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Aareal Bank AG — Call Transcript 2016
Aug 11, 2016
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Call Transcript
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Analyst Conference Call Q2 2016 results
August 11, 2016 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO
Agenda
- Highlights
- General environment
- Group results Q2 2016 at a glance
- Segment performance
- Group results Q2 2016
- B/S structure, capital & funding position
- Asset quality
- Outlook 2016
- Appendix
- Definitions and Contacts
Highlights Q2 2016 Aareal Bank Group stays on track
Key facts and figures at a glance
- Operating profit of € 120 mn reflects strong operating performance, additionally influenced by two one-offs
- Closing of successful sale of foreclosed Swedish asset as planned
- Integration / project costs and investments as expected
- Successful development in both segments:
- Strong new business (Q2 of € 3.5 bn / H1 of € 4.4 bn)
- Aareon again with increasing sales revenues and EBIT
- "Aareal 2020" on track
- 2016 outlook confirmed
General environment
- US-recovery is still on track, Europe with moderate growth, China's growth rate is slowing down
- Brexit causes political and economic uncertainties, ongoing geopolitical risks and tensions e.g. in Russia and Turkey
- Diverging monetary policies between ECB and FED: but no major weakening of the EUR expected
- ECB has broadened QE, further steps possible: enormous impact on capital markets risking asset bubbles and therefore risks from LTVs partly based on extreme low cap rates
- High liquidity on property market, but decreasing transaction volumes in H1 2016 (vs. H1 2015) Transaction volume in Italy significantly up in Q2 2016 vs. Q1 2016 (+ 69%)
- Stable to moderately increasing property values and rents in most European countries as well as in North America
- Intensive competition for commercial real estate financing, European margins bottoming out
- Uncertainties about regulatory requirements
Main takeaways
Main focus for new business in markets with attractive risk/return profile like North America
In Turkey and Russia only renewals; still prepared to finance in the UK
Partly tightened requirements for new business regarding LTV
Regulatory projects in progress
Group results Q2 2016 at a glance
Q2 2016 at a glance
Strong results despite very challenging environment
| Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Comments | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
||||||
| Net interest income (excl. unplanned effects from early repayments) |
177 (175) |
180 (180) |
198 (183) |
214 (192) |
191 (181) |
NII reflects Robust margins – declining NCA Effects from early repayments slightly above Q1 2016-level, in line with FY-plan (€ 35 mn) |
| Allow. for credit losses | 29 | 2 | 42 | 37 | 31 | In line with full year target |
| Net commission income | 47 | 46 | 52 | 40 | 42 | Strong performance of Aareon supporting its FY-target |
| Admin expenses | 144 | 146 | 138 | 147 | 136 | € 30 mn one-offs from integration as well as from project / investment costs |
| Operating profit | 120 | 87 | 92 | 82 | 2291) 791) |
Including € 61 mn from Aqvatrium / Fatburen property sale as already announced |
| Earnings per share [€] | 1.23 | 0.85 | 1.01 | 0.78 | 3.271) 0.773) |
1) Including negative goodwill from WestImmo takeover, adjusted
Segment performance
Structured property financing Strong new business origination
| P&L SPF Segment | Q2 '16 | Q1 '16 | Q4 '15 | Q3 '15 | Q2 '15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
|||||
| Net interest income | 181 | 182 | 199 | 214 | 192 |
| Loan loss provision | 29 | 2 | 42 | 37 | 31 |
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Net result from trading / non-trading / hedge acc. |
69 | 10 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| Admin expenses | 94 | 95 | 85 | 101 | 89 |
| Others | 0 | -1 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| Negative goodwill | 1502) | ||||
| Operating profit | 128 | 96 | 94 | 89 | 2362) |
1) Incl. renewals
2) Adjusted
3) Newly acquired business
€ mn Newly acquired business Renewals New business origination 622 831 2,416 1,242 3,038 2,073 314 1,092 1,406 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Q1 '16 Q1 '15 Q2 '16 Q2 '15 H1 '16 H1 '15 936 1,753 3,508 1,878 4,444 3,631
- New business in Europe mainly driven by several large portfolio transactions
- New business in line with full year target of € 7-8 bn
- Gross margins3) of around 220 bps (H1: ~230 bps)
- Early repayment effects slightly above Q1 2016-level, in line with FY-plan (€ 35 mn vs. € 75 mn 2015)
- Long term target portfolio (€ 25-30 bn) to be likely at the lower end of the given range, strengthening off-balance lending in line with "Aareal 2020"
- Closing Aqvatrium / Fatburen in April 2016 with a positive € 61 mn effect
Consulting / Services Aareon again with higher sales revenues
| P&L C/S Segment | Q2 '16 | Q1 '16 | Q4 '15 | Q3 '15 | Q2 '15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
|||||
| Sales revenue | 52 | 49 | 56 | 44 | 47 |
