r a g e r a o i l. f l i l l t n c p o r o o a o w a n c e s |
4 4. 9 % |
LLP- and NPL development
1) Incl. property finance portfolio still on DEPFA'sbalance sheet
2) General LLP consists to a high degree of Basel II expected loss which
are allocated specific loans in most cases
16
Higher transaction volume and less competitors on a lot of markets give plenty of opportunities for cherry-picking business
Source: CBRE, Jones Lang LaSalle* expected
Outlook - Aareal Bank's market expectationsExpected average of market value changes across allcommercial real estate property types and regions in 20111)
North AmericaUp:Mexico
1) The individual market value of a single property may vary, change end 2010 to end 2011
| 2 0 1 1 |
2 0 1 2 |
|
|---|---|---|
| T d 2 0 1 0- l l l i h l b t t t a r g e e p e c e o n e e o r s g a o e x v y v |
||
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
M d l i i i l l d t t t t o e r a e n c r e a s n g n e r e s r a e e e a s s m e y v u |
|
| N l l i i t e o a n o s s p r o s o n s v |
E d b € 1 1 0 1 4 0 t t t t x p e c e o r a n g e e w e e n m n o m n, 1 ) d 0 b d i 5 t t o r a r o u n p s o n o u s a n n g s |
|
| N d i l / l t t t t e r a n g r e s u r e s u s f d i t t r o m n o n- r a n g a s s e s |
U d i b l i k / i i f i t t t t n p r e c a e n c u r r e n m a r e s n o s g n c a n f b d d i d t t t r e n s r o m n o n- r a n g a s s e s e p e c e u x |
|
| A d i m n e p e n s e s x |
U d l l i h l b 2 0 1 0- l l i l d i t t n e r c o n r o s g a o e e e n c n g : y v v u d d i i l b d f G b k i t t a o n a u r e n o e r m a n a n n g a x |
|
| O i f i t t p e r a n g p r o |
A b 2 0 1 0- l l, o e e e v v G d i d d i i l b d f b k i t t t e s p e a o n a r e n o e r m a n a n n g a u x |
|
| P R E t r e- a o x |
S l i h l b l l 2 0 1 0- t g y a o v e e v e |
|
| b l e v a e |
|---|
| ) l d d c u e |
1) As in 2010, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
| G r o u p |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
E d b i l i i h i d t t t x p e c e o e n n e w g u a n c e. |
||||||
| N l l t e o a n o s s i i p r o s o n s v |
f f E d d h i h i b d t t t t t t t t t x p e c e n o o e x c e e e e x p e c a o n o r e r s q u a r e r a s e f l l- i f b € i l l i € i l l i 1 1 0 1 4 0 t t t t o n u y e a r e x p e c a o n o e w e e n m o n o m o n. |
||||||
| A d i m n e p e n s e s x |
f f A i i h d i i l i l i h i d i i i t t t t t t s c o n n u n g e c o s s c p n e p o c y e g u r e o r a m n s r a v e i 2 0 1 1 i h f d b l i l l h i h t t t e p e n s e s n s e r e o r e e p e c e o e o n m a r g n a g e r x x y y h i i l d i h b d i d i h h i l b k 2 0 1 0, t t t t t a n n n c u n g e u r e n a s s o c a e w e s p e c a a n l e v y. |
||||||
| S d P t t t r c r e r o p e r u u y |
F i i n a n c n g |
||||||
| N b i e w u s n e s s |
S E i b i l i h d P F i i t t t t t x p e c n g n e w u s n e s s v o u m e n e r u c u r e r o p e r y n a n c n g Q b b h l l f 1 2 0 1 0. t t t s e g m e n o e a o e e e e s o v v |
||||||
| C l i / S i t o n s n g e r c e s u v |
|||||||
| D i k i t t e p o s a n g |
f T h i i i h b l t t t t t t e n e r e s r a e e n r o n m e n c o n n e s o a e a n n a o r a e v u v u v u f f h i i d d i h C l i / S i t t t t t t t e e c o n e n e n e r e s n c o m e r e c o r e n e o n s u n g e r v c e s f T h i i l i k l l i l l i h t. t t t t t t s e g m e n s s e o r e s n o a q a r e r n c o m e o r e y u u y C / S Q l i i l i h l b l h l l f 1 2 0 1 0. t t t t o n s n g e r c e s s e g m e n s g e o e e e s o u v y w v |
||||||
| I T b i u s n e s s |
D i l i f h l i d i b i t t t t t u e o a c e r a n s e a s o n a y o e c o n s u n g a n s e r v c e s u s n e s s G Q f A i i i i 1 2 0 1 1 i d b t t o a r e o n r o p, c o m m s s o n n c o m e n s e p e c e o e u x i i l h l l f Q d i l i i h 's 1 2 0 1 0, t t t t s m a r o e e e s o a n n n e m a n a g e m e n v w i t t e x p e c a o n s. |
||||||
| W h i f i i h h d l l f Q 4 2 0 1 0, t t t t t t t t e e p e c e o p e r a n g p r o o n o q e r e a c e r e c o r e e o x u v b i h l i i d f h h d i t t t t t t t t u o c o n n u e e c e a r m p r o v n g r e n o e o e r p r e c e n g q u a r e r s |
Outlook - Aareal Bank's market expectationsExpected average of market value changes across allcommercial real estate property types and regions to 20151)
North AmericaUp: MexicoUSA
Canada
UK
AsiaStable:Singapore
Down:China
Europe- Up:
Italy
Net interest income stable or slightly increasing until 2012.In normalised markets under pressure due to lower margins.