| Own work capitalised | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Changes in inventory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other operating income | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Cost of material purchased | 9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| Staff expenses | 35 | 36 | 37 | 35 | 33 |
| D, A, impairment losses | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Results at equity acc. investm. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other operating expenses | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| Results from interest and similar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Operating profit | -8 | -9 | -2 | -7 | -7 |
- Aareon sales revenues (€ 52 mn vs. € 46 mn in Q2 2015) again above previous year level and in line with full year target
- Migration GES / Wodis Sigma according to plan
- New products strong in France and Netherlands (sale of new-ERP bundle and add-on products)
- Digitisation:
- Further development of Aareon Smart World according to plan
- Digital platform development on track
- Sales of digital add-on products across countries intensified
- Deposit volume from housing industry of Ø € 9.5 bn on a high level (€ 9.3 bn Ø in Q1 2016)
- Deposit margins further burden segment result due to low-interest environment
- Housing industry deposits generate a stable funding base, crisis-proven
Consulting / Services Aareon again with higher EBIT
Group results Q2 2016
Net interest income Robust margins – declining NCA
NII Core NII NCA (linear approximation since Q2 2015) NII effects from early repayments2) NII C/S
1) Newly acquired business
2) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments
- Gross margins1) of around 220 bps H1: ~ 230 bps
- NII effected by run down of non core assets as planned
- Effects from early repayments slightly above Q1 2016 level
- Core CRE portfolio: € 26.8 mn (03/2016: € 25.9 mn)
- Full contribution of WestImmo since Q3 2015
- NII Consulting / Services still burdened by interest rate environment
- Aareal Bank already fulfils future NSFR / LCR requirements
Allowance for credit losses (LLP) In line with full year target
- Regular revaluation of collaterals led to adjusted portfolio-, and specific allowances
- No additional NPL's in Italian portfolio
Net commission income
Aareon again with strong performance in Q2
- Aareon sales revenues on high level of prior quarter and in line with guidance
- Q4 2015 with seasonal effects
- First time consolidation of Aareon's new acquisitions in Q4 2015 (phi-Consulting, Square DMS)
Admin expenses Including integration costs as planned
- Q2 figures include
- € 30 mn one-offs from integration as well as from project / investment costs
- Q1 figures include
- € 17 mn for the European bank levy for the fiscal year 2016
- € 10 mn one-offs from integrations as well as from project / investment costs
- Operating admin expenses of WestImmo since 06/2015 included
- Operating admin expenses for Aareon's new acquisitions phi-Consulting and Square DMS (since Q4 2015)
B/S structure, capital & funding position
RWA development Successful run down of NCA
- Decreasing RWA from NCA reduction
- Sale of Aqvatrium / Fatburen visible in lower core RWA
- Operational risk already based on standardised approach
- RWA from "Financials" already close to CRSA-level
Credit risk core business Credit risk non core business Operational risk Market risk
Capital ratios Strong development
- Regulatory uncertainties buffered by very strong capital ratios
- Instruments assumed to mature until 2018 (planning period) are excluded from the fully phased ratios
- Bail-in capital ratio (acc. to our definition): above 8%
- T1-Leverage ratio as at 30.06.2016: 5.0% (fully phased)
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Tier 2 (T2)
Stress Test
Capital ratio remain above current SREP requirements in adverse scenario
- Even in adverse scenario
- CET1 ratio (fully phased) above current SREP requirements
- Solid leverage ratio
- Current SREP ratio 8.75% including capital conservation buffer
- 2016 SREP letter expected H2 2016
Including phasing effects
Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 30.06.2016: € 50.9 bn (30.06.2015: € 55.5 bn)
Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position
1) Other assets includes € 1.3 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans
Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 30.06.2016: € 50.9 bn (31.12.2015: € 51.9)
Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position
1) Other assets includes € 1.3 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans
Net stable funding- / liquidity coverage ratio Sound liquidity position despite WestImmo takeover
- requirements
- NSFR > 1.0
- LCR >> 1.0
- Basel III and CRR require adherence of specific liquidity ratios starting end 2018
- As intended, additional funding requirements from acquisition of WestImmo covered by NSFR surplus
Refinancing situation H1 2016 Successful funding activities
- Total funding of € 0.9 bn in H1 2016: mainly senior unsecured (€ 0.8 bn)
- Low Pfandbrief issuance due to acquisition of WestImmo
- Backbone of capital market funding is a loyal, granular, domestic private placement investor base
- Hold-to-maturity investors: over 600
- Ticket size: € 10 mn € 50 mn
Refinancing situation
Diversified funding sources and distribution channels
- Aareal Bank has clearly reduced its dependency on wholesale funding
- 2002 long term wholesale funding accounted for 47% of overall funding volumes by 30.06.2016, this share has fallen below 30% (or even below 10% without Pfandbriefe)
As at 30.06.2016
Asset quality
Property finance portfolio1) € 30.3 bn highly diversified and sound
1) CRE business only, private client business (€ 1.3 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
Property finance portfolio1) Portfolio details
Spotlight: UK property finance portfolio € 4.1 bn (~14% of total portfolio)
1) Performing business only
Spotlight: Italian property finance portfolio € 3.4 bn (~11% of total portfolio)
Spotlight: Turkey property finance portfolio € 0.6 bn (~2% of total portfolio)
1) Performing business only
Property finance portfolio NPL-ratio stabilised
Property finance portfolio NPL exposure fully covered including collaterals
| 30.06.2016 | 31.12.2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Coverage ratio specific allowance |
31% | 31% |
| Coverage ratio including portfolio allowance |
41% | 40% |
Portfolio allowance Specific allowance Collaterals NPL exposure
Spotlight Italy Italian NPL: clear going forward strategy
- Current enforcement period 3-4 years, but improving due to new legislation
All Italian NPL are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages
Treasury portfolio € 9.6 bn of high quality and highly liquid assets
Outlook 2016
Outlook 2016 confirmed
| 2016 | |
|---|---|
| Net interest income | € 700 mn - € 740 mn incl. effects from early repayments (Original plan 2016: € 35 mn / FY 2015: € 75 mn) |
| Allow. for credit losses1) | € 80 mn - € 120 mn |
| Net commission income | € 190 mn - € 200 mn |
| Admin expenses | € 520 mn - € 550 mn incl. expenses for integration / projects and investments |
| Operating profit | € 300 mn - € 330 mn |
| Pre-tax RoE | ~ 11% |
| EpS2) | € 2.85 - € 3.19 |
| Target portfolio size (ARL core portfolio) |
€ 25 bn - € 27 bn |
| New business origination | € 7 bn - € 8 bn |
| Operating profit Aareon3) | € 33 mn - € 35 mn |
1) As in 2015, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
2) Earnings per ordinary share, tax rate of ~31% assumed
3) After segment adjustments
Conclusion Aareal Bank Group remains on successful course
Key takeaways at a glance Aareal Bank Group remains successful in challenging environment Strong new lending business, Aareon stays on growth path "Aareal 2020" on track Outlook 2016 confirmed
Appendix Aareal 2020
Strategic background Assumptions
General environment
Tougher competition and changing clients' needs
Volatile markets (interest rates / exchange rates, oil)
Increasingly stringent regulation, historically low interest rate environment
Technological change and digitalisation
Geopolitical risks
As published February 25, 2016
Basic planning assumption: high volatility, low growth
| Regulation § |
Basel IV effects in line with our expectations Increasing regulation does not lead to additional (material) burdens |
|---|---|
| Property markets |
Property values: stable (EU), slightly increasing (US) Ongoing liquidity driven property markets, therefore increasingly inherent portfolio risks (esp. in Europe) |
| Macro economic environ ment |
Economic development: Euro zone sideways US and some EU countries more dynamic Interest rates: Euro zone: moderate increase starting '17 US: continued increase this year No euro zone break-up, no "Brexit", no strengthening of nationalistic tendencies in Europe No adverse development of geopolitical conflicts |
ASSUMPTIONS APPLY TO FOLLOWING PAGES 39
Aareal 2020 – Adjust. Advance. Achieve. Our way ahead
Adjust
Safeguard strong base in a changing environment
- Enhance efficiency
- Optimise funding
- Anticipate regulation
Aareal 2020
Create sustainable value for all stakeholders
- Realise strategic objectives for the Group and the segments
- Consistently implement required measures
- Achieve ambitious financial targets
Advance
Exploit our strengths, realise our potentials
- Further develop existing business
- Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
- Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt
As published February 25, 2016
1) Management buffer of 2.25% planned until regulatory environment is sufficiently stable
Advance: Structured Property Financing. Safeguard core business in adverse environment
Further develop existing business
Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
- In the medium term, expansion in markets with an attractive risk / return and macroeconomic growth potential, e.g. grow North America portfolio to € 6.0 bn - € 6.5 bn
- Active portfolio- and balance-sheet management e.g. by syndication
- Use digitisation potential with clients, identify and realise new digital business opportunities
- Examine additional business opportunities along the value chain of commercial property financing, e.g. in the area of servicing
Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt
As published February 25, 2016
Advance: Consulting / Services.