Net commission income to increase driven by international business of Aareon and maturity of SoFFin bonds
Admin expenses decreasing due to efficiency and cost cutting measures
Pre-tax RoE in normalised markets: ≥12%
Group figures 2010Asset quality
| 0 1. 0 1.- 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 |
0 1. 0 1.- 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 |
C ha ng e |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Eu ro mn |
Eu ro mn |
||
| f i Pr t a d lo t o n ss a cc ou n |
|||
| Ne in inc t te t res om e |
5 0 9 |
4 6 0 |
1 1 % |
| A l low for d i los t an ce c re se s |
1 0 5 |
1 5 0 |
3 0 % - |
| Ne in in f l lo fo d i lo t te t te t re s co m e a r a an ce r c re ss es w |
4 0 4 |
3 1 0 |
3 0 % |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
1 2 3 |
1 3 3 |
8 % - |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es n e a cc ou n u |
-2 | 2 - |
- |
| Ne d ing inc / e t tra om e xp en se s |
8 | 4 4 |
8 2 % - |
| Re l fro d ing ts tra ts su m no n- a ss e |
-1 2 |
2 2 - |
- |
| fro for Re l ies d i ts te t e ty su m co mp an a cc ou n a q u |
5 | 1 | 4 0 0 % |
| fro Re l inv ies ts tm t p t su m es en rop er |
-1 7 |
0 | - |
| A dm in is ive tra t ex p en se s |
3 6 6 |
3 6 1 |
1 % |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p era om e xp en se s |
-9 | 1 4 - |
- |
| Im irm f g dw i l l t o p a en oo |
0 | 2 | - |
| Op in Pr f i t t er a g o |
1 3 4 |
8 7 |
5 4 % |
| Inc tax om e es |
4 0 |
2 0 |
1 0 0 % |
| Ne in / lo t co m e ss |
9 4 |
6 7 |
4 0 % |
| io f r A l lo t l ts ca n o es u |
|||
| / Ne inc los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a no n-c on res |
1 8 |
1 8 |
0 % |
| / G Ne inc los i bu b le ha ho l de f Aa l Ba k A t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o rea n |
7 6 |
4 9 |
5 5 % |
| Ap ia io f p f i t ts p ro p r n o ro |
|||
| S So i len h ip i bu ion by F F in t p tn tr t ar ers co n |
3 0 |
2 6 |
1 % 5 |
| Co l i da d in d f i / a la d lo te ta t te ns o re e p ro cc um u ss |
4 6 |
2 3 |
1 0 0 % |
| S tru c Pr op F in an |
tu d re ty er in c g |
Co ns u Se rv |
l in / t g ice s |
Co i l ns o Re co nc O t |
io / da t n i l ia io / t n he r |
Aa re a Gr |
l Ba k n ou p |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 0 |
3 1. 1 2. 2 0 0 9 |
|
| Eu ro mn |
||||||||
| Ne in inc t te t res om e |
4 6 7 |
4 1 0 |
0 | 0 | 4 2 |
5 0 |
5 0 9 |
4 6 0 |
| A l low for d i los t an ce c re se s |
1 0 5 |
1 0 5 |
1 0 5 |
1 0 5 |
||||
| Ne in in f l low fo d i lo t te t te t re s co me a r a an ce r c re ss es |
3 6 2 |
2 6 0 |
0 | 0 | 4 2 |
5 0 |
4 0 4 |
3 1 0 |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
-9 | 1 | 1 6 7 |
1 8 4 |
4 4 - |
2 5 - |
1 2 3 |
1 3 3 |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es n e a cc ou n u |
-2 | 2 - |
-2 | 2 - |
||||
| Ne d ing inc / e t tra om e xp en se s |
8 | 4 4 |
8 | 4 4 |
||||
| Re l fro d ing ts tra ts su m no n- a ss e |
-1 3 |
2 2 - |
1 | 0 | 1 2 - |
2 2 - |
||
| fro for Re l ies d i ts te t e ty su m co mp an a cc ou n a q u |
5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |||
| Re l fro inv ies ts tm t p t su m es en rop er |
-1 7 |
0 | -1 7 |
0 | ||||
| A dm in is ive tra t ex p en se s |
2 1 7 |
2 0 1 |
1 5 2 |
1 6 3 |
3 - |
3 - |
3 6 6 |
3 6 1 |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p era om e xp en se s |
9 - |
1 2 - |
1 | 1 - |
1 - |
1 - |
9 - |
-1 4 |
| Im irm f g dw i l l t o p a en oo |
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Op in f i t t er a g p ro |
1 0 8 |
6 7 |
2 6 |
2 0 |
0 | 0 | 1 3 4 |
8 7 |
| Inc tax om e es |
3 2 |
1 3 |
8 | 7 | 4 0 |
2 0 |
||
| / Ne in lo t co me ss |
7 6 |
5 4 |
1 8 |
1 3 |
0 | 0 | 9 4 |
6 7 |
| A l lo io f r l t ts ca n o es u |
||||||||
| / Ne inc los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a no n-c on res |
1 6 |
1 6 |
2 | 2 | 1 8 |
1 8 |
||