Leverage position as leading provider of ERP solutions in Europe to achieve future growth
Further develop existing business
Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
- Expanding "ecosystem housing industry": international cross-selling, develop add-on products for ERP systems and new digital products
- Utilise existing know-how to expand "ecosystem utilities" by offering specific products (e.g. for transaction services) and IT services / consulting
- Further development of existing platform products for the management of housing companies for their B2C business
- Push our payment transaction services and IT products, targeting small-sized housing enterprises and COA-Manager
Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt
As published February 25, 2016
Achieve. Keep RoE on an attractive level despite difficult environment
Achieve. Increase payout ratio (up to 80%) and dividend1)
Payout ratio 2013 - 2018 2013 14 15 16 17 48% 51% 52% 2018 60% 70-80% 70-80% Base dividend We intend to distribute approx. 50% of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend Supplementary dividend In addition, we plan to distribute supplementary dividends, from 10% increasing up to 20-30% of the EpS Prerequisites: No material deterioration of the environment (with longer-term and sustainably negative effects) Nor attractive investment opportunities neither positive growth environment
As published February 25, 2016
1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.
46
Appendix Group results
Aareal Bank Group Results Q2 2016
48
| 01.04.- 30.06.2016 |
01.04.- 30.06.2015 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 177 | 191 | -7% |
| Allowance for credit losses | 29 | 31 | -6% |
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 148 | 160 | -8% |
| Net commission income | 47 | 42 | 12% |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 0 | -3 | |
| Net trading income / expenses | 8 | 2 | 300% |
| Results from non-trading assets | 61 | 1 | |
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | |
| Administrative expenses | 144 | 136 | 6% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 0 | 13 | |
| Negative goodwill | 1501) | ||
| Operating Profit | 120 | 2291) | -48% |
| Income taxes | 38 | 24 | 58% |
| Consolidated net income | 82 | 2051) | -60% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 77 | 2001) | -62% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG2) | 77 | 2001) | -62% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 73 | 196 | -63% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)3) | 1.23 | 3,271) | -62% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)4) | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0% |
1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3
2) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
3) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
4) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.
Aareal Bank Group Results Q2 2016 by segments
| Structured Property Financing |
Consulting / Services |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | 01.04.- | |
| 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | |
| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |
| € mn | ||||||||
| Net interest income | 181 | 192 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1 | 177 | 191 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 29 | 31 | 29 | 31 | ||||
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 152 | 161 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1 | 148 | 160 |
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 47 | 42 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 0 | -3 | 0 | -3 | ||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | |||
| Results from non-trading assets | 61 | 1 | 61 | 1 | ||||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Administrative expenses | 94 | 89 | 51 | 48 | -1 | -1 | 144 | 136 |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Negative goodwill | 1501) | 1501) | ||||||
| Operating profit | 128 | 2361) | -8 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 2291) |
| Income taxes | 41 | 26 | -3 | -2 | 38 | 24 | ||
| Consolidated net income | 87 | 2101) | -5 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 2051) |
| Allocation of results | ||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 83 | 2061) | -6 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 2001) |
1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3
Aareal Bank Group Results H1 2016
| 01.01.- 30.06.2016 |
01.01.- 30.06.2015 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 357 | 369 | -3% |
| Allowance for credit losses | 31 | 49 | -37% |
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 326 | 320 | 2% |
| Net commission income | 93 | 83 | 12% |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 1 | 8 | -88% |
| Net trading income / expenses | 17 | -5 | |
| Results from non-trading assets | 61 | -2 | |
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | |
| Administrative expenses | 290 | 268 | 8% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -1 | 10 | |
| Negative goodwill | 1501) | ||
| Operating Profit | 207 | 2961) | -30% |
| Income taxes | 65 | 46 | 41% |
| Consolidated net income | 142 | 2501) | -43% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 10 | 10 | 0% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 132 | 2401) | -45% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG2) | 132 | 2401) | -45% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 124 | 2321) | -47% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 8 | 8 | 0% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)3) | 2,08 | 3,871) | -47% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)4) | 0,08 | 0,08 | 0% |
1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3
2) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
3) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
4) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.
Aareal Bank Group Results H1 2016 by segments
| Financing | Structured Property |
Consulting / Services |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.- | 01.01.- | 01.01.- | 01.01.- | 01.01.- 01.01.- |
01.01.- | 01.01.- | ||
| 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | 30.06. | |
| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |
| € mn | ||||||||
| Net interest income | 363 | 370 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -1 | 357 | 369 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 31 | 49 | 31 | 49 | ||||
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 332 | 321 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -1 | 326 | 320 |
| Net commission income | 3 | 2 | 85 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 93 | 83 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 1 | 8 | 1 | 8 | ||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 17 | -5 | 0 | 17 | -5 | |||
| Results from non-trading assets | 61 | -2 | 61 | -2 | ||||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Administrative expenses | 189 | 173 | 102 | 96 | -1 | -1 | 290 | 268 |
| Net other operating income / expenses | -1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 |
| Negative goodwill | 1501) | 1501) | ||||||
| Operating profit | 224 | 3101) | -17 | -14 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 2961) |
| Income taxes | 71 | 50 | -6 | -4 | 65 | 46 | ||
| Consolidated net income | 153 | 2601) | -11 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 2501) |
| Allocation of results | ||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | ||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 145 | 2521) | -13 | -12 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 2401) |
1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3
Aareal Bank Group Results – quarter by quarter
| Structured Property Financing |
Consulting / Services | Consolidation / Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
|
| € mn | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 181 | 182 | 199 | 214 | 192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -1 | 177 | 180 | 198 | 214 | 191 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 29 | 2 | 42 | 37 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 42 | 37 | 31 | ||||||||||
| Net interest income after | 152 | 180 | 157 | 177 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -1 | 148 | 178 | 156 | 177 | 160 |
| allowance for credit losses | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 42 | 49 | 39 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 47 | 46 | 52 | 40 | 42 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3 | ||||||||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 8 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 2 | |||||||
| Results from non-trading assets | 61 | 0 | -2 | -13 | 1 | 61 | 0 | -2 | -13 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Results from results accounted for at equity |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| Administrative expenses | 94 | 95 | 85 | 101 | 89 | 51 | 51 | 54 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 144 | 146 | 138 | 147 | 136 |
| Net other operating income / expenses |
0 | -1 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| Negative goodwill | 1501) | 1501) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Operating profit | 128 | 96 | 94 | 89 | 2361) | -8 | -9 | -2 | -7 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 87 | 92 | 82 | 2291) |
| Income taxes | 41 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 26 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -2 | 38 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 24 | |||||
| Consolidated net income | 87 | 66 | 67 | 60 | 2101) | -5 | -6 | 1 | -4 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 60 | 68 | 56 | 2051) |
| Cons. net income attributable to | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |||||
| non-controlling interests | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
83 | 62 | 64 | 55 | 2061) | -6 | -7 | 0 | -4 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 55 | 64 | 51 | 2001) |
1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3
Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG
Interest payments and ADI of Aareal Bank AG
Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| 31.12. 2015 |
31.12. 2014 |
31.12. 2013 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
|||
| Net Retained Profit Net income Profit carried forward from previous year Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
99 99 - - |
77 77 - - |
50 50 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
720 | 715 | 710 |
| Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) = |
819 | 792 | 760 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code |
287 | 240 | 156 |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 532 | 552 | 604 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
46 | 57 | 57 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
578 | 609 | 661 |
Appendix Development property finance portfolio
Development property finance portfolio
Diversification continuously strengthened (in € mn)
Western Europe (ex Germany) credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 9.9 bn
German credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 4.9 bn
Southern Europe credit portfolio
Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 4.5 bn