| Ne inc / los i bu b le ha ho l de f Aa l Ba k A G t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o rea n |
6 0 |
3 8 |
1 6 |
1 1 |
0 | 0 | 7 6 |
4 9 |
| Str uct d P ert ure rop y Fin cin an g |
Co ltin / S ice nsu g erv s |
Co / lid ati nso on Re ilia tio n / Ot he co nc r |
Aa l B k G rea an rou p |
|||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | |
| 20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
200 9 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
200 9 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
200 9 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
20 10 |
200 9 |
|
| Eu ro mn |
||||||||||||||||||||
| Ne t in in ter est com e |
129 | 121 | 111 | 106 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 139 | 131 | 122 | 117 | 115 |
| e fo All red it lo ow anc r c sse s |
8 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 35 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 35 | ||||||||||
| Ne t in in af ter est ter co me |
121 | 89 | 78 | 74 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 131 | 99 | 89 | 85 | |
| all fo red it l ow an ce r c oss es |
80 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ne t c mis sio n in om com e |
1 - |
5 - |
1 | 4 - |
2 | 49 | 39 | 43 | 45 | 50 | 11 - |
10 - |
12 - |
11 - |
-13 | 37 | 24 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| Ne lt o n h edg ing t re unt su e a cco |
4 - |
2 - |
2 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 - |
2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Ne adi inc e / t tr ng om ex pen ses |
13 | 2 | 13 - |
6 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 13 - |
6 | 3 | ||||||||||
| Re lts fro din -tra ts su m non g a sse |
23 - |
4 - |
14 | 0 | 3 - |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -23 | 3 - |
14 | 0 | 3 - |
||||||
| Re lts fro ani su m co mp es |
0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||
| ted fo r at uity acc oun eq |
||||||||||||||||||||
| Re lts fro inv est nt su m me rtie pro pe s |
-17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 - |
-17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 - |
||||||||||
| Ad min istr ativ e e xpe nse s |
56 | 54 | 55 | 52 | 42 | 40 | 35 | 38 | 39 | 42 | 1 - |
1 - |
1 - |
0 | 1 - |
95 | 88 | 92 | 91 | 83 |
| e / Ne t o the atin inc r o per g om exp ens es |
-2 | 2 | 7 - |
2 - |
10 - |
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 - |
0 | 1 - |
0 | 0 | 0 | 2 - |
1 | 6 - |
2 - |
12 - |
| Imp airm of dw ill ent goo |
0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| Op tin rof it era g p |
31 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 23 |
| Inc e t om axe s |
8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 5 | |||||
| Ne t in / l co me oss |
23 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| All ati of lts oc on re su |
||||||||||||||||||||
| e / Ne t in los ttri but abl e t com s a o |
||||||||||||||||||||
| olli inte ntr ts non -co ng res |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |||||
| Ne t in e / los ttri but abl e t com s a o sha reh old of Aa l B ank AG ers rea |
19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 13 |
NII Consulting / ServicesNII Structured Property Financing
Result from the proactive management of our treasury portfolio and our consequently continued de-risking strategy
Group figures 2010Asset quality
1) Excl. of market risk
2) Exposure to investment shares amounts to € 15 mn
Average of:
net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income
Jürgen Junginger Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 [email protected]
Director Investor RelationsPhone: +49 611 348 [email protected]
Senior Manager Investor RelationsPhone: +49 611 348 [email protected]
© 2011 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.
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