Eastern Europe credit portfolio
Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 2.6 bn
Northern Europe credit portfolio
Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 1.9 bn
North America credit portfolio
Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 6.2 bn
Asia credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.06.2016: € 0.4 bn
Appendix Acquisition of WestImmo
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Attractive opportunity to pursue inorganic growth
1) As published February 22, 2015
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Value enhancing transaction in line with business strategy
Transaction represents attractive opportunity for Aareal Bank to pursue inorganic growth as it is EpS accretive and creating shareholder value from day one while mid-term targets unchanged
Acquisition using existing excess capital demonstrates strength and strategic capacity while generating further excess capital and therefore dividend distribution potential at the same time
Immediate (inorganic) growth of interest earning asset base in times of increasing competition
Perfect overlap to Aareal's core business further strengthens position as a specialised commercial real estate lender
International well experienced staff and platform maintained despite currently not being allowed to write new business (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore in run-down mode
High diversification of CRE portfolio and conservative risk profile remains unchanged
Optimisation of capital structure in line with communicated strategy
1) As published February 22, 2015
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Business ability even without new business origination
| Strategy and business modell |
WestImmo is a specialist in international commercial real estate financing focussing on office, shopping center, hotel and logistics, headquartered in Mainz / Münster Additional activities for private clients and public sector Originally focussing on Europe, the US and Asia with international locations Balance sheet of ~ € 8.1 bn (~ € 3.3 bn RWA), thereof CRE business ~ € 4.3 bn, private clients ~ € 1.6 bn, public sector ~ € 0.8 bn (pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015) 280 employees (~ 255 FTE) |
|---|---|
| History | WestImmo was a subsidiary of former WestLB After the split of former WestLB into Portigon AG and Erste Abwicklungsanstalt (EAA) in September 2012, WestImmo became a 100%-subsidiary of EAA WestImmo has either to be sold or to be wind down (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore was not allowed to write new business since H2 2012 In order to prepare an open, transparent and non-discriminatory bidding process in H1 2014 non Pfandbriefbank "suitable" assets and liabilities were transferred to EAA via carve out |
1) As published February 22, 2015
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Transaction structure Attractive terms and conditions
| Transaction | All cash transaction to acquire 100% of the shares Via pre-closing carve out, all funding provided and financial guarantees given from EAA to WestImmo will be terminated. At the same time specific assets will be transferred from WestImmo to EAA. In addition Aareal Bank provides WestImmo an external credit- / liquidity-line Profit until closing to be paid to EAA Fair / conservative valuation; attractive asset and liability spreads logged in Extensive due diligence carried out 350 mn2) Attractive purchase price of € |
|---|---|
| Closing conditions |
Subject to BaFin / ECB approval Subject to anti-trust approval |
2) Subject to further adjustments
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials Impact on capital ratios, EpS, and RoE2)
Capital ratios:
- All cash transaction
- Allocation of excess capital
- RWA increase partly compensated by negative goodwill
- Expected pro forma CET1 as at 31.12.2015: 11.8%
- Bail in capital ratio expected above target (~8%)
EpS
- Transaction is EpS accretive from day 1
- Expected cumulative EpS for the next three years > 3 €
- Substantial part of the capital currently absorbed by acquired RWA already to be released until 2017
- No capital relief from switch of rating model (WestImmo already on AIRBA)
RoE
-
- Transaction in line with mid term RoE target
- Pre-tax RoE target confirmed at ~12%
Dividend policy
Reconfirming active dividend policy with payout ratios of ~50% (excl. negative goodwill)
1) As published February 22, 2015
2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015
Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials
Purchase price illustration2)
1) As published February 22, 2015
2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015
Acquisition of WestImmo1):
Private client loans and Public sector loans2)
| Private client loans |
Volume of € 1.6 bn extrapolated as at 31.03.2015 All non performing loans have been carved out, purely performing business with average LtV < 60% Outstandings < 100 T€: 58%, 100 – 150 T€: 24%, 150 – 200 T€: 10%, 200 – 250 T€: 4%; 250 – 500: <4%; > 500 T€: <1% > 50% in Baden Wuerttemberg, Bayern, Hessen, and NRW Historical defaults on that portfolio in the very, very low double digit area (bp) Potential risks from clawbacks regarding loan fees ("Rückforderungen von Bearbeitungsgebühren)" and faulty revocation clause ("fehlerhafte Widerrufsbelehrungen") will be covered by the seller |
|---|---|
| Public sector loans 1) As published February 22, 2015 |
Volume of € 0.8 bn extrapolated as at 31.03.2015 Loans, warranties or guaranties to German sub-sovereign bodies |
2) Pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015
Appendix Revaluation surplus
Revaluation surplus
Change mainly driven by asset spreads
Appendix SREP requirements and RWA-split
Capital ratios SREP1) requirements
Main takeaways
- Aareal Bank's SREP requirement according to ECB notification: 8.75% CET1 including capital conservation buffer
- Other buffer of 1% (estimated not yet announced); actual countercyclical buffer: 0.02%
- CET1 ratio of 13.1% (fully phased) as at 31.12.2015: ~330 bps above SREP requirement (including capital conservation buffer AND estimated other buffer)
- ~330 bps buffer currently available to cover uncertainties coming from regulatory environment
As published April 14, 2016 1) Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) SREP requirement Other buffer, estimate Countercyclical buffer
From asset to risk weighted asset (RWA) Essential factors affecting volume of RWA
Effective date 30/06/2016
1) Amounts to € 36 mn
2) Amounts to € 4 mn
Sustainability Performance
Doing Business Sustainably
Aareal Bank Group stands for solidity, reliability and predictability
Key takeaways at a glance
Transparent Reporting – facilitating informed investment decisions
- 4 th Sustainability Report "In Dialogue. By conviction." published on 10 May 2016 (online-version1))
- Based on Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) G4 guidelines, in compliance with "in accordance core" option, including GRI Materiality Disclosures Services check
- PricewaterhouseCoopers AG prepared a limited assurance engagement on materiality analysis / selected data
Sustainability Ratings – documenting the company's sustainability performance
oekom research – Aareal Bank Group holds "prime status", ranking among the leaders in its industry [since 2012]
Sustainalytics – Aareal Bank Group was classified as "outperformer", ranking among the best 16% of its industry [as per 12/2015]
CDP – Aareal Bank Group achieved a result of "94C", well above average of peer group Financials (87C) / of MDAX companies (72C) [Report 2015]
imug – Areal Bank was rated "positive BB" in the category "Uncovered Bonds", ranking among Top 3 of 102 banks rated in total [as per 01/2016]
1) http://www.aareal-bank.com/fileadmin/DAM_Content/Konzern/dokumente/06_nachhaltigkeitsbericht2015_en.pdf
Definitions and contacts
Definitions
- Structured Property Financing Portfolio = Paid-out financings on balance sheet
- New Business = Newly acquired business incl. renewals + Contract is signed by customer + Fixed loan value and margin
- Common Equity Tier 1 ratio = CET1 Risk weighted assets
- Pre tax RoE = Operating profit ./. income/loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 cupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, other reserves, AT1 and dividends
- CIR = Admin expenses Net income
- Net income = net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income
- Net stable funding ratio = ≥ 100% Available stable funding Required stable funding
- Liquidity coverage ratio = ≥ 100% Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress
- Bail-in capital ratio = Equity + subordinated capital (Long + short term funding) – (Equity + subordinated capital)
- Earnings per share = operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 cupon Number of ordinary shares
Contacts
- Jürgen Junginger Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]
- Carsten Schäfer Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]
- Sebastian Götzken Senior Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]
- Karin Desczka Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3009 [email protected]
Disclaimer
© 2016 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.
- This document has been prepared by Aareal Bank AG, exclusively for the purposes of a corporate presentation by Aareal Bank AG. The presentation is intended for professional and institutional customers only.
- It must not be modified or disclosed to third parties without the explicit permission of Aareal Bank AG. Any persons who may come into possession of this information and these documents must inform themselves of the relevant legal provisions applicable to the receipt and disclosure of such information, and must comply with such provisions. This presentation may not be distributed in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted by law.
- This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to purchase securities. Aareal Bank AG has merely compiled the information on which this document is based from sources considered to be reliable – without, however, having verified it. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Therefore, Aareal Bank AG does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any information or opinion contained herein. Aareal Bank AG accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
- This presentation may contain forward-looking statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current plans, views and/or assumptions and subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Aareal Bank AG´s control. This could lead to material differences between the actual future results, performance and / or events and those expressed or implied by such statements.
- Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